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Article

Novel Extension of DEMATEL Method by Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers and D Numbers for Management of Decision-Making Processes

1
Simplify Outsourcing d.o.o. Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
2
Faculty of Applied Management, Economics and Finance, University Business Academy in Novi Sad, Jevrejska 24, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
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Faculty of Information Technologies and Engineering, University Union-Nikola Tesla, Jurija Gagarina 149a, 11070 Belgrade, Serbia
4
Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, University of Kwazulu Natal, Durban 4041, South Africa
5
Department of Logistics, University of Defence in Belgrade, Pavla Jurisica Sturma 33, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
6
Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, University of East Sarajevo, Vojvode Mišića 52, 74000 Doboj, Bosnia and Herzegovina
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Mathematics 2020, 8(5), 812; https://doi.org/10.3390/math8050812
Submission received: 8 April 2020 / Revised: 10 May 2020 / Accepted: 14 May 2020 / Published: 17 May 2020
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Dynamics under Uncertainty: Modeling Simulation and Complexity)

Abstract

:
The decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) method is one of the most significant multi-criteria techniques for defining the relationships among criteria and for defining the weight coefficients of criteria. Since multi-criteria models are very often used in management and decision-making under conditions of uncertainty, the fuzzy DEMATEL model has been extended in this paper by D numbers (fuzzy DEMATEL-D). The aim of this research was to develop a multi-criteria methodology that enables the objective processing of fuzzy linguistic information in the pairwise comparison of criteria. This aim was achieved through the development of the fuzzy DEMATEL-D method. Combining D numbers with trapezoidal fuzzy linguistic variables (LVs) allows for the additional processing of uncertainties and ambiguities that exist in experts’ preferences when comparing criteria with each other. In addition, the fuzzy DEMATEL-D methodology has a unique reasoning algorithm that allows for the rational processing of uncertainties when using fuzzy linguistic expressions for pairwise comparisons of criteria. The fuzzy DEMATEL-D methodology provides an original uncertainty management framework that is rational and concise. In order to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology, a case study with the application of the proposed multi-criteria methodology is presented.

1. Introduction

A dynamic environment in which almost all scientific and professional fields operate requires the timely and precise management of processes, which involves decision-making at its each stage. The decisions are made on the basis of a number of inputs that are an integration of qualitative and quantitative criteria. If a certain number of experts with their different preferences in group decision-making are added, the problem is complicated in multiple ways. Therefore, it is necessary to take into account all possible uncertainties that arise in group decision-making in order to gain better and more accurate output. Certainly, an extremely important stage in a decision-making process is determining the significance of the criteria by which the most acceptable solution or ranking of solutions is defined in a further process of solving multi-criteria problems. Therefore, the aim of this paper was to develop a new methodology for determining the significance of criteria that takes aspects of uncertainty and diversity in decision-makers’ preferences into account. Accordingly, an extension of the fuzzy decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL) model is performed by D numbers (fuzzy DEMATEL-D), which is explained in detail in the following section. The DEMATEL method was developed by Gabus and Fontel [1], and it has thus far been widely applied in its basic or extended form, as confirmed in the study [2]. The authors carried out a comprehensive review of the literature published in a period of a decade in terms of developing various extensions of this method and its applications in different decision-making areas. Taking into account the evident wide application of this method and the need to adequately handle uncertain situations and determine the precise weights of criteria, fuzzy set theory is integrated with D numbers. In that way, an overall synergistic effect is achieved in decision-making processes.
Dempster–Shafer evidence theory [3,4] is an area of artificial intelligence because it processes and analyzes uncertainties and inaccuracies in information. It is also a convenient algorithm for reasoning in a dynamic and uncertain environment, which is recommended for use in expert systems. Since Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DST) allows for the processing of nonspecific, ambiguous, and juxtaposed information, numerous researchers favor DST over traditional approaches, such as Bayesian probability theory [5,6]. In addition to the benefits that DST possesses for solving various real-world problems, such as network problems [7], decision-making problems [8,9,10], and risk theory [11], there are also limitations to DST that represent a kind of barrier to its wider application for solving real-world problems. One of the most well-known limitations that restricts the wider practical application of DST is the exclusivity of elements when parsing elements of a subset [12,13]. This limitation is shown through the following example. Giving a diagnosis in medicine is a typical area that includes different types of uncertainties [12]. Say there is patient with the symptoms of fever, polypnea, and cough; taking into account the mentioned cases, they are likely caused by the flu (F), bacterial (B) infection, or an upper respiratory infection (U). There are two independent diagnostic reports that were submitted by two doctors. The first doctor made a diagnosis that the patient got F with a possibility of 0.7 and B or U with a possibility of 0.2. The reminder 0.1 possibility is for an unknown diagnosis: m 1 ( F ) = 0.7 ;   m 1 ( B , U ) = 0.2   and   m 1 ( F , B , U ) = 0.1 . The second doctor made a diagnosis which showed: m 2 ( F ) = 0.5 ;   m 2 ( B ) = 0.3   and   m 2 ( F , B , U ) = 0.2 . The questions is: What disease does the patient have? The DST in this scenario would show following results: m (B) = 0.1304; m (B, U) = 0.058, and m (F, B, U) = 0.0290. It can be seen that there is an invisible hypothesis that the possibility of the unknown is equal to that of {F, B, U}. Based on the presented results, it can be concluded that the set of all diseases, which are manifested through the considered symptoms, can be presented as a set {F, B, U}. However, the set {F, B, U} contains only three types of diseases that are considered in this example. Obviously, this unseen hypothesis is not reasonable. Such a problem cannot be addressed by applying DST (Figure 1a) because DST implies the exclusivity of the elements, in our case being diagnosed diseases. This problem can be successfully eliminated by D numbers [12,13]. After the application of D numbers, D (F) = 0.6147 and D (B) = 0.1054 are obtained. The result shows that the patient having the flu is the highest probability. In comparison to DST, in the D numbers theory, the unknown is inherited during the reasoning.
D numbers, as a reliable and effective expression of uncertain information (and according to Xiao [14]), are good at handling these types of uncertainties. Deng and Jiang [15] developed a decision-making model to solve the adversarial problem under uncertainty with D numbers. Their model integrated fuzzy set theory, game theory, and D number theory (DNT). The same authors in [16] showed the advantages of using D numbers in green supply chain management in a fuzzy environment.
Overcoming the problem was recognized by Zhou et al. [17], who performed an integration of crisp DEMATEL and D numbers to identify the critical success factors (CSFs) in emergency management. The same method was applied in [18] for the risk identification and analysis of an energy power system. The advantages of the D-DEMATEL method are reflected when simultaneously considering ambiguities and subjectivity, which is impossible with classical approaches, as stated by Zhou et al. [17]. By developing an extension of the DEMATEL method with trapezoidal fuzzy numbers (TrFN) and D numbers in this paper, uncertainties are considered at a higher level with input parameters manifested through output functions.
In addition to the needs and aims presented in the introduction, the paper is has several other sections. Section 2 presents the preliminaries that outline the basics of D numbers and fuzzy theory. Section 3 is an extension of TrFN DEMATEL with D numbers, while Section 4 shows the application of the developed methodology with a specific example. Section 5 summarizes the contributions of the paper, with an overview of further research related to this paper.

2. Background

2.1. D Numbers

D numbers represent an extension of DST with the aim to present more effectively uncertainties in the information being processed. As shown in Figure 1b, D numbers do not require the exclusivity of the elements of a set, which significantly broadens the domain of the practical application of D numbers.
Definition 1
([12]). Let ϒ be a finite nonempty set, and a D number is a mapping that D : ϒ [ 0 , 1 ] , with:
A ϒ D ( A ) 1   a n d   D ( ) = 0
where ∅ is an empty set and A is any subset of ϒ . As stated in the previous section of the paper, the theory of D numbers does not require the elements of a set ϒ to be mutually exclusive. The information presented by D numbers is called complete information if the condition of A ϒ D ( A ) = 1 is filled. If A ϒ D ( A ) < 1 , the information is incomplete.
If ϒ is a discrete set of elements ϒ = { b 1 , b 2 , , b i , b j , , b n } , where b i R and b i b j (when i j ), then we can express D numbers by:
D ( b 1 ) = v 1 ,   D ( b 2 ) = v 2 ,     D ( b i ) = v i ,   D ( b j ) = v j ,     D ( b n ) = v n .
in addition to expressing D numbers using Equation (2), there is another simplified way to express D numbers: D = { ( b 1 , v 1 ) , ( b 2 , v 2 ) ( b i , v i ) , ( b j , v j ) ( b n , v n ) } . This presentation also satisfies the condition that v i > 0 and i = 1 n v i 1 .
Definition 2
([12]). Let two D numbers D 1 = { ( b 1 , v 1 ) , , ( b i , v i ) , , ( b n , v n ) } and D 2 = { ( b n , v n ) , , ( b i , v i ) , , ( b 1 , v 1 ) } ( b i , v i ) , ( b j , v j ) ( b n , v n ) } be given. Then, we can define the rule for the combination of D numbers D = D 1 D 2 as follows:
{ D ( ) = 0 D ( B ) = 1 1 K D B 1 B 2 = B D 1 ( B 1 ) D 2 ( B 2 ) , B w i t h K D = 1 Q 1 Q 2 B 1 B 2 = D 1 ( B 1 ) D 2 ( B 2 ) Q 1 = B 1 Θ D 1 ( B 1 ) Q 2 = B 2 Θ D 2 ( B 2 )
Rule (3) is a generalization of Dempster’s rule [8]. If D1 and D2 are defined in the frame of discernment and if Q 1 = 1 and Q 2 = 1 , then the rule of combining D numbers (Rule (3)) is transformed into Dempster’s rule. Rule (3) of numbers is an algorithm for the combination and fusion of uncertain information presented in D numbers.
For a discrete D number D = { ( b 1 , v 1 ) , ( b 2 , v 2 ) ( b i , v i ) , ( b j , v j ) ( b n , v n ) } , we can define the integration operator as follows:
I ( D ) = i = 1 n d i v i
where d i R + , v i > 0 i i = 1 n v i 1 .

2.2. Fuzzy Set Theory

Fuzzy set theory is widely used to model uncertainties [19,20,21,22,23]. In some decision-making models, qualitative assessments are given in natural language. These linguistic variables (LVs) can be presented by linguistic expressions [24,25,26].
Definition 3.
Let X crisp be a universe of generic elements containing a fuzzy set A ˜ as a subset. For each element, let x X be a number μ A ˜ ( x ) [ 0 , 1 ] ; then, we can call the number the grade of membership of x in A ˜ [27].
Definition 4.
A fuzzy set A ˜ of the universe of discourse X is convex if and only if for every element, x 1 , x 2 X , thus implying that:
μ A ˜ ( λ x 1 + ( 1 λ ) x 2 ) min ( μ A ˜ ( x 1 ) , μ A ˜ ( x 2 ) )
where λ [ 0 , 1 ] .
Definition 5.
The trapezoidal fuzzy number A ˜ can be defined as A ˜ = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 ) , as shown in Figure 2.
μ A ˜ ( x ) = { x a 1 a 2 a 1 a 1 x a 2 1 a 2 x a 3 a 4 x a 3 a 4 a 3 x a 4 0 o t h e r w i s e
The concept of an LV is very appropriate in activities where the processing of complex or poorly defined information that cannot be well described by traditional quantitative formulations is needed. The LVs are expressed by words, sentences, or artificial languages. Each linguistic value can be presented by a fuzzy set [28]. Linguistic modelling permits experts to express themselves by labels belonging to a specific linguistic label set [29]. In this paper, experts’ preferences, according to different criteria, were considered as linguistic variables. LVs can be expressed by positive TrFN, shown in Table 1, as was the case in our study.
Basic arithmetic operations with TrFN A ˜ 1 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 ) and A ˜ 2 = ( b 1 , b 2 , b 3 , b 4 ) are presented in the next section [30,31]:
(1)
Addition:
A ˜ 1 A ˜ 2 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 1 ) + ( b 1 , b 2 , b 3 , b 4 ) = ( a 1 + b 1 , a 2 + b 2 , a 3 + b 3 , a 4 + b 4 )
(2)
Multiplication:
A ˜ 1 A ˜ 2 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 1 ) ( b 1 , b 2 , b 3 , b 4 ) = ( a 1 × b 1 , a 2 × b 2 , a 3 × b 3 , a 4 × b 4 )
(3)
Subtraction:
A ˜ 1 A ˜ 2 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 1 ) ( b 1 , b 2 , b 3 , b 4 ) = ( a 1 b 4 , a 2 b 3 , a 3 b 2 , a 4 b 1 )
(4)
Division:
A ˜ 1 ÷ A ˜ 2 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 1 ) ÷ ( b 1 , b 2 , b 3 , b 4 ) = ( a 1 ÷ b 4 , a 2 ÷ b 3 , a 3 ÷ b 2 , a 4 ÷ b 1 )
(5)
Reciprocal values:
A ˜ 1 1 = ( a 1 , a 2 , a 3 , a 4 ) 1 = ( 1 a 4 , 1 a 3 , 1 a 2 , 1 a 1 )

3. TrFN DEMATEL-D Methodology

Due to the imprecision and subjectivity evident in group decision-making, an extension of the fuzzy DEMATEL methodology was made using D numbers. The use of D numbers makes it possible to: (1) take the uncertainties that exist in experts’ comparisons of criteria into account and (2) define the intervals of fuzzy linguistic expressions on the basis of uncertainties and inaccuracies that exist in experts’ judgment. Numerous multi-criteria models imply the introduction of fuzzy numbers to express the uncertainties that exist in group decision-making [32,33,34,35,36,37]. The introduction of D numbers makes it possible to take additional uncertainties that arise when selecting fuzzy linguistic variables from a predefined set into account. In addition to fuzzy linguistic variables, D numbers introduce the probability of choosing a fuzzy linguistic variable, thus increasing the objectivity and quality of existing data in group decision-making. Since it is a new extension of the fuzzy DEMATEL methodology by D numbers, the following section details the algorithm which includes six steps:
Step 1: Experts’ analysis of factors: Suppose that there are m experts divided into two homogeneous expert groups EG1 and EG2, and there are n criteria considered in a comparison matrix. Let the fuzzy linguistic variables used to compare the criteria be expressed by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers l = { l b , b = 1 , 2 , , t } , where t represents the total number of fuzzy linguistic variables.
Each expert group defines the degree of influence of the criterion i on the criterion j. The comparative analysis of the pair of ith and jth criterion by the expert group is denoted by the D number
D i j 1 = { ( l i j ( 1 ) 1 , v i j ( 1 ) 1 ) , , ( l i j ( i ) 1 , v i j ( i ) 1 ) , , ( l i j ( t ) 1 , v i j ( t ) 1 ) }   and   D i j 2 = { ( l i j ( 1 ) 2 , v i j ( 1 ) 2 ) , , ( l i j ( i ) 2 , v i j ( i ) 2 ) , , ( l i j ( t ) 2 , v i j ( t ) 2 ) } ,
where D i j 1 and D i j 2 represent the D numbers used to express the preferences of EG1 and EG2, respectively, and t represents the number of fuzzy linguistic variables used to compare the criteria. As a result of the comparison, two nonnegative matrices of rank n×n are obtained, and each element of the matrix X 1 = [ D i j 1 ] n × n and X 2 = [ D i j 2 ] n × n represents a D number. The diagonal elements of the matrices X 1 and X 2 have a value of zero because the same factors have no effect. Thus, we can get one matrix X 1 = [ D i j 1 ] n × n and X 2 = [ D i j 2 ] n × n for each expert group.
Step 2: Forming a single fuzzy direct-relation matrix X ˜ : The transformation of D matrices into a single matrix of fuzzy linguistic values is carried out through three phases.
Phase 1: In the first phase, the uncertainties presented in the initial experts’ preferences are fused. Accordingly, applying the rules for the combination of D numbers D i j = D i j 1 D i j 2 , (Equation (3)), the analysis and synthesis of the data provided by D numbers in expert matrices X 1 = [ D i j 1 ] n × n and X 2 = [ D i j 2 ] n × n are performed.
Phase 2: After implementing the rules for the combination of D numbers, the uncertainties presented at the intersection of fuzzy linguistic variables (FLVs) (Figure 3) are transformed into unique fuzzy linguistic variables.
We can define FLVs as the term-set L = { l b | b = ( 0 , , B ) } , where l b is an FLV presented in D i j 1 and D i j 2 . Each term l b is presented as trapezoidal fuzzy number z ˜ , i.e., z ˜ = ( z ( l ) , z ( m 1 ) , z ( m 2 ) , z ( u ) ) , where z ( m 1 ) and z ( m 2 ) represent the middle points of the trapezoidal fuzzy number (TrFN), and z ( l ) and z ( u ) are the lower and upper limits, respectively, of the fuzzy interval.
FLV transformation is performed on the basis of the ratio of the surfaces located at the intersection S i , i + 1 and the corresponding area of the FLVs.
D F L V T ( H i ) = D ( H i ) + D ( H i , H i + 1 ) S i , i + 1 S i S i , i + 1 S i + S i , i + 1 S i + 1
D F L V T ( H i + 1 ) = D ( H i + 1 ) + D ( H i , H i + 1 ) S i , i + 1 S i + 1 S i , i + 1 S i + S i , i + 1 S i + 1
where S i , i + 1 represents the intersection between the linguistic variable l i and the linguistic variable l i + 1 , while S i and S i + 1 represent the area of the linguistic variable l i and l i + 1 , respectively.
After the FLV transformation, we can obtain a single D matrix X = [ D i j ] n × n .
Phase 3: The elements of the D matrix X = [ D i j ] n × n are transformed into a single fuzzy direct-relation matrix X ˜ = [ x ˜ i j ] n × n , where x ˜ i j = ( x i j 1 , x i j 2 , x i j 3 , x i j 4 ) represents the elements of the matrix X ˜ expressed by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. The elements of the matrix X ˜ = [ x ˜ i j ] n × n are obtained by applying the operator of integration of D numbers (Equation (4)), i.e., x ˜ i j = i = 1 e l i v i , where e represents the number of FLVs contained in the D number.
Step 3: Computing the elements of a normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix: After forming a single fuzzy direct-relation matrix X ˜ = [ x ˜ i j ] n × n by applying Equations (16) and (17), we can obtain the elements of the normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix (Equation (15)).
N = [ 0 d ˜ 12 d ˜ 1 n d ˜ 21 0 d ˜ 2 n d ˜ n 1 d ˜ n 2 0 ]
where d ˜ i j = ( d i j L , d i j M , d i j U ) represents the normalized values of the matrix X ˜ = [ x ˜ i j ] n × n , which are obtained by applying Equations (16) and (17):
d ˜ i j = x ˜ i j s ˜ = ( x i j 1 s 4 , x i j 2 s 3 , x i j 3 s 2 , x i j 4 s 1 )
s ˜ = max ( j = 1 n x ˜ i j ) = max ( j = 1 n x i j 1 , j = 1 n x i j 2 , j = 1 n x i j 3 , j = 1 n x i j 4 ) = ( max ( j = 1 n x i j 1 ) , max ( j = 1 n x i j 2 ) , max ( j = 1 n x i j 3 ) , max ( j = 1 n x i j 4 ) )
Step 4: Determining the fuzzy number-based total relation matrices: By applying Equations (18)–(20), we can obtain a total influence matrix T = [ t ˜ i j ] n × n , where I is an n × n identity matrix. Since the matrix N = [ d ˜ i j ] n × n is presented by trapezoidal fuzzy numbers, we can form four submatrices N = ( N 1 , N 2 , N 3 , N 4 ) , where N 1 = [ d i j 1 ] n × n , N 2 = [ d i j 2 ] n × n , N 3 = [ d i j 3 ] n × n , and N 4 = [ d i j 4 ] n × n . In addition, lim m ( N 1 ) m = O , lim m ( N 2 ) m = O , lim m ( N 3 ) m = O , and lim m ( N 4 ) m = O , where O represents the zero matrix.
lim m ( I + N 1 + N 1 2 + + N 1 m ) = ( I N 1 ) 1 lim m ( I + N 2 + N 2 2 + + N 2 m ) = ( I N 2 ) 1 lim m ( I + N 3 + N 3 2 + + N 3 m ) = ( I N 3 ) 1 a n d lim m ( I + N 4 + N 4 2 + + N 4 m ) = ( I N 4 ) 1 }
The total relation fuzzy matrix T is obtained by computing each of the sub-elements:
T 1 = lim m ( I + N 1 + N 1 2 + + N 1 m ) = ( I N 1 ) 1 = [ t i j 1 ] n × n T 2 = lim m ( I + N 2 + N 2 2 + + N 2 m ) = ( I N 2 ) 1 = [ t i j 2 ] n × n T 3 = lim m ( I + N 3 + N 3 2 + + N 3 m ) = ( I N 3 ) 1 = [ t i j 3 ] n × n a n d T 4 = lim m ( I + N 4 + N 4 2 + + N 4 m ) = ( I N 4 ) 1 = [ t i j 4 ] n × n }
where N 1 = [ d i j 1 ] n × n , N 2 = [ d i j 2 ] n × n , N 3 = [ d i j 3 ] n × n , and N 4 = [ d i j 4 ] n × n . Submatrices T 1 , T 2 , T 3 , and T 4 form the single fuzzy total relation matrix T = ( T 1 ,   T 2 ,   T 3 ,   T 4 ) , which is presented as follows:
T = [ t ˜ 11 t ˜ 12 t ˜ 1 n t ˜ 21 t ˜ 22 t ˜ 2 n t ˜ n 1 t ˜ n 2 t ˜ n n ] n × n
where t ˜ i j = ( t ˜ i j 1 , t ˜ i j 2 , t ˜ i j 3 , t ˜ i j 4 ) is the total assessment of experts’ effect for each criterion i and criterion j, thus expressing their mutual influence and dependence.
Step 5: Computing the sum of rows and columns of the total relation matrix: Presented by vectors R and C of rank n × 1, Equations (21) and (22) are:
R = [ j = 1 n t ˜ i j ] n × 1 = [ ( j = 1 n t i j 1 , j = 1 n t i j 2 , j = 1 n t i j 3 , j = 1 n t i j 4 ) ] n × 1
C = [ i = 1 n t ˜ i j ] 1 × n = [ ( i = 1 n t i j 1 , i = 1 n t i j 2 , i = 1 n t i j 3 , i = 1 n t i j 4 ) ] 1 × n
The value Ri represents the sum of the ith raw of the matrix T. The determined value presents the total direct and indirect effects that the criterion i provides for the other criteria. Meanwhile, the value of Ci represents the sum of the jth column of the matrix T and shows the effects that the criterion j receives from the other criteria [37].
Step 6. Determining the weight coefficients of the criterion ( w j ): This is achieved via Equation (23):
W ˜ j = ( R ˜ i + C ˜ i ) 2 + ( R ˜ i C ˜ i ) 2
where the values R ˜ i + C ˜ i and R ˜ i C ˜ i are obtained using Equations (24) and (25):
R ˜ i + C ˜ i = ( j = 1 n t i j 1 + i = 1 n t i j 1 , j = 1 n t i j 2 + i = 1 n t i j 2 , j = 1 n t i j 3 + i = 1 n t i j 3 , j = 1 n t i j 4 + i = 1 n t i j 4 )
R ˜ i C ˜ i = ( j = 1 n t i j 1 i = 1 n t i j 1 , j = 1 n t i j 2 i = 1 n t i j 2 , j = 1 n t i j 3 i = 1 n t i j 3 , j = 1 n t i j 4 i = 1 n t i j 4 )
The normalization of the weight coefficients is carried out by Equation (26):
w j = W ˜ j j = 1 n W ˜ j
where n is the number of criteria and w ˜ j is the fuzzy values of the criteria weight. The values of the criteria weight are in the interval w ˜ j = ( w j 1 , w j 2 , w j 3 , w j 4 ) , where the condition 0 w j 1 w j 2 w j 3 w j 4 1 is fulfilled for each evaluation criterion. However, the requirement that the sum of the weight coefficients of the criteria be generally equal to one must be fulfilled. Since these are fuzzy coefficients of criteria, using Equation (26) allows for the obtainment of the weight coefficients for which 0 j = 1 n w j 1 j = 1 n w j 2 j = 1 n w j 3 1 and j = 1 n w j 4 1 . This fulfills the condition that the criteria weight are in the interval w j [ 0 , 1 ] , ( j = 1 , 2 , , n ) .

4. Application of TrFN D-DEMATEL Method

This section describes the application of the TrFN D-DEMATEL method for determining the quality of logistics services in order to obtain an adequate insight into the management processes of the service provider. The research by Prentkovskis et al. [38] was used to test the methodology presented. The dimensions that affect the measurement of logistics service quality were taken from the study [38], and they were evaluated using the TrFN D-DEMATEL methodology. There were five defined dimensions: reliability (C1), assurance (C2), tangibles (C3), empathy (C4), and responsiveness (C5). The study involved six experts who evaluated the dimensions. A detailed description of applying the TrFN D-DEMATEL methodology is presented in the following section.
Step 1: Experts’ analysis of factors.
Six experts participated in the study, and they were divided into two homogenous expert groups: EG1 and EG2. Expert groups expressed their preferences when comparing dimensions using a nine-degree fuzzy linguistic scale; see Table 1. Each expert group defined the mutual degree of influence of the criteria by D numbers; see Table 2.
Table 2 shows the experts’ comparisons of dimensions using D numbers, where the D number D1 represents the experts’ preferences of the EG1 expert group and D2 represents the experts’ preferences of the EG2 expert group.
Step 2: Forming a single fuzzy direct-relation matrix.
Phase I: In order to obtain aggregated experts’ preferences, a fusion of the uncertainties expressed in the group experts’ preferences D1 and D2 is performed. For the uncertainty fusion, the rule for the combination of D numbers D i j = D i j 1 D i j 2 (Equation (3)) is used. Thus, an aggregated D matrix of experts’ preferences is obtained; see Table 3.
In order to clarify the application of the rules for combining D numbers, the following section shows the application of the rules for the combination of D numbers for position C2−C1 in the experts’ analysis of dimensions (Table 2).
Based on the data in Table 2, for position C2–C1, we can distinguish two D numbers that represent the experts’ preferences of homogeneous expert groups: D1 = {(VH,0.2), (VH;EH,0.35), (EH,0.4)} (where VH is ‘very high’ and EH is ‘extremely high’) and D2 = {(VH,0.25), (VH;EH,0.45), (EH,0.1)}. Table 4 provides an analysis of the data on D numbers whose combination was considered, D = D C 2 C 1 1 D C 2 C 1 2 .
By applying Equation (4), we can calculate the relationships defined by the rule for the combination of D numbers.
K D = 1 Q 1 Q 2 ( D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( EH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ) ) = 0.158
Q 1 = D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ; EH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( EH ) = 0.2 + 0.35 + 0.4 = 0.95
Q 2 = D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ) + D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ; EH ) + D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ) = 0.25 + 0.45 + 0.1 = 0.80
Thus, we can obtain:
D C 2 C 1 ( VH ) = 1 1 K D ( D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ; EH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ; EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ) ) = 0.270
D C 2 C 1 ( VH ; EH ) = 1 1 K D ( D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ; EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ; EH ) ) = 0.187
D C 2 C 1 ( EH ) = 1 1 K D ( D C 2 C 1 1 ( VH ; EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( EH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( VH ; EH ) + D C 2 C 1 1 ( EH ) D C 2 C 1 2 ( EH ) ) = 0.303
Phase II: After applying the rule for the combination of D numbers, we can obtain a D number located between the fuzzy linguistic variables VH and EH, and so it is necessary to transform the uncertainty found between the fuzzy variables VH and EH into unique FLVs. The transformation of uncertainty is performed by applying Equations (13) and (14). The following section presents the procedure for the transformation of uncertainty between the fuzzy variables VH and EH. A graphical display of the fuzzy linguistic variables VH and EH is given in Figure 4.
The transformation of FLVs is performed on the basis of the ratio of the surfaces located at the intersection S VH , EH and the area that covers the fuzzy variables VH and EH, i.e., S VH , EH = 0.5 × 2 × 1 = 1.00 and S EH = 0.5 × 3 × 1 = 1.50 . Using Equations (13) and (14), we can obtain finite values of D numbers for the fuzzy variables VH and EH:
D C 2 C 1 ( VH ) = 0.270 + 0.187 1 / 2 1 / 2 + 1.5 / 2 = 0.350 D C 2 C 1 ( EH ) = 0.303 + 0.187 1 / 1.5 1 / 2 + 1.5 / 2 = 0.410
D B 1 ( MH ) = 0.461 + 0.154 1.125 / 2 1.125 / 2 + 1.125 / 2 = 0.538
Thus, we can obtain D number DC2−C1 = {(VH,0.350), (EH,0.410)} which is in the first position C2−C1. The remaining values of the aggregated D matrix of experts’ preferences are obtained in a similar way (Table 3).
Phase III: Using Equation (4), the values of the aggregated D matrix of experts’ preferences are integrated into the corresponding fuzzy values; see Table 5. By this procedure, the uncertainties expressed by D numbers are transformed into unique trapezoidal fuzzy numbers.
Using Equations (4), (7), and (8), the element C2−C1 of the single fuzzy direct-relation matrix (Table 5) is obtained as follows:
x ˜ 21 = 0.350 ( 7 , 8 , 9 , 10 ) + 0.410 ( 8 , 9 , 10 , 10 ) = ( 5.73 , 6.49 , 7.25 , 7.60 )
Similarly, we can obtain the remaining elements of the single fuzzy direct-relation matrix (Table 5).
Steps 3 and 4: Computing the elements of the normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix and total fuzzy influence matrix.
By applying Equations (16) and (17), we can obtain the elements of the normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix; see Table 6.
In the next step, by using Equations (18)–(20), we can obtain the total influence matrix T = [ t ˜ i j ] 5 × 5 ; see Table 7.
Steps 5 and 6: Computing the sum of rows and columns of the fuzzy total relation matrix and determining the optimal values of the weight coefficients of dimensions.
The optimal values of the weight coefficients of dimensions are defined on the basis of the total direct/indirect effects that the criterion i provides for other criteria (Ri) and the total direct/indirect effects that the criterion j receives from other criteria (Ci). The values of Ri and Ci are obtained by using Equations (21) and (22). After calculating the values of Ri and Ci (Table 8), we can obtain the optimal values of the dimensions by using Equations (23)–(26).
The final values of the weight coefficients of the dimensions are: reliability (w1 = 0.226), assurance (w2 = 0.211), tangibles (w3 = 0.213), empathy (w4 = 0.160), and responsiveness (w5 = 0.190). Based on presented results, we can define the final ranking as C1 > C3 > C2 > C5 > C4.
Compared to crisp DEMATEL, the proposed method has two main advantages. The first advantage of proposed model is the elimination of disadvantage in the DST where the elements in the frame of discernment are required to be independent. While both evidence DEMATEL [39] and DEMATEL-D can decrease the subjectivity of expert preferences, the DST is not very applicable for the presentation of linguistic estimates in conditions where it is required that the elements within the distinction must be mutually exclusive. As shown In Figure 1a, the variables must have boundaries in DST. However, it was found that this demand is difficult to be satisfied for LVs such as “F”, “B”, and “U”. As shown in Figure 1b, the D numbers theory overcomes this poorness and permit overlap between LVs, which makes it more applicable for linguistic assessments. Furthermore, in DST, the sum of basic probability assignment must present the complete information, i.e., the sum of probability must be 1. However, in the D numbers theory, the information can be incomplete, which is more practical and realistic.
The second advantage of proposed DEMATEL-D model is related to reducing experts subjectivity. Even though both fuzzy DEMATEL [40] and the TrFN DEMATEL consider fuzziness, the developed method is more objective than fuzzy DEMATEL because it can reduce the impact of expert subjectivity by fusing group opinions.
The precedence of the D numbers theory is the ability to integrate group information. Therefore, in order to perform the verification and validity of the developed method, this study computed the result in each expert group and compared the opinions of these two expert groups with the final result, as shown in Table 8. In these three cases (the first group, the second group, and the aggregated values), C1 was the most significant element but the ranking of the other elements was quite various, thus showing that the final rank was sensitive to the knowledge of experts. Consequently, the need for the integration of expert information in various fields using the D numbers theory has been shown.
The D numbers theory is used to fuse the expert preferences in decision-making processes. Therefore, it is reasonable to expect the aggregate values to be close to the values represented by the expert preferences. The final values of the criteria obtained using the DEMATEL-D model in this study were between the results that have been proposed through expert evaluations. This shows us that the proposed model respects the uncertainties that exist in group decision-making and that the model gives results that are valid and reasonable.

5. Conclusions

In this paper, the fuzzy DEMATEL methodology was expanded by D numbers to overcome uncertainties and subjectivities that are inevitable in group decision-making processes, especially with numerous decision-makers. The integration of fuzzy DEMATEL with D numbers allows for the consideration of uncertainties that exist in experts’ comparisons of criteria, and that the intervals of fuzzy linguistic expressions are defined based on the uncertainties and imprecision that exist in experts’ judgment. The introduction of D numbers makes it possible to take the additional uncertainties that arise when selecting fuzzy linguistic variables from a predefined set into account. D numbers, in addition to fuzzy linguistic variables, introduce the probability of choosing a fuzzy linguistic variable, thus increasing the objectivity and quality of existing data in group decision-making. This can be proven, for example, by determining the quality of logistics services in order to obtain an adequate insight into the management processes. Considering that this is a new extension of the fuzzy DEMATEL method by D numbers, which was demonstrated on a real study, it can be concluded that there is a justification for the development of the presented methodology. Future research may be based on the greater application of MCDM methods and D numbers. In addition, it is possible to integrate rough numbers with D numbers, which could provide a more comprehensive concept for managing decision-making processes.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, I.P. and Ž.S.; methodology, I.P.; D.P., and Ž.S.; validation, S.D. and D.K.D.; writing—original draft preparation, D.P and O.M.; writing—review and editing, D.K.D. and S.D.; supervision, Ž.S. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

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Figure 1. The frame of discernment in Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DST) and in D numbers.
Figure 1. The frame of discernment in Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (DST) and in D numbers.
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Figure 2. Trapezoidal number membership function.
Figure 2. Trapezoidal number membership function.
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Figure 3. Fuzzy linguistic variables.
Figure 3. Fuzzy linguistic variables.
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Figure 4. Fuzzy linguistic variables VH (very high) and EH (extremely high).
Figure 4. Fuzzy linguistic variables VH (very high) and EH (extremely high).
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Table 1. Linguistic variables.
Table 1. Linguistic variables.
Linguistic VariablesTrapezoidal Fuzzy Number
Extremely low (EL)(0, 1, 2, 3)
Very low (VL)(1, 2, 3, 4)
Low (L)(2, 3, 4, 5)
Medium low (ML)(3, 4, 5, 6)
Medium (M)(4, 5, 6, 7)
Medium high (MH)(5, 6, 7, 8)
High (H)(6, 7, 8, 9)
Very high (VH)(7, 8, 9, 10)
Extremely high (EH)(8, 9, 10, 10)
Table 2. Experts’ analysis of dimensions.
Table 2. Experts’ analysis of dimensions.
Dim.C1C2
C1D1 = {(0,0.00)};D1 = {(H,0.3),(H;VH,0.25),(H,0.4)};
D2 = {(0,0.00)}D2 = {(VH,0.3),(VH;EH,0.4),(EH,0.3)}
C2D1 = {(VH,0.2),(VH;EH,0.35),(EH,0.4)}; D1 = {(0,0.00)};
D2 = {(VH,0.25),(VH;EH,0.45),(EH,0.1)}D2 = {(0,0.00)}
C3D1 = {(L,0.2),(ML,0.6),(M,0.15)}; D1 = {(ML,0.2),(ML;M,0.2),(M,0.55)};
D2 = {(ML,0.35),(ML;M,0.45)}D2 = {(ML;M,0.3),(M,0.3),(M;MH,0.4)}
C4D1 = {(EL,0.4),(EL;VL,0.3),(VL,0.3)};D1 = {(EL,0.4),(EL;VL,0.4),(VL,0.1)};
D2 = {(EL;VL,0.25),(VL,0.35),(VL;L,0.35)}D2 = {(EL;VL,0.5),(VL,0.25),(L,0.2)}
C5D1 = {(EL,0.25),(VL,0.55),(VL;L,0.15)};D1= {(L,0.4),(ML,0.25),(ML;M,0.35)};
D2 = {(EL,0.2),(EL;VL,0.5),(VL,0.25)}D2 = {(ML,0.3),(ML;M,0.35),(M,0.3)}
C3C4
C1D1 = {(H,0.4),(VH,0.3),(VH;EH,0.3)}D1 = {(MH;H,0.3),(H,0.6),(VH,0.1)}
D2 = {(VH,0.3),(VH;EH,0.3),(EH,0.4)}D2 = {(M,0.3),(MH,0.45),(H,0.25)}
C2D1 = {(MH,0.3),(MH;H,0.35),(H,0.3)}D1 = {(VH,0.3),(VH;EH,0.4),(EH,0.25)}
D2 = {(MH,0.45),(H,0.45)}D2 = {(VH,0.3),(EH,0.4),(H,0.15)}
C3D1 = {(0,0.00)};D1 = {(MH,0.6),(MH;H,0.2),(H,0.2)}
D2 = {(0,0.00)}D2 = {(M,0.25),(MH,0.35),(H,0.4)}
C4D1 = {(L,0.1),(ML,0.55),(M,0.3)}; D1 = {(0,0.00)};
D2 = {(VL,0.35),(L,0.45),(ML,0.2)}D2 = {(0,0.00)}
C5D1 = {(MH,0.3),(H,0.25),(H;VH,0.45)}; D1 = {(ML,0.2),(ML;M,0.35),(M,0.4)};
D2 = {(H,0.3),(H;VH,0.25),(VH,0.45)}D2 = {(ML,0.25),(ML;M,0.3),(M,0.4)}
C5
C1D1 = {(VH,0.5),(VH;EH,0.1),(EH,0.35)};
D2 = {(VH,0.35),(VH;EH,0.2),(EH,0.45)}
C2D1 = {(MH,0.1),(MH;H,0.3),(H,0.4),(VH,0.15)};
D2 = {(MH;H,0.35),(H,0.25),(VH,0.3)}
C3D1 = {(MH,0.15),(MH;H,0.2),(H,0.55)};
D2 = {(MH,0.25),(MH;H,0.35),(H,0.35)}
C4D1 = {(EL,0.4),(EL;VL,0.4),(VL,0.2)};
D2 = {(EL,0.25),(EL;VL,0.35),(VL,0.3)}
C5D1 = {(0,0.00)};
D2 = {(0,0.00)}
Table 3. Aggregated D matrix of experts’ preferences.
Table 3. Aggregated D matrix of experts’ preferences.
Dim.C1C2
C1D = {(0,0.00)}D = {(VH,0.95)}
C2D = {(VH,0.27),(VH;EH,0.19),(EH,0.3)}D = {(0,0.00)}
C3D = {(ML,0.67),(M,0.09)}D = {(ML,0.07),(ML;M5,0.07),(M,0.72)}
C4D = {(EL,0.14),(EL;L,0.11),(2,0.7)}D = {(EL,0.3),(EL;L,0.3),(L,0.26)}
C5D = {(EL,0.23),(VL,0.68)}D = {(ML,0.51),(ML;M,0.24),(M,0.2)}
C3C4
C1D = {(VH,0.56),(VH;EH,0.19),(EH,0.25)}D = {(MH,0.38),(H,0.63)}
C2D = {(MH,0.43),(H,0.43)}D = {(VH,0.36),(EH,0.45)}
C3D = {(0,0.00)}D = {(MH,0.64),(H,0.36)}
C4D = {(L,0.28),(ML,0.67)}D = {(0,0.00)}
C5D = {(H,0.46),(H;VH,0.19),(VH,0.34)}D = {(ML,0.25),(ML;M,0.13),(M,0.52)}
C5
C1D = {(VH,0.49),(VH;EH,0.03),(EH,0.43)}
C2D = {(MH,0.06),(MH;H,0.18),(H,0.54),(VH,0.08)}
C3D = {(MH,0.18),(MH;H,0.09),(H,0.59)}
C4D = {(EL,0.42),(EL;VL,0.17),(VL,0.31)}
C5D = {(0,0.00)}
Table 4. Intersection table to combine D C 2 C 1 1 and D C 2 C 1 2 .
Table 4. Intersection table to combine D C 2 C 1 1 and D C 2 C 1 2 .
D = D C 2 C 1 1 D C 2 C 1 2 DC2−C12(VH) = 0.25DC2−C12(VH;EH) = 0.45DC2−C12(EH) = 0.1
DC2−C11(VH) = 0.2{VH} (0.05){VH} (0.09)Ø (0.02)
DC2−C11(VH;EH) = 0.35{VH} (0.0875){VH;EH} (0.1575){EH} (0.035)
DC2−C11(EH) = 0.4Ø (0.1){EH} (0.18){EH} (0.04)
Table 5. Single fuzzy direct-relation matrix.
Table 5. Single fuzzy direct-relation matrix.
Dim.C1C2C3
C1(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(6.65, 7.6, 8.55, 9.5)(7.36, 8.36, 9.36, 10)
C2(5.73, 6.49, 7.25, 7.6)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(4.7, 5.56, 6.41, 7.27)
C3(2.37, 3.13, 3.89, 4.65)(3.32, 4.18, 5.03, 5.89)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)
C4(0.76, 1.71, 2.66, 3.61)(0.41, 1.26, 2.12, 2.97)(2.57, 3.52, 4.47, 5.42)
C5(0.68, 1.58, 2.48, 3.38)(3.17, 4.12, 5.07, 6.02)(6.44, 7.44, 8.44, 9.44)
C4C5
C1(5.63, 6.63, 7.63, 8.63)(7.36, 8.31, 9.26, 9.5)
C2(6.1, 6.91, 7.71, 8.08)(5.06, 5.91, 6.77, 7.62)
C3(5.36, 6.36, 7.36, 8.36)(4.91, 5.76, 6.62, 7.47)
C4(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(0.39, 1.29, 2.19, 3.09)
C5(3.3, 4.2, 5.1, 6.01)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)
Table 6. Normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix.
Table 6. Normalized fuzzy direct-relation matrix.
Dim.C1C2C3
C1(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(0.25, 0.25, 0.25, 0.25)(0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.27)
C2(0.21, 0.21, 0.21, 0.20)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(0.17, 0.18, 0.18, 0.19)
C3(0.09, 0.10, 0.11, 0.12)(0.12, 0.14, 0.14, 0.16)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)
C4(0.03, 0.06, 0.08, 0.10)(0.02, 0.04, 0.06, 0.08)(0.10, 0.11, 0.13, 0.14)
C5(0.03, 0.05, 0.07, 0.09)(0.12, 0.13, 0.15, 0.16)(0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.25)
C4C5
C1(0.21, 0.21, 0.22, 0.23)(0.27, 0.27, 0.27, 0.25)
C2(0.23, 0.22, 0.22, 0.21)(0.19, 0.19, 0.19, 0.20)
C3(0.20, 0.21, 0.21, 0.22)(0.18, 0.19, 0.19, 0.20)
C4(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)(0.01, 0.04, 0.06, 0.08)
C5(0.12, 0.14, 0.15, 0.16)(0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00)
Table 7. Total fuzzy influence matrix.
Table 7. Total fuzzy influence matrix.
Dim.C1C2C3
C1(0.16, 0.22, 0.28, 0.35)(0.42, 0.48, 0.54, 0.62)(0.56, 0.62, 0.67, 0.75)
C2(0.30, 0.35, 0.40, 0.46)(0.18, 0.23, 0.28, 0.35)(0.42, 0.48, 0.53, 0.61)
C3(0.17, 0.23, 0.28, 0.36)(0.23, 0.29, 0.35, 0.43)(0.20, 0.25, 0.30, 0.38)
C4(0.06, 0.11, 0.17, 0.24)(0.05, 0.12, 0.19, 0.26)(0.14, 0.21, 0.28, 0.37)
C5(0.11, 0.18, 0.24, 0.32)(0.21, 0.27, 0.34, 0.42)(0.37, 0.43, 0.48, 0.57)
C4C5
C1(0.51, 0.57, 0.63, 0.72)(0.51, 0.56, 0.61, 0.67)
C2(0.46, 0.51, 0.56, 0.62)(0.39, 0.44, 0.49, 0.56)
C3(0.36, 0.42, 0.48, 0.56)(0.31, 0.37, 0.42, 0.50)
C4(0.06, 0.12, 0.17, 0.24)(0.07, 0.14, 0.21, 0.29)
C5(0.28, 0.35, 0.41, 0.50)(0.14, 0.19, 0.25, 0.32)
Table 8. Ranking the weight coefficients of the dimensions.
Table 8. Ranking the weight coefficients of the dimensions.
Dim.RiCiRi + CiRiCi
C1(2.16, 2.45, 2.73, 3.11)(0.80, 1.09, 1.37, 1.73)(4.84, 0.43, −3.01, −2.17)(−1.23, 3.84, −2.15, 4.40)
C2(1.75, 2.01, 2.26, 2.61)(1.10, 1.40, 1.69, 2.09)(4.70, −0.33, −2.55, −1.72)(−0.76, 3.70, −1.82, 4.12)
C3(1.28, 1.56, 1.84, 2.23)(1.69, 1.99, 2.28, 2.69)(4.92, −1.41, −2.13, −1.27)(−0.28, 3.85, −1.53, 4.14)
C4(0.38, 0.71, 1.02, 1.40)(1.68, 1.97, 2.25, 2.64)(4.05, −2.27, −1.30, −0.42)(0.59, 2.99, −0.86, 3.11)
C5(1.11, 1.42, 1.73, 2.14)(1.41, 1.70, 1.98, 2.35)(4.49, −1.23, −2.01, −1.14)(−0.18, 3.44, −1.40, 3.71)
WjwjRank
C14.4040.2261
C24.1220.2113
C34.1440.2132
C43.1100.1605
C53.7120.1904

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Pribićević, I.; Doljanica, S.; Momčilović, O.; Das, D.K.; Pamučar, D.; Stević, Ž. Novel Extension of DEMATEL Method by Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers and D Numbers for Management of Decision-Making Processes. Mathematics 2020, 8, 812. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8050812

AMA Style

Pribićević I, Doljanica S, Momčilović O, Das DK, Pamučar D, Stević Ž. Novel Extension of DEMATEL Method by Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers and D Numbers for Management of Decision-Making Processes. Mathematics. 2020; 8(5):812. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8050812

Chicago/Turabian Style

Pribićević, Ivan, Suzana Doljanica, Oliver Momčilović, Dillip Kumar Das, Dragan Pamučar, and Željko Stević. 2020. "Novel Extension of DEMATEL Method by Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers and D Numbers for Management of Decision-Making Processes" Mathematics 8, no. 5: 812. https://doi.org/10.3390/math8050812

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