Long-Term Outcomes of Early Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening: Prevalence and Diagnostic Stability in a Decade-Long Cohort from Türkiye
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Ethics Approval
2.2. Participants and Sampling Procedure
2.3. Assessment Tool and Administration
Modified Checklist for Autism with Follow-Up Interview (M-CHAT-R/F)
2.4. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Strengths and Limitations
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| EPSIM | Early Psychosocial Problems Identification Model |
| ASD | Autism Spectrum Disorder |
| DSM-5-TR | Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition, Text Revision |
| M-CHAT-R/F | The Modified Checklist for Autism in Toddlers, Revised with Follow-Up |
| HCWs | Healthcare Workers |
| FMUs | Family Medicine Units |
| CDMFSU | The Child Development Monitoring and Family Support Unit |
| NDDMU | The Neurodevelopmental Disorders Diagnostic and Monitoring Unit |
Appendix A
Appendix A.1. EPSIM

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| Variables | % (n)/MEAN ± SD |
|---|---|
| Child Age (years) | 3.1 ± 1.1 |
| Gender | |
| Male | 52.9% (n = 1047) |
| Number of Siblings | 2.3 ± 1.1 |
| Birth Order | |
| First-born | 39.8% (n = 789) |
| Maternal Age (years) | 32.1 ± 5.5 |
| Paternal Age (years) | 36.2 ± 5.9 |
| Maternal Health Status | |
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 13.2% (n = 261) |
| Parental Health Status | |
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 7.3% (n = 144) |
| Maternal Occupation | |
| Homemaker | 74.8% (n = 1481) |
| Household Income Level | |
| Low | 4.0% (n = 80) |
| Maternal Education (years) | 10.2 ± 4.5 |
| Parental Education (years) | 12.2 ± 3.9 |
| Maternal Health-Related Habit (e.g., smoking, alcohol) | 11.8% (n = 233) |
| Paternal Health-Related Habit (e.g., smoking, alcohol) | 49.5% (n = 981) |
| Variables | Children at Risk for ASD (n = 27) n (%)/MEAN ± SD | Children Not at Risk for ASD (n = 1954) n (%)/M ± SD | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Child Age (years) a | 2.8 ± 1.1 | 3.1 ± 1.1 | 0.162 |
| Gender b | |||
| Male | 23 (85.2%) | 1024 (52.4%) | <0.001 |
| Number of Siblings a | 1.7 ± 0.7 | 2.3 ± 1.1 | <0.001 |
| Birth Order b | |||
| First-born | 16 (59.3%) | 773 (39.9%) | 0.044 |
| Maternal Age (years) a | 30.4 ± 7.5 | 32.1 ± 5.4 | 0.114 |
| Paternal Age (years) a | 34.8 ± 4.3 | 36.2 ± 5.9 | 0.264 |
| Maternal Health Status b | |||
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 3 (11.1%) | 258 (13.4%) | 0.733 |
| Paternal Health Status b | |||
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 1 (3.7%) | 143 (7.4%) | 0.463 |
| Maternal Occupation b | |||
| Homemaker | 13 (48.1%) | 1468 (76.1%) | 0.002 |
| Household Income Level b | |||
| Low | 2 (7.4%) | 78 (4.0%) | 0.126 |
| Maternal Education (years) a | 11.9 ± 4.5 | 10.2 ± 4.5 | 0.043 |
| Paternal Education (years) a | 12.7 ± 4.2 | 12.2 ± 3.9 | 0.520 |
| Maternal Health-Related Habit b (smoking/alcohol) | 5 (18.5%) | 228 (11.8%) | 0.211 |
| Paternal Health-Related Habit b (smoking/alcohol) | 13 (48.1%) | 968 (50.2%) | 0.491 |
| Variables | Children at risk for ASD (n = 11) n (%)/MEAN ± SD | Children Not at Risk for ASD (n = 13) n (%)/M ± SD | p Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Child Age (years) a | 2.4 ± 0.6 | 3.2 ± 1.3 | 0.434 |
| Gender b | |||
| Male | 10 (90.9%) | 12 (92.3%) | 0.904 |
| Number of Siblings a | 1.7 ± 0.6 | 1.84 ± 0.80 | 0.817 |
| Birth Order b | |||
| First-born | 6 (54.5%) | 8 (61.5%) | 0.977 |
| Maternal Age (years) a | 32.7 ± 6.1 | 28.8 ± 8.1 | 0.322 |
| Paternal Age (years) a | 35.5 ± 3.9 | 34.2 ± 4.8 | 0.617 |
| Maternal Health Status b | |||
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 1 (9.1%) | 1 (7.7%) | 0.904 |
| Paternal Health Status b | |||
| Presence of Chronic Illness | 1 (9.1%) | 0 (0%) | 0.277 |
| Maternal Occupation b | |||
| Homemaker | 5 (45.5%) | 7 (53.8%) | 0.500 |
| Household Income Level b | |||
| Low | 2 (18.2%) | 0 (0%) | 0.551 |
| Maternal Education (years) a | 11.9 ± 5.1 | 12 ± 3.9 | 0.742 |
| Paternal Education (years) a | 12.1 ± 3.8 | 12.9 ± 4.8 | 0.439 |
| Maternal Health-Related Habit b (smoking/alcohol) | 2 (18.2%) | 3 (23.1%) | 0.773 |
| Paternal Health-Related Habit b (smoking/alcohol) | 5 (45.5%) | 7 (53.8%) | 0.500 |
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Esin, İ.S.; Demirdöğen, E.Y.; Akıncı, M.A.; Turan, B.; Ürük, G.T.K.; Ucuz, İ.İ.; Dursun, O.B. Long-Term Outcomes of Early Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening: Prevalence and Diagnostic Stability in a Decade-Long Cohort from Türkiye. Brain Sci. 2026, 16, 62. https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16010062
Esin İS, Demirdöğen EY, Akıncı MA, Turan B, Ürük GTK, Ucuz İİ, Dursun OB. Long-Term Outcomes of Early Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening: Prevalence and Diagnostic Stability in a Decade-Long Cohort from Türkiye. Brain Sciences. 2026; 16(1):62. https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16010062
Chicago/Turabian StyleEsin, İbrahim Selçuk, Esen Yıldırım Demirdöğen, Mehmet Akif Akıncı, Bahadır Turan, Gülsüm Tuğba Korkmaz Ürük, İlknur İbili Ucuz, and Onur Burak Dursun. 2026. "Long-Term Outcomes of Early Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening: Prevalence and Diagnostic Stability in a Decade-Long Cohort from Türkiye" Brain Sciences 16, no. 1: 62. https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16010062
APA StyleEsin, İ. S., Demirdöğen, E. Y., Akıncı, M. A., Turan, B., Ürük, G. T. K., Ucuz, İ. İ., & Dursun, O. B. (2026). Long-Term Outcomes of Early Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening: Prevalence and Diagnostic Stability in a Decade-Long Cohort from Türkiye. Brain Sciences, 16(1), 62. https://doi.org/10.3390/brainsci16010062

