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10 December 2025

Marine Lifecycle Carbon Footprint Toward Carbon Neutrality: Recent Progress and Prospects

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College of Power and Energy Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China
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School of Mechanical Engineering, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212100, China
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College of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Harbin Engineering University, Harbin 150001, China
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Division of Mechanical Design Engineering, Jeonbuk National University, Jeonju-si 54896, Republic of Korea
This article belongs to the Topic Marine Energy

Abstract

The problem of global climate change is becoming increasingly serious, drawing worldwide attention to the need for carbon emissions reduction. As a primary mode of transport, maritime shipping accounts for 2% of global carbon emissions. Therefore, researchers have turned their attention to marine carbon emissions. Specifically, lifecycle assessment (LCA) has attracted wide attention due to its comprehensiveness and objectivity. This article reviews alternate fuels like biodiesel, liquefied natural gas (LNG), methanol, ammonia, and hydrogen. These fuels generate fewer Tank-to-Wake (TTW) carbon emissions than conventional diesel but higher emissions in the Well-to-Tank (WTT) stage owing to production-related emissions, resulting in varying overall carbon footprints. Most carbon emissions in marine transportation come from fuel consumption. Selecting the shortest route can cut fuel use and emissions. Port greening and electrification are vital for emission cuts. Current marine LCA research exhibits key gaps, including fragmented case studies, a lack of methodological standardization, and insufficient dynamic predictive capacity, severely constraining its guiding value for industry decarbonization pathways. This study systematically reviews and categorizes marine LCA research from the past decade in both Chinese and English from the Web of Science and CNKI databases through a Ship-Route-Port framework. Specifically, 34 papers underwent quantitative or qualitative analysis, comprehensively comparing the full lifecycles of six mainstream marine alternative fuels: biodiesel, LNG, methanol, ammonia, hydrogen, and electricity. This study also underscores the need for unified standards to boost low-carbon fuel use and explores the unique challenges and uncertainties involved in applying LCA to the marine sector. LCA applied to the maritime sector shows promise as a valuable tool for guiding low-carbon transition strategies.

1. Introduction

The Earth is experiencing major warming-related climate shifts, and the various disasters events brought about by climate change have caused enormous losses and damage to people’s lives and property around the world [1]. Therefore, governments have elevated climate action to the highest national strategic priority. They are vigorously mitigating and adapting to climate change. Measures include setting carbon neutrality targets and promoting clean energy transition. The international community is also strengthening cooperation under the Paris Agreement and substantially scaling up Green Climate Fund investment. Countries are sharing responsibilities collectively to address this common crisis of human sustainability.
The greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions caused by human social production and life are the leading cause of global warming. Figure 1 shows that China, the United States, and India account for over 40% of global carbon emissions, with 25.1%, 11.4%, and 7.4%, respectively. The EU accounts for 6.3%, Russia for 5%, Brazil for 4.6%, and Japan for 2%, making these the main carbon-emitting countries. However, developed nations like Australia, Canada, Australia, and Britain make up relatively low percentages, with 1.5%, 1.1%, and 0.8%, respectively. Figure 2 shows the GHG emissions and per capita emissions of significant countries in 2022. The unit of GHG emissions in the figure is billions of tons, and the unit of per capita GHG emissions is tons per person. These diagrams illustrate that countries worldwide generate billions of tons of GHG emissions. Although China is the largest emitter of GHGs, its per capita carbon emissions are nearly half of those of America. Furthermore, developed countries such as Canada and Australia are the largest emitters of GHG emissions per capita in the world. Carbon emissions are a common global environmental problem, and solving this issue requires joint efforts from the entire world.
Figure 1. Proportions of GHG emissions in 2022. The data comes from Reference [2].
Figure 2. GHG emissions and per capita GHG emissions in 2022. Note: Measured as CO2 equivalent (CO2-eq). Non-CO2 GHGs are converted to CO2 equivalents by multiplying their emission quantities by the respective GWP values. The data comes from Reference [2].
With climate change gaining urgency, global cooperation to combat it is accelerating [3]. To address climate concern, the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was signed in 1992. The UNFCCC aims to keep GHG levels within a range that stops human disruption of the climate system [4]. In 1997, the Kyoto Protocol was passed to strengthen the implementation of the convention. It explicitly designates CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCS, PFCS, and SF6 as controlled global GHGs. It also encourages developed countries to transfer low-carbon energy and carbon reduction technologies to developing countries to obtain carbon reduction quotas and achieve their emission reduction goals and commitments [5]. The Paris Agreement established an international framework for climate action post-2020, ushering in a new era of global climate response [6]. The UNFCC process in details are shown in Table 1 [7].
Table 1. UNFCCC process.
As a significant carbon emitter and environmental protection country, the Chinese government set the goal of peaking carbon emissions by 2030 and achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. Figure 3 presents 2021 CO2 emissions across 30 Chinese provinces, with data from the Carbon Emission Accounts and Datasets (CEADs). Among all provinces in China, Shandong, Hebei, Jiangsu, Shanxi, and Guangdong account for as much as 32.5% of all emissions. Shandong has remained the top emitting province since 2003, representing about 9% of China’s total emissions as of 2021. Shandong and Hebei provinces have a relatively high concentration of heavy industry, with industries such as steel, building materials, petrochemicals, and electricity leading to high GHG emissions. As strong economic provinces in China, the economic level and developed industries of Jiangsu and Guangdong provinces are the reasons for their high carbon emissions. Shanxi province is a vital resource-rich province and energy base in China, and its energy extraction and conversion can generate a large amount of carbon emissions. If the above-mentioned advanced provinces can peak as soon as possible and list clear timelines and action plans in the 14th Five-Year Plan for local and specific industries, it will significantly contribute to achieving China’s Dual Carbon Strategy and mitigating global climate change.
Figure 3. CO2 emissions of 30 provinces in China, 2021 (Million tons). (Brown bars indicate the top five provinces in terms of CO2 emissions; blue bars indicate all other provinces). The data comes from the CEADs.
Oceans cover about 71% of the Earth’s surface, with coastal states claiming vast exclusive economic zones. International shipping accounts for over 85% of the world’s international trade transportation volume [8]. The International Maritime Organization (IMO) defined the “2023 IMO Strategy on Reduction of GHG Emissions from Ships”. The strategy points out that by 2030, the carbon dioxide emissions per unit of international shipping volume should be reduced by at least 40% compared to 2008, and the long-term goal of carbon neutrality should be achieved by 2050 [9]. Hence, quantifying oceanic carbon emissions becomes essential.
Governments and various sectors of society are paying increasing attention. Environmental legislation is gradually improving, and related research is deepening. People have begun to study the environmental issues of products throughout their entire lifecycle, as well as how to avoid and reduce environmental pollution in product design. Among these approaches, LCA is the most prominent and extensively applied method in current research. [10]. The concept of LCA was first brought up in the late 1960s, but the LCA method began to be widely promoted and applied in the late 1980s [11].
Driven by sustained policy backing, technological breakthroughs, and expanding market adoption, quantifying oceanic carbon footprints is gaining traction [12]. As methodologies advance and market demand grows, LCA is poised to become a cornerstone of global marine decarbonization efforts.
This study conducts a systematic literature review to assess the implications of applying LCA in marine environments. It also focuses on the marine carbon footprint, an approach that is extensively used in the maritime sector, and reviews the carbon footprint of different shipping routes and ports. The reviewed studies classify fuels based on their types, particularly alternative fuels, and analyze their carbon footprint.

2. Technology Introduction

2.1. Greenhouse Gas

Mitchell et al. [13] found that GHGs in the atmosphere can strongly absorb long-wave radiation from the Earth and emit more prolonged wavelength radiation towards the surface, providing insulation. Currently, the GHGs calculated by various countries mainly include the six GHGs specified in the Kyoto Protocol and the newly added NF3 in the Doha Amendment. The most internationally recognized among them are CO2, CH4, and N2O. Figure 4 shows the 2018–2022 proportions of primary GHG emissions. It shows that although CO2 is the largest source, CH4 and N2O are also driving factors of global warming. The proportions of GHG emissions have tended to stabilize.
Figure 4. Proportions of main GHG emissions, 2018–2022. Note: Measured in CO2-eq. The data comes from Reference [2].
In the context of global warming, increases in GHG content in the atmospheric environment will significantly impact surface energy balance and the global climate. Liu et al. [14] noted that due to the different radiation characteristics of each GHG, there are specific differences in the strength of the warming effect produced by the same quality of different categories of GHGs. In 1995, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) stated in outcome statements that GHGs other than carbon dioxide should be converted into carbon dioxide equivalents based on their 100-year Global Warming Potential (GWP) and provided a specific calculation method [15]. Ma [16] noted that, although the emissions of GHGs such as CH4, N2O, and SF6 are much lower than CO2, their potential to cause greenhouse effects is much greater than that of CO2 at the same mass. The GWP of common GHGs is given in the sixth assessment report of the IPCC, as shown in Table 2 [8]. It can be seen that the GWP of CH4 is 28 times higher than that of CO2, while N2O has a GWP that is 273 times higher than that of CO2.
Table 2. The GWP of common GHGs given is in the sixth assessment report of IPCC. Note: Values are based on 100 years.

2.2. Green Marine Fuel

Ding et al. [17] stated that, as international organizations and governments worldwide have continuously raised higher requirements for low-carbon environmental standards, marine fuel power has gradually developed towards a trend of cleanliness, low carbonization, zero carbonization, and diversification. Xu et al. [18] stated that the landscape of marine alternative fuels is structured around three categories. Biodiesel, derived from animal fats and vegetable oils, stands out for its high cetane rating and near-zero sulfur content. Low-carbon options, such as LNG and methanol, deliver substantial emissions reductions compared to conventional fuels. At the forefront are zero-carbon solutions, such as ammonia and hydrogen, which offer complete lifecycle decarbonization, positioning them as the ultimate clean energy pathways for sustainable maritime operations.
There has been a shift in vessels from dependence on heavy fuel oil to the utilization of alternative clean fuels. As this is not the main focus of the paper, only a brief introduction to several alternative fuels is provided. Table 3 shows the characteristics of five alternative fuels [19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28]. The technology of biodiesel is well-developed, but its price and output cannot meet the demands of the marine industry. LNG has high energy but a high price. Methanol has excellent characteristics, but its technology is still not perfect. Ammonia and hydrogen, as zero-carbon fuels, have no carbon emissions after combustion, but their preparation and transportation costs are very high. In recent years, marine fuels were mainly made from traditional fossil fuels. Nowadays, LNG and biodiesel are suitable transitional energy sources for reducing carbon emissions. As mature low-carbon energy types in the industry chain, they have relatively controllable costs, relatively complete refueling infrastructure, and certain emission reduction capabilities, making them more suitable for short-term carbon reduction tasks. Chen [29] reported that green methanol and green ammonia have greater advantages in the medium to long term, while ammonia as a zero-carbon fuel has a broader long-term prospect. In the near future, the production of green methanol may face bottlenecks, making it difficult to support the huge demand of the shipping industry alone. Walker et al. [30] stated that the utilization of hydrogen energy is an inevitable trend for global sustainable development in the future.
Table 3. Characteristics of five alternative fuels.

2.3. Carbon Emission

2.3.1. Definition of Carbon Emissions and Carbon Footprint

Academic consensus holds that carbon emissions (CEs) are the total carbon dioxide emitted into the atmosphere due to human activities or natural processes during a certain time and space [31]. Chen [7] stated in his article that carbon emissions are divided into direct and indirect emissions. Direct emissions are defined as carbon dioxide emissions coming directly from burned fossil fuels, biomass, or industrial processes. Indirect emissions are carbon dioxide emissions created indirectly due to the usage of energy services such as electricity, heat, and steam. To better quantify carbon emissions, William Rees introduced the “ecological footprint” concept in 1992 [32]. In 2013, the ISO formally defined the carbon footprint as the total CO2 emissions attributable to an individual, organization, product, or nation during a specified timeframe, encompassing both direct and indirect sources. The carbon footprint standards provide a framework for categorizing emissions as either direct or indirect, offering a systematic approach to disaggregate supply-chain carbon impacts [33]. As shown in Figure 5, carbon emissions are divided into three parts. Scope 1 includes direct carbon emissions from sources of GHGs, such as direct combustion of fuels, LNG leakage, and the production process of quicklime. Scope 2 includes indirect carbon emissions from energy sources in facilities that generate electricity, steam, and cooling or heating. Scope 3 also includes indirect carbon emissions, covering the energy lost across the raw-material and sales chains. Zhou [33] noted that carbon footprint standards classify emissions into “direct” and “indirect” categories, offering a unified framework for systematically disaggregating carbon impacts across the supply chain.
Figure 5. Infographic presenting three scopes of direct and indirect emissions.

2.3.2. Accounting Methods

In Ma’s [16] book, she further noted that “carbon emissions” are not limited to carbon dioxide alone but encompass all GHG emissions. There are four calculation methods for carbon accounting, as shown in Figure 6, which can be divided into two types, calculation methods and monitoring methods. The calculation methods include the emission factor method and the mass balance method. The monitoring methods include the continuous emission monitoring system (CEMS) and the atmospheric concentration monitoring and emission inversion method. The emission factor method, the mass balance method, and the CEMS calculate carbon emissions from the source of emissions, also known as the bottom-up approach. The atmospheric inversion method calculates carbon emissions from the atmosphere and is a top-down approach. The characteristics and applicable objects of the four accounting methods are shown in Table 4.
Figure 6. Carbon accounting method.
Table 4. Characteristics and applicable objects of the four accounting methods.
The emission factor method, developed by the IPCC of the United Nations, serves as a globally recognized approach for estimating GHG emissions. Its methodology hinges on multiplying activity data (AD), which represents the scale of human activities, by the corresponding emission factors (EFs), which quantify emissions or removals per unit of activity, thereby deriving total GHG outputs [16]. Specifically it is expressed as
CE = AD × EF
Dong et al. [34] stated that the mass-balance method quantifies the number of materials used in the production process in accordance with the law of conservation of mass.
The CEMS is a technique for sensing GHG flow and concentration at the GHG emission outlet or component connection outlet and automatically computing the carbon emissions using monitoring equipment. The atmospheric inversion method is based on atmospheric GHG concentration monitoring data, combined with atmospheric chemical transport models and assimilation inversion operations, to calculate carbon emissions and absorption [16]. Both methods directly measure the concentration of GHGs to detect carbon emissions.

2.4. Lifecycle and LCA

2.4.1. Marine Lifecycle

For the purpose of calculating emissions of an object and conducting research on it, it is necessary to study the entire lifecycle of the object. The lifecycle refers to the entire process of an object from its creation to its disposal. As a large and complex product, the marine lifecycle was divided by Mei [35] into the phases shown in Figure 7: process design, shipyard construction, offshore operations, shipyard maintenance, and dismantling and recycling. As shown in Figure 8, Fan et al. [36] divided the marine lifecycle into four parts: marine production and manufacturing, marine fuel transportation, marine operation, and marine scrapping and recycling. Both classification approaches effectively capture the complete marine lifecycle.
Figure 7. Marine lifecycle process.
Figure 8. The marine lifecycle mainly consists of four parts.
To simplify their study, Xu et al. [37] focused solely on the marine power system and divided its lifecycle into three stages: Engine Manufacturing (EM), WTT, and TTW, as shown in Figure 9. Nguyen et al. [38] showed that the WTT, also known as upstream, depicts the life phases that occur between the extraction of raw materials, fuel processing, and the supply chain to their ultimate arrival onboard. Fan et al. [39] reported that the TTW, also known as downstream, mainly includes carbon emissions generated during marine operations.
Figure 9. LCA for marine alternative fuel power systems. The figure was sourced from Reference [40].
Ait et al. [41] found that carbon emissions stem from the use of high-carbon fuels during maritime navigation. Fan et al. [39] similarly emphasized that marine carbon footprints arise not only from operation but also from construction, fuel production and transportation, fuel consumption, and eventual dismantling and recycling. Therefore, marine carbon emissions cannot be considered solely from the perspective of maritime navigation. Carbon emissions from marine fuel production and delivery cannot be overlooked.

2.4.2. LCA

In 1997, the ISO established the four fundamental steps of LCA as a globally unified framework, as shown in Figure 10 [42]. Goal and Scope Definition includes identifying the research objectives, research boundaries, functional units, and hypothetical conditions. This directly affects the accuracy of subsequent evaluation results. Inventory Analysis involves collecting, organizing, and analyzing relevant data within the research boundary. Impact Assessment is based on the results of Inventory Analysis. It conducts a quantitative assessment of the environmental impacts of products (or services). Result Interpretation explores potential ways to reduce environmental impacts and proposes corresponding improvement measures [43]. Aziz [44] reported that this method can cover the entire lifecycle of a product. This includes upstream activities, such as raw material mining, processing, and transportation, as well as downstream phases like sales, use, maintenance, and waste disposal. This prevents the transfer of environmental impacts between different lifecycle stages.
Figure 10. The LCA framework.
Fan et al. [39] showed that the LCA carbon footprint evaluation methods can be categorized into Process-Based LCA (P-LCA), Input–Output LCA (I-O LCA), and Hybrid LCA (H-LCA). Mei et al. [35] reported that the P-LCA is the most traditional and classic method of LCA. It is usually used to calculate the carbon footprint of specific products or services. It is commonly used for carbon footprint accounting at the micro level (specific products or services). For example, it can be used to account for the carbon emissions of green hydrogen production pathways in western China. However, Fan et al. [39] commented that due to the subjectivity in its boundary setting, the evaluation results may not be sufficiently accurate. The I-O LCA can comprehensively reflect the direct and indirect carbon emission relationships among various sectors. I-O LCA is applicable to carbon emission accounting for a country or a region [45]. For instance, it can be employed to quantify the full lifecycle carbon emissions of the Tianjin Port. Zhang et al. [46] reported that the I-O LCA can solve the problem of duplicate or omitted calculations caused by complex production relationships, and has high economic efficiency. This method is insufficient to calculate the marine lifecycle emissions [47]. Because I-O LCA cannot disaggregate marine type, fuel, route, and operating-condition differences. H-LCA combines the strengths of the two preceding accounting approaches. The H-LCA features a comprehensive boundary scope and can yield reliable results. It is well suited for accounting the full lifecycle carbon emissions of an individual vessel. However, this method requires substantial data support and complex calculations [48].
Overall, although different LCA methods have their advantages and disadvantages, they are still the most suitable for marine carbon footprint calculations [39]. This study will offer a detailed analysis and evidence based on the relevant literature over the past decade in the next section, focusing on the lifecycle carbon footprint assessment of ships, routes, and ports. This approach will facilitate the identification of disparities in marine carbon footprints among various alternative fuels and enable an in-depth examination of the underlying causes of these disparities.

4. Sensitivity Analysis and Challenges

4.1. Sensitivity Analysis

The research incorporates diverse data sources, such as vessel fuel consumption data, port operational data, and lifecycle emission data for various fuels. As shown in Table 6, the lifecycle emission assessment of different fuels in the WTT stage requires consideration of all stages from production through transportation to utilization. Data from any of these stages can impact the overall carbon footprint assessment, making this stage particularly susceptible to data deviations. In the TTW stage, carbon emissions from alternative fuels are typically calculated using parameters of diesel engines, thus necessitating the selection of appropriate parameters for accurate emission assessment. When conducting a carbon footprint assessment, certain assumptions are usually made to construct the model. Discrepancies between these assumptions and actual conditions may lead to deviations in the calculation results. When applying LCA to the marine sector, unique methodological challenges and uncertainties arise due to the complexity of marine operations, the diversity of fuel types, and the global scope of marine activities.
Table 6. Uncertainty analysis summary.
The current methods for calculating the carbon footprint of ships throughout their lifecycle are not standardized. The use of different calculation methods can lead to significant variations in results, which in turn makes it difficult to compare findings across different studies. There is a lack of accurate, comprehensive, and up-to-date data to support the determination of key parameters in the carbon footprint calculation of ships. These key parameters include data on the carbon emissions associated with shipbuilding materials and supporting equipment. Additionally, the selection of key factors influencing the carbon footprint of ships is not yet sufficient. Existing research has mainly focused on some common factors, but there has been less research on potential and complex interactive factors. There is also a lack of in-depth and systematic analysis on the long-term combined impact of economic, policy, technical, and market factors on the carbon footprint of ships. Characterized by its international dimension, the shipping industry’s carbon footprint reduction hinges on collaborative and coordinated efforts across nations. International organizations and governments worldwide are actively establishing carbon trading markets and implementing carbon taxes. These actions are instrumental in driving the development of unified standards and regulations for the calculation of marine carbon footprints, facilitating comparison and oversight among various entities.

4.2. Analysis of Marine Drive Systems

Current marine LCA research mainly focuses on fuel combustion emissions. However, the mechanical efficiency of drive systems is a critical yet often overlooked parameter affecting full lifecycle carbon footprints. Hydraulic drive systems are widely used in engineering vessels with complex load demands, such as dredgers and offshore support vessels. Their transmission losses can reach 15–20% of total energy consumption. These systems generate significant carbon emissions from idling operations under zero-load conditions. In contrast, electric drive systems can achieve over 90% energy conversion efficiency. This is far higher than the 35–45% efficiency of conventional mechanical transmission and internal combustion engine combinations. This efficiency difference directly impacts WTT stage emissions. Inefficient drive systems increase fuel demand per unit of propulsion work, thereby amplifying carbon footprints from fuel production. For hydrogen–electric hybrid vessels, LCA calculations must account for both fuel cell efficiency and motor losses. Otherwise, total carbon emissions will be underestimated.
Incorporating drive system selection into the marine LCA framework enhances assessment accuracy and supports refined policy design. Ignoring these mechanical-level impacts continuously widens the gap between LCA’s theoretical potential and real-world operational performance. This further exacerbates the core limitations identified in this review, namely research fragmentation and lack of methodological standardization.

4.3. Policy and Investment

LCA results quantify environmental hotspots in the ship lifecycle. This provides scientific evidence for maritime policy-making. This evidence drives the IMO to shift from voluntary guidelines to mandatory standards. Key examples include EEXI and CII. These standards directly penalize high-emission vessels. Shipowners can incorporate LCA-identified high-impact stages into regulatory frameworks. They can also establish green shipping finance rating systems based on full-lifecycle footprints. Following the SETAC pathway, policy designs incorporate incentive-compatible mechanisms. China provides CNY 1–3 million subsidies per ship for LNG or battery retrofits. The EU emissions trading system, with a carbon price of EUR 60–80 per ton of CO2, helps narrow the cost gap between fossil fuels and green methanol/ammonia. Dynamic assessment mechanisms should require shipping companies to regularly disclose LCA data through the IMO Data Collection System. This supports continuous auditing of policy effectiveness.
At the investment decision level, LCA results reshape traditional cost–benefit analysis frameworks. They internalize environmental externalities as quantifiable financial risks. Investors should adopt lifecycle cost assessment methods. These methods incorporate energy consumption costs during use, environmental compliance fees during maintenance, and waste disposal premiums at end-of-life into investment models. This avoids underestimating long-term returns from focusing only on initial purchase costs. Multi-criteria decision analysis can support fuel pathway selection. It constructs decision matrices covering environmental benefits, incremental investment costs, and policy compliance risks. Procurement contracts should embed EEXI/CII performance guarantee clauses. They should prioritize ships equipped with real-time AIS/CEMS monitoring systems. This will establish traceable accountability mechanisms and mitigate financial risks from increasingly stringent IMO decarbonization targets.
Future marine LCA should assess existing policies, analyzing their effectiveness and any issues that arise. Concurrently, collaborative research on marine carbon footprints should be conducted at both regional and global levels, examining the characteristics and differences of marine carbon footprints among various regions and exploring mechanisms for coordinated emission reductions and international cooperation models to jointly tackle the global climate change challenge.

5. Conclusions

This study conducted a comprehensive review of the pertinent literature to identify the carbon footprint of the marine lifecycle. The reviewed experimental and numerical study results were discussed, considering the methods of fuel production and transportation, as well as marine navigation routes. The LCA of available routes and ports was reported, and emission and parametric studies were discussed. The previous research concludes that while the same type of fuel prepared from different sources exhibits some similarities in combustion and emission characteristics, they generally generate different carbon footprints due to the discrepancy in preparation methods and transport processes. The main research goals and needs are summarized, and recommendations for future research pathways are provided below.
  • The TTW stage dominates emissions. Alternative fuels substantially reduce GHGs during this stage, yet exhibit higher upstream burdens. Green hydrogen or ammonia produced with renewable electricity is required to realize net savings.
  • LNG currently offers the most favorable carbon abatement cost among transitional fuels. Methanol, ammonia, and hydrogen are essential for 2050 carbon neutrality but remain constrained by production, transport emissions, and costs.
  • Ocean shipping generates the largest footprint. Within emission control areas, selecting the shortest compliant route decreases fuel use, saves energy, and improves transport efficiency.
  • Shore power coverage and electrification are critical for port-based mitigation. Coordinated port planning and expanded shore power infrastructure significantly reduce berthing emissions.
Future studies should embed policy evaluation into the LCA framework. The performance of EEXI and CII should be tracked in real time, quantifying how these instruments drive fleet renewal and green finance. A regional global database that harmonizes methane-slip factors, shore-power carbon intensities, and battery production emissions should be developed. This will support mutual recognition of carbon quotas and negotiations on green shipping corridors. LCA must connect to policy outcomes, grid decarbonization pathways, and real-time marine operational data. Only then can it shift from static accounting to a dynamic governance system that supports shipping’s 2050 carbon neutrality goals.

Author Contributions

Y.C.: Data curation, Investigation, Writing—original draft. D.L.: Validation. F.C.: Formal analysis. C.Z.: Visualization. L.L.: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition. H.L.: Conceptualization, Supervision. M.Y.: Methodology. J.G.: Resources. K.N.: Writing—review and editing. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This study was financially supported by the Heilongjiang Provincial Key R & D Program (Grant No. 2024ZX03B07), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (30720205GH0302 and 3072025CFJ0703), and the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20251000).

Data Availability Statement

No new data were created or analyzed in this study.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Abbreviations

ADActivity data
AISAutomatic identification system
CECarbon emission
CEADsCarbon emission accounts and datasets
CEMsContinuous emission monitoring system
CFBGCirculating fluidized bed gasifier
CIICarbon intensity indicator
CO2-eqCO2-eq CO2 equivalent
DMEDimethyl ether
DLCDalian
EEXIEnergy efficiency existing ship index
EFEmission factors
EMEngine manufacturing
EPAEnvironmental Protection Agency
E-TTsElectric tire transtainers
GHGGreenhouse gas
GWPGlobal warming potential
H-LCAHybrid LCA
IPCCIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IMOInternational Maritime Organization
IOSInternational Organization for Standardization
I-O LCAInput-output LCA
LCALifecycle assessment
LCCALifecycle cost assessment
LCVLower calorific value
LNGLiquefied natural gas
NMVOCNon-methane volatile organic compounds
P-LCAProcess-based LCA
QHDQinhuangdao
SETACSociety of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry
TRLTechnology readiness level
TTWTank-to-Wake
TTsTire transtainers
TSNTianjin
UCGUnderground coal gasification
UNFCCCUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
VLSFOVery low sulfur fuel oil
WEHWeihai
WTTWell-to-Tank
WTWWell-to-Wake
YIKYingkou
YNTYantai

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