The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review Method
2.1. Research Design
2.2. Search Strategy and Data Sources
2.3. Screening and Selection Procedure
2.4. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.5. Analytical Framework, Coding, and Classification
2.6. Foundational Literature and Contemporary Review Corpus
2.7. Managing Heterogeneity and Limits of Synthesis
2.8. Limitations of the Method
3. Theoretical Framework: Artificial Intelligence, Innovation Ecosystems, and Growth Dynamics
3.1. Exogenous and Endogenous Technological Progress Perspectives
3.2. Task-Based Approach, Automation, and Structural Transformation Dynamics
- Displacement Effect: Automation reduces demand for labor performing routine or codifiable tasks, potentially leading to sectoral contraction (Acemoglu & Restrepo, 2019; D. H. Autor, 2015).
- Reinstatement Effect: Technological change creates new tasks, occupations, and areas of economic activity, often requiring higher levels of digital and cognitive skills (Acemoglu & Restrepo, 2019).
3.3. Integrating Growth and Task-Based Perspectives Within Innovation Ecosystems
3.4. From Task Transformation to Structural Transformation: Clarifying the Conceptual Relationship
4. Transmission Channels of Artificial Intelligence to Economic Growth and Innovation Systems
4.1. Productivity and Total Factor Productivity Channel
4.2. Innovation and Knowledge Production Channel
4.3. Capital Deepening, Digital Capital, and Structural Transformation
4.4. Cross-Cutting Conditions and Systemic Interaction
5. Evaluation of Current Findings: Global Trends, Market Dynamics, and the Turkish Context
5.1. Global Investment Trends, Market Concentration, and Growth Expectations
5.2. AI Ecosystem, Open Innovation, and Structural Conditions in the Turkish Economy
6. Policy Implications: Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Priorities for Conditional AI-Led Development
6.1. Short-Term Priorities
6.2. Medium-Term Priorities
6.3. Long-Term Priorities
6.4. Policy Sequencing and Institutional Complementarity
7. Sectoral Implications: Complementarity, Market Structure, and Adaptation Dynamics
7.1. Financial Services, FinTech, and Platform Dynamics
7.2. Manufacturing Industry, Digital Production and Industrial Transformation
7.3. Health, Biotechnology, and Knowledge-Intensive Innovation
8. Conclusions, Contributions, Limitations, and Future Research
8.1. Theoretical Contributions
8.2. Methodological Contributions
8.3. Policy Contributions
8.4. Limitations
8.5. Future Research Agenda
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
| Author(s) | Theme | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Solow (1956) | Exogenous Growth | Total Factor Productivity |
| Lucas (1988) | Human Capital | Endogenous Growth |
| Romer (1990) | Knowledge Production | Endogenous Technological Change |
| Aghion and Howitt (1992) | Innovation | Creative Destruction |
| Bresnahan and Trajtenberg (1995) | GPT Theory | General-Purpose Technologies |
| Chesbrough (2003) | Open Innovation | Innovation Ecosystems |
| Jorgenson et al. (2008) | Productivity | Growth Accounting |
| Acemoglu and Autor (2011) | Labor Economics | Task-Based Framework |
| Author(s) | Theme | Type | Key Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acemoglu and Restrepo (2019) | Labor | Empirical | Task displacement and creation |
| Acemoglu and Restrepo (2020) | Labor | Empirical | Robots and employment |
| Acemoglu and Restrepo (2022) | Labor | Empirical | Inequality effects |
| Acemoglu (2021) | AI Economics | Theoretical | Risks of AI |
| Brynjolfsson et al. (2017) | Productivity | Empirical | Productivity paradox |
| Brynjolfsson et al. (2023) | Productivity | Empirical | Generative AI |
| Bloom et al. (2020) | Innovation | Empirical | Idea production slowdown |
| Graetz and Michaels (2018) | Productivity | Empirical | Robots and productivity |
| Syverson (2017) | Productivity | Empirical | Measurement issues |
| Corrado et al. (2017) | Productivity | Empirical | Intangible capital |
| Haskel and Westlake (2018) | Capital | Conceptual | Intangible economy |
| Goolsbee (2018) | Policy | Conceptual | AI economy policy |
| D. H. Autor (2015) | Labor | Empirical | Task framework |
| D. Autor and Salomons (2018) | Labor | Empirical | Automation effects |
| Bessen (2018) | Labor | Empirical | Demand effects |
| Korinek and Stiglitz (2018) | Inequality | Conceptual | AI inequality |
| Kim (2021) | Inequality | Conceptual | AI inequality |
| Frey and Osborne (2017) | Labor | Empirical | Job automation risk |
| Katz and Krueger (2017) | Labor | Empirical | Work arrangements |
| Rodrik (2018) | Development | Conceptual | Industrial change |
| Piketty (2020) | Inequality | Conceptual | Capital and inequality |
| Aghion et al. (2021) | Growth | Conceptual | Innovation dynamics |
| Cockburn et al. (2018) | Innovation | Empirical | AI and discovery |
| Chesbrough (2020) | Innovation | Conceptual | Innovation ecosystems |
| Agrawal et al. (2019) | AI Economics | Conceptual | Prediction machines |
| Agrawal et al. (2024) | AI Economics | Empirical | AI in production |
| Mazzucato (2021) | Policy | Conceptual | Mission economy |
| Goldfarb and Tucker (2019) | Digital Economy | Empirical | Data economics |
| Varian (2018) | Digital Economy | Conceptual | AI markets |
| Gordon (2016) | Growth | Conceptual | Growth slowdown |
| Grossman and Helpman (2015) | Trade | Conceptual | Globalization |
| Jones (2020) | Growth | Theoretical | Ideas and growth |
| McAfee and Brynjolfsson (2017) | Digital Economy | Conceptual | Platforms |
| OECD (2020) | Policy | Report | Digital economy |
| World Bank (2021) | Development | Report | Data economy |
| IMF (2024) | Policy | Report | Global outlook |
| IMF (2025) | Productivity | Report | AI growth |
| OECD (2025) | Policy | Report | Economic outlook |
| OECD (2023) | Policy | Report | AI policy |
| World Bank (2023) | Development | Report | Digital progress |
| WEF (2023) | Labor | Report | Jobs future |
| McKinsey Global Institute (2023a) | Productivity | Report | AI adoption |
| OECD (2025) | Firms | Report | AI adoption |
| European Union (2024) | Regulation | Legal | AI Act |
| UNCTAD (2023) | Development | Report | Digital economy |
| Republic of Türkiye, Presidency Digital Transformation Office and Ministry of Industry and Technology (2021) | Policy | Strategy | AI strategy |
| TÜİK (2023) | Data | Report | ICT usage |
| OECD (2023) | Türkiye | Report | Economic survey |
| IMF (2023) | Türkiye | Report | Financial system |
| World Bank Group (2024) | Türkiye | Report | Country survey |
| OECD (2021) | SMEs | Report | Digitalization |
| IMF (2022) | Digital | Report | Resilience |
| D. Autor (2022) | Labor | Conceptual | AI policy |
| Gao and Feng (2023) | Productivity | Empirical | Firm-level AI |
| Acemoglu et al. (2021) | Labor | Empirical | Tech change |
| Juhász et al. (2024) | Policy | Empirical | Industrial policy |
| Korinek and Stiglitz (2018) | Inequality | Conceptual | AI distribution |
| Varian (2018) | AI Economics | Conceptual | AI markets |
| Shapiro (2019) | Competition | Conceptual | Tech markets |
| Tirole (2017) | Policy | Conceptual | Regulation |
| Gans (2025) | Strategy | Conceptual | AI firms |
| Korinek and Stiglitz (2021) | Development | Conceptual | AI globalization |
| Frey (2019) | Labor | Conceptual | Tech transitions |
| Brynjolfsson et al. (2021) | Digital Economy | Empirical | IT productivity |
| Filippucci et al. (2024) | AI Economics | Report | AI macro effects |
| World Bank (2024) | Growth | Report | Economic transformation |
| IMF (2024) | Labor | Report | AI and jobs |
| McKinsey Global Institute (2023b) | Productivity | Report | GenAI |
| WEF (2025) | Labor | Report | Jobs outlook |
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| Stage | Procedure | Number of Records |
|---|---|---|
| Identification | Records identified through database searches | 320 |
| Duplicate Removal | Duplicate and overlapping records removed | 42 |
| Screening | Titles and abstracts screened | 278 |
| Excluded After Screening | Technical, non-economic, or irrelevant studies excluded | 126 |
| Full-Text Assessment | Full-text studies assessed for eligibility | 152 |
| Excluded After Full Review | Limited analytical relevance or insufficient connection to AI-driven economic outcomes | 71 |
| Final Review Corpus | Studies retained for synthesis | 81 |
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© 2026 by the author. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.
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Salur Kucuk, S. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective. Economies 2026, 14, 239. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14070239
Salur Kucuk S. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective. Economies. 2026; 14(7):239. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14070239
Chicago/Turabian StyleSalur Kucuk, Sultan. 2026. "The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective" Economies 14, no. 7: 239. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14070239
APA StyleSalur Kucuk, S. (2026). The Impact of Artificial Intelligence as a General-Purpose Technology on Economic Growth and Structural Transformation: An Innovation Ecosystem Perspective. Economies, 14(7), 239. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies14070239
