Abstract
The precise large deviations asymptotics for the sums of independent identical random variables when the distribution of the summand belongs to the class of heavy tailed distributions is studied. Under mild conditions, we extend the previous results from the paper Denisov et al. (2010) to asymptotics that are valid uniformly over some time interval. Finally, we apply the main result on the multi-risk model introduced by Wang and Wang (2007).
JEL Classification:
60F10; 60F05; 60G50
1. Introduction
In this paper, the precise large deviations for a random walk whose steps represent random variables with distribution F from a subclass of the subexponential class is studied. What that means is F has heavy tail and is regular enough in order to exist the limit
Hence, the most popular distributions with heavy tails belong to the class , among others Pareto, Burr, Cauchy, Lognormal and Weibull. The inclusion of the class in the class of subexponential distribution is proved proper, namely have been found subexponential distributions that do not belong to (see Denisov et al. (2004)).
The topic of large deviations of non-random sums has already been well studied. Overviews are given in Nagaev (1973), Cline and Hsing (1991), Nagaev (1979). More insight in the field for non-random sums can be found in Heyde (1967a), Heyde (1967b), Heyde (1968), Nagaev (1969a), Nagaev (1969b), Wang et al. (2006). A general treatment of large deviations for subexponential distributions was presented in Pinelis (1985). Other contributions on precise large deviations are Konstantinides and Loukissas (2010), Loukissas (2012), Wang and Wang (2012). Papers Klüppelberg and Mikosch (1997), Tang et al. (2001) are studying large deviations of random sums. A review on large deviations for random sums is given in Mikosch and Nagaev (1998) and Mikosch and Nagaev (2001).
In case of independent r.v.’s, the large deviation has been established in Paulauskas and Skučaitė (2003) and Skučaitė (2004). Due to its importance in applications (see for example Issaka and SenGupta (2017), Habtemicael and SenGupta (2014)) this issue became very popular recently. Recent contributions in the topic are found in Baltrunas et al. (2004), Borovkov and Mogulskii (2006), Hult et al. (2005), Jelenkovic and Momcilovic (2004), Konstantinides and Mikosc (2005), Ng et al. (2004), Tang (2006), Chen et al. (2011), Yang et al. (2012), Gao et al. (2018), Zhang and Cheng (2017), Yang and Sha (2016).
Let us denote by the sum of n independent identically distributed random variables , with common distribution F. In the principle of one big jump, we get the intuition that indicates in the case of heavy tails, the most probable way that the event happens. Namely, only one of the random variables becomes large while the others remain small. Asymptotically, as , we get , where by is denoted the tail of the distribution F.
The multi-risk model was firstly introduced in Wang and Wang (2007) and has arisen from the following construction: Let , be i.i.d. non-negative random variables with common distribution function and finite mean. Taking into account the notations
and
found in Wang and Wang (2007), we formulate the following result:
Let be i.i.d. non-negative random variables with common distribution function and finite mean for any and let , for any be a sequence of integers. Let us assume that , are mutually independent. If the distributions are consistently varying (, for the definition see below) for any then for any
holds, as , for any , uniformly for all .
2. Preliminary Concepts
In this paper some sequence of i.i.d. r.v.’s is considered, which represent claims in a risk model with common distribution function F and finite mean . Let us suppose that this sequence is independent from the integer counting process , representing the claim arrival process and denote by its mean value for any . We assume that , as . All limit relationships, unless otherwise stated, are for or .
Let us call a distribution function F as heavy-tailed distribution, if it has no exponential moments, that means . Next, we recall some useful facts from the following subclasses of heavy tailed distributions:
A distribution function F with support on belongs to if the following asymptotic relation holds
or equivalently
For such a distribution function F, it is said to have a consistently varying tail.
A distribution function F with support on belongs to , if the following asymptotic formulas are valid
For such a distribution function F, it is said to have a subexponential tail.
Let us denote by the subclass of the subexponential distributions, which contains distributions with finite mean and the next limit exists
This class was firstly introduced by Klüppelberg (1988).
A distribution function F with support on belongs to if the following asymptotic holds
In this case the distribution function F is said to have long tail. For any long tail distribution there exist an non-decreasing function such that as and the following asymptotic relation holds
as (see for example (Konstantinides 2017, Lemma 8.1)). It is well known the inclusions
Remark 1.
In (Foss et al. 2011, Lemma 2.19) was established the following assertion: For any long tailed distribution F we can find an increasing function such that , as , for which the following holds
as . Let us denote by the inverse function of l, which represents an increasing function and the limit relation , as , holds.
In case of distribution function with regularly varying tail, when , for some , a possible choice of the function l is . From (Denisov et al. 2008, Section 8) we obtain that for distribution with zero mean and finite variance, is possible the choice . Further information related with heavy-tailed distributions can be found in Embrecht et al. (1997), Borovkov and Borovkov (2008), Foss et al. (2011), Konstantinides (2017).
Let us remind the following notations: for two positive functions and we write
In the large deviations set-up, the asymptotic relation has the form:
and in the precise large deviations the corresponding asymptotic relation is the following:
Both relations, hold uniformly for any where represents some non-negative sequence that tends to infinity.
3. Main result
The crucial step in our approach, comes from the following result by (Deniso et al. 2010, Theorem 5). For the sake of convenience we refer its short proof.
Theorem 1.
Let be a non-negative independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables following the common distribution function with finite mean . Then the following asymptotic relation holds
as , uniformly for any .
Proof.
The uniformity in (3) is understood in the following sense
that means and there exists some such that, if the inequality
holds, or equivalently and there exists some , where denotes the integer part of , such that for any , the inequality
holds and so by the arbitrariness of the choice of we find
☐
Now, we can examine the asymptotic relation of precise large deviations for a distribution .
Theorem 2.
Let be a non-negative, independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables with common distribution function with finite mean . Then holds
uniformly for .
The precise large deviations refers to a random walk of the type
where the asymptotic relation of precise large deviations is formulated as
as , uniformly for , with representing a non-negative function, that tends to infinity.
Therefore, Let us consider the asymptotic relation (6) for random sums, when under the following conditions on :
- :
- : For any and for any the following asymptotic relation holds
Remark 2.
From Klüppelberg (1988) we see that Assumption permits the following equivalent formulation. There exists some positive function , with , such that
Theorem 3.
Let be a non-negative, independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables with common distribution function with finite mean . Let be a non-negative and integer valued counting process. We assume that and are mutually independent. If satisfies both assumptions and then the following asymptotic relation holds
as , uniformly for any .
Proof.
Let us use the decomposition, proposed in the proof of (Klüppelberg and Mikosch 1997, Theorem 3.1). We can state
Further, let us split the sum in three parts
Now, we can see that
Let us observe that , hence using relation (3) and (2) we obtain
so by Assumption and taking into account the Remark 2 it follows
as .
Next, we deal with term . Let us write
and by Assumption follows
since holds the inequality . Further by relation (3) we find
Thus, relation (1) implies
Similarly we find the upper bound
and Assumption implies
as . From relations (3) and (2) and for small enough we obtain the inequality and hence we find
Letting we get
as , for any .
At last, on
we apply Kesten’s inequality (see for example (Konstantinides 2017, Theorem 6.2)) for . For any there exists some constant such that
hence, we obtain
and by Assumption we get
as , uniformly for any
Remark 3.
Lemma 2.1 from Klüppelberg and Mikosch (1997) implies that the Poisson counting process satisfies both Assumptions and . Also, the renewal counting process satisfies both Assumptions and under certain condition.
4. The Multi-Risk Model
Recent works on the multi-risk model are found in Wang and Wang (2013), Liu (2010) and Wang et al. (2014). We examine these results for the case .
Theorem 4.
Let be i.i.d., non-negative random variables with common distribution function and finite mean , for . Let be a positive integer sequence and assume , are independent of . If for any then the asymptotic relation
holds, as , for , uniformly for all x satisfying the inequality .
Proof.
Let us employ mathematical induction: In case we can see:
and relations (4) and (1) imply the asymptotic relations
and
Further, through the strong law of large numbers we find
and
so we obtain the asymptotic inequalities
as , uniformly for all .
On the other hand for any fixed we find
with , and from relations (3) and we see that the distribution of the sum belongs to . Therefore we have
But now, we can note that the following equality
holds, since
and as , for all . Hence, we conclude
uniformly for all . Relations (13) and (14) show that (12) holds for .
Further, we show the corresponding asymptotic relation for the case of random sums. Let us recall the notation
and
Corollary 1.
Let , be i.i.d. non-negative random variables with common distribution function and finite mean . Let be a sequence of stochastic processes and assume that and are mutually independent. If and satisfy the assumptions and for all then holds
as , uniformly for any
Proof.
We establish relation (17) by using Theorem 3 and employing mathematical induction as was done in the Theorem 4. In case we see that
From relations (7) and (1) follows the asymptotics
and
Hence, by the strong law of large numbers for random sums we find that
and
So we obtain
as , uniformly for any . On the other hand, for any the following inequality holds
By relations (7) and (1) we find
as , uniformly for any . From (18) and (19) we get the required result (17) for the case . Next, we continue the induction following the same lines from the proof of Theorem 4. ☐
Acknowledgments
The author is grateful to F. Loukissas for numerous discussions and advices and to the referees for careful reading and several substantial comments.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflict of interest.
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