Abstract
According to the characteristics of waterway navigation safe routes selection, and considering the individual feelings and group benefits of information, as well as no-compensation information between indexes, this paper describes the safe rating of waterway navigation routes, and then puts forward an evaluation model of and method for waterway navigation safe route selection based on variable weight VIKOR. First of all, from the concept and connotation of grade assessment, this paper describes the safe rating of waterway navigation routes, so as to avoid confusing the two essential different problems of safe rating and ranking. Then, the evaluation indexes and membership function of the appropriate grade of the safe rating of waterway navigation route are constructed, and the weights of an evaluation index based on entropy are proposed. Secondly, a variable weight VIKOR evaluation model and a binary semantic evaluation method for the safe grading of waterway navigation safe routes are proposed. Finally, through case study and comparative analysis, the rationality and feasibility of the model and method proposed in this paper are illustrated. This model can better reflect the connotation and characteristics of the appropriate grade assessment of waterway navigation safe routes, and provides new approaches and methods to support the development and management of waterway navigation safe route selection.
1. Introduction
As the world economy has been developing at a fast speed, the economic exchanges between countries and regions have occurred even more often. Statistics show that approximately 80 percent of global trade contacts are made through marine transport. Thus, the importance of marine transport becomes more and more prominent. While the global trade volume and the total number of ships are gradually increasing, the pace of making ships larger, more intelligent and more complex is accelerating. Energy infrastructure and port construction supporting marine transport are upsizing with each passing year. In addition, the higher ship navigation density, the continuous improvement of navigation aids in waters near to ports and the continuous increase of ship scale contribute to the gradual increase of potential risks for ships entering and leaving ports as well as navigating in waterways. According to statistics, such accidents as colliding, running into rocks, stranding and being on fire have tended to take place in various ports and nearby waters. This leads to life and property loss and water pollution to various degrees. For the purpose of navigation safety in waterways and waters near to ports, it is significant to assess the safety of marine navigation, which is a crucial part of waterway safety management.
In the research field of route selection for safe waterway navigation, the problem has been formulated as a multi-attributes decision making problem [1]. For example, Zhu and Huang [2] used the matter-element comprehensive evaluation method to make a scientific assessment of the night navigation environment risks for the waters of the fairway. Rong et al. [3] proposed a ship navigational risk assessment method in the waters of offshore wind farms based on a multi-factor fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. Gao et al. [4] proposed a multi-criteria group decision-making method based on the intuitionistic linguistic aggregation operators and applied it to the site selection decision-making process for waters of offshore wind farms. Deveci et al. [5] integrated interval rough numbers and best worst method to choose the best waters for siting offshore wind farms.
The VIKOR method is a MCDM technique designed to rank a set of alternatives in the presence of conflicting criteria by proposing a compromise solution [6,7]. Ren et al. [8] proposed VIKOR-based decision support systems in fuzzy environments. Büyüközkan et al. [9] proposed some VIKOR-based GDM methods under intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Wu et al. [10] proposed a VIKOR-based GDM approach under an interval type-2 fuzzy environment.
Chen [11] proposed VIKOR-based methods for multiple criteria decision analysis under Pythagorean fuzzy information. Liang et al. [12] proposed a new perspective of a compromise solution based on the traditional VIKOR for handling the decision maker’s psychological behavior by inducing TODIM. Wu et al. [13] proposed hesitant Pythagorean fuzzy VIKOR methods for enhancing fuzzy related problems flexibility. Çalı et al. [14], Gupta et al. [15] and Zeng et al. [16] proposed MADM methods based on VIKOR with application to plant location selection. Wu et al. [17] and You et al. [18] proposed extended VIKOR methods with possibility distributions of linguistic information and interval 2-tuple linguistic information. Yue [19] and Wang Çalı et al. [20] proposed an extended VIKOR approach with Picture fuzzy normalized information. Leila [21] and Çalı et al. [22] proposed extended VIKOR models with TOPSIS and ELECTRE for classification problems. Tavana et al. [23] proposed an extended stochastic VIKOR model considering the decision maker’s attitude towards risk. Luo et al. [24] proposed a variable weigh VIKOR evaluation modeland method for libraries emergency ability rating.
Social network group decision methods are proposed by Wu et al. [25] and Liu et al. [26,27]. Gong et al. [28] and Xu et al. [29] proposed social network group decision methods based on uncertainty theory. Gao et al. [30] proposed group consensus decision methods with non-cooperative behavior management for social network group decision problems. Wu et al. [31,32], Cao et al. [33], Wang et al. [34] and Sun et al. [35] proposed group consensus models with feedback mechanisms for social network group decision problems.
The above MCDM methods with VIKOR help to enrich the research on multi-attribute decision-making methods and their applications. However, a limitation is that the above VIKOR methods only considered the individual feelings and group benefits of information and gave the grades of alternates; they cannot distinguish the ranking of the safe grades of waterway navigation routes, which does not facilitate quick decisions. However, many practical situations such as waterway navigation safe routes selection require reasonable determination of the grade assessment.
Another limitation of the above MCDM methods with VIKOR is that the weights of indexes are constant and pay little attention to no-compensation information between indexes. The constant weighted comprehensive VIKOR methods for waterway navigation safe routes selection problems can thus lead to irrational results. Therefore, the no-compensation information between indexes must be considered.
Motivated by the above limitations, this paper puts forward the evaluation model and method of the waterway navigation safe routes selection based on variable weight VIKOR. The membership function of the safe grade of waterway navigation routes based on fuzzy sets are constructed, and the weights of an evaluation index based on entropy are put forward. A variable weight VIKOR evaluation model based a two tuple linguistic method for the safe grade of waterway navigation safe route is proposed. The proposed method not only solves the above limitations and improves VIKOR methods and the constant weighted approach, but also can better reflect the connotation and characteristics of the appropriate grade assessment of waterway navigation safe routes, and provide new approaches and methods to support the development and management of waterway navigation safe routes selection.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. The waterway navigation safe route selection problem is described in Section 2. A method and procedure for the waterway navigation safe route selection problem is solved by the variable weight VIKOR grade assessment method in Section 3. Section 4 applies the proposed method, illustrated with a waterway navigation safe route selection example and comparison analysis. Section 5 shows conclusions and some remarks.
3. The Variable Weight VIKOR Assessment Method for the Safety Grade of a Waterway Environment
3.1. The Construction of Membership Function for the Safety Grade of a Waterway Environment
For index , the membership function for safety grade () of route with respect to Level Ⅱ index is defined as follows:
Similarly, for index , the membership function for safety grade () of route with regard to Level Ⅱ index is defined as follows:
For index , the membership function for safety grade () of route with regard to Level Ⅱ index is defined as follows:
With Equations (2)–(12), it can be seen that the membership degree of route with respect to index belonging to the th grade () is , which is expressed by the matrix below.
This function is sometimes abbreviated as and addressed as the grade eigenvalue matrix for route concerning Level Ⅱ Index Set . In the matrix, the th column refers to the eigenvalue vector of route with respect to Level Ⅱ Index Set belonging to and is denoted as
Generally, . For the convenience of computing, is normalized. The membership degree of route with respect to Level Ⅱ index belonging to grade is:
Using Equation (13), can be transformed into the following matrix:
3.2. The Principles and Procedure of the Variable Weight VIKOR Assessment Method
Considering the influence of grades (i.e., information of location distribution), the subscript (the grade variable) of grade is deemed as “variable weight” and the grade eigenvalue of route regarding to Level Ⅱ Index is:
The entropy of index is defined as
With the entropy of index , the weight of Level Ⅱ index can be computed as
According to the variable weighted decision method [36,37], suppose that is a variable weight state vector, which is written as . Then, the constant weight vector is multiplied by vector (the normalisation) and their Hardarmard is defined as vector . In other words,
In the above equation, sign refers to the Hardarmard multiplication of the two vectors.
As , it is easy to know that and are the positive and negative ideal vectors for index with respect to safety grade . The similarity values and of route with respect to index belonging to safety grade are
where
is the parameter of distance. This parameter is selected in terms of real situations, so is chosen in this paper. The similarity measure of safety grade of route with respect to Level Ⅰ index is
where , , and . is a mixed coefficient, indicating a decision-maker’s preference; shows that the decision-maker prefers to make decisions from the perspective of maximum population effect, while means that the decision-maker prefers to make decisions from the perspective of minimum individual regret; and suggests that the decision-maker make decisions from the perspective of equilibrium, representing both maximum population effect and minimum individual regret of equal importance.
The membership degree of route with respect to index belonging to all safety grades is
Therefore, the membership degree of route with respect to Level Ⅰ Index Set belonging to safety grade can be expressed as the following matrix:
Similar to Equations (7) and (8), the grade eigenvalue of route with respect to Level Ⅰ index is defined as follows:
The collectivity entropy of Level Ⅰ index is defined as:
In combination with the collectivity entropy above, its weight can be computed:
Then, the constant weight vector is multiplied by variable weight state vector (the normalisation) and their Hardarmard is defined as vector . In other words,
In the above equation, sign refers to the Hardarmard multiplication of the two vectors.
As , it is easy to know that and are the positive and negative ideal vectors of Level Ⅰ index with respect to . The similarity degrees and of route in regard to safety grade are
The similarity measure of route concerning safety grade is
where , , and .
In accordance with Equation (16), the comprehensive membership vector of route concerning all safety grades is
At the same time, the similarity degree vector of route with respect to all safety grades can be normalised as, respectively:
Thus, the eigenvalue of safety grade for the environment of route is
To any , its two-tuple linguistic model is defined as
where is the subscript set for safety grade set defined before. In , Round is a bracket function. stands for the deviation between safety grade eigenvalues and . Afterwards, the safety grade for the navigation environment of route and its deviation can be determined, respectively, according to the positive integers and of Equation (23).
5. Conclusions
In order to select safe courses for waterway navigation, the evaluation model and method of the waterway navigation safe route selection based on variable weight VIKOR considering the individual feelings and group benefits of information, taking account of no-compensation information between indexes. The advantages of the proposed method can be summed up as:
- (1)
- Security grade division, evaluation index systems and grade thresholds for the navigation waterways of night ships are constructed.
- (2)
- The method to determine the index weight based on entropy and then the variable weight VIKOR method are proposed, the latter of which gives consideration to both group benefits and individual regrets. It not only overcomes the problem that the previous ranking evaluation methods only consider group benefits, but also overcomes the shortcomings that VIKOR method itself only solves the problem of ranking and information compensation among indices. This is an expansion and development of VIKOR methods.
- (3)
- The results of using two-tuple linguistic information to measure the security grade of ships’ night navigation channels reflect the grade information and deviation, judge the security level of each ship’s night navigation waterways, and overcome the shortcomings of the maximum-membership-principle method, and further improve the evaluation method.
The variable weight VIKOR method to assess security grades for the navigation routes of night ships proposed in this paper can also be used to solve other management decision-making problems such as those about ecological, supply chain and network security, or to study issues of group consensus [39], large group risk decision making [40], the green economy [41,42,43,44] and portfolio selection [45].
Author Contributions
G.-F.Y.: Conceptualization, methodology, software, visualization, writing—original draft. Y.-J.L. and X.-M.L.: supervision, writing—review and editing. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research was funded by [The general project of the National Nature Science Foundation of China] grant number [72001126], [The project of the Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province] grant number [2020J01925].
Institutional Review Board Statement
Not applicable.
Informed Consent Statement
Not applicable.
Data Availability Statement
Data is contained within the article.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interest or personal relationship that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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