1. Introduction
In recent years, the rapid development of urbanization coupled with a changing climate and more frequent intense rainstorms have led to an increase in urban flooding [
1]. Flooding is known to have a long-term negative impact on the development of society as a whole and social stability, mainly in terms of economic losses and casualties. In 2020, there has been a number of urban flooding incidents caused by heavy rainfall in China; according to the annual flood and drought report of the People’s Republic of China (PRC, 2020), the country experienced its worst flood since 1998, causing great losses. For example, a total of 21 floods occurred in major rivers, leading to a direct economic loss of 0.26% in the GDP (
$38.194 billion). The community is the main victim unit in urban flooding events and therefore, community flood resilience research is inextricably linked to urban flooding.
As global warming and human activities intensify, extreme rainfall events will become more frequent in the future, leading to the threat of more deaths and losses [
2]. As the most basic unit of a city and the first basic line of defense in disaster response, communities can be highly vulnerable and sensitive to such natural hazards. Strengthening the ability of communities to resist the impacts of flooding and improving awareness and understanding of disaster prevention and response are known to be keys to improved resilience. As such, in recent years, the ability of communities to become more resilient to flooding has become a focus of attention in both practice and in research [
3,
4,
5,
6,
7,
8].
Currently, there is no uniform definition of resilience in academia and different scholars have different focuses [
9]. Resilience initially refers to the ability of a metal to remain stable or return to its original state when subjected to an external impact. Holling first introduced resilience to the ecological and environmental fields in 1973, considering it as the ability of a system to detect and resolve external shocks in the event of a crisis, while maintaining its primary function [
10]. With the in-depth research of scholars, the applicable fields and connotations of resilience have been enriched. The current phase on resilience is dominated by three major areas: engineering resilience [
11], ecological resilience [
12] and socioecological system resilience [
13]. Resilience is increasingly being applied in the field of urban cities and has been the subject of much in-depth research by scholars in various countries. However, more recently, the research focus has gradually shifted from resilient cities to an emphasis on supporting the development of resilient communities. Hence, improving community resilience has become a core component of disaster risk development programs in recent years [
14].
There exists a range of resilience concepts proposed by scholars from the perspective of disaster prevention and mitigation. The concept of disaster resilience comprises the various measures and methods that people take to mitigate the damage caused by natural disasters in the process of their occurrence, with the aim of reducing or avoiding the damage caused by natural disasters. For example, in 1999, Mileti defined resilience as the ability of a region to withstand extreme natural events without devastating loss and destruction, while maintaining productivity and normal life, and without the need for substantial out-of-area assistance [
15]. Tobin identified resilience as a social organizational structure that minimizes the impact of disasters while being able to quickly restore socioeconomic viability [
16]. Godschalk et al. put forward the concept of a resilient city in 2002. They defined a resilient city as a sustainable physical system or human community capable of responding to extreme events, including the ability to survive and function under extreme stress [
17]. The U.S. Department of Homeland Security proposes that resilience is an asset, system or network that, in the event of a particular emergency, is capable of performing at set target functional levels and the ability to efficiently mitigate the degree and duration of damage to a system caused by a disaster (or emergency) [
18]. The UNISDR defines resilience as the ability of an exposed system, community or society to withstand, absorb, adapt and recover from hazards in a timely and efficient manner, including protecting and restoring its essential elements [
19]. In summary, while the definitions of scholars have their own focus, in this research, “resilience” is tentatively defined as the ability to resist risk and regain equilibrium in a short period of time following sudden external damage or threats.
Community resilience is the ability of a community to cope with and recover from an event such as a flood without relying entirely on external support so that the community can quickly return to a healthy state. Community resilience emphasizes the ability of communities to become more independent in coping with and recovering from disasters [
20]. When conducting research on resilient communities, community resilience is often analyzed by constructing a framework. For example, De Iuliis et al. applied the PEOPLES framework to hierarchize the impact indicators of community resilience when measuring and improving community resilience [
21]. Bruneau et al. proposed the 4R elastic resilience framework, a framework that defines quantitative measures of community resilience and contributes to research efforts to improve resilience [
22]. Zhang et al. proposed an improved conceptual framework for the analysis of community resilience that integrates the principles of building socioecological resilience and provides a step-by-step process for analyzing community resilience [
23]. Each of these frameworks has its own merits, but they are not sufficiently applicable to community flood resilience. Therefore, this paper identifies and validates the factors influencing community flood resilience by constructing a framework and applying the DEAMTEL-ISM and TOPSIS methods.
Moreover, scholars have developed a number of tools to facilitate conducting community resilience assessments. For example, Pfefferbaum et al. developed the Community Advancing Resilience Toolkit (CART), a driving tool for studying community resilience [
24]. Tan et al. used an indicator tool developed by FEMA to guide resilience-building initiatives and for managers to use to help build resilience in their communities [
25]. These tools contain many different types of indicators, such as those under the change potential dimension, and therefore are not applicable in this paper; there is a need to select the appropriate tool for the specific situation in practical application.
In order to enhance community flood resilience, scholars have conducted extensive research on flood resilience evaluation. Many studies calculate resilience by constructing an index evaluation system and then weighing the indicators. Moghadas et al. constructed an evaluation index system from six dimensions: social, economic, institutional, infrastructure, community capital and environment. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) models were used to prioritize and evaluate resilience in Tehran [
26]. Based on the three attributes of resistance, resilience and adaptability, Chen et al. established an evaluation index system for urban resilience in the context of storm water disasters, constructed a KL-TOPSIS comprehensive evaluation calculation model and evaluated the urban resilience of the city of Wuhan during different periods [
27]. Li Ya et al. constructed an evaluation index system of urban disaster resilience for the six aspects of economy, society, environment, community, infrastructure and organization and evaluated the resilience level of 288 prefecture-level cities in China. Through the reference literature and research findings, the four aspects of community capital, infrastructure, economic development and good disaster prevention and mitigation were selected to construct an index system that combines resilience evaluation and disaster prevention and mitigation to influence the judgment of key factors of community resilience to flooding.
Some scholars have also studied the occurrence process and action path of flood disasters [
28]. For example, Chen et al. summarized the research results of the characteristics, processes and mechanisms of social vulnerability by studying the relevant literature on social vulnerability and resilience of community flood disasters [
1]. Wu et al. evaluated and graded the flood disaster resilience of 76 cities in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in four stages: resistance, early warning, response and recovery [
29]. Unlike these scholars, this paper studies the usual state of community resilience to floods, not during the process of flood disasters, but during the resilience phase of community flood resilience. By identifying the key factors affecting community resilience to floods, this paper gives managers certain suggestions to prompt them to make adjustments to the community to improve community resilience to floods.
Many methods can be used to sort and prioritize indicators, including the AHP-fuzzy number method [
30], the DEMATEL method [
31] and the ISM method [
32]. Different methods have their own advantages; for example, the AHP-fuzzy number method can compare the index priority, but mainly relies on the use of experts to score indicators based on their experience and expertise and therefore, the results are to some extent subjective. The DEMATEL method can analyze the causal relationship and importance of indicators, but for interrelated multiple indicators, the internal action path cannot be clearly explained. In conclusion, all of these methods have shortcomings when used alone, so we chose to use a combination of the DEMATEL-ISM method, as well as the TOPSIS method. The key factors affecting community resilience to flooding were first identified and then validated by conducting an example analysis. Before using these methods, it was necessary to first establish a community structure and hierarchy model to resist urban floods. This study proposes a comprehensive evaluation model to enhance community resilience to urban floods, covering the following objectives:
- (i)
Determine an index of community resilience against urban flooding;
- (ii)
Establish a hierarchical structural model to analyze the internal interaction of indicators;
- (iii)
Determine the ability of each community to resist flooding and analyze the scores of different communities.
The rest of this article is structured as follows.
Section 2 introduces the new framework and quantitative methods, and then in
Section 3, the index system and related data analysis are described.
Section 4 presents the results of six case studies of communities in China. The discussion and conclusions are presented in
Section 5 and
Section 6, respectively.
6. Conclusions
This research has constructed a comprehensive model of community flood resilience. This has been developed following a detailed review of community flood resilience, based on an evaluation of the definitions of resilience and community resilience in the literature. The existing tools and frameworks have also been reviewed to assess their applicability, and based on their attributes, DEMATEL-ISM method and TOPSIS method were employed. Furthermore, the research has investigated the selection of indicators in four thematic areas, namely community capital, economic development, infrastructure and disaster prevention and mitigation. 15 indicators were identified around these thematic areas and used to construct an impact system of community flood resilience. The results from the DEMATEL-ISM method were then analyzed and subsequently validated to derive the underlying factors and the key factors found to affect community resilience to flooding. Then using the TOPSIS method, six communities in China were evaluated and ranked comprehensively, revealing that overall levels of community resilience were still at a relatively low level. The four dimensions were analyzed through the use of DEAMTEL-ISM method and TOPSIS method, while the indicators were classified in importance and the results were verified with each other. These findings are conducive to strengthening the sustainability of urban communities and provide useful scientific guidance for improving community resilience and in supporting strategic decision making in response to flooding.
Hence, this research has developed a comprehensive model of community flood resilience using a combination of both qualitative and quantitative methods. The impact of community flood resilience has been analyzed using the DEMATEL method, enabling the causal relationships between indicators, as well as the importance of indicators to be determined. Using the ISM method to classify the indicators, we further determined an improved understanding of the relationship between indicators. The TOPSIS method was then used to integrate a variety of risk indicators into a single overall score, which is convenient for the ranking of flood resilience.
Using this approach, and applying this to six communities in China, has enabled the following conclusions to be drawn:
- (1)
The DEMATEL-ISM method was used to analyze and study the relationship between each index. These results show that the indicators are divided into cause and result indicators, among which there are seven cause indicators and eight result indicators. According to the centrality of the index ranking, disaster relief ability is the most important, followed by disaster prevention education publicity and disaster prevention funds;
- (2)
The ISM method was used to divide the indicators into three levels and the directed graph was drawn to highlight the relationship between the layers. A sense of belonging, the age of the house and the place of public refuge were found to be the surface influencing factors. The investment in disaster prevention funds, disaster rescue ability and flood control and drainage ability were found to be the fundamental factors. The transition layer was found to include community relations, organizational activities, medical insurance coverage, medical service ability, income level, monitoring and early warning ability, community mutual assistance, convenient transportation ability, disaster prevention propaganda and education;
- (3)
An empirical study combined with the TOPSIS method were used to comprehensively evaluate and rank six communities: the Zhangjiawan community, the Chuanchai community, the Kangning community, the Caiyuan community, the Guanliu Community and the Peace Garden. The study found that the Zhangjiawan community, located in Wuhan City, had the highest levels of flood resilience and some of the management measures adopted in this community were highlighted as good practices. However, the overall level of community resilience was still found to be at a relatively low level. Further research is recommended to develop and improve the key indicators and to identify measures to improve overall community resilience.