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Article

A New Hybrid Stochastic SIS Co-Infection Model with Two Primary Strains Under Markov Regime Switching and Lévy Jumps

by
Yassine Sabbar
1 and
Saud Fahad Aldosary
2,*
1
IMIA Laboratory, T-IDMS, Department of Mathematics, FST Errachidia, Moulay Ismail University of Meknes, P.O. Box 509, Errachidia 52000, Morocco
2
Department of Mathematics, College of Science and Humanities in Alkharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Alkharj 11942, Saudi Arabia
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Mathematics 2026, 14(3), 445; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030445
Submission received: 6 January 2026 / Revised: 24 January 2026 / Accepted: 26 January 2026 / Published: 27 January 2026
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Epidemiological and Biological Systems Modeling)

Abstract

We study a hybrid stochastic SIS co-infection model for two primary strains and a co-infected class with Crowley–Martin incidence, Markovian regime switching, and Lévy jumps. The model is a four-dimensional regime-switching Lévy-driven SDE system with state-dependent diffusion and jump coefficients. Under natural integrability conditions on the jumps and a mild structural assumption on removal rates, we prove uniform high-order moment bounds for the total population, establish pathwise sublinear growth, and derive strong laws of large numbers for all Brownian and Lévy martingales, reducing the long-time analysis to deterministic time averages. Using logarithmic Lyapunov functionals for the infective classes, we introduce four noise-corrected effective growth parameters λ1,,λ4 and two interaction matrices A,B that encode the combined impact of Crowley–Martin saturation, regime switching, and jump noise. In terms of explicit inequalities involving λk and the entries of A,B, we obtain sharp almost-sure criteria for extinction of all infectives, persistence with competitive exclusion, and coexistence in mean of both primary strains, together with the induced long-term behaviour of the co-infected class. Numerical simulations with regime switching and compensated Poisson jumps illustrate and support these thresholds. This provides, to our knowledge, the first rigorous extinction-exclusion-coexistence theory for a multi-strain SIS co-infection model under the joint influence of Crowley–Martin incidence, Markov switching, and Lévy perturbations.
Keywords: stochastic epidemic model; two-strain competition; regime switching; Lévy jump noise; Crowley–Martin incidence stochastic epidemic model; two-strain competition; regime switching; Lévy jump noise; Crowley–Martin incidence

Share and Cite

MDPI and ACS Style

Sabbar, Y.; Aldosary, S.F. A New Hybrid Stochastic SIS Co-Infection Model with Two Primary Strains Under Markov Regime Switching and Lévy Jumps. Mathematics 2026, 14, 445. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030445

AMA Style

Sabbar Y, Aldosary SF. A New Hybrid Stochastic SIS Co-Infection Model with Two Primary Strains Under Markov Regime Switching and Lévy Jumps. Mathematics. 2026; 14(3):445. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030445

Chicago/Turabian Style

Sabbar, Yassine, and Saud Fahad Aldosary. 2026. "A New Hybrid Stochastic SIS Co-Infection Model with Two Primary Strains Under Markov Regime Switching and Lévy Jumps" Mathematics 14, no. 3: 445. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030445

APA Style

Sabbar, Y., & Aldosary, S. F. (2026). A New Hybrid Stochastic SIS Co-Infection Model with Two Primary Strains Under Markov Regime Switching and Lévy Jumps. Mathematics, 14(3), 445. https://doi.org/10.3390/math14030445

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