Next Article in Journal
Investigating Ties between Energy Policy and Social Equity Research: A Citation Network Analysis
Previous Article in Journal
Moving People in a Changing Climate: Lessons from Two Case Studies in Fiji
Article Menu

Export Article

Open AccessArticle

Three Bizarre Presidential-Election Scenarios: The Perils of Simplism

Department of Political Science and Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Box 90420, Durham, NC 27708, USA
Soc. Sci. 2019, 8(5), 134; https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci8050134
Received: 28 March 2019 / Revised: 18 April 2019 / Accepted: 19 April 2019 / Published: 29 April 2019
  |  
PDF [322 KB, uploaded 15 May 2019]
  |  

Abstract

The 1968, 2000, and (future) 2024 U.S. presidential elections provide settings for deliberately provocative, offbeat scenarios that might have happened or could happen. Throughout, the Electoral College and plurality voting both receive blame. Scenario 1 exposes a quirk previously unnoticed: Under (albeit special) conditions, certain 1968 Humphrey voters could have made Humphrey rather than Nixon the election victor had they voted strategically for Wallace instead of Humphrey. In Scenario 2, overlooked nonidentifiability of undervotes would have plagued the 2000 Florida recount had the U.S. Supreme Court not halted it, thus raising questions about the foresightfulness of almost everyone involved; but, in addition, Gore missed an opportunity that, through use of proper statistical sampling, could have propelled him to victory. In Scenario 3, National Popular Vote Interstate Compact supporters fail to foresee that even one state, by changing its method for presidential voting, can wreck this innovative and widely promoted compact. View Full-Text
Keywords: 2000 Florida recount; Electoral College; National Popular Vote Interstate Compact; plurality voting; statistical sampling 2000 Florida recount; Electoral College; National Popular Vote Interstate Compact; plurality voting; statistical sampling
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).
SciFeed

Share & Cite This Article

MDPI and ACS Style

Potthoff, R.F. Three Bizarre Presidential-Election Scenarios: The Perils of Simplism. Soc. Sci. 2019, 8, 134.

Show more citation formats Show less citations formats

Note that from the first issue of 2016, MDPI journals use article numbers instead of page numbers. See further details here.

Related Articles

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics

1

Comments

[Return to top]
Soc. Sci. EISSN 2076-0760 Published by MDPI AG, Basel, Switzerland RSS E-Mail Table of Contents Alert
Back to Top