ERCP Beyond the Ninth Decade: Frailty, Treatment Strategy, and Outcomes in Octogenarians, Nonagenarians, and Centenarians
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Population
2.2. Clinical and Geriatric Variables
2.3. ERCP Technique and Outcomes
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Cohort Characteristics
3.2. Procedural Strategy and Efficacy
3.3. Adverse Events and Short-Term Outcomes
3.4. Frailty and Outcomes
3.5. Centenarian Subgroup
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | <80 y (n = 15) | 80–89 y (n = 20) | 90–99 y (n = 21) | ≥100 y (n = 7) | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patients, n | 15 | 20 | 21 | 7 | — |
| Age, years | 69.9 [64.3–74.5] | 83.7 [81.5–88.1] | 96 [94.1–97.5] | 101.2 [100.5–103.1] | <0.001 |
| Female sex, n (%) | 7 (46.7) | 10 (50.0) | 13 (61.9) | 5 (71.4) | 0.634 |
| Acute cholangitis indication, n (%) | 2 (13.3) | 8 (40.0) | 5 (23.8) | 2 (28.6) | 0.374 |
| Baseline ICU, n (%) | 0 | 1 (5.0) | 1 (4.8) | 0 | 1.000 |
| ASA class | 2 [2–3] | 3 [2–3] | 3 [3–4] | 4 [3–4] | <0.001 |
| Charlson Comorbidity Index | 5 [5–5.5] | 5.5 [4.75–7] | 8 [6–9] | 6 [5.5–8.5] | 0.001 |
| Clinical Frailty Scale | 4 [3–5] | 4.5 [4–5] | 6 [6–7] | 8 [7.5–8] | <0.001 |
| Antithrombotic therapy, n (%) | 3 (20.0) | 5 (25.0) | 3 (14.3) | 3 (42.9) | 0.463 |
| Total bilirubin | 2 [1.58–2.74] | 2.23 [1.59–3.29] | 2.87 [2.14–4.38] | 3.01 [2.88–3.37] | 0.121 |
| WBC | 7400 [6500–8800] | 9635 [7470–10,680] | 7840 [5590–14,010] | 10,460 [7165–13,405] | 0.548 |
| CRP | 8 [5.5–13] | 43.5 [1.75–79.25] | 32 [1–80] | 78 [24.5–118] | 0.548 |
| Creatinine | 0.99 [0.91–1.23] | 1.13 [0.83–1.64] | 1.41 [0.98–1.67] | 0.96 [0.77–1.92] | 0.800 |
| INR | 1.05 [0.96–1.21] | 1.08 [0.99–1.22] | 1.07 [0.99–1.26] | 1.13 [1.02–1.36] | 0.873 |
| Platelet count | 231,000 [176,500–252,000] | 220,500 [170,500–246,750] | 211,000 [185,000–239,000] | 196,000 [155,500–209,500] | 0.720 |
| CBD diameter, mm | 11 [10–12] | 14 [9.75–16] | 13 [11–15] | 10 [9.5–13] | 0.129 |
| Periampullary diverticulum, n (%) | 2 (13.3) | 7 (35.0) | 10 (47.6) | 5 (71.4) | 0.042 |
| Previous ERCP, n (%) | 2 (13.3) | 3 (15.0) | 2 (9.5) | 4 (57.1) | 0.058 |
| Tokyo severity I/II/III, n | 0/2/0 | 2/4/1 | 1/3/1 | 0/2/1 | 1.000 |
| Stone number 1/2/3/≥4, n | 5/9/1/0 | 8/8/4/0 | 5/11/4/1 | 4/3/0/0 | 0.671 |
| Largest stone diameter <10/10–15/>15 mm, n | 9/5/1 | 14/6/0 | 15/6/0 | 4/3/0 | 0.819 |
| Outcome | <80 y (n = 15) | 80–89 y (n = 20) | 90–99 y (n = 21) | ≥100 y (n = 7) | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete stone clearance at index ERCP, n (%) | 14 (93.3) | 18 (90.0) | 16 (76.2) | 5 (71.4) | 0.358 |
| Biliary stent placement, n (%) | 1 (6.7) | 2 (10.0) | 7 (33.3) | 3 (42.9) | 0.055 |
| Successful biliary drainage, n (%) | 15 (100.0) | 19 (95.0) | 20 (95.2) | 7 (100.0) | 1.000 |
| Procedure duration, min | 20 [20–20] | 20 [15–25] | 20 [20–25] | 20 [12.5–27.5] | 0.941 |
| Repeat ERCP, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 3 (14.3) | 2 (28.6) | 0.027 |
| Post-ERCP pancreatitis, n (%) | 0 | 2 (10.0) | 0 | 0 | 0.364 |
| Bleeding, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 1 (4.8) | 0 | 1.000 |
| Perforation, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Cardiopulmonary adverse event, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 1 (4.8) | 1 (14.3) | 0.266 |
| Any ERCP-related adverse event, n (%) | 0 | 2 (10.0) | 2 (9.5) | 1 (14.3) | 0.518 |
| Post-procedure ICU, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 2 (9.5) | 1 (14.3) | 0.193 |
| Length of stay, days | 3 [3–3] | 4 [4–5.25] | 5 [4–6] | 6 [5–7] | <0.001 |
| In-hospital mortality, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 30-day mortality, n (%) | 0 | 0 | 2 (9.5) | 1 (14.3) | 0.193 |
| Age | Tokyo Grade | CFS | Index Clearance/Stent/ Drainage | Post-ERCP ICU | Recorded 30-Day Cause |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101 y 2 m | II | 8 | No/Yes/Yes | No | Cerebrovascular event |
| 93 y 0 m | III | 8 | No/Yes/No | Yes | Unknown |
| 95 y 2 m | None documented | 7 | Yes/No/Yes | No | Pulmonary embolism |
| Outcome | CFS When Outcome Present | CFS When Outcome Absent | p Value | r_rb (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete stone clearance | 5 [4–6.5] | 6 [6–8] | 0.020 | −0.50 (−0.91 to −0.08) |
| Biliary stent placement | 6 [6–8] | 5 [4–6.25] | 0.030 | 0.42 (0.04 to 0.79) |
| Repeat ERCP | 7 [6–8] | 6 [4.5–6.5] | 0.050 | 0.53 (0.01 to 1.00) |
| Post-procedure ICU | 8 [8–8.5] | 6 [5–6] | 0.008 | 0.91 (0.24 to 1.00) |
| 30-day mortality | 8 [7.5–8] | 6 [5–6] | 0.030 | 0.75 (0.08 to 1.00) |
| Any ERCP-related adverse event | 5 [5–8] | 6 [5–7] | 0.891 | 0.04 (−0.49 to 0.57) |
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Basaran, M.; Kapan, M.; Kucuk, N.; Mammadov, E.; Kocal, H.U.; Koc, M.; Yalcin, M.S.; Ozseker, B. ERCP Beyond the Ninth Decade: Frailty, Treatment Strategy, and Outcomes in Octogenarians, Nonagenarians, and Centenarians. J. Gerontol. Geriatr. 2026, 74, 37. https://doi.org/10.3390/jgg74040037
Basaran M, Kapan M, Kucuk N, Mammadov E, Kocal HU, Koc M, Yalcin MS, Ozseker B. ERCP Beyond the Ninth Decade: Frailty, Treatment Strategy, and Outcomes in Octogenarians, Nonagenarians, and Centenarians. Journal of Gerontology and Geriatrics. 2026; 74(4):37. https://doi.org/10.3390/jgg74040037
Chicago/Turabian StyleBasaran, Murat, Mehmet Kapan, Nejla Kucuk, Etibar Mammadov, Hasan Utku Kocal, Mustafa Koc, Mehmet Suat Yalcin, and Burak Ozseker. 2026. "ERCP Beyond the Ninth Decade: Frailty, Treatment Strategy, and Outcomes in Octogenarians, Nonagenarians, and Centenarians" Journal of Gerontology and Geriatrics 74, no. 4: 37. https://doi.org/10.3390/jgg74040037
APA StyleBasaran, M., Kapan, M., Kucuk, N., Mammadov, E., Kocal, H. U., Koc, M., Yalcin, M. S., & Ozseker, B. (2026). ERCP Beyond the Ninth Decade: Frailty, Treatment Strategy, and Outcomes in Octogenarians, Nonagenarians, and Centenarians. Journal of Gerontology and Geriatrics, 74(4), 37. https://doi.org/10.3390/jgg74040037

