Identifying Older Adults at Risk of Accelerated Decline in Gait Speed and Grip Strength: Insights from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS) †
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Study Participants
2.2. Gait Speed and Grip Strength
2.3. Covariates
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Latent Class Growth Analysis
3.2. Baseline Characteristics by Trajectory Classification
3.3. Multinomial Logistic Regression Results
4. Discussion
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Variable—Mean (SD) | Total (N = 4961) | Worsening (N = 1409) | Stable (N = 2709) | Improving (N = 843) | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline Gait Speed | 0.85 (0.01) | 0.79 (0.02) | 0.86 (0.01) | 0.91 (0.01) | <0.001 |
Yearly Change in Gait Speed | −0.03 (0.002) | −0.09 (0.004) | −0.02 (0.002) | 0.03 (0.004) | <0.001 |
Demographics—N (%) | |||||
Age 65–74 years | 2140 (43.1) | 355 (25.2) | 1194 (44.1) | 591 (70.1) | <0.001 |
75–84 years | 1999 (40.3) | 618 (43.9) | 1157 (42.7) | 224 (26.6) | |
≥85 years | 822 (16.6) | 436 (30.9) | 358 (13.2) | 28 (3.3) | |
Gender: Female | 2822 (55.4) | 891 (61.4) | 1527 (56.0) | 404 (47.7) | <0.001 |
Race White | 3553 (82.8) | 923 (77.8) | 1962 (82.9) | 668 (87.7) | <0.001 |
Black | 980 (7.3) | 351 (10.5) | 516 (7.0) | 113 (4.7) | |
Hispanic | 269 (6.1) | 81 (7.1) | 152 (6.4) | 36 (4.3) | |
Other | 159 (3.8) | 54 (4.5) | 79 (3.6) | 26 (3.3) | |
Marital Status Married/Living with Partner | 2627 (53.0) | 572 (40.6) | 1466 (54.1) | 589 (69.9) | <0.001 |
Non-partnered | 2334 (47.0) | 837 (59.4) | 1243 (45.9) | 254 (30.1) | |
Socioeconomic Status | |||||
Education High School or Less | 2505 (50.5) | 855 (60.7) | 1348 (49.8) | 302 (35.8) | <0.001 |
Some College or More | 2456 (49.5) | 554 (39.3) | 1361 (50.2) | 541 (64.2) | |
Income Low (≤USD 49,999) | 2032 (41.0) | 641 (45.5) | 1139 (42.0) | 252 (29.9) | <0.001 |
Middle (USD 50,000–99,999) | 622 (12.5) | 104 (7.4) | 364 (13.4) | 154 (18.3) | |
High (≥USD 100,000) | 296 (6.0) | 38 (2.7) | 149 (5.5) | 109 (12.9) | |
Missing | 2011 (40.5) | 626 (44.4) | 1057 (39.0) | 328 (38.9) | |
Insurance Public Insurance | 2116 (42.7) | 658 (46.7) | 1135 (41.9) | 323 (38.3) | <0.001 |
Private Insurance | 2845 (57.3) | 751 (53.3) | 1574 (58.1) | 520 (61.7) | |
Health Conditions | |||||
Arthritis | 2636 (53.1) | 856 (60.8) | 1406 (51.9) | 374 (44.4) | <0.001 |
Cancer | 1272 (25.6) | 366 (26.0) | 706 (26.1) | 200 (23.7) | 0.21 |
Cardiovascular Disease | 1208 (24.3) | 435 (30.9) | 635 (23.4) | 138 (16.4) | <0.001 |
Current Smoker | 413 (8.3) | 104 (7.4) | 244 (9.0) | 65 (7.7) | 0.02 |
Dementia | 127 (2.6) | 75 (5.3) | 44 (1.6) | 8 (0.9) | <0.001 |
Elevated Waist Circumference | 3070 (61.9) | 952 (67.6) | 1710 (63.1) | 408 (48.4) | <0.001 |
High Blood Pressure | 3275 (66.0) | 982 (69.7) | 1822 (67.3) | 471 (55.9) | <0.001 |
Low Physical Activity | 1381 (27.8) | 511 (36.3) | 718 (26.5) | 152 (18.0) | <0.001 |
Lung Disease | 703 (14.2) | 226 (16.0) | 382 (14.1) | 95 (11.3) | 0.04 |
Osteoporosis | 972 (19.6) | 320 (22.7) | 511 (18.9) | 141 (16.7) | <0.001 |
Type II Diabetes | 1174 (23.7) | 399 (28.3) | 639 (23.6) | 136 (16.1) | <0.001 |
Unintentional Weight Loss | 638 (12.9) | 260 (18.4) | 307 (11.3) | 71 (8.4) | <0.001 |
Multiple Chronic Conditions (≥2) | 3554 (71.6) | 1110 (78.8) | 1947 (71.9) | 497 (58.9) | <0.001 |
Variable | Worsening Gait Speed OR (95% CI) (Ref: Stable) | Worsening Grip Strength OR (95% CI) (Ref: Stable) |
---|---|---|
Demographics | ||
Age | ||
65–74 years | Reference | Reference |
75–84 years | 1.74 (1.33, 2.27) | 1.33 (1.03, 1.73) |
≥85 years | 4.80 (3.47, 6.64) | 2.28 (1.61, 3.21) |
Race | ||
White | Reference | Reference |
Black | 1.43 (1.11, 1.85) | 0.98 (0.79, 1.22) |
Hispanic/Other | 1.10 (0.84, 1.45) | 1.18 (0.83, 1.58) |
Gender | ||
Male | Reference | Reference |
Female | 1.08 (0.91, 1.29) | 1.55 (1.15, 2.08) |
Socioeconomic Status | ||
Education | ||
High School or Less | Reference | Reference |
Some College | 0.67 (0.53, 0.85) | 1.03 (0.78, 1.36) |
Marital Status | ||
Married/Living with Partner | Reference | Reference |
Non-partnered | 1.10 (0.84, 1.41) | 0.94 (0.72, 1.22) |
Income | ||
Low (≤USD 49,999) | Reference | Reference |
Middle (USD 50,000–99,999) | 0.68 (0.53, 0.88) | 0.60 (0.43, 0.84) |
High (≥USD 100,000) | 0.61 (0.41, 0.91) | 0.47 (0.30, 0.73) |
Insurance | ||
Public Insurance | Reference | Reference |
Private Insurance | 0.69 (0.51, 0.92) | 0.84 (0.61, 1.15) |
Health Conditions | ||
Multiple Chronic Conditions (≥2) | 1.29 (1.07, 1.56) | 1.43 (1.21, 1.68) |
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Lynch, D.H.; Spangler, H.; Griffin, J.S.; Kahkoska, A.; Boccaccio, D.; Xie, W.; Lin, F.-C.; Batsis, J.A.; Fielding, R.A. Identifying Older Adults at Risk of Accelerated Decline in Gait Speed and Grip Strength: Insights from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS). J. Ageing Longev. 2025, 5, 19. https://doi.org/10.3390/jal5020019
Lynch DH, Spangler H, Griffin JS, Kahkoska A, Boccaccio D, Xie W, Lin F-C, Batsis JA, Fielding RA. Identifying Older Adults at Risk of Accelerated Decline in Gait Speed and Grip Strength: Insights from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS). Journal of Ageing and Longevity. 2025; 5(2):19. https://doi.org/10.3390/jal5020019
Chicago/Turabian StyleLynch, David H., Hillary Spangler, Jacob S. Griffin, Anna Kahkoska, Dominic Boccaccio, Wenyi Xie, Feng-Chang Lin, John A. Batsis, and Roger A. Fielding. 2025. "Identifying Older Adults at Risk of Accelerated Decline in Gait Speed and Grip Strength: Insights from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS)" Journal of Ageing and Longevity 5, no. 2: 19. https://doi.org/10.3390/jal5020019
APA StyleLynch, D. H., Spangler, H., Griffin, J. S., Kahkoska, A., Boccaccio, D., Xie, W., Lin, F.-C., Batsis, J. A., & Fielding, R. A. (2025). Identifying Older Adults at Risk of Accelerated Decline in Gait Speed and Grip Strength: Insights from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS). Journal of Ageing and Longevity, 5(2), 19. https://doi.org/10.3390/jal5020019