1. Introduction
As the world economy has been developing at a fast speed, the economic exchanges between countries and regions have occurred even more often. Statistics show that approximately 80 percent of global trade contacts are made through marine transport. Thus, the importance of marine transport becomes more and more prominent. While the global trade volume and the total number of ships are gradually increasing, the pace of making ships larger, more intelligent and more complex is accelerating. Energy infrastructure and port construction supporting marine transport are upsizing with each passing year. In addition, the higher ship navigation density, the continuous improvement of navigation aids in waters near to ports and the continuous increase of ship scale contribute to the gradual increase of potential risks for ships entering and leaving ports as well as navigating in waterways. According to statistics, such accidents as colliding, running into rocks, stranding and being on fire have tended to take place in various ports and nearby waters. This leads to life and property loss and water pollution to various degrees. For the purpose of navigation safety in waterways and waters near to ports, it is significant to assess the safety of marine navigation, which is a crucial part of waterway safety management.
In the research field of route selection for safe waterway navigation, the problem has been formulated as a multi-attributes decision making problem [
1]. For example, Zhu and Huang [
2] used the matter-element comprehensive evaluation method to make a scientific assessment of the night navigation environment risks for the waters of the fairway. Rong et al. [
3] proposed a ship navigational risk assessment method in the waters of offshore wind farms based on a multi-factor fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Gao et al. [
4] proposed a multi-criteria group decision-making method based on the intuitionistic linguistic aggregation operators and applied it to the site selection decision-making process for waters of offshore wind farms. Deveci et al. [
5] integrated interval rough numbers and best worst method to choose the best waters for siting offshore wind farms.
The VIKOR method is a MCDM technique designed to rank a set of alternatives in the presence of conflicting criteria by proposing a compromise solution [
6,
7]. Ren et al. [
8] proposed VIKOR-based decision support systems in fuzzy environments. Büyüközkan et al. [
9] proposed some VIKOR-based GDM methods under intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Wu et al. [
10] proposed a VIKOR-based GDM approach under an interval type-2 fuzzy environment.
Chen [
11] proposed VIKOR-based methods for multiple criteria decision analysis under Pythagorean fuzzy information. Liang et al. [
12] proposed a new perspective of a compromise solution based on the traditional VIKOR for handling the decision maker’s psychological behavior by inducing TODIM. Wu et al. [
13] proposed hesitant Pythagorean fuzzy VIKOR methods for enhancing fuzzy related problems flexibility. Çalı et al. [
14], Gupta et al. [
15] and Zeng et al. [
16] proposed MADM methods based on VIKOR with application to plant location selection. Wu et al. [
17] and You et al. [
18] proposed extended VIKOR methods with possibility distributions of linguistic information and interval 2-tuple linguistic information. Yue [
19] and Wang Çalı et al. [
20] proposed an extended VIKOR approach with Picture fuzzy normalized information. Leila [
21] and Çalı et al. [
22] proposed extended VIKOR models with TOPSIS and ELECTRE for classification problems. Tavana et al. [
23] proposed an extended stochastic VIKOR model considering the decision maker’s attitude towards risk. Luo et al. [
24] proposed a variable weigh VIKOR evaluation modeland method for libraries emergency ability rating.
Social network group decision methods are proposed by Wu et al. [
25] and Liu et al. [
26,
27]. Gong et al. [
28] and Xu et al. [
29] proposed social network group decision methods based on uncertainty theory. Gao et al. [
30] proposed group consensus decision methods with non-cooperative behavior management for social network group decision problems. Wu et al. [
31,
32], Cao et al. [
33], Wang et al. [
34] and Sun et al. [
35] proposed group consensus models with feedback mechanisms for social network group decision problems.
The above MCDM methods with VIKOR help to enrich the research on multi-attribute decision-making methods and their applications. However, a limitation is that the above VIKOR methods only considered the individual feelings and group benefits of information and gave the grades of alternates; they cannot distinguish the ranking of the safe grades of waterway navigation routes, which does not facilitate quick decisions. However, many practical situations such as waterway navigation safe routes selection require reasonable determination of the grade assessment.
Another limitation of the above MCDM methods with VIKOR is that the weights of indexes are constant and pay little attention to no-compensation information between indexes. The constant weighted comprehensive VIKOR methods for waterway navigation safe routes selection problems can thus lead to irrational results. Therefore, the no-compensation information between indexes must be considered.
Motivated by the above limitations, this paper puts forward the evaluation model and method of the waterway navigation safe routes selection based on variable weight VIKOR. The membership function of the safe grade of waterway navigation routes based on fuzzy sets are constructed, and the weights of an evaluation index based on entropy are put forward. A variable weight VIKOR evaluation model based a two tuple linguistic method for the safe grade of waterway navigation safe route is proposed. The proposed method not only solves the above limitations and improves VIKOR methods and the constant weighted approach, but also can better reflect the connotation and characteristics of the appropriate grade assessment of waterway navigation safe routes, and provide new approaches and methods to support the development and management of waterway navigation safe routes selection.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. The waterway navigation safe route selection problem is described in
Section 2. A method and procedure for the waterway navigation safe route selection problem is solved by the variable weight VIKOR grade assessment method in
Section 3.
Section 4 applies the proposed method, illustrated with a waterway navigation safe route selection example and comparison analysis.
Section 5 shows conclusions and some remarks.
2. Description of the Waterway Navigation Safe Route Selection Problems
In order to assess the light environment of ship navigation at night, let us start with the definition, characteristics and origin of light pollution at sea. Then photometrics, colorimetry and principles of visual performance in combination with basic photometric and colorimetric information are employed to analyse the effects of light pollution at sea on the visibility of ship lights and the visual performance of navigators. Based on this, indices which affect ship navigation at night are sifted out in accordance with basic principles of screening out evaluation indices, so as to construct the index system for assessing the light environment of ship navigation at night, as shown in
Table 1.
See
Table 1 for more details. The index system for assessing the safety grade for a waterway environment is a two-level hierarchical structure of indices. The fist level represented as Level Ⅰ Index Set
includes 3 assessment indices. Level Ⅰ Index
comprises
Level Ⅱ indices. These indices are represented as Level Ⅱ Index Set
, where
.
stands for the benchmark criterion for Level Ⅱ index
with respect to
, as shown in
Table 1.
For the convenience of description, the safety grade set for a waterway navigation safe route is denoted by , where means the th safety grade for waterway routes and is prescribed, indicating that the th safety grade is better than the th one . The safety grade eigenvalue for waterway routes based on variable weight VIKOR is computed, If , the safety grade for waterway routes is . If , the safety grade for waterway routes is . If , the safety grade for waterway routes is . If , the safety grade for waterway routes is . If , the safety grade for waterway routes is .
The eigenvalue of waterway
with regard to Level Ⅱ index
is
(
;
;
). That is to say, the information for assessment of waterway
with respect to Level Ⅱ Index Set
can be expressed by the matrix below.
In Matrix , the th column refers to the eigenvalue of all waterways with respect to Level Ⅱ index , whereas the th row shows the eigenvalue of waterway with regard to Level Ⅱ Index Set , denoted by .
Grade division is a concept of fuzziness. Different grade assessment problems may have different division attributes. As the key information of multi-attribute grade division, attribute grade threshold values involve both quantitative and qualitative information. They are classified into upper-bound quantitative , lower-bound quantitative and and language grade threshold values. Then, they satisfy the constraints: and , where is an empty set.
Lower bound grade threshold : The eigenvalue of alternative on attribute is no less than the criterion of grade on attribute , i.e., , which satisfies the condition of .
Upper bound grade threshold : The eigenvalue of alternative concerning attribute is no more than the criterion of grade of attribute , i.e., , which satisfies the condition of .
Linguistic grade threshold : the eigenvalue of alternative on qualitative attribute is linguistic information, i.e.,, where is the grade threshold of the quantitative attribute .