Search Results (2)

Cryphalus dilutus is an emerging invasive pest of tropical and subtropical regions, with Mangifera indica and Ficus carica being its primary host plants. Larval damage caused by this insect can lead to severe tree wilting, posing a direct threat to agricultural production and ecological security. Native to South Asia, C. dilutus has established introduced populations in the Near East, Mexico, and other areas. In recent years, it has invaded multiple regions, including southern China and southern Italy. Given the widespread global distribution of host plants and the intensification of climate change, their distribution ranges are expected to expand. However, research assessing the potential global geographical distribution of this pest under climate change is lacking. In this study, we used the Random Forest model to predict the potential distribution range of C. dilutus. Under historical climatic conditions between 1970 and 2000, suitable climatic regions for C. dilutus were primarily distributed across southern China, southeastern Brazil, southeastern Mexico, the Congo Basin periphery, and the Iberian Peninsula, with a total area of 12,192.42 × 10⁴ km². The Temperature Annual Range and Precipitation of Warmest Quarter were identified as key environmental determinants that shaped its distribution. Under the future RCP4.5 climate scenario projected for the 2050s, the total suitable area for C. dilutus is projected to contract. Specifically, high-, medium-, and low-suitability areas are projected to decline by 52.77%, 62.39%, and 24.02%, respectively. While the total area of the very low zones is expected to increase, the total area of the suitable region has been reduced to 11,891.17 ×10⁴ km². Future climate change is expected to drive the distribution northward to high-altitude areas and inland areas. Model projections indicate a poleward expansion of the fundamental climatic niche, with climatic suitability increasing in high-latitude and high-altitude regions, such as Northern Europe and western North America. Conversely, current core tropical habitats in the Indian subcontinent and the Amazon Basin are projected to face significant habitat degradation due to thermal stress. Agricultural regions previously considered relatively safe due to climatic constraints, such as northern China, the midwestern United States, and Eastern Europe, may face new challenges from pest infestation. These findings underscore the importance of proactive monitoring and implementation of preventive measures. This provides crucial decision support for countries and regions to formulate precise pest control strategies and offers a theoretical basis for early monitoring and prevention of cross-border invasions on a global scale. Full article

Fig (Ficus carica) orchards in the Salento peninsula (southeastern Apulia region, Italy) are increasingly affected by decline syndromes whose etiology remains poorly resolved. In this paper, we provide a first characterization of a complex disease outbreak, integrating field surveys, fungal isolation, molecular phylogenetics, and pathogenicity assays. Symptomatic trees displayed chlorosis, defoliation, cankers, vascular discoloration, and wilting, frequently associated with bark beetle galleries. Mycological analyses revealed a diverse assemblage of fungi, dominated by Botryosphaeriaceae (including Neofusicoccum algeriense, and Lasiodiplodia theobromae), the Fusarium solani species complex (notably Neocosmospora perseae), and Ceratocystis ficicola. While C. ficicola was isolated with lower frequency, its recovery from adult beetles—including Cryphalus dilutus—supports a role in insect-mediated dissemination in addition to soilborne infection. Pathogenicity tests demonstrated that N. algeriense and N. perseae, together with C. ficicola, caused severe vascular lesions and wilting, confirming their contribution to fig decline. By contrast, other Fusarioid strains showed no pathogenicity, consistent with their role as latent or stress-associated pathogens. This study provides the first evidence that N. algeriense and N. perseae act as pathogenic agents on fig, highlights their interaction with C. ficicola within a multifactorial decline syndrome, and identifies dual epidemiological pathways involving both soil/root infection and insect-facilitated dissemination via beetles such as C. dilutus. These findings redefine fig decline in the Salento peninsula (southern Italy) as a multifactorial disease rather than a single-pathogen outbreak, with significant implications for diagnosis, epidemiology, and integrated management strategies. Full article