Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Surveillance Data
2.2. Meteorological Data
2.3. Statistics Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Data Description
3.2. Trend Analysis
3.3. Lagged-Time Poisson Regression Analysis
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Non-Epidemic Periods | Epidemic Periods | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time-Lag (Months) | Mean Temp. (°C) | Max. Temp. (°C) | Min. Temp. (°C) | Rainfall (mm) | RH (%) | Time-Lag (Months) | Mean Temp. (°C) | Max. Temp. (°C) | Min. Temp. (°C) | Rainfall (mm) | RH (%) |
Tainan | |||||||||||
0 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 4 × 10−5 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.09 | |
1 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.46 | 0.19 |
2 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.07 |
3 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.34 | 3 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.005 | 0.02 |
4 | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 0.17 | 4 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.17 |
5 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.20 | 5 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.03 | |||
6 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 6 | 0.01 | 0.0002 | 0.04 | ||||
Kaohsiung | |||||||||||
0 | 0.0027 | 0.01 | 1 × 10−5 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.0016 | 0.0002 | 0.004 | 0.04 | 0.0002 | |
1 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 1 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.001 | 0.02 |
2 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 2 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.16 |
3 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.51 | 0.47 | 3 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.55 | 0.35 |
4 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.28 | 4 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.28 | 0.30 |
5 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.40 | 5 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.61 | |||
6 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 6 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.40 |
Tainan | Non-Epidemic Periods | Tainan | Epidemic Periods | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
β | p | β | p | ||
Mini temp. (Lag 3) b | 0.1737 | *** | Mini temp. (Lag 4) | 0.2474 | ** |
Mean temp. (Lag 5) | 0.1041 | ** | Mini temp. (Lag 5) | −0.2164 | *** |
Max. temp. | 0.1396 | *** | Max. temp. (Lag 2) | 0.8400 | *** |
RH | 0.1099 | * | Max. temp. (Lag 3) | 0.8289 | *** |
RH (Lag 2) | −0.0699 | *** | RH | −0.0822 | *** |
Rainfall | −0.0928 | *** | RH (Lag 1) | 0.1360 | *** |
Rainfall (Lag 2) | 0.0542 | *** | RH (Lag 4) | −0.1221 | *** |
Rainfall (Lag 1) | 0.0335 | *** | |||
Rainfall (Lag 3) | −0.0404 | *** | |||
QICu | 63.17 | QICu | −8.49 × 10−3 | ||
Kaohsiung | Non-Epidemic Periods | Kaohsiung | Epidemic Periods | ||
β | p | β | p | ||
Mini temp. (Lag 1) | 0.6896 | *** | Mini temp. (Lag 5) | 0.3832 | *** |
Mini temp. (Lag 2) | −0.8118 | *** | RH (Lag 1) | −0.0723 | *** |
Mean temp. (Lag 1) | −0.7499 | *** | Rainfall (Lag 1) | 0.0127 | *** |
Mean temp. (Lag 2) | 2.6743 | *** | Rainfall (Lag 2) | 0.0139 | *** |
Mean temp. (Lag 4) | 0.1532 | * | |||
Mean temp. (Lag 5) | −0.1665 | ** | |||
Mean temp. (Lag 6) | 0.1678 | *** | |||
Max. temp. (Lag 2) | −1.8695 | *** | |||
Rainfall (Lag 3) | 0.0122 | * | |||
QICu | 69.24 | QICu | −3116.30 |
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You, S.-H.; Chen, S.-C.; Huang, Y.-H.; Tsai, H.-C. Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan. Trop. Med. Infect. Dis. 2022, 7, 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed7120408
You S-H, Chen S-C, Huang Y-H, Tsai H-C. Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease. 2022; 7(12):408. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed7120408
Chicago/Turabian StyleYou, Shu-Han, Szu-Chieh Chen, Yi-Han Huang, and Hsin-Chieh Tsai. 2022. "Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan" Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease 7, no. 12: 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed7120408
APA StyleYou, S. -H., Chen, S. -C., Huang, Y. -H., & Tsai, H. -C. (2022). Dengue Meteorological Determinants during Epidemic and Non-Epidemic Periods in Taiwan. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 7(12), 408. https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed7120408