Construction of a Risk Assessment Model for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Invasive Fungal Diseases Post-Cardiac Surgery Based on Multivariate Analysis
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Population
2.2. Diagnostic Criteria
2.2.1. Probable Invasive Fungal Disease
2.2.2. Confirmed Candidemia
2.3. Inclusion and Exclusion Criteria
2.3.1. Inclusion Criteria
2.3.2. Exclusion Criteria
2.4. Clinical Data Collection
2.5. Statistical Analysis
2.6. Ethical Statement
3. Results
3.1. Baseline Characteristics
3.2. Results of LASSO-Logistic Regression Analysis
3.3. Development and Validation of the Predictive Model
4. Discussion
5. Limitations and Perspectives
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | Overall | Survivors | Non-Survivors | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (a) | ||||
| (N = 98) | (N = 56) | (N = 42) | ||
| Age (years, mean ± SD) | 63.1 ± 11.1 | 63.9 ± 9.4 | 62.1 ± 13.0 | 0.51 |
| Male, n (%) | 53 (54.1%) | 29 (51.8%) | 24 (57.1%) | 0.62 |
| BMI (kg/m2, mean ± SD) | 24.26 ± 4.31 | 24.40 ± 4.18 | 24.06 ± 4.53 | 0.7 |
| Smoking, n (%) | 48 (49.0%) | 14 (25.0%) | 34 (81.0%) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes mellitus, n (%) | 25 (25.5%) | 13 (23.2%) | 12 (28.6%) | 0.56 |
| Hypertension, n (%) | 62 (63.3%) | 33 (58.9%) | 29 (69.0%) | 0.32 |
| LVEF [IQR] | 0.58 (0.45,0.63) | 0.59 (0.48,0.63) | 0.55 (0.41,0.62) | 0.65 |
| NYHA class III–IV, n (%) | 93 (94.90%) | 54 (96.43%) | 39 (92.86%) | 0.65 |
| Pulmonary hypertension, median [IQR] | 29.5 [24.0–45.8] | 28.5 [22.8–42.0] | 30.0 [27.0–46.8] | 0.42 |
| (b) | ||||
| Type of surgery, n (%) | 0.95 | |||
| – Isolated CABG | 30 (30.6%) | 16 (28.6%) | 14 (33.3%) | |
| – Valve surgery (repair or replacement) | 20 (20.4%) | 11 (19.6%) | 9 (21.4%) | |
| – Combined Valve + CABG surgery | 16 (16.3%) | 9 (16.1%) | 7 (16.7%) | |
| – Thoracic aortic surgery | 24 (24.5%) | 16 (28.6%) | 8 (19.0%) | |
| – Congenital heart surgery | 2 (2.0%) | 1 (1.8%) | 1 (2.4%) | |
| – Others | 6 (6.1%) | 3 (5.4%) | 3 (7.1%) | |
| Operation time (min, Mean ± SD) | 400.05 ± 133.19 | 401.43 ± 122.45 | 398.21 ± 147.80 | 0.91 |
| Cardiopulmonary bypass time (min, mean ± SD) | 202.00 (163.50,261.50) | 199.50 (164.75,268.50) | 202.00 (154.00,233.50) | 0.57 |
| Blood transfusion (yes, n%) | 94 (95.92%) | 52 (92.86%) | 42 (100.00%) | 0.13 |
| (c) | ||||
| SOFA score, median [IQR] | 11.0 [8.0–15.0] | 9.5 [7.0–12.0] | 14.5 [11.0–17.0] | <0.001 |
| APACHE II, median [IQR] | 24.0 [18.0–29.0] | 20.0 [16.0–24.8] | 28.5 [25.0–38.0] | <0.001 |
| Use of ECMO or IABP, n (%) | 18(18.4%) | 10(17.9%) | 8(19.0%) | 0.88 |
| MAP below 70 mmHg, n (%) | 29 (29.6%) | 7 (12.5%) | 22 (52.4%) | <0.001 |
| Tachyarrhythmia, n (%) | 31 (31.6%) | 11 (19.6%) | 20 (47.6%) | 0.004 |
| AKI, n (%) | 69 (70.4%) | 32 (57.1%) | 37 (88.1%) | 0.002 |
| RRT required, n (%) | 38 (38.8%) | 15 (26.8%) | 23 (54.8%) | 0.007 |
| Hepatic dysfunction, n (%) | 69 (70.4%) | 35 (62.5%) | 34 (81.0%) | 0.06 |
| Invasive mechanical ventilation > 48 h, n (%) | 84 (85.7%) | 43 (76.8%) | 41 (97.6%) | 0.006 |
| Combination antibiotic therapy (≥2 agents), n (%) | 76 (77.6%) | 41 (73.2%) | 35 (83.3%) | 0.24 |
| ICU stay > 7 days, n (%) | 87 (88.8%) | 47 (83.9%) | 40 (95.2%) | 0.08 |
| Variable | β | SE | Wald Z | p-Value | Odds Ratio (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −4.1299 | 1.0222 | −4.04 | <0.0001 | - |
| Smoke | 1.8100 | 0.5863 | 3.09 | 0.0020 | 6.11 (1.94–19.28) |
| SOFA | 0.1636 | 0.0819 | 2.00 | 0.0457 | 1.18 (1.00–1.38) |
| MAP below 70 mmHg | 1.7174 | 0.6373 | 2.69 | 0.0070 | 5.57 (1.60–19.42) |
| Tachyarrhythmia | 1.3960 | 0.6095 | 2.29 | 0.0220 | 4.04 (1.22–13.34) |
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Wei, D.; Shen, Q.; Zhai, Q. Construction of a Risk Assessment Model for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Invasive Fungal Diseases Post-Cardiac Surgery Based on Multivariate Analysis. Pathogens 2025, 14, 1116. https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14111116
Wei D, Shen Q, Zhai Q. Construction of a Risk Assessment Model for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Invasive Fungal Diseases Post-Cardiac Surgery Based on Multivariate Analysis. Pathogens. 2025; 14(11):1116. https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14111116
Chicago/Turabian StyleWei, Dong, Qi Shen, and Qian Zhai. 2025. "Construction of a Risk Assessment Model for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Invasive Fungal Diseases Post-Cardiac Surgery Based on Multivariate Analysis" Pathogens 14, no. 11: 1116. https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14111116
APA StyleWei, D., Shen, Q., & Zhai, Q. (2025). Construction of a Risk Assessment Model for Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Invasive Fungal Diseases Post-Cardiac Surgery Based on Multivariate Analysis. Pathogens, 14(11), 1116. https://doi.org/10.3390/pathogens14111116

