Search Results (6)

Background: Malignant breast cancer is the most common cancer affecting women worldwide. The COVID-19 pandemic appears to have slowed the diagnostic process, leading to an enhanced use of invasive approaches such as mastectomy. The increased use of a surgical procedure pushes towards an objective analysis of patient flow with measurable quality indicators such as length of stay (LOS) in order to optimize it. Methods: In this work, different regression and classification models were implemented to analyze the total LOS as a function of a set of independent variables (age, gender, pre-op LOS, discharge ward, year of discharge, type of procedure, presence of hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, secondary tumors, and surgery with complications) extracted from the discharge records of patients undergoing mastectomy at the ‘San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d’Aragona’ University Hospital of Salerno (Italy) in the years 2011–2021. In addition, the impact of COVID-19 was assessed by statistically comparing data from patients discharged in 2018–2019 with those discharged in 2020–2021. Results: The results obtained generally show the good performance of the regression models in characterizing the particular case studies. Among the models, the best at predicting the LOS from the set of variables described above was polynomial regression, with an R² value above 0.689. The classification algorithms that operated on a LOS divided into 3 arbitrary classes also proved to be good tools, reaching 79% accuracy with the voting classifier. Among the independent variables, both implemented models showed that the ward of discharge, year of discharge, type of procedure and complications during surgery had the greatest impact on LOS. The final focus to assess the impact of COVID-19 showed a statically significant increase in surgical complications. Conclusion: Through this study, it was possible to validate the use of regression and classification models to characterize the total LOS of mastectomy patients. LOS proves to be an excellent indicator of performance, and through its analysis with advanced methods, such as machine learning algorithms, it is possible to understand which of the demographic and organizational variables collected have a significant impact and thus build simple predictors to support healthcare management. Full article

Caesarean section (CS) rate has seen a significant increase in recent years, especially in industrialized countries. There are, in fact, several causes that justify a CS; however, evidence is emerging that non-obstetric factors may contribute to the decision. In reality, CS is not a risk-free procedure. The intra-operative, post-pregnancy risks and risks for children are just a few examples. From a cost point of view, it must be considered that CS requires longer recovery times, and women often stay hospitalized for several days. This study analyzed data from 12,360 women who underwent CS at the “San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi D’Aragona” University Hospital between 2010 and 2020 by multiple regression algorithms, including multiple linear regression (MLR), Random Forest, Gradient Boosted Tree, XGBoost, and linear regression, classification algorithms and neural network in order to study the variation of the dependent variable (total LOS) as a function of a group of independent variables. We identify the MLR model as the most suitable because it achieves an R-value of 0.845, but the neural network had the best performance (R = 0.944 for the training set). Among the independent variables, Pre-operative LOS, Cardiovascular disease, Respiratory disorders, Hypertension, Diabetes, Haemorrhage, Multiple births, Obesity, Pre-eclampsia, Complicating previous delivery, Urinary and gynaecological disorders, and Complication during surgery were the variables that significantly influence the LOS. Among the classification algorithms, the best is Random Forest, with an accuracy as high as 77%. The simple regression model allowed us to highlight the comorbidities that most influence the total LOS and to show the parameters on which the hospital management must focus for better resource management and cost reduction. Full article

Background: In recent years, the length of hospital stay (LOS) following endarterectomy has decreased significantly from 4 days to 1 day. LOS is influenced by several common complications and factors that can adversely affect the patient’s health and may vary from one healthcare facility to another. The aim of this work is to develop a forecasting model of the LOS value to investigate the main factors affecting LOS in order to save healthcare cost and improve management. Methods: We used different regression and machine learning models to predict the LOS value based on the clinical and organizational data of patients undergoing endarterectomy. Data were obtained from the discharge forms of the “San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d’Aragona” University Hospital (Salerno, Italy). R² goodness of fit and the results in terms of accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score were used to compare the performance of various algorithms. Results: Before implementing the models, the preliminary correlation study showed that LOS was more dependent on the type of endarterectomy performed. Among the regression algorithms, the best was the multiple linear regression model with an R² value of 0.854, while among the classification algorithms for LOS divided into classes, the best was decision tree, with an accuracy of 80%. The best performance was obtained in the third class, which identifies patients with prolonged LOS, with a precision of 95%. Among the independent variables, the most influential on LOS was type of endarterectomy, followed by diabetes and kidney disorders. Conclusion: The resulting forecast model demonstrates its effectiveness in predicting the value of LOS that could be used to improve the endarterectomy surgery planning. Full article

The proximal fracture of the femur and hip is the most common reason for hospitalization in orthopedic departments. In Italy, 115,989 hip-replacement surgeries were performed in 2019, showing the economic relevance of studying this type of procedure. This study analyzed the data relating to patients who underwent hip-replacement surgery in the years 2010–2020 at the “San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d’Aragona” University Hospital of Salerno. The multiple linear regression (MLR) model and regression and classification algorithms were implemented in order to predict the total length of stay (LOS). Lastly, using a statistical analysis, the impact of COVID-19 was evaluated. The results obtained from the regression analysis showed that the best model was MLR, with an R² value of 0.616, compared with XGBoost, Gradient-Boosted Tree, and Random Forest, with R² values of 0.552, 0.543, and 0.448, respectively. The t-test showed that the variables that most influenced the LOS, with the exception of pre-operative LOS, were gender, age, anemia, fracture/dislocation, and urinary disorders. Among the classification algorithms, the best result was obtained with Random Forest, with a sensitivity of the longest LOS of over 89%. In terms of the overall accuracy, Random Forest and Gradient-Boosted Tree achieved a value of 71.76% and an error of 28.24%, followed by Decision Tree, with an accuracy of 71.13% and an error of 28.87%, and, finally, Support Vector Machine, with an accuracy of 65.06% and an error of 34.94%. A significant difference in cardiovascular disease, fracture/dislocation, and post-operative LOS variables was shown by the chi-squared test and Mann–Whitney test in the comparison between 2019 (before COVID-19) and 2020 (in full pandemic emergency conditions). Full article

Indoor air quality in hospital operating rooms is of great concern for the prevention of surgical site infections (SSI). A wide range of relevant medical and engineering literature has shown that the reduction in air contamination can be achieved by introducing a more efficient set of controls of HVAC systems and exploiting alarms and monitoring systems that allow having a clear report of the internal air status level. In this paper, an operating room air quality monitoring system based on a fuzzy decision support system has been proposed in order to help hospital staff responsible to guarantee a safe environment. The goal of the work is to reduce the airborne contamination in order to optimize the surgical environment, thus preventing the occurrence of SSI and reducing the related mortality rate. The advantage of FIS is that the evaluation of the air quality is based on easy-to-find input data established on the best combination of parameters and level of alert. Compared to other literature works, the proposed approach based on the FIS has been designed to take into account also the movement of clinicians in the operating room in order to monitor unauthorized paths. The test of the proposed strategy has been executed by exploiting data collected by ad-hoc sensors placed inside a real operating block during the experimental activities of the “Bacterial Infections Post Surgery” Project (BIPS). Results show that the system is capable to return risk values with extreme precision. Full article

Background: Valvular heart diseases are diseases that affect the valves by altering the normal circulation of blood within the heart. In recent years, the use of valvuloplasty has become recurrent due to the increase in calcific valve disease, which usually occurs in the elderly, and mitral valve regurgitation. For this reason, it is critical to be able to best manage the patient undergoing this surgery. To accomplish this, the length of stay (LOS) is used as a quality indicator. Methods: A multiple linear regression model and four other regression algorithms were used to study the total LOS function of a set of independent variables related to the clinical and demographic characteristics of patients. The study was conducted at the University Hospital “San Giovanni di Dio e Ruggi d’Aragona” of Salerno (Italy) in the years 2010–2020. Results: Overall, the MLR model proved to be the best, with an R² value of 0.720. Among the independent variables, age, pre-operative LOS, congestive heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease were those that mainly influenced the output value. Conclusions: LOS proves, once again, to be a strategic indicator for hospital resource management, and simple linear regression models have shown excellent results to analyze it. Full article