Economic Assessment of Building Adaptation to Climate Change: A Systematic Review of Cost Evaluation Methods
Abstract
Highlights
- The paper provides the first systematic literature review on cost-based methods for assessing climate adaptation in buildings, covering 38 peer-reviewed studies from 2019–2024.
- It identifies Cost–Benefit Analysis (CBA) as the most frequently applied approach, with Life-Cycle Costing (LCC) and emerging methods such as Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) frameworks gaining attention.
- A clear implementation gap is highlighted: most studies remain hazard-specific (mainly flood risk), ex-post, and disconnected from building design, renovation, and investment processes.
- Stakeholders need integrated, user-friendly tools to compare adaptation costs versus inaction, including co-benefits.
- Policymakers should embed systemic risk and cost analysis into regulations, procurement, and financing schemes.
- Future research should advance multi-hazard, economically grounded methodologies aligned with EU adaptation and sustainability policies and practice.
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Context and Importance
1.2. Linking Building Adaptation Economics to Smart Cities
1.3. Scope and Objectives
2. Systematic Literature Review: Keywords and Methods
2.1. Search Strategy
2.2. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
- They only marginally addressed adaptation or economic assessment.
- They focused purely on mitigation strategies or energy efficiency without the adaptation context.
- The built environment was not a primary focus (e.g., agriculture, transport, or infrastructure sectors).
2.3. Analysis Method
3. Results from the Literature
3.1. Statistics
3.2. Visualising Research Networks
3.3. Building Types and Scales of Intervention
3.4. Type of Adaptation Measures
3.5. Economic Methods
4. Critical Discussion on the Selected Cost Assessment Methods for Building Climate Adaptation Solutions
4.1. CBA Methods
Reference | Year | Typology of Building | Natural Hazard Addressed | Adaptation Solution | Methodology | Economic Indicator | Cost Input | Method |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oladunjoye et al. [41] | 2020 | Commercial buildings | Flood | Retrofit of Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems (SuDS) | Conceptualisation | NPV | Cost of the installation of the SuDS retrofit step by step | Discounting |
de Ruig et al. [42] | 2020 | Commercial buildings | Flood | Dry-floodproofing, wet-floodproofing and building elevation | Conceptualisation, hazard maps, case study (California—USA), numerical analyses | NPV | FEMA estimation costs | Discounting |
Qin and Stewart [38] | 2020 | Residential buildings | Wind | Reinforcing building envelopes, improving water resistance, strengthening windows, and adding shutters | Conceptualisation, hazard maps, case study (Australia), numerical analyses | NPV | Cost data from national cost guides | Discounting |
Ventimiglia et al. [51] | 2020 | Residential buildings and agricultural areas | Flood | Dry and wet floodproofing with flood barriers, combined with structural measures | Conceptualisation, case study (Sicily region—Italy), numerical analyses | Benefits compared to a base scenario | ISPRA JRC estimation and local material price lists | Other |
Han and Mozumder [39] | 2021 | Residential buildings | Sea level rise | Floodproofing and building elevation | Conceptualisation, case study (Florida—USA), numerical analyses | BCR | Literature and national costs | BCR |
Röck et al. [76] | 2021 | Residential buildings—single and multi | General adaptation to climate change | Adaptable building design to different climate changes | Conceptualisation | Different indicators | Statistical data from building material databases | Different methods |
Bresch and Aznar-Siguan [50] | 2021 | All buildings | Cyclone | Green and grey infrastructure, mangrove restoration, building code enforcement, and risk transfer measures | Conceptualisation, case study (Antilles), numerical analyses | NPV and BCR | - | BCR |
Shan et al. [71] | 2022 | Residential buildings | Storm flood | Wet-floodproofing, dry-floodproofing, and elevation for flood control | Conceptualisation, case study (Shanghai, China), hazard maps, numerical analyses | NPV and BCR | Building cost data from the Shanghai Statistical Yearbooks (1995–2019), and predictions for future construction costs | BCR |
Maiwald and Schwarz [52] | 2022 | Residential buildings | Flood | Different flood protection measures | Conceptualisation, case study (Saxony region, Germany), numerical analyses | BCR | Damage dataset compiled after the 2002 flood in Germany | BCR |
Friedland et al. [53] | 2023 | Residential buildings | Flood | Increasing first-floor elevation and adding freeboard | Conceptualisation, case study (USA), numerical analyses | Annual premium savings, annual avoided loss, monthly total savings | Building attributes, insurance parameters, FEMA directives | Other |
Wu et al. [74] | 2024 | Commercial buildings | Generic climate-related hazards | Vertical greening and green roofs | Conceptualisation, case study (Singapore), numerical analyses | NPV, PBP, Sensitivity Analysis | Discount rates, inflation rates, growth rates of manpower costs, and benefit calculation periods | Discounting |
Semeraro et al. [59] | 2024 | All buildings | Extreme heat | Nature-based solutions (NbS) using urban forests | Conceptualisation, case study (Puglia region, Italy), numerical analyses | NPV and BCR | Puglia regional price list | BCR |
Iliadis et al. [43] | 2024 | Residential and commercial buildings | Flood | SuDS, Blue-Green Infrastructure, and permeable pavements | Conceptualisation, case study (Newcastle upon Tyne, UK), numerical analyses | Benefits given from the difference between flood damages in the baseline scenario and those in intervention scenarios for a given return period | Handbook for Economic Appraisal (2022) | Other |
Pérez et al. [60] | 2024 | All buildings | Extreme heat | Building-Integrated Greenery (green roofs, walls, facades) | Conceptualisation, case study (Barcelona, Spain), numerical analyses | Increase in property value and maintenance and implementation costs | Local maintenance costs | Other |
Narendr et al. [49] | 2024 | Residential buildings | Coastal flood | Mangrove plantation as an NbS | Conceptualisation, case study (Sagar Island, India), hazards maps and projections, numerical analyses | Costs pre-post interventions, ROI | Estimations based on multiple Southeast Asian case studies | Other |
4.2. LCC Methods
Reference | Year | Typology of Building | Natural Hazard Addressed | Adaptation Solution | Methodology | Economic Indicators | Cost Input |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adhikari et al. [61] | 2020 | Residential buildings | Tornado | Strengthening light-frame wood construction | Conceptualisation, fictional case study, numerical analysis | PV, initial cost, periodic repair/maintenance cost, and costs of repair damage following the occurrence of a tornado | RS Means Residential Cost Data [88] (initial cost, periodic repair/maintenance cost, and costs of repairing damage following the occurrence of a tornado) |
Wang et al. [81] | 2020 | All buildings | Hurricane and Earthquake | “Building Back Better” approach | Conceptualisation, fictional case study, numerical analysis | Cost of new buildings; cost of building damages due to future hazard exposure; cost associated with casualties (e.g., injuries or fatalities) caused by future disasters; indirect losses due to building functionality loss | FEMA Technical Manual |
Fregonara and Ferrando [79] | 2020 | Residential, commercial, and office buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Aluminium Frame and a Timber one for a glass façade | Conceptualisation | Annuity Cost, initial investment costs, total running and replacement costs, and disposal costs | National investment costs |
Ekström et al. [82] | 2021 | Residential buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Generic building design optimisation | Conceptualisation, component case study, numerical analysis | Acquisition cost, operational costs, real interest rate, real price change, discounting over a 60-year analysis period | Industry organisations and government data sources |
Nydahl et al. [77] | 2022 | All buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Generic building design | Conceptualisation, case study (Umeå, Sweden), numerical analysis | Disposal cost from partial or full demolition of the original building, investment cost and operational energy cost | Literature sources |
Heracleous et al. [57] | 2022 | Educational buildings | Extreme heat | Retrofitting strategies (e.g., roof insulation) | Conceptualisation, case study (Nicosia, Cyprus), numerical analysis | PV, initial investment, the sum of annual costs for every year (including replacement costs), and the real interest rate | Several literature sources |
Trovato and Cappello [83] | 2022 | All buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Green roof, building-integrated photovoltaic system | Conceptualisation, case study (Syracuse, Italy), numerical analysis | Initial investment, maintenance cost, maintenance and replacement cost, dismantling and disposal cost, RV, Discount Rate, NPV, TRR | Regional price of public works |
Ashrafian [58] | 2023 | Educational buildings | Heatwave | Adaptive comfort strategies | Conceptualisation, fictional case study in Turkey, numerical analysis | Present value (PV), energy cost, maintenance cost, replacement cost, cost of greenhouse gas emission, and residual value | Price lists of local distributors |
Caruso et al. [56] | 2024 | Residential buildings | Earthquake, flood and heatwave | Integrated retrofitting with timber, steel, concrete exoskeletons, and insulation | Conceptualisation, case study (Brescia, Italy), numerical analysis | Post-retrofit life cycle costs, summing up the costs of the retrofit materials and installation, seismic economic losses, and costs for energy consumption, normalised by the building’s floor area and the post-retrofit service life | Literature sources |
Gholami [55] | 2024 | All buildings | Extreme heat and floods | Building integrated photovoltaics | Conceptualisation | Generic list of indicators, including initial costs, operating and maintenance costs, and end-of-life costs, NPV, ROI, etc. | n/a |
Farrokhirad et al. [27] | 2024 | All buildings | Extreme heat | Vertical Greening Systems (VGS) | Conceptualisation | Generic list of indicators, including initial costs, operating and maintenance costs, and end-of-life costs | n/a |
4.3. Other Cost Methods
Reference | Year | Typology of Building | Natural Hazard Addressed | Adaptation Solution | Methodology | Cost Method | Economic Indicators | Cost Input |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tayefeh Hashemi et al. [89] | 2020 | All buildings | n/a | Generic building design | Review | Use of statistical models, regression analysis, optimisation techniques and machine learning techniques | n/a | Literature for each application area (construction sector) |
He et al. [47] | 2021 | All buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Upgrading building components such as wall insulation, window glazing, and heating systems | Conceptualisation, modelling, case study (Yunnan province, China), numerical analyses | Energy cost-based approach | NPV | Local market price lists |
Teague et al. [97] | 2021 | All buildings | Flood, drought | Various adaptation options | Conceptualisation, modelling, case study | Estimation of costs incurred by governmental entities and CBA | n/a | Associated with the adaptation options, but the sources are not specified |
Pero et al. [48] | 2021 | All buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Passive climate-design strategies for cooling | Conceptualisation, case study (Mogadishu, Somalia), numerical analyses | Price list | Cost/m2 of the adopted solution | Market survey for a construction costs database for the Somali context |
Ahmed et al. [90] | 2022 | All buildings | n/a | Generic building design | Review | Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) | n/a | n/a |
Porter et al. [44] | 2022 | Commercial and multi-residential buildings | Flood | Generic building design | Conceptualisation, case study (USA), numerical analyses | Component-based damage functions with both direct and indirect costs | Damage value in USD aligned with downtime | (1) state and county-level GDP information, (2) mappings between economic sectors and land-uses, (3) economic multipliers by state and sector |
Xie et al. [45] | 2022 | Residential, commercial, industrial, agricultural, and governmental buildings | Flood and sea-level rise | Generic building design | Conceptualisation, case study, (Tampa, USA), hazard maps, numerical analyses | Total economic costs by identifying flood-prone properties through the comparison of high-resolution elevation data | n/a | Parcel-level property tax GIS data |
Dolores et al. [40] | 2022 | Residential buildings—multi | General adaptation to climate change | Energy retrofit with/without photovoltaic system | Conceptualisation, case study (Campania region, Italy), numerical analyses | Cost-Revenue Analysis (CRA) | NPV, IRR, PP | Estimation through price lists |
Tu et al. [46] | 2023 | Residential, commercial, office, and industrial buildings | Flood | Several flood adaptation measures (hard and soft) | Conceptualisation, case study (Shanghai, China), hazard maps, numerical analyses | Construction cost-based approach with CBA | Average construction cost (USD per m2) | ARCADIS 2019 annual report on different building types |
de Pedro et al. [98] | 2023 | All buildings | General adaptation to climate change | Copper slag as a partial cement substitute | Conceptualisation, fictional case study, numerical analyses | Comparison of costs between new solutions and a baseline | Total cost in USD | Average of the costings of contractors in the Philippines |
He and Faure [54] | 2024 | All buildings | Flood | Post-disaster construction in different countries | Review | Welfare maximisation and evaluation of various instruments for post-disaster recovery | n/a | n/a |
Villalba et al. [25] | 2024 | Residential and educational buildings | Natural hazards | Conceptualisation | Review | Cost minimisation on both tangible (costs of the repair; construction and installation) and intangible (tax incentives from the Italian government) costs | Construction costs and maintenance costs | n/a |
4.4. Role of Economic Assumptions
5. Conclusions
- While residential buildings and flood hazards are well represented, other building typologies (e.g., educational, heritage, or mixed-use) and hazards (e.g., wildfires, storms, sea level rise) remain quite underexplored. Future research should expand to capture the diversity of buildings and climate risks across different geographic contexts.
- Although economic methods have advanced significantly, many assessments are still theoretical or scenario-based. Real-world applications, particularly those incorporating actual cost data, stakeholder feedback, and policy mechanisms, are limited. Bridging this gap between research and practice is essential for mainstreaming adaptation planning.
- The cost-effectiveness of NbS is increasingly demonstrated, yet their intangible benefits (e.g., ecosystem services, health co-benefits, equity) are rarely monetised. Developing methodologies to better integrate these aspects into CBA and LCC frameworks will enhance decision-making relevance.
- Despite frequent application of LCC and CBA tools, these are often used ex-post to justify interventions rather than to inform early-stage design. For a transformative shift toward climate-resilient buildings, economic assessments should be integrated from the conceptual design phase, in combination with environmental and social metrics, to enable lifecycle-based decision-making.
- Finally, while many studies recognise the role of public incentives and regulatory frameworks in adaptation financing, few explore their integration in cost analysis. Future work should better align economic assessments with policy tools to improve the feasibility and uptake of resilient solutions.
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
ANN | Artificial Neural Network |
BCA | Benefit–Cost Analysis |
BIG | Building-Integrated Greenery |
BGI | Blue-Green Infrastructure |
BCR | Benefit-to-Cost Ratio |
CBA | Cost–Benefit Analysis |
CRA | Cost-Revenue Analysis |
DEM | Digital Elevation Model |
EDAC | Earthquake Damage Analysis Centre |
ELCCA | Extended Life Cycle Cost Assessment |
EN | European Norm |
EPBD | Energy Performance of Buildings Directive |
EU | European Union |
EU Taxonomy | European Union Taxonomy for Sustainable Activities |
FEMA | Federal Emergency Management Agency |
FReSMo | Flood Resilient Scenario Model |
GA | Genetic Algorithm |
GDP | Gross Domestic Product |
GIS | Geographic Information System |
HVAC | Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning |
IRR | Internal Rate of Return |
ISO | International Organization for Standardization |
LCA | Life Cycle Assessment |
LCC | Life Cycle Cost(ing) |
LiDAR | Light Detection and Ranging |
MCA | Multi-Criteria Assessment |
MCDM | Multi-Criteria Decision-Making |
NbS | Nature-based Solutions |
NPV | Net Present Value |
PBP | Payback Period |
PRA | Probabilistic Risk Analysis |
PV | Present Value |
ROI | Return on Investment |
RCP | Representative Concentration Pathway |
SCC | Social Cost of Carbon |
SuDS | Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems |
TRR | Total Rate of Return |
USD | United States Dollar |
VGS | Vertical Greening System |
VOSviewer | Visualization of Similarities viewer |
VR | Residual Value |
Appendix A
- Search strings (applied to Title, Abstract, Keywords):
- Databases searched:
- Scopus.
- Web of Science Core Collection.
- Filters applied:
- Document type: Peer-reviewed journal articles and conference papers.
- Language: English.
- Open access: Gold open access.
- Publication years: 2019–2024.
- Subject areas: Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Economics, Social Sciences.
- Search results retrieved:
- Scopus: 545 records.
- Web of Science: 485 records.
- Total before duplicates: 1039.
- Duplicates removed: 267.
- Final unique records: 772.
- Inclusion criteria:
- Studies explicitly applying a cost-based economic method (CBA, LCC, MCDM, or similar).
- Focus on climate change adaptation in the building sector (including residential, commercial, public buildings).
- Quantitative or mixed-method application with methodological transparency.
- Exclusion criteria:
- Focus solely on mitigation (e.g., energy efficiency without adaptation context).
- Non-building sectors (agriculture, transport, health infrastructure).
- Purely qualitative studies with no cost-based method applied.
- Hazards unrelated to climate change (e.g., seismic, volcanic).
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Natural Hazard | Adaptation Solution(s) | Reference(s) |
---|---|---|
Coastal flood | Mangrove plantation and restoration | [49] |
Cyclone | Mangrove restoration, green/grey infrastructure, enforcement of building codes, and risk transfer strategies | [50] |
Flood | Dry/wet floodproofing, building elevation, SuDS retrofitting, safety barriers | [41,42,43,44,46,51,52,53,54] |
Flood and heatwave | Stormwater infiltration and management, flood protection freeboard, green infrastructure for flood and drought adaptation | [55] |
Flood, heatwave and earthquake | Integrated retrofitting with timber/steel/concrete exoskeletons and thermal insulation | [56] |
Extreme heat and heatwave | Urban forests, Building-Integrated Greenery (BIG), NbS for microclimate improvement, adaptive comfort strategies | [57,58,59,60] |
Sea-level rise | Building elevation, floodproofing for reducing flood risk under uncertain sea level rise conditions. | [39,45] |
Tornado | Reinforcing light-frame wood structures, retrofitting for windstorm resilience, and enhancing community-level resilience | [61] |
Urban heat island | Vertical Greening Systems (VGS), localised fire management plans including evacuation routes and fire protection zones | [27] |
Wind | Reinforcing building envelopes, improving water resistance, strengthening windows, and installing resistant shutters | [38] |
Life Cycle Phase | Cost Elements |
---|---|
1. Initial Investment | Design, site preparation, construction, systems installation |
2. Operation And Maintenance | Utilities (energy, water), HVAC servicing, cleaning, routine repairs |
3. Replacement | Costs of replacing building systems (e.g., roofing, windows, elevators) |
4. End-of-Life | Decommissioning, demolition, waste management, and salvage value |
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Felicioni, L.; Klepačová, K.; Hejtmánková, B. Economic Assessment of Building Adaptation to Climate Change: A Systematic Review of Cost Evaluation Methods. Smart Cities 2025, 8, 156. https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050156
Felicioni L, Klepačová K, Hejtmánková B. Economic Assessment of Building Adaptation to Climate Change: A Systematic Review of Cost Evaluation Methods. Smart Cities. 2025; 8(5):156. https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050156
Chicago/Turabian StyleFelicioni, Licia, Kateřina Klepačová, and Barbora Hejtmánková. 2025. "Economic Assessment of Building Adaptation to Climate Change: A Systematic Review of Cost Evaluation Methods" Smart Cities 8, no. 5: 156. https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050156
APA StyleFelicioni, L., Klepačová, K., & Hejtmánková, B. (2025). Economic Assessment of Building Adaptation to Climate Change: A Systematic Review of Cost Evaluation Methods. Smart Cities, 8(5), 156. https://doi.org/10.3390/smartcities8050156