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Keywords = compound event barrier coverage

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42 pages, 3358 KB  
Article
Adaptive Event-Driven Labeling: Multi-Scale Causal Framework with Meta-Learning for Financial Time Series
by Amine Kili, Brahim Raouyane, Mohamed Rachdi and Mostafa Bellafkih
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(24), 13204; https://doi.org/10.3390/app152413204 - 17 Dec 2025
Viewed by 4031
Abstract
Financial time-series labeling remains fundamentally limited by three critical deficiencies: temporal rigidity (fixed horizons regardless of market conditions), scale blindness (single-resolution analysis), and correlation-causation conflation. These limitations cause systematic failure during regime shifts. We introduce Adaptive Event-Driven Labeling (AEDL), integrating three core innovations: [...] Read more.
Financial time-series labeling remains fundamentally limited by three critical deficiencies: temporal rigidity (fixed horizons regardless of market conditions), scale blindness (single-resolution analysis), and correlation-causation conflation. These limitations cause systematic failure during regime shifts. We introduce Adaptive Event-Driven Labeling (AEDL), integrating three core innovations: (1) multi-scale temporal analysis capturing hierarchical market patterns across five time resolutions, (2) causal inference using Granger causality and transfer entropy to filter spurious correlations, and (3) model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) for adaptive parameter optimization. The framework outputs calibrated probability distributions enabling uncertainty-aware trading strategies. Evaluation on 16 assets spanning 25 years (2000–2025) with rigorous out-of-sample validation demonstrates substantial improvements: AEDL achieves average Sharpe ratio of 0.48 (across all models and assets) while baseline methods average near-zero or negative (Fixed Horizon: −0.29, Triple Barrier: −0.03, Trend Scanning: 0.00). Systematic ablation experiments on a 12-asset subset reveal that selective innovation deployment outperforms both minimal baselines and maximal integration: removing causal inference improves performance to 0.65 Sharpe while maintaining full asset coverage (12/12), whereas adding attention mechanisms reduces applicability to 2/12 assets due to compound filtering effects. These findings demonstrate that judicious component selection outperforms kitchen-sink approaches, with peak individual asset performance exceeding 3.0 Sharpe. Wilcoxon tests confirm statistically significant improvements over Fixed Horizon baseline (p = 0.0024). Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Computing and Artificial Intelligence)
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17 pages, 1277 KB  
Article
Compound Event Barrier Coverage in Wireless Sensor Networks under Multi-Constraint Conditions
by Yaoming Zhuang, Chengdong Wu, Yunzhou Zhang and Zixi Jia
Sensors 2017, 17(1), 25; https://doi.org/10.3390/s17010025 - 24 Dec 2016
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 5759
Abstract
It is important to monitor compound event by barrier coverage issues in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). Compound event barrier coverage (CEBC) is a novel coverage problem. Unlike traditional ones, the data of compound event barrier coverage comes from different types of sensors. It [...] Read more.
It is important to monitor compound event by barrier coverage issues in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). Compound event barrier coverage (CEBC) is a novel coverage problem. Unlike traditional ones, the data of compound event barrier coverage comes from different types of sensors. It will be subject to multiple constraints under complex conditions in real-world applications. The main objective of this paper is to design an efficient algorithm for complex conditions that can combine the compound event confidence. Moreover, a multiplier method based on an active-set strategy (ASMP) is proposed to optimize the multiple constraints in compound event barrier coverage. The algorithm can calculate the coverage ratio efficiently and allocate the sensor resources reasonably in compound event barrier coverage. The proposed algorithm can simplify complex problems to reduce the computational load of the network and improve the network efficiency. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm is more effective and efficient than existing methods, especially in the allocation of sensor resources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sensors for Home Automation and Security)
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