How Information Framing Nudges Acceptance of China’s Delayed Retirement Policy: A Moderated Mediation Model of Anchoring Effects and Perceived Fairness
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature Review and Research Hypothesis
2.1. Policy Acceptance
- Perceptions of policies and their attributes, such as benefits, costs, effectiveness, and fairness [10]. The perceived fairness of a policy emerges as a paramount influence of its acceptance [10,13,14,15,16]. A thematic analysis was conducted by scholars on over 60 policy articles related to environmental taxes, and it was found that people are more likely to support environmental policies when they perceive the policy to be fair in terms of cost distribution and social sharing [17].
- Contextual factors of policy acceptance, such as media exposure [18,19] and information framing [20]. Research from Sweden indicated higher public acceptance of a carbon tax policy following the release of the documentary “An Inconvenient Truth” and the publication of “Stern Review” [21]. During the COVID-19 crisis, positive media framing of expert predictions on GDP growth bolstered support for pandemic policies, especially among those expecting an economic downturn [22]. This accentuates the pivotal role of information framing in shaping public opinion and supporting government policies.
2.2. Attribute Framing Effect and Its Impact on Persuasion
2.3. The Impact of Perceived Fairness on Policy Acceptance and the Framing Effect
2.4. The Anchoring Effect and Its Impact on Persuasion
3. Research Methodology
3.1. Research Design
3.2. Research Overview
4. Study 1
4.1. Participants
4.2. Procedure and Measures
4.3. Result
4.3.1. Manipulation Check
4.3.2. The Main Effect
5. Study 2
5.1. Participants
5.2. Procedure and Measures
5.3. Result
5.3.1. Manipulation Check
5.3.2. The Main Effect
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions
7.1. Implications
7.2. Limitations and Future Research
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Groups | Scenario | Material Content |
---|---|---|
1 | The positive frame (fact presentation framing) | Currently, China’s statutory retirement age follows the standards set in 1951: 60 years old for men and 50 for female workers. However, the average starting age for China’s young workforce has been steadily delayed, with an average education duration extending to 13.7 years. The average life expectancy has also increased from around 40 years at the founding of New China to 78.2 years in 2021. Furthermore, adjusting the legal retirement age can alleviate the tax burden on young workers. Hence, in order to optimize policies based on actual social conditions, the Chinese government has proposed a “progressive delayed retirement policy”. During the retirement policy reform, differences among groups will be considered, individuals will be given more flexibility to choose early retirement, and the approach of delaying the retirement age by several months annually will be progressively implemented. |
2 | The negative frame (problem description framing) | Currently, China is confronted with numerous societal issues such as an aging population, pension fund deficits, and the diminishing demographic dividend. A recent report from the Chinese Academy of Sciences indicates that China’s pension fund will face expenditure exceeding income by 2028 and will run into a deficit by 2035. The prevailing legal retirement age in China is 60 for men and 50 for female workers. It is estimated that for every year the retirement age is delayed, the pension gap can be reduced by 20 billion yuan. Hence, to address the pension fund deficit and other related issues, the Chinese government has proposed a “progressive delayed retirement policy”. During the retirement policy reform, differences among groups will be considered, individuals will be given more flexibility to choose early retirement, and the approach of delaying the retirement age by several months annually will be progressively implemented. |
Groups | Scenario | Material Content |
---|---|---|
1 | With anchor (international perspective) | Since 2021, in the socialist country of Vietnam, the retirement age for men has been 60 years and 3 months, and for women, it has been 55 years and 4 months. Following this, every year the retirement age for men is delayed by 3 months, and for women by 4 months. By 2028, the retirement age in Vietnam will be 62 for men and 57 years and 8 months for women. |
2 | Without anchor (domestic perspective) | Since 2008, there have been calls in our country for the optimization of retirement policies. Only by 2021 was a clear proposal introduced to gradually delay the statutory retirement age. During the First Session of the 14th National People’s Congress in March 2023, Premier Li Keqiang stated in response to a journalist’s question that the delayed retirement policy would be rolled out at an appropriate time. |
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Variables | Levels | Study 1 (N = 225) | Study 2 (N = 383) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
N | % | N | % | ||
Gender | Male | 125 | 55.6% | 199 | 52.0% |
Female | 100 | 44.4% | 184 | 48.0% | |
Age | 16–25 | 54 | 24.0% | 80 | 20.9% |
26–35 | 64 | 28.4% | 115 | 30.0% | |
36–45 | 46 | 20.4% | 86 | 22.5% | |
46–55 | 44 | 19.6% | 78 | 20.4% | |
56–65 | 17 | 7.6% | 24 | 6.3% | |
Education level | Junior high School or below | 33 | 14.7% | 54 | 14.1% |
High school/vocational secondary school | 52 | 23.1% | 76 | 19.8% | |
Bachelor’s degree/ Associate degree | 113 | 50.2% | 199 | 52.0% | |
Master’s degree or above | 27 | 12.0% | 54 | 14.1% | |
Job position | Unemployed | 32 | 14.2% | 59 | 15.4% |
Management | 65 | 28.9% | 127 | 33.2% | |
Non-management | 128 | 56.9% | 197 | 51.4% |
Experimental Scenario | Policy Acceptance | M ± SD | t | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
Positive frame (N = 112) | Pre-acceptance | 3.14 ± 2.04 | 8.20 | <0.001 |
Post-acceptance | 3.89 ± 1.97 | |||
Negative frame (N = 113) | Pre-acceptance | 3.15 ± 1.85 | 0.05 | 0.96 |
Post-acceptance | 3.15 ± 1.72 |
Acceptance) | B | SE | LLCI | ULCI |
---|---|---|---|---|
Direct effect of X on Y | 0.35 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.53 |
Indirect effect of X on Y | 0.39 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.59 |
Total effect of X on Y | 0.74 | 0.12 | 0.51 | 0.98 |
Perceived Fairness | Post-Acceptance | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
β(SE) | t | β(SE) | t | |
Framing | 0.73 (0.17) *** | 4.22 | 0.31 (0.08) *** | 3.76 |
Perceived fairness | 0.48 (0.03) *** | 16.06 | ||
Anchoring | 0.66 (0.17) *** | 3.84 | ||
Framing × anchoring | 0.55 (0.24) * | 2.24 | ||
Pre-acceptance | 0.34 (0.03) *** | 10.98 | 0.62 (0.02) *** | 27.94 |
R2 | 0.3958 | 0.8365 | ||
F | 61.90 *** | 646.22 *** |
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Zeng, W.; Zhao, L.; Zhao, W.; Zhang, Y. How Information Framing Nudges Acceptance of China’s Delayed Retirement Policy: A Moderated Mediation Model of Anchoring Effects and Perceived Fairness. Behav. Sci. 2024, 14, 45. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14010045
Zeng W, Zhao L, Zhao W, Zhang Y. How Information Framing Nudges Acceptance of China’s Delayed Retirement Policy: A Moderated Mediation Model of Anchoring Effects and Perceived Fairness. Behavioral Sciences. 2024; 14(1):45. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14010045
Chicago/Turabian StyleZeng, Weixi, Lixia Zhao, Wenlong Zhao, and Yijing Zhang. 2024. "How Information Framing Nudges Acceptance of China’s Delayed Retirement Policy: A Moderated Mediation Model of Anchoring Effects and Perceived Fairness" Behavioral Sciences 14, no. 1: 45. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14010045
APA StyleZeng, W., Zhao, L., Zhao, W., & Zhang, Y. (2024). How Information Framing Nudges Acceptance of China’s Delayed Retirement Policy: A Moderated Mediation Model of Anchoring Effects and Perceived Fairness. Behavioral Sciences, 14(1), 45. https://doi.org/10.3390/bs14010045