Search Results (8)

This study examines the seasonal and annual variability of black carbon (BC) and particular matter (PM1, 2.5, and 10) over Greater Cairo (Egypt) from 2003 to 2020. Data on PM and BC concentrations were gathered from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECWMF) reanalysis dataset. The Observed data from Abbasiya Station were employed to verify the accuracy of the reanalysis data, and a good agreement on both seasonal and annual scales was suggested. The results demonstrate that the highest concentrations of PM and BC were generally witnessed during wintertime, while the lowest was observed in summer. Trend analysis showed that, apart from fall, a significant increase (p < 0.05) in PM levels was evident in all seasons from 2003 to 2020. Contrarily, BC concentrations exhibited a statistically significant decline from 2003 to 2020. Moreover, BC concentrations correlated negatively with PM (1, 2.5 and 10) in all seasons and annually. However, weak and statistically non-significant (p > 0.05) correlations were found between PM and BC concentrations during wintertime. Additionally, this study looked at the atmospheric configurations corresponding to the most anomalous positive and negative phases of air pollution concentrations over Greater Cairo. The results indicate that the increase in PM concentrations is related to the positive anomalies observed at 250 hPa, which suggest a prevalence of stable atmospheric conditions, particularly during winter. Overall, our findings can serve as a foundation for improved urban planning and more effective strategies to lessen the negative effects of air quality in the largest megacity in Africa and the Middle East. Full article

Forest fires are of critical importance in the Mediterranean region. Fire weather indices are meteorological indices that produce information about the impact as well as the characteristics of a fire event in an ecosystem and have been developed for that reason. This study explores the spatiotemporal patterns of the FWI system within a study area defined by the boundaries of the Greek state. The FWI has been calculated and studied for current and future periods using data from the CFSR reanalysis model from the National Centers for Environmental Protection (NCEP) as well as data from NASA satellite programs and the European Commission for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECWMF) in the form of netCDF files. The calculation and processing of the results were conducted in the Python programming language, and additional drought- and fire-related indices were calculated, such as the standardized precipitation index (SPI), number of consecutive 50-day dry periods (Dry50), the Fosberg fire weather index (FFWI), the days where the FWI exceeds values of 40 and 50 days (FWI > 40) and (days FWI > 50). Similar patterns can easily be noted for all indices that seem to have their higher values concentrated in the southeast of the country owing to the higher temperatures and more frequent drought events that affect the indices’ behavior in both the current and future periods. Full article

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) signals generate slant tropospheric delays when they pass through the atmosphere, which is recognized as the main source of error in many spatial geodetic applications. The zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD) derived from radio occultation data is of great significance to atmospheric research and meteorology and needs to be assessed in the use of precision positioning. Based on the atmPrf, sonPrf, and echPrf data from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) Data Analysis and Archiving Center (CDAAC) from 1 January to 31 December 2008 and 2012, we obtained the ZTDs of the radio occultation data (occZTD) and the corresponding radiosonde (sonZTD) and ECWMF data (echZTD). The ZTDs derived from ground-based global positioning system (GPS) observations from the International GNSS Service (IGS) were corrected to the lowest tangent point height of the matched radio occultation profile by the barometric height formula (gnsZTD). The statistical results show that the absolute values of the bias between occZTD and echZTD, sonZTD, or gnsZTD are less than 5 mm, and the standard deviations are approximately 20 mm or less, indicating that occZTD had significant accuracy in the GNSS positioning model even when the local spherical symmetry assumption error was introduced when the Abel inversion algorithm was used to obtain the refractive index profile of atmPrf. The effects of the horizontal/vertical matching resolution and the variation in the station height/latitude on the biases of occZTD and gnsZTD were analyzed. The results can be used to quantify the performance of radio occultation data for tropospheric delay error correction in dynamic high-precision positioning. Full article

Achieving high-performance numerical weather prediction (NWP) is important for people’s livelihoods and for socioeconomic development. However, NWP is obtained by solving differential equations with globally observed data without capturing enough local and spatial information at the observed station. To improve the forecasting performance, we propose a novel spatial lightGBM (Light Gradient Boosting Machine) model to correct the numerical forecast results at each observation station. By capturing the local spatial information of stations and using a single-station single-time strategy, the proposed method can incorporate the observed data and model data to achieve high-performance correction of medium-range predictions. Experimental results for temperature and wind prediction in Hainan Province show that the proposed correction method performs well compared with the ECWMF model and outperforms other competing methods. Full article

Quantifying spatiotemporal polar ozone changes can promote our understanding of global stratospheric ozone depletion, polar ozone-related chemical processes, and atmospheric dynamics. By means of ground-level measurements, satellite observations, and re-analyzed meteorology, the global spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the total column ozone (TCO) and ozone profile can be quantitatively described. In this study, we evaluated the ozone datasets from CrIS/NOAA20, AIRS/Aqua, and ERA5/ECWMF for their performance in polar regions in 2020, along with the in situ observations of the Dobson, Brewer, and ozonesonde instruments, which are regarded as benchmarks. The results showed that the ERA5 reanalysis ozone field had good consistency with the ground observations (R > 0.95) and indicated whether the TCO or ozone profile was less affected by the site location. In contrast, both CrIS and AIRS could capture the ozone loss process resulting from the Antarctic/Arctic ozone hole at a monthly scale, but their ability to characterize the Arctic ozone hole was weaker than in the Antarctic. Specifically, the TCO values derived from AIRS were apparently higher in March 2020 than those of ERA5, which made it difficult to assess the area and depth of the ozone hole during this period. Moreover, the pattern of CrIS TCO was abnormal and tended to deviate from the pattern that characterized ERA5 and AIRS at the Alert site during the Arctic ozone loss process in 2020, which demonstrates that CrIS ozone products have limited applicability at this ground site. Furthermore, the validation of the ozone profile shows that AIRS and CrIS do not have good vertical representation in the polar regions and are not able to characterize the location and depth of ozone depletion. Overall, the results reveal the shortcomings of the ozone profiles derived from AIRS and CrIS observations and the reliability of the ERA5 reanalysis ozone field in polar applications. A more suitable prior method and detection sensitivity improvement on CrIS and AIRS ozone products would improve their reliability and applicability in polar regions. Full article

This article presents the methodology for an improved estimation of the sea surface wind speed measured by the cyclone global navigation satellite system (CYGNSS) constellation of satellites using significant wave height (SWH) information as external reference data. The methodology consists of a correcting 2D look-up table (LUT) with inputs: (1) the CYGNSS wind speed given by the geophysical model function (GMF); and (2) the collocated reference SWH given by the WW3 model, which is forced by winds from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) organization. In particular, the analyzed CYGNSS wind speeds are the fully developed seas (FDS) obtained with the GMF 3.0, and the forcing winds are the ECMWF forecast winds. Results show an increase in sensitivity to large winds speeds and an overall reduction in the root mean square difference (RMSD) with respect to the ECMWF winds from 2.05 m/s to 1.74 m/s. The possible influence of the ECWMF winds on the corrected winds (due to their use in the WW3 model) is analyzed by considering the correlation between: (1) the difference between the ECMWF winds and those from another reference; and (2) the difference between the corrected CYGNSS winds and those from the same reference. Results using ASCAT, WindSat, Jason, and AltiKa as references show no significant influence. Full article

There are two main types of methods available to obtain precipitable water vapor (PWV) with high accuracy. One is to assimilate observations into a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model, for example, the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, to improve the accuracy of meteorological parameters, and then obtain the PWV with improved accuracy. The other is the direct fusion of multi-source PWV products. Regarding the two approaches, we conduct a comparison experiment on the West Coast of the United States of America with the data from May 2018, in which the WRF data assimilation (DA) system is used to assimilate the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) PWV, while the method by Zhang et al. to fuse the GNSS PWV, ERA5 PWV and MODIS (moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer) PWV. As a result, four groups of PWV products are generated: the assimilated GNSS PWV, the unassimilated GNSS PWV, PWV from the fusion of the GNSS PWV and ECWMF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) ERA5 (ECWMF Reanalysis 5) PWV, and PWV from the fusion of the GNSS PWV, ERA5 PWV and MODIS PWV. Experiments show that the data assimilation based on the WRF model (WRFDA) and adopted fusion method can generate PWV products with similar accuracy (1.47 mm vs. 1.52 mm). Assimilating the GNSS PWV into the WRF model slightly improves the accuracy of the inverted PWV by 0.18 mm. The fusion of the MODIS PWV, GNSS PWV and ERA5 PWV results in a higher accuracy than the fusion of GNSS PWV and ERA5 PWV by a margin of 0.35 mm. In addition, the inland canyon topography appears to have an influence on the inversion accuracy of both the methods. Full article

With the availability to high-accuracy a priori zenith wet delay (ZWD) data, the positioning efficiency of the precise point positioning (PPP) processing can be effectively improved, including accelerating the convergence time and improving the positioning precision, in ground-based Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) technology. Considering the limitations existing in the state-of-the-art ZWD models, this paper established and evaluated a new in-situ meteorological observation-based grid model for estimating ZWD named GridZWD using the radiosonde data and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECWMF) data. The results show that ZWD has a strong correlation with the meteorological parameter water vapor pressure in continental and high-latitude regions. The root of mean square error (RMS) of 24.6 mm and 36.0 mm are achievable by the GridZWD model when evaluated with the ECWMF data and the radiosonde data, respectively. An accuracy improvement of approximately 10%~30% compared with the state-of-the-art models (e.g., the Saastamoinen, Hopfield and GPT2w models) can be found for the new built model. Full article