DFPoLD: A Hard Disk Failure Prediction on Low-Quality Datasets ^†

Hard disk failure prediction is an important proactive maintenance method for storage systems. Recent years have seen significant progress in hard disk failure prediction using high-quality SMART datasets. However, in industrial applications, data loss often occurs during SMART data collection, transmission, and storage. Existing machine learning-based hard disk failure prediction models perform poorly on low-quality datasets. Therefore, this paper proposes a hard disk fault prediction technique based on low-quality datasets. Firstly, based on the original Backblaze dataset, we construct a low-quality dataset, Backblaze-, by simulating sector damage in actual scenarios and deleting 10% to 99% of the data. Time series features like the Absolute Sum of First Difference (ASFD) were introduced to amplify the differences between positive and negative samples and reduce the sensitivity of the model to SMART data loss. Considering the impact of different quality datasets on time window selection, we propose a time window selection formula that selects different time windows based on the proportion of data loss. It is found that the poorer the dataset quality, the longer the time window selection should be. The proposed model achieves a True Positive Rate (TPR) of 99.46%, AUC of 0.9971, and F1 score of 0.9871, with a False Positive Rate (FPR) under 0.04%, even with 80% data loss, maintaining performance close to that on the original dataset.