Analysis of Caputo Fractional-Order Co-Infection COVID-19 and Influenza SEIR Epidemiology by Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Preliminaries
2.1. Basic Definitions and Prepositions
2.2. Mathematical Model Formulation
2.2.1. Deterministic Epidemic Models—Compartment Approach
2.2.2. SEIR Model [16]
2.2.3. Fractional-Order SEIR (FO-SEIR) Model
2.2.4. Classical Co-Infection SEIR Model [4]
2.3. Model Analysis—Stability Analysis and Equilibria [16,29]
Reproduction Number [18]
3. Fractional-Order Co-Infection SEIR (Co-Infection FO-SEIR) Model
3.1. Fractional-Order Co-Infection SEIR Model (Co-Infection FO-SEIR)
3.2. Local Stability Analysis of COVID-19-Only Model
3.2.1. Disease (COVID-19)-Free Equilibrium (DFE)
3.2.2. Non-Negative Solution [15]
3.2.3. Reproduction Number (COVID-19-Only Model)
3.3. Local Stability Analysis of Influenza-Only Model
3.3.1. Influenza-Free Equilibrium
3.3.2. Non-Negative Solution [15]
3.3.3. Reproductive Number
3.4. The Co-Infection SEIR Model of COVID-19 and Influenza
3.4.1. Disease (Co-Infection)-Free Equilibrium
3.4.2. Non-Negative Solution
3.4.3. Reproductive Number for COVID-19 and Influenza [4]
4. Numerical Simulations
4.1. Using LADM [14]
4.2. Graphical Analysis Using LADM
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | Explanation |
|---|---|
| S(t) | Vulnerable human population. |
| (t) | Human population exposed to COVID-19 only. |
| (t) | Individuals exposed to Influenza only. |
| (t) | Individuals exposed to COVID-19 and Influenza [4]. |
| Individuals infected with COVID-19 [4]. | |
| Infectious individuals affected by Influenza [4]. | |
| Infectious individuals affected by COVID-19 and Influenza [4]. | |
| Individuals recovered from COVID-19 [4]. | |
| (t) | Individuals recovered from Influenza [4]. |
| (t) | Individuals recovered from both COVID-19 and Influenza [4]. |
| Parameters | Explanations | Specifications |
|---|---|---|
| Π | Susceptible individual’s entering rate | 1.2 × [4,19] |
| COVID-19’s transmission rate | 0.224334/day [19] | |
| Influenza’s transmission rate | 0.203 [20] | |
| The progression rate of COVID-19 from the exposed to others [4] | 0.40 [19] | |
| The progression rate of Influenza from the exposed to others [4] | 0.40 [22] | |
| The progression rate of infections caused by both (co-infection) from the exposed to others [4] | 0.40 Assumed | |
| μ | Natural mortality rate | 0.0003516 [19] |
| Death due to COVID-19 | 0.000573 per day [19] | |
| Death due to Influenza | 0.021 [21] | |
| Death due to co-infection | 0.021–0.026 assumed | |
| Rate of recovery from COVID-19 | 0.125 [19] | |
| Influenza infectious individuals’ recovery rate | 0.1998 [21] | |
| Co-infected infectious individuals’ recovery rate | 0.125–0.1998 assumed |
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Meenakshi, A.; Renuga, E.; Čep, R.; Karthik, K. Analysis of Caputo Fractional-Order Co-Infection COVID-19 and Influenza SEIR Epidemiology by Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method. Mathematics 2024, 12, 1876. https://doi.org/10.3390/math12121876
Meenakshi A, Renuga E, Čep R, Karthik K. Analysis of Caputo Fractional-Order Co-Infection COVID-19 and Influenza SEIR Epidemiology by Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method. Mathematics. 2024; 12(12):1876. https://doi.org/10.3390/math12121876
Chicago/Turabian StyleMeenakshi, Annamalai, Elango Renuga, Robert Čep, and Krishnasamy Karthik. 2024. "Analysis of Caputo Fractional-Order Co-Infection COVID-19 and Influenza SEIR Epidemiology by Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method" Mathematics 12, no. 12: 1876. https://doi.org/10.3390/math12121876
APA StyleMeenakshi, A., Renuga, E., Čep, R., & Karthik, K. (2024). Analysis of Caputo Fractional-Order Co-Infection COVID-19 and Influenza SEIR Epidemiology by Laplace Adomian Decomposition Method. Mathematics, 12(12), 1876. https://doi.org/10.3390/math12121876

