1. Introduction
Hay is a major component of the equine diet, and its quality can significantly impact equine health, particularly of the respiratory system [
1,
2]. Poor-quality hay, particularly if contaminated with harmful microorganisms or debris, has been associated with airway inflammation and the development of equine asthma, a common respiratory condition among horses, affecting up to 50% in certain regions [
3,
4].
Hay quality is influenced by both its composition and potential contamination. It is important to differentiate between field flora—microorganisms naturally present on plants during growth—and spoilage flora, which proliferates under poor harvesting or storage conditions and may pose greater risks to respiratory health [
5,
6]. Contaminants can be classified into biological (toxic plants, dust, insects, bacteria, toxins), chemical (fertilizers, heavy metals, etc.), and physical (sand, glass, etc.) [
7]. Among these, biological contaminants are of particular concern due to their presence in respirable organic dust. Inhalation of such organic dust—including mold spores, bacterial endotoxins present in fine particulate matter (PM)—has been widely recognized as a major contributor to lower airway inflammation and asthma exacerbation in horses [
6,
8,
9]. The impact of these contaminants on respiratory health depends largely on the size of the airborne particles, which determines how deeply they can penetrate into the respiratory tract. These PM fractions describe the thoracic fraction (PM10, <10 μm) reaching the trachea and bronchi, the respirable fraction (PM4, <4 μm) reaching the bronchioles and the alveolar fractions (PM2.5 and PM1, <2.5 and <1 μm, respectively) that penetrate to the alveoli.
Experimental studies using dusty or moldy hay or nebulized hay dust suspensions consistently replicate the clinical and inflammatory features of equine asthma, especially in susceptible individuals [
10,
11,
12]. Particles smaller than 4 μm (PM4) are especially hazardous, as they can reach the distal airways and trigger inflammatory responses [
11,
13,
14,
15,
16]. A previous study found a positive association between visually apparent dust and elevated respirable particle levels, with dusty or moldy hay releasing significantly more PM compared to visually clean hay [
17]. Mold spores and bacterial endotoxins in hay dust are widely recognized as key etiological components of this syndrome [
18,
19,
20,
21,
22,
23]. Among mold species,
Aspergillus fumigatus is particularly relevant, as this mold produces spores capable of triggering severe asthma symptoms [
14,
24].
Two primary methodologies are employed to assess hay quality: sensory examination (also called organoleptic) and microbiological analysis. Sensory assessments, such as the protocol for sensory examination of roughage [
25], offer practical advantages due to ease and speed, allowing early identification of potentially problematic forage. However, sensory examinations are inherently subjective and may fail to detect subtle microbiological contamination or quantify dust exposure accurately. Consequently, microbiological analyses, referencing established standards (Verband Deutscher Landwirtschaftlicher Untersuchungs und Forschungsanstalten, VDLUFA) [
26], represent the gold standard to quantitatively evaluate bacterial, fungal, and yeast contents in hay samples.
The relationship between sensory evaluation and objective measures of hay quality remains poorly defined. Previous studies examining agreement between sensory and microbiological assessments yielded mixed results. Intemann et al. [
14] found moderate correlations between sensory-detected abnormal odor and microbiological contamination levels, whereas Stickdorn et al. [
27] reported weaker associations overall but noted trends relating sensory deficiencies to mold and yeast contamination. Importantly, no studies have directly examined whether sensory evaluation can predict dust release, despite its relevance for equine respiratory health. Thus, the practical value of sensory assessment as a predictive tool for hay safety remains uncertain.
This exploratory study aims to investigate the value of specific sensory attributes assessed using the adapted Kamphues protocol [
25] to predict objective measures of hay quality, specifically dust concentrations and microbiological contamination. We hypothesized that certain sensory attributes would be positively associated with higher dust concentrations and greater microbiological contamination. By exploring sensory examination as a predictive tool, this research seeks to enhance the practical applicability of simple on-site evaluations for routine hay screening, thereby contributing to improved equine respiratory health management and prevention strategies.
3. Results
3.1. Descriptive Statistics
3.1.1. Sensory Examination
Out of 50 evaluated hay samples, according to Rating 1, 28% (n = 14) were classified as adequate, 52% (n = 26) exhibited minor deficiencies, 16% (n = 8) had major deficiencies, and 4% (n = 2) demonstrated massive deficiencies.
For Rating 2, the vast majority of hay samples (98%, 49 out of 50) scored within the acceptable range for each sensory criterion: odor (0 to −5), texture (0 to −2), color (0 to −2), and impurities (0 to −5). Only 2% (1 sample) showed deficiencies with more negative scores in all categories: odor (−5.5 to −10), texture (−2.5 to −5), color (−2.5 to −5), and impurities (−5.5 to −20).
For Rating 3, which classifies sensory criteria as acceptable (0) or problematic (1), the proportion of hay samples rated problematic was odor 52% (26/50), texture 62% (31/50), color 62% (31/50), and impurities 80% (40/50). The remaining samples were classified as acceptable, corresponding to 48%, 38%, 38%, and 20%, respectively.
3.1.2. Microbiological Analysis
The microbiological analyses indicated substantial variability among samples. Overall, 46% (n = 23 grade 1) of hay samples were classified within normal microbiological quality limits. Slightly reduced quality was observed in 30% (n = 15 grade 2), distinctly reduced quality in 6% (n = 3 grade 3), and significantly altered quality in 18% (n = 9 grade 4) of the samples.
As shown in
Table 4, hay samples with a score of 2 most frequently exceeded guideline values for field flora indicators, in particular for molds (80%) and AMB (20%), while yeasts were also commonly elevated (53%). As expected, samples with scores of 3 and 4 showed more frequent deviations in spoilage-related microorganisms. Among score 4 samples, 89% exceeded limits for spoilage-associated molds, 11% for spoilage-associated AMB, and 11% for Mucorales. These results indicate a shift from field flora exceedances at score 2 toward spoilage-related contamination at higher sensory scores.
3.2. Agreement of Sensory Examination Scores Between the Two Examiners
To evaluate consistency between the two examiners, Kendall’s tau-b was used, showing a strong correlation (τ = 0.842). An exact Wilcoxon signed-rank test revealed a small but significant difference between scores (p = 0.037), indicating a systematic divergence despite overall agreement, with one examiner tending to assign more severe scores than the other.
3.3. Regression Analyses: Sensory Predictors of Dust Concentrations
Rating 1, Rating 2 and Rating 3 were evaluated as predictors for dust concentration. A total of nine regression models (
Supplementary Tables S1–S5) were constructed, varying in the combination of sensory predictors included. Across all PM fractions, models including binary sensory traits (Rating 3) consistently outperformed those based on the global score (Rating 1) or continuous sub-scores (Rating 2).
The best-performing model for PM1, PM2.5, PM4 and PMT, based on the BIC, included only “odor2”. From all the binary Rating 3 predictors, abnormal odor thus emerged as the most robust and consistent indicator of increased dust, explaining 30–40% of the variance (adjusted R2 values ranging from 0.31 to 0.40) across all PM fractions. Models including “Impurities2” yielded similar BIC values but did not offer significant improvement (p > 0.05) for these fractions, suggesting that impurity could play a role, though the limited number of data points may have influenced these results.
For PM10, however, impurity2 significantly improved model performance and was retained alongside odor, suggesting an additive effect. In contrast, texture and color provided limited predictive value across all PM fraction outcomes.
To illustrate,
Table 5 presents both the initial full model (including all four binary variables) and the final model (odor2 only) for PM4.
Figure 2 illustrates this relationship for PM4 and PMT, with significantly higher dust levels observed in hay samples rated as having abnormal odor.
3.4. Regression Analyses: Sensory Predictors of Microbiological Quality
A total of ten regression models were evaluated to assess the predictive value of sensory assessment (Rating 1–3) for microbiological quality categories, as summarized in
Supplementary Table S6. The models based on the continuous scoring of the sensory components: odor, texture, color and impurities (Rating 2) provided the best overall performance, both in terms of model fit (lower BIC) and assumption validity.
The best-fitting model (
Table 6) included only impurity and showed that higher impurity levels tended to be associated with increased odds of microbiological contamination (OR = 0.541,
p = 0.059). Despite the marginal significance, the model met the proportional odds assumption.
In contrast, models incorporating binary sensory variables (odor2, texture2, color2, impurities2) exhibited higher BIC values, indicating poorer model fit and violated the parallel regression assumption, which assumes that the relationship between the predictor variables and the outcome is the same across all levels of the outcome variable. Moreover, these binary variables were not statistically significant, suggesting that they do not contribute effectively to the prediction of microbiological contamination.
4. Discussion
The increasing importance of equine asthma and its links to environmental organic dust exposures underlines the need for practical and reliable tools to assess forage quality. This study addressed whether simple sensory examination could predict dust concentration and microbiological contamination in hay samples. Our findings suggest that sensory examination, particularly assessment of abnormal odor, effectively predicts dust exposure across all PM fractions, while impurities may be useful for predicting microbiological contamination.
To our knowledge, this is the first systematic study to correlate structured sensory scoring with objective dust measures across a substantial number of hay samples. Among the sensory parameters assessed, abnormal odor consistently emerged as the most robust predictor of increased dust concentrations, across all PM fractions, explaining 30–40% of the variance. This specifically included the respirable particle fraction (PM4), which has been shown to be particularly relevant as a risk factor of equine asthma [
15]. This observation aligns with previous reports indicating sensory detection of musty or moldy odors typically reflects deviating germ counts [
14], mold contamination [
14,
24] and elevated respirable dust concentrations [
17]. The clinical manifestation of respiratory signs, such as coughing, has been associated with elevated mold levels in the environment, particularly in hay and stable air, with
Aspergillus spp. identified as a relevant respiratory allergen and potential trigger of equine asthma [
14,
37]. While odor assessment like all sensory examination is subjective, its consistent association with PM levels suggests it holds diagnostic value for identifying hay that may pose respiratory risks.
Similarly, visible impurities, including molds, beetles, and mites, were found to be associated with microbiological contamination and showed predictive potential for PM10 concentrations, with near-significant associations for other PM fractions. This dual role supports the utility of the impurity assessment not only for identifying microbial spoilage but also for estimating dust exposure. However, the presence of such impurities does not always reflect deficiencies likely to influence dust concentration or microbiological contamination. For instance, the presence of autumn crocus (
Colchicum autumnalis) does not necessarily indicate such issues. Similarly, blister beetles (not found in temperate climates as in Switzerland) could be directly harmful to horses. Moreover, only a limited number of hay samples with marked impurity levels were included in the study; nevertheless, these samples showed a clear trend. While our results align with Intemann et al. [
14], who reported similar associations between sensory examination and microbiological analysis, it is important to note that their study included a detailed analysis of individual microbial groups (e.g., aerobic bacteria, molds and yeasts). In contrast, we focused our statistical analyses on the overall microbiological classification (grades 1 to 4) according to the VDLUFA system [
26]. This classification is itself derived from the quantified exceedance of threshold values in at least one microbial category (e.g., molds, yeasts or aerobic mesophilic bacteria), thereby integrating multiple contamination indicators into a single score. While we conducted descriptive analyses of these subcategories (
Table 4), we did not formally model their individual associations with sensory scores. This approach allowed us to simplify the interpretation while maintaining a quantitative and standardized assessment of microbiological quality.
The microbiological profile of hay is influenced by harvest and storage conditions [
25]. While the largest proportion of hay samples was graded as adequate (grade 1), in our study, the second largest group of hay samples with a grade 2 classification (slightly reduced) were most commonly dominated by field flora components, including molds and aerobic mesophilic bacteria (AMB) which reflect the normal environmental microbiota acquired during harvest. Their overrepresentation in these samples suggests suboptimal harvest conditions, such as high humidity or mechanical damage, rather than significant spoilage. Although not strictly part of the field flora, yeasts are commonly found in these samples and can proliferate under damp or anaerobic conditions, indicating suboptimal storage. In contrast, grades 3 and 4, which combined were assigned to almost a quarter of all hay samples, were primarily characterized by spoilage-indicating organisms, including principally molds, AMB and Mucorales, reflecting advanced microbial degradation during storage under poor conditions (elevated humidity, heat or physical damage, i.e., crushing, trampling, or fragmentation). This microbial shift is accompanied by a decrease in species diversity and an increase in spoilage-indicating bacteria and molds, along with sensory changes like musty or putrid odors and visible degradation [
7]. These findings illustrate how the VDLUFA classification [
26] link microbial contamination levels to hay quality, providing insight into harvest- and storage-related microbial risks.
While sensory assessment is based on seemingly simple traits such as odor and visible impurities, these attributes reflect complex biological processes—such as the production of volatile organic compounds by molds or bacteria during storage, or the presence of microbial and physical contaminants. Despite its simplicity and subjectivity, sensory evaluation offers an accessible, rapid, and cost-effective screening tool for daily use in stables, especially where laboratory diagnostics are not readily available. Standardized scoring systems such as the Kamphues protocol [
25] can enhance its practicality and reproducibility. Although sensory assessment cannot replace precise dust measurements or comprehensive microbiological analyses, our findings suggest it holds value as a frontline screening method to help identify hay potentially unsuitable for horses at risk of equine asthma.
However, the limited predictive value of the sensory criteria texture and color highlights the need for careful interpretation. Possibly, abnormal “musty” odor may be an early sign of spoilage, preceding changes in color or texture. Furthermore, the subjective nature of these attributes potentially accounts for their weak correlations with microbiological contamination, echoing Stickdorn et al.’s [
27] findings. Although overall inter-rater correlation was good, the tests revealed significant differences in severity perception between examiners, suggesting some level of rater-dependent scoring. Including a larger number of examiners in future studies could improve the assessment of inter-rater reliability and reduce individual bias. In this context, binary scoring systems, like Rating 3, which classify traits simply as normal or abnormal, may offer a more robust and reproducible alternative by reducing the influence of subjective gradation and simplifying decision-making in field conditions. Despite statistical model validation, several additional limitations must be considered. The sample size was modest, and severely contaminated hay samples were underrepresented, which may have restricted the variability observed. Moreover, no clinical respiratory health data were collected to directly link dust or microbiological levels with equine asthma. Finally, the explanatory power of our models was modest (R
2 = 0.31–0.40), indicating that although odor and impurity assessments showed predictive potential, their ability to explain dust and microbiological variability is limited. Taken together, these factors underline that the present results should be regarded as exploratory. Nevertheless, sensory assessment offers a rapid and practical screening tool that can help avoid feeding dusty or microbiologically inadequate hay to horses at risk for equine asthma.
Future research involving larger, more diverse datasets, a greater number of examiners for sensory examination, and direct clinical correlations is necessary to further refine sensory protocols to enhance predictive accuracy. While sensory scoring offers a rapid low-cost approach, to assess dust levels it should ideally be complemented by objective tools, such as a recently described wearable real-time particulate monitor [
38]. Furthermore, the present study concentrated on hay as a major dust source and contributor to lower airway inflammation. However, it would also be valuable to investigate the relationship of sensory examination with dust levels and microbiological evaluation of straw, which is commonly used as bedding material and can significantly contribute to organic dust exposure implicated in equine asthma [
39]. Notably, a survey of 46 horse farms in Switzerland, found that the hygienic standard of straw was worse than that of hay [
40]. Future research should build upon these findings to optimize sensory methods for comprehensive forage and potentially bedding quality assessment.