Analysis of the Effectiveness of Promotion Strategies of Social Platforms for the Elderly with Different Levels of Digital Literacy
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Differentiated Elderly Population
2.2. Social Platform Adoption
2.3. Theoretical Gaps and Research Questions
3. Empirical Study
4. Descriptions of the Process of Platform Adoption and Model Design
4.1. Different States for the Elderly
4.2. State Transition Rules for the Elderly
4.2.1. State 1 to State 2
4.2.2. State 2 to State 3
4.2.3. Follow-Up Activities for the Elderly in State 3
5. Design of the Simulation Experiment
6. Simulation Results
6.1. Model Validation
6.2. Sensitivity Tests
6.2.1. Varying the Proportions of PIRs
6.2.2. Varying Strategy Indexes among Different Proportions of PIRs
- Varying the index related to value output
- Varying service quality
- Varying interaction times
- 2.
- Varying indexes related to information diffusion
- Varying seed number
- Varying reach of mass media
- 3.
- Varying proportions of opinion leaders
7. Discussion
7.1. Theoretical Implications
7.2. Practical Implications
7.3. Limitations and Future Research
8. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Author (Year) | Samples | User Characteristics |
---|---|---|
Pescher et al. (2014) [42] | cellphone consumers | demographics |
Chae et al. (2017) [43] | social network users, | interaction persuasiveness |
Amini et al. (2012) [44] | consumers | / |
Libai et al. (2013) [45] | social network users, | interaction persuasiveness |
Nejad et al. (2015) [46] | social network users, | personal preferences |
El Zarwi et al. (2017) [47] | vehicle users | innovativeness |
Niamir et al. (2018) [48] | energy users | demographics |
Chica and Rand (2017) [40] | game platform users | / |
Barbuto et al. (2019) [49] | farmers | / |
Stephen and Lehmann (2016) [39] | consumers | connectivity |
Questions | Answers |
---|---|
Q1: You can use the internet to find information you need. | (a) Yes (b) No |
Q2: Why can’t you find the information you need? (skip if you answered yes in Q1) | (a) Unable to use web browsers and search tools. (b) Unable to judge the reliability of the information online (c) Other reasons |
Q3: Where did you get information about these social platforms? (more answers possible) | (a) Friends (b) Relatives (c) Someone else (d) Mass media (advertisement or e-WOMs from strangers) |
Q4: Your own judgments are important when you are active online. (10-point scale) | 1–10 (from extremely not important to extremely important) |
Q5: Other people’s choices are important when you are acting online. (10-point scale) | 1–10 (from extremely not important to extremely important) |
Q6: You own judgments are important when you’re active online once you have acquired necessary information from authoritative sources such as opinion leaders. (10-point scale) (skip if you are an AIS) | 1–10 (from extremely not important to extremely important) |
Q7: How likely do you sway your own judgment about service or product online when interacting with others holding different opinions? | 1–10 (from extremely impossible to extremely possible) |
Q8: If you have acquired necessary information from authoritative sources such as opinion leaders, how likely do you sway your own judgment about services or products online when interacting with others holding different opinions? (skip if you are an AIS) | 1–10 (from extremely impossible to extremely possible) |
Q9: When do you usually talk about the platform with others? | (a) After participating in platform interactions (receiving services, participating in platform tasks or topic discussions, etc.) (b) Other situations |
Q10: How many friends have you told about the platform? | (a) 0 (b) 1 (c) 2 (d) 3 (e) 4 or more |
Q11: It is easy for you to convince others of your point of view. | 1–10 (from extremely agree to extremely disagree) |
Q12: How often do you talk to people around you about the platform interactions you’re involved in? | 1–10 (from never to always) |
Q13: In which ways do you think you can become an opinion leader? | (a) Being educated by an opinion leader (b) Learn by yourself (c) Others (d) Impossible |
Description | Parameter | Values | Assumption |
---|---|---|---|
Simulation runs | NA | 100 | To make our results more robust, the authors run 100 simulation runs per condition and calculate the average of the different runs |
Time steps of the simulation run | NA | 180 | Assuming that each step represents 1 day, the promotion period is 180 days. In addition, according to the experimental results, the additional spread after 180 steps, although adding only a small number of consumers, greatly increases the number of steps |
Proportion of PIRs | 30%;50%; 70% Default values: 50% | According to Quan-Haase et al. (2018) [15] and Vulpe and Crăciun (2020) [17] | |
Weight of the normal influences of AISs | N (0.6, 0.1) | According to our empirical study | |
Weight of the normal influences of PIRs before being educated by OL | N (0.9, 0.01) | PIRs lack confidence in their personal judgment of service and rely more on social norms as a signal of service quality | |
Weight of the normal influences of PIRs before being educated by OL | N (0.6, 0.1) | According to our empirical study, PIRs acquire confidence in their personal judgment of service and have a similar weight of normative influence as AISs | |
Individual’s original judgment about the quality of service of AISs | N (Q0, 0.2) Max: 1 Min: 0 | According to Van Eck et al. (2011) [19], individuals with adequate information from multiple sources are good at making judgments | |
Individual’s original judgment about the quality of service of PIRs | U (0, 1) | According to Van Eck et al. (2011) [19], individuals with limited information have a random judgment | |
Individuals’ utility threshold | U (0, 1) | According to Delre et al. (2007) [24] and Van Eck et al. (2011) [19] | |
The influence weight of opinion leaders who transmit information | U (0.8, 1) | Opinion leaders transfer more concrete and precise information and are adept at persuading others [55] | |
The influence weight of nonleaders who transmit information | U (0, 1) | The influence of nonleaders is random and lower than that of opinion leaders | |
The coefficient of uncertainty of AISs when interacting with others | U (0, 0.5) | According to Deffuant et al. (2000) [54] | |
The coefficient of uncertainty of -PIRs when interacting with others | 1 or U (0, 0.5) | PIRs easily sway their original opinion before they acquire adequate information from authoritative sources | |
The forwarding probability of opinion leaders | U (0.8, 1) | Opinion leaders are keen on sharing knowledge with others [19] | |
The forwarding probability of nonleaders | U (0, 1) | The probability that nonleaders spread WOM after each interaction is random and lower than that of opinion leaders [55] | |
Service quality | From 0.5 to 0.9 Default values 0.6 | The service meets the needs of most people | |
Seed number | From 2–20 Default values: 10 | According to Delre et al. (2007) [19] and Van Eck et al. (2011) [19] | |
Reach of mass media | From 0.0002 to 0.002 Default values: 0.001 | The mass media campaign is not strong for an emerging platform. The authors determine its default value according to Delre et al. (2007) [19] and Van Eck et al. (2011) [19] | |
Interaction times | From 20 to 180 Default values: 180 | The interaction between social platforms is very intensive | |
Proportion of opinion leaders | From 2%~20% Default values: 10% | According to Goldsmith (2004) [57] and Watts and Dodds (2007) [58] |
Equation | Model Summary | Parameter Estimates | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R Square | F | df1 | df2 | Sig. | Constant | b1 | |
Logarithmic | 0.948 | 3273.083 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | −0.132 | 0.092 |
Compound | 0.592 | 258.241 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | 0.102 | 1.009 |
S | 0.548 | 215.861 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | −1.318 | −4.951 |
Growth | 0.592 | 258.241 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | −2.282 | 0.009 |
Exponential | 0.592 | 258.241 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | 0.102 | 0.009 |
Logistic | 0.592 | 258.241 | 1 | 178 | 0.000 | 9.800 | 0.991 |
Parameters | Final Market Penetration |
---|---|
POL | 0.058 *** |
(0.005) | |
PP = 30%(bn) | |
PP = 40% | −0.043 *** |
(0.001) | |
PP = 50% | −0.084 *** |
(0.001) | |
PP = 60% | −0.124 *** |
(0.001) | |
PP = 70% | −0.174 *** |
(0.001) | |
PP = 30%* POL (bn) | |
PP = 40%* POL | 0.099 *** |
(0.007) | |
PP = 50%* POL | 0.146 *** |
(0.007) | |
PP = 60%* POL | 0.044 *** |
(0.006) | |
PP = 70%* POL | 0.054 *** |
(0.006) | |
_cons | 0.418 *** |
(0.000) | |
Obs. | 10498 |
R-squared | 0.990 |
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Xu, X.; Mei, Y.; Sun, Y.; Zhu, X. Analysis of the Effectiveness of Promotion Strategies of Social Platforms for the Elderly with Different Levels of Digital Literacy. Appl. Sci. 2021, 11, 4312. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11094312
Xu X, Mei Y, Sun Y, Zhu X. Analysis of the Effectiveness of Promotion Strategies of Social Platforms for the Elderly with Different Levels of Digital Literacy. Applied Sciences. 2021; 11(9):4312. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11094312
Chicago/Turabian StyleXu, Xiaoyan, Yi Mei, Yanhong Sun, and Xiaoli Zhu. 2021. "Analysis of the Effectiveness of Promotion Strategies of Social Platforms for the Elderly with Different Levels of Digital Literacy" Applied Sciences 11, no. 9: 4312. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11094312
APA StyleXu, X., Mei, Y., Sun, Y., & Zhu, X. (2021). Analysis of the Effectiveness of Promotion Strategies of Social Platforms for the Elderly with Different Levels of Digital Literacy. Applied Sciences, 11(9), 4312. https://doi.org/10.3390/app11094312