Factors Associated with the Odds, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism: A Population-Based Study in São Paulo City, Brazil
Highlights
- Cardiovascular diseases, type 2 diabetes, and tobacco use significantly increase both the odds and duration of sick leave.
- Meeting recommended levels of leisure-time physical activity is associated with lower indirect costs from health-related absenteeism.
- Public health strategies promoting physical activity and smoking cessation may reduce economic losses in productivity.
- Estimating indirect costs provides evidence to prioritize preventive interventions in middle-income countries, such as Brazil.
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design
2.2. Dataset
2.3. Variables
2.3.1. Outcome Variables
2.3.2. Variables of Interest
2.3.3. Variables of Control
- Demographic characteristics: age (discrete variable); skin color/ethnicity (1 = white/0 = black, brown, indigenous, yellow); marital status (1 = married or civil union/0 = single, divorced or widowed).
- Socioeconomic characteristics: per capita household income (used as a continuous variable solely for descriptive sample characterization, and categorized into low-, middle-, and high-income tertiles for the regression models); private health insurance (1 = yes/0 = no); university degree (1 = equal or higher than university/0 = lower than university).
- Survey characteristics: years of the ISA-Capital surveys (2003, 2008, or 2015).
2.4. Statistical Analysis
2.5. Ethical Aspects
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Analysis
3.2. Trends in Prevalence, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism
3.3. Factors Associated with the Odds and Duration of Health-Related Absenteeism
3.4. Factors Associated with Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| NCDs | Non-communicable disease |
| ISA-Capital | São Paulo Health Survey |
| GLM | Generalized linear model |
| ME | Average marginal effects |
| HBP | High blood pressure |
| T2D | Type 2 diabetes |
| CVD | Cardiovascular disease |
| IPCA | Broad consumer price index |
| IBGE | Brazilian institute of geography and statistics |
| PPP | Purchase power parity |
| WHO | World Health Organization |
| BMI | Body mass index |
| OR | Odds ratio |
| IRR | Incidence rate ratio |
| SE | Robust standard error |
| PA | Physical activity |
| PHI | Private health insurance |
| VIF | Variance inflation factor |
| HCA | Human Capital Approach |
| FCM | Friction Cost Method |
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| Variables | Categories | Weighted Mean | SE | Min | Max | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome variables | ||||||
| Absenteeism | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Duration of absenteeism | (discrete) | 1.76 | 0.20 | 0 | 365 | 6504 |
| Costs of absenteeism | (continuous $PPP) | 153.69 | 24.25 | 0 | 61,074.25 | 6504 |
| Variables of interest | ||||||
| Obesity | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| T2D | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| HBP | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.19 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| CVD | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Recommended leisure PA | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Sedentary behavior | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Smoking | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.36 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Control Variables | ||||||
| Per capita household income | (continuous $PPP) | 896.79 | 41.26 | 0.91 | 18,294.86 | 6504 |
| Low income | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Middle income | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.33 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| High income | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.35 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| PHI | (0 = no/1 = yes) | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Sex | (0 = male/1 = female) | 0.53 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Age | (discrete) | 40.86 | 0.29 | 16 | 95 | 6504 |
| Skin color/ethnicity | (0 = others/1 = white) | 0.60 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| University degree | (0 = others/1 ≥ university) | 0.25 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Marital status | (0 = alone/1 = married) | 0.55 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 6504 |
| Survey year | (2003; 2008; 2015) | 2009.14 | 0.14 | 2003 | 2015 | 6504 |
| Variables | 2003 | 2008 | 2015 | 2003–2015 | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 1654) | (n = 2081) | (n = 2769) | (n = 6504) | ||
| Low income | 40.74 | 29.65 | 27.2 | 31.98 | * |
| [36.24, 45.4] | [24.77, 35.03] | [24.24, 30.37] | [29.52, 34.54] | ||
| Middle income | 28.28 | 35.24 | 35.95 | 33.47 | * |
| [24.75, 32.1] | [31.02, 39.69] | [33.22, 38.77] | [31.39, 35.62] | ||
| High income | 30.98 | 35.12 | 36.85 | 34.55 | |
| [25.52, 37.02] | [28.3, 42.6] | [33.1, 40.77] | [31.36, 37.89] | ||
| PHI | 33.14 | 32.63 | 27.85 | 31.00 | |
| [28.99, 37.58] | [27.19, 38.59] | [24.62, 31.33] | [28.43, 33.69] | ||
| Sex | 51.91 | 53.29 | 52.48 | 52.58 | |
| [48.69, 55.12] | [51.04, 55.52] | [50.5, 54.44] | [51.18, 53.98] | ||
| Skin color/ethnicity | 67.51 | 62.23 | 51.01 | 59.59 | * |
| [63.57, 71.22] | [57.18, 67.03] | [47.27, 54.75] | [57.07, 62.07] | ||
| University degree | 24.42 | 23.25 | 26.69 | 24.87 | |
| [20.92, 28.29] | [18.56, 28.71] | [23.31, 30.37] | [22.56, 27.34] | ||
| Marital status | 52.42 | 55.15 | 57.11 | 55.08 | |
| [49.2, 55.61] | [52.11, 58.16] | [54.59, 59.6] | [53.39, 56.77] | ||
| Age categories | |||||
| ≥16 and <20 years | 11.1 | 7.69 | 6.76 | 8.34 | * |
| [9.89, 12.45] | [6.32, 9.32] | [5.93, 7.71] | [7.66, 9.08] | ||
| ≥20 and <40 years | 46.95 | 44.36 | 43.3 | 44.72 | |
| [43.9, 50.02] | [41.26, 47.5] | [40.94, 45.69] | [43.09, 46.36] | ||
| ≥40 and <60 years | 28.51 | 33.55 | 32.94 | 31.85 | * |
| [25.71, 31.49] | [31.17, 36.02] | [31, 34.93] | [30.47, 33.26] | ||
| ≥60 years | 13.44 | 14.4 | 17 | 15.09 | * |
| [11.8, 15.27] | [12.34, 16.74] | [15.08, 19.11] | [13.96, 16.3] |
| Variables | 2003 | 2008 | 2015 | 2003–2015 | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 1654) | (n = 2081) | (n = 2769) | (n = 6504) | ||
| Obesity | 10.47 | 13.13 | 20.33 | 15.04 | * |
| [8.291, 13.15] | [11.35, 15.15] | [18.64, 22.14] | [13.91, 16.24] | ||
| T2D | 3.98 | 5.78 | 7.34 | 5.83 | * |
| [3.04, 5.22] | [4.85, 6.87] | [6.37, 8.44] | [5.26, 6.47] | ||
| HBP | 14.23 | 19.83 | 21.59 | 18.85 | * |
| [12.08, 16.7] | [17.95, 21.85] | [19.91, 23.37] | [17.73, 20.03] | ||
| CVD | 3.13 | 4.94 | 8.64 | 5.79 | * |
| [2.15, 4.52] | [3.95, 6.15] | [7.42, 10.03] | [5.12, 6.53] | ||
| Recommended leisure PA | 23.74 | 24.23 | 22.06 | 23.28 | |
| [20.44, 27.38] | [22.06, 26.54] | [19.98, 24.29] | [21.81, 24.81] | ||
| Sedentary behavior | 32.03 | 30.51 | 30.68 | 31.02 | |
| [27.81, 36.55] | [26.55, 34.78] | [28.14, 33.34] | [28.94, 33.17] | ||
| Smoking | 37.58 | 38.07 | 31.84 | 35.61 | * |
| [34.75, 40.49] | [35.09, 41.15] | [29.62, 34.14] | [34.05, 37.19] |
| Variables | 2003 | 2008 | 2015 | 2003–2015 | p |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 1654) | (n = 2081) | (n = 2769) | (n = 6504) | ||
| Absenteeism a (≥1 day of absence) | 9.48 [7.89, 11.35] | 12.18 [10.61, 13.93] | 13.28 [11.83, 14.88] | 11.80 [10.89, 12.78] | * |
| Duration of absenteeism b (days of absence) | 2 [4] | 3 [5] | 7 [18] | 3 [9] | * |
| Costs of absenteeism b ($PPP) | 13.6 [55.16] | 17.43 [186.17] | 276.24 [1219.74] | 36.92 [216.79] | * |
| Variables | Categories | Logistic | Negative Binomial | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | SE | Sig. | 95% | CI | IRR | SE | Sig. | 95% | CI | ||
| Variables of interest | |||||||||||
| Obesity | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.221 | 0.153 | 0.953 | 1.563 | 1.127 | 0.310 | 0.655 | 1.938 | ||
| T2D | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.883 | 0.295 | *** | 1.383 | 2.563 | 2.290 | 0.871 | * | 1.082 | 4.843 |
| HBP | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.504 | 0.223 | ** | 1.123 | 2.014 | 1.842 | 0.533 | * | 1.042 | 3.254 |
| CVD | 1 = yes/0 = no | 2.744 | 0.709 | *** | 1.648 | 4.566 | 3.128 | 1.379 | * | 1.312 | 7.451 |
| Recommended leisure PA | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.946 | 0.109 | 0.753 | 1.186 | 0.802 | 0.161 | 0.539 | 1.191 | ||
| Sedentary behavior | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.083 | 0.122 | 0.867 | 1.353 | 0.946 | 0.188 | 0.639 | 1.398 | ||
| Smoking | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.296 | 0.115 | ** | 1.088 | 1.543 | 2.068 | 0.426 | *** | 1.379 | 3.102 |
| Control variables | |||||||||||
| Income | Ref. = lower income | ||||||||||
| Middle income | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.657 | 0.068 | *** | 0.535 | 0.804 | 0.495 | 0.121 | ** | 0.306 | 0.799 |
| High income | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.737 | 0.091 | * | 0.577 | 0.940 | 0.529 | 0.146 | * | 0.306 | 0.912 |
| PHI | 1 = yes/0 = no | 1.283 | 0.126 | * | 1.058 | 1.555 | 1.732 | 0.417 | * | 1.078 | 2.780 |
| Sex | 1 = female/0 = male | 1.442 | 0.127 | *** | 1.211 | 1.715 | 1.416 | 0.239 | * | 1.015 | 1.974 |
| Age | Years | 0.999 | 0.003 | 0.993 | 1.003 | 1.012 | 0.005 | * | 1.002 | 1.022 | |
| Skin color | 1 = white/0 = others | 0.993 | 0.101 | 0.813 | 1.211 | 1.082 | 0.213 | 0.733 | 1.594 | ||
| University degree | 1 ≥ university/0 = others | 0.832 | 0.126 | 0.617 | 1.121 | 0.588 | 0.142 | * | 0.365 | 0.944 | |
| Marital status | 1 = married/0 = alone | 0.861 | 0.082 | 0.714 | 1.037 | 0.715 | 0.158 | 0.461 | 1.105 | ||
| Year of survey | Ref. = 2003 | ||||||||||
| 2008 | 1 = 2008/0 = no | 1.319 | 0.165 | * | 1.030 | 1.689 | 1.295 | 0.269 | 0.859 | 1.950 | |
| 2015 | 1 = 2015/0 = no | 1.476 | 0.180 | ** | 1.160 | 1.878 | 7.214 | 1.766 | *** | 4.455 | 11.684 |
| Constant | 0.092 | 0.015 | *** | 0.066 | 0.126 | 0.310 | 0.098 | *** | 0.166 | 0.578 | |
| n | 6504 | 6504 | |||||||||
| Variables | Categories | Logit | GLM | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SE | Sig. | 95% | CI | β | SE | Sig. | 95% | CI | ||
| Variables of interest | |||||||||||
| Obesity | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.399 | 0.110 | *** | 0.183 | 0.615 | 0.131 | 0.229 | −0.321 | 0.582 | |
| T2D | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.328 | 0.133 | * | 0.065 | 0.590 | 0.418 | 0.311 | −0.195 | 1.030 | |
| HBP | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.343 | 0.121 | ** | 0.104 | 0.580 | 0.369 | 0.291 | −0.204 | 0.942 | |
| CVD | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.854 | 0.253 | ** | 0.356 | 1.351 | 0.092 | 0.316 | −0.530 | 0.714 | |
| Recommended leisure PA | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.107 | 0.092 | −0.073 | 0.287 | −0.503 | 0.191 | ** | −0.879 | −0.126 | |
| Sedentary behavior | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.142 | 0.091 | −0.037 | 0.320 | 0.169 | 0.155 | −0.136 | 0.474 | ||
| Smoking | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.061 | 0.072 | −0.080 | 0.203 | 0.551 | 0.184 | ** | 0.188 | 0.912 | |
| Control variables | |||||||||||
| Income | Ref. = lower income | ||||||||||
| Middle income | 1 = yes/0 = no | −0.496 | 0.098 | *** | −0.688 | −0.302 | 0.487 | 0.200 | * | 0.092 | 0.880 |
| High income | 1 = yes/0 = no | −0.512 | 0.111 | *** | −0.730 | −0.293 | 1.903 | 0.248 | *** | 1.413 | 2.392 |
| PHI | 1 = yes/0 = no | 0.166 | 0.097 | −0.025 | 0.357 | 0.439 | 0.186 | * | 0.072 | 0.806 | |
| Sex | 1 = female/0 = male | 0.199 | 0.072 | ** | 0.056 | 0.341 | 0.069 | 0.161 | −0.248 | 0.386 | |
| Age | Years | 0.014 | 0.002 | *** | 0.009 | 0.018 | 0.007 | 0.005 | −0.003 | 0.016 | |
| Skin color | 1 = white/0 = others | 0.030 | 0.085 | −0.137 | 0.197 | 0.263 | 0.183 | −0.097 | 0.624 | ||
| University degree | 1 ≥ university/0 = others | −0.050 | 0.130 | −0.306 | 0.207 | −0.368 | 0.243 | −0.846 | 0.110 | ||
| Marital status | 1 = married/0 = alone | −0.400 | 0.080 | −0.556 | −0.242 | 0.412 | 0.170 | * | 0.078 | 0.745 | |
| Year of survey | Ref. = 2003 | ||||||||||
| 2008 | 1 = 2008/0 = no | −0.001 | 0.105 | −0.210 | 0.207 | 0.384 | 0.206 | −0.021 | 0.791 | ||
| 2015 | 1 = 2015/0 = no | −1.390 | 0.144 | *** | −1.238 | −0.794 | 2.633 | 0.221 | *** | 2.196 | 3.069 |
| Constant | −1.390 | 0.145 | *** | −1.675 | −1.105 | 3.111 | 0.282 | *** | 2.556 | 3.665 | |
| n | 6504 | 6504 | |||||||||
| Variables | Categories | ME | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dy/dx | SE | Sig. | 95% | CI | ||
| Variables of interest | ||||||
| Obesity | 1 = yes/0 = no | 36.45 | 18.32 | * | 0.37 | 72.51 |
| T2D | 1 = yes/0 = no | 55.18 | 27.11 | * | 1.78 | 108.56 |
| HBP | 1 = yes/0 = no | 52.13 | 26.20 | * | 0.55 | 103.71 |
| CVD | 1 = yes/0 = no | 62.73 | 26.83 | * | 9.90 | 115.55 |
| Recommended leisure PA | 1 = yes/0 = no | −33.94 | 16.43 | * | −66.29 | −1.58 |
| Sedentary behavior | 1 = yes/0 = no | 22.89 | 13.36 | −3.41 | 49.19 | |
| Smoking | 1 = yes/0 = no | 48.68 | 16.82 | ** | 15.57 | 81.79 |
| Control variables | ||||||
| Income | Ref. = lower income | |||||
| Middle income | 1 = yes/0 = no | 4.89 | 9.75 | −14.31 | 24.09 | |
| High income | 1 = yes/0 = no | 162.50 | 41.58 | *** | 80.63 | 244.37 |
| PHI | 1 = yes/0 = no | 46.41 | 15.73 | ** | 15.43 | 77.39 |
| Sex | 1 = female/0 = male | 18.49 | 14.06 | −9.18 | 46.16 | |
| Age | Years | 1.45 | 0.43 | ** | 0.60 | 2.29 |
| Skin color | 1 = white/0 = others | 23.32 | 16.14 | −8.45 | 55.08 | |
| University degree | 1 ≥ university/0 = others | −33.06 | 21.01 | −74.42 | 8.30 | |
| Marital status | 1 = married/0 = alone | 7.59 | 15.14 | −22.22 | 37.40 | |
| Year of survey | Ref. = 2003 | |||||
| 2008 | 1 = 2008/0 = no | 16.70 | 9.10 | −1.21 | 34.63 | |
| 2015 | 1 = 2015/0 = no | 182.03 | 41.08 | *** | 101.13 | 262.92 |
| n | 6504 | |||||
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Trindade, L.A.I.; Pereira, J.L.; Rogero, M.M.; Fisberg, R.M.; Sarti, F.M. Factors Associated with the Odds, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism: A Population-Based Study in São Paulo City, Brazil. Healthcare 2026, 14, 1260. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14101260
Trindade LAI, Pereira JL, Rogero MM, Fisberg RM, Sarti FM. Factors Associated with the Odds, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism: A Population-Based Study in São Paulo City, Brazil. Healthcare. 2026; 14(10):1260. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14101260
Chicago/Turabian StyleTrindade, Lucas Akio Iza, Jaqueline Lopes Pereira, Marcelo Macedo Rogero, Regina Mara Fisberg, and Flavia Mori Sarti. 2026. "Factors Associated with the Odds, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism: A Population-Based Study in São Paulo City, Brazil" Healthcare 14, no. 10: 1260. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14101260
APA StyleTrindade, L. A. I., Pereira, J. L., Rogero, M. M., Fisberg, R. M., & Sarti, F. M. (2026). Factors Associated with the Odds, Duration, and Costs of Health-Related Absenteeism: A Population-Based Study in São Paulo City, Brazil. Healthcare, 14(10), 1260. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare14101260

