Association Between Melatonin Use and Cataract Risk: A Target Trial Emulation Retrospective Cohort Study
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Data Source
2.2. Study Design
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Baseline Characteristics of the Study Subjects
3.2. Primary Outcomes
3.3. Subgroup Analysis
3.4. Secondary Outcomes
3.5. Additional Analysis
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Before PSM | After PSM | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Melatonin | Hypnotic BZD | SMD | Melatonin | Hypnotic BZD | SMD | |
N | 5670 | 51711 | 5507 | 5507 | ||
Age at index (year) | 61.3 ± 12.6 | 57.2 ± 9.5 | 0.3675 | 60.9 ± 12.5 | 60.3 ± 10.1 | 0.0527 |
Female sex, n (%) | 3417 (60.3%) | 29,412 (56.9%) | 0.0688 | 3327 (60.4%) | 3462 (62.9%) | 0.0504 |
Race, n (%) | ||||||
White | 3784 (66.7%) | 35,959 (69.5%) | 0.0601 | 3673 (66.7%) | 3821 (69.4%) | 0.0577 |
Black or African American | 911 (16.1%) | 8336 (16.1%) | 0.0015 | 890 (16.2%) | 813 (14.8%) | 0.0387 |
Asian | 140 (2.5%) | 907 (1.8%) | 0.0498 | 135 (2.5%) | 120 (2.2%) | 0.0181 |
Body mass index (BMI), n (%) | ||||||
<30 | 2459 (43.4%) | 17,608 (34.1%) | 0.1922 | 2350 (42.7%) | 2410 (43.8%) | 0.0220 |
30–40 | 1855 (32.7%) | 20,132 (38.9%) | 0.1299 | 1827 (33.2%) | 1823 (33.1%) | 0.0015 |
≧40 | 747 (13.2%) | 9627 (18.6%) | 0.1493 | 745 (13.5%) | 704 (12.8%) | 0.0220 |
Lifestyle or environmental factor, n (%) | ||||||
Nicotine dependence | 757 (13.4%) | 6440 (12.5%) | 0.0268 | 746 (13.5%) | 726 (13.2%) | 0.0107 |
Alcohol related disorders | 390 (6.9%) | 1507 (2.9%) | 0.1845 | 376 (6.8%) | 396 (7.2%) | 0.0142 |
Comorbidity, n (%) | ||||||
Diseases of the circulatory system | 3952 (69.7%) | 36,861 (71.3%) | 0.0347 | 3829 (69.5%) | 3695 (67.1%) | 0.0523 |
Hypertensive diseases | 3354 (59.2%) | 31,487 (60.9%) | 0.0355 | 3252 (59.1%) | 3094 (56.2%) | 0.0581 |
Diabetes mellitus | 1723 (30.4%) | 15,591 (30.2%) | 0.0052 | 1678 (30.5%) | 1600 (29.1%) | 0.0310 |
Type 2 diabetes mellitus with ophthalmic complications | 145 (2.6%) | 1210 (2.3%) | 0.0141 | 142 (2.6%) | 118 (2.1%) | 0.0287 |
Cerebrovascular diseases | 609 (10.7%) | 3294 (6.4%) | 0.1567 | 574 (10.4%) | 591 (10.7%) | 0.0100 |
Diseases of arteries, arterioles and capillaries | 518 (9.1%) | 4591 (8.9%) | 0.0090 | 500 (9.1%) | 491 (8.9%) | 0.0057 |
Neoplasms | 1238 (21.8%) | 18,424 (35.6%) | 0.3084 | 1216 (22.1%) | 1158 (21.0%) | 0.0256 |
Insomnia | 2126 (37.5%) | 11,231 (21.7%) | 0.3509 | 2036 (37.0%) | 2086 (37.9%) | 0.0188 |
Anxiety, dissociative, stress-related, somatoform and other nonpsychotic mental disorders | 2016 (35.6%) | 13,562 (26.2%) | 0.2029 | 1939 (35.2%) | 1993 (36.2%) | 0.0205 |
Depressive episode | 1760 (31.0%) | 12,760 (24.7%) | 0.1423 | 1679 (30.5%) | 1662 (30.2%) | 0.0067 |
Epilepsy and recurrent seizures | 217 (3.8%) | 1057 (2.0%) | 0.1058 | 208 (3.8%) | 185 (3.4%) | 0.0225 |
Parkinson’s disease | 247 (4.4%) | 224 (0.4%) | 0.2587 | 159 (2.9%) | 164 (3.0%) | 0.0054 |
Alzheimer’s disease | 108 (1.9%) | 48 (0.1%) | 0.1830 | 46 (0.8%) | 40 (0.7%) | 0.0124 |
Medications, n (%) | ||||||
Benzodiazepine related drugs | 691 (12.2%) | 6722 (13.0%) | 0.0245 | 685 (12.4%) | 683 (12.4%) | 0.0011 |
Other hypnotics and sedatives | 113 (2.0%) | 3960 (7.7%) | 0.2667 | 112 (2.0%) | 106 (1.9%) | 0.0078 |
Event Number | |||
---|---|---|---|
Outcome | Melatonin Cohort (n = 5507) | Hypnotic BZD Cohort (n = 5507) | Hazard Ratio (95% CI) |
Age-related cataract | 876 | 1348 | 0.741, (0.681, 0.807) |
Other cataract | 245 | 573 | 0.503, (0.433, 0.584) |
Traumatic cataract | ≤10 | ≤10 | 0.840, (0.140, 5.045) |
Complicated cataract | ≤10 | ≤10 | 0.890, (0.148, 5.339) |
Drug induced cataract | 0 | ≤10 | NA |
Secondary cataract | 62 | 178 | 0.428, (0.321, 0.572) |
Other specified cataract | 27 | 41 | 0.804, (0.495, 1.309) |
Unspecified cataract | 175 | 418 | 0.498, (0.417, 0.594) |
Negative outcome | |||
Urinary tract infection | 284 | 391 | 0.962, (0.825, 1.121) |
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Hung, C.-H.; Huang, J.-Y.; Hung, Y.-C.; Hsu, M.-Y.; Wei, J.C.-C. Association Between Melatonin Use and Cataract Risk: A Target Trial Emulation Retrospective Cohort Study. Antioxidants 2025, 14, 1016. https://doi.org/10.3390/antiox14081016
Hung C-H, Huang J-Y, Hung Y-C, Hsu M-Y, Wei JC-C. Association Between Melatonin Use and Cataract Risk: A Target Trial Emulation Retrospective Cohort Study. Antioxidants. 2025; 14(8):1016. https://doi.org/10.3390/antiox14081016
Chicago/Turabian StyleHung, Cheng-Hsien, Jing-Yang Huang, Yu-Chien Hung, Min-Yen Hsu, and James Cheng-Chung Wei. 2025. "Association Between Melatonin Use and Cataract Risk: A Target Trial Emulation Retrospective Cohort Study" Antioxidants 14, no. 8: 1016. https://doi.org/10.3390/antiox14081016
APA StyleHung, C.-H., Huang, J.-Y., Hung, Y.-C., Hsu, M.-Y., & Wei, J. C.-C. (2025). Association Between Melatonin Use and Cataract Risk: A Target Trial Emulation Retrospective Cohort Study. Antioxidants, 14(8), 1016. https://doi.org/10.3390/antiox14081016