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This Study delves on changes in the extent of mangroves over a 42 years span in the Douala-Edea NP, Cameroon. Mangroves are valuable ecosystems that provide significant biological, environmental, ecological, and cultural functions. To inform the development of management plans for the ecosystem’s sustainability, it is crucial to evaluate how their land cover, levels of degradation, and phases of restitution have changed. GIS and remote sensing techniques were used to classify and analyze Landsat images from 1980 to 2022 categorized into nine classes: bare ground, Nypa palms, settlements, coastal sedimentation, river sedimentation, regeneration, matured mangroves, dense forest, and water body. Using the Markovian chain approach, the changes noted during the period were utilized to forecast future trends up to 2052. Findings demonstrated that the mature mangrove area decreased throughout the study. The surface area covered by mature mangroves was 80,628.78 hectares in 1980, which decreased by 7.31%, 1.51%, 3.70%, and by 17% for the overall period of 42 years. Additionally, a gain of 6.84% from 1980 to 2022 was observed, probably from artificial mangrove regeneration. Settlements, invasive Nypa palms, bare ground (resulting from over-exploitation), and the sedimentation of rivers and coast primarily replaced mangroves. The prediction derived indicated the continuous decline in mangroves if not fully protected by law. The gazettement to National Park and recent promulgation of two laws are steps in providing the needed protection. These results provide vital information to direct future mangrove conservation actions in the recently gazetted Douala-Edea National Terrestrial and Marine Park and other mangrove blocks along the Gulf of Guinea. Full article