Assessing Temperature-Induced Changes in Arthropod Communities over One Year: A Comparative Analysis
Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
- (i)
- To assess whether changes in arthropod community structure and species composition occur after one year of elevated temperature.
- (ii)
- To identify whether temperature or grass biomass, or the combination of these, plays a significant role in these potential changes.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Experimental Design
2.3. Arthropod Sampling and Identification
2.4. Grass Sampling
2.5. Data Analysis
3. Results
3.1. OTC Influence on Grass Biomass
3.2. Effect of Year, Treatment, and Biomass
3.3. Distance-Based Redundancy Analysis
3.3.1. Middle and High Altitude Combined
3.3.2. Middle-Altitude Field
3.3.3. High-Altitude Field
4. Discussion
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| OTC | Open Top Chamber |
| dbRDA | distance-based redundancy analysis |
Appendix A
| Plots | Summer | Mid. Alt. | High. Alt. |
| Control | 2020 | 22.25 | 20.54 |
| OTC | 2020 | 23.88 | 21.43 |
| Control | 2021 | 22.02 | 20.64 |
| OTC | 2021 | 23.75 | 21.32 |
| Summer | Mid. Alt. | High. Alt. | Mean Difference Between Fields (Altitude) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1.63 | 0.9 | 1.26 |
| 2021 | 1.73 | 0.68 | 1.21 |
| Average dif. 2020 & 2021 | - | - | 1.23 |
| Mid-Alt. | C 1 | C 2 | C 3 | C 4 | C 5 | C 6 | C 7 | C 8 | C 9 | C 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 83.7 | 68.4 | 56.34 | 71.2 | 92.91 | 107.1 | 57.36 | 76.3 | 114.3 | 57.24 |
| 2021 | 67.5 | 22.6 | 53.1 | 66.9 | 49.69 | 51.6 | 21.52 | 54.4 | 47.7 | 37.8 |
| Mid-Alt. | OTC 1 | OTC 2 | OTC 3 | OTC 4 | OTC 5 | OTC 6 | OTC 7 | OTC 8 | OTC 9 | OTC 10 |
| 2020 | 53.9 | 96.21 | 70.83 | 19.2 | 75.98 | 38 | 103.7 | 118.56 | 107.8 | 63.36 |
| 2021 | 67.83 | 68.58 | 77.13 | 37.43 | 57.38 | 47.9 | 78.6 | 66.24 | 97.3 | 51.9 |
| High-Alt. | C 1 | C 2 | C 3 | C 4 | C 5 | C 6 | C 7 | C 8 | C 9 | C 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 140.75 | 143.44 | 102.89 | 145.57 | 96.35 | 153.33 | 174.11 | 160.86 | 170.05 | 110.82 |
| 2021 | 122.61 | 239.79 | 129.85 | 122.67 | 181.9 | 227.39 | 243.07 | 240.26 | 283.66 | 191.3 |
| High-Alt. | OTC 1 | OTC 2 | OTC 3 | OTC 4 | OTC 5 | OTC 6 | OTC 7 | OTC 8 | OTC 9 | OTC 10 |
| 2020 | 127.88 | 132.51 | 93.6 | 111.56 | 104.41 | 122.65 | 69.56 | 121.7 | 82.45 | 135.53 |
| 2021 | 308.7 | 255.63 | 122.55 | 255.02 | 221.37 | 285.37 | 113.9 | 182.54 | 144.99 | 187.86 |
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| Variable | What Was Tested ? | Which Model Was Used ? | Why ? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plant Biomass | Effect of Treatment and Year | LMM (Gaussian) Fixed: Treatment + Year Random: Field (Elevation) | To test how experimental warming or interannual variation affects grass biomass while accounting for differences between fields |
| Species richness (Hill q = 0) | Interannual variation in diversity | GLM (Poisson) Fixed: Year + Grass biomass | Mixed-effects models including field resulted in singular fits; a GLM was used to robustly assess temporal effects |
| Effect of experimental warming (OTC) | GLM (Poisson) Fixed: Treatment + Grass biomass | Random effects could not be reliably estimated for count data with limited grouping levels | |
| Shannon diversity (Hill q = 1) | Combined effects on diversity | LMM (Gaussian) Fixed: Treatment + Year + Grass biomass Random: Field (Elevation) | Model was not singular and allowed accounting for elevation-related grouping |
| Simpson diversity (Hill q = 2) | Combined effects on diversity | LMM (Gaussian) Fixed: Treatment + Year + Grass biomass Random: Field (Elevation) | Model was not singular and allowed accounting for elevation-related grouping |
| Diversity Index | Model | Effect | Estimate | Std. Error | t Value | p-Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon | LMM | Treatment | 0.888 | 0.652 | 1.362 | 0.177 |
| Year | 3.827 | 0.684 | 5.596 | <0.001 | ||
| Grass biomass | −0.010 | 0.007 | −1.403 | 0.165 | ||
| Simpson | LMM | Treatment | 0.672 | 0.594 | 1.131 | 0.262 |
| Year | 2.954 | 0.623 | 4.741 | <0.001 | ||
| Grass biomass | −0.010 | 0.007 | −1.462 | 0.148 | ||
| Species richness | GLM (interannual variation) | Year | 0.126 | 0.055 | 2.285 | <0.05 |
| Grass biomass | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.319 | 0.750 | ||
| Species richness | GLM (experimental warming effects) | Treatment | 0.000 | 0.054 | 0.002 | 0.999 |
| Grass biomass | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.166 | 0.868 |
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Wallon, S.; Pozsgai, G.; Borges, P.A.V.; Elias, R.B. Assessing Temperature-Induced Changes in Arthropod Communities over One Year: A Comparative Analysis. Insects 2026, 17, 265. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17030265
Wallon S, Pozsgai G, Borges PAV, Elias RB. Assessing Temperature-Induced Changes in Arthropod Communities over One Year: A Comparative Analysis. Insects. 2026; 17(3):265. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17030265
Chicago/Turabian StyleWallon, Sophie, Gabor Pozsgai, Paulo A. V. Borges, and Rui B. Elias. 2026. "Assessing Temperature-Induced Changes in Arthropod Communities over One Year: A Comparative Analysis" Insects 17, no. 3: 265. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17030265
APA StyleWallon, S., Pozsgai, G., Borges, P. A. V., & Elias, R. B. (2026). Assessing Temperature-Induced Changes in Arthropod Communities over One Year: A Comparative Analysis. Insects, 17(3), 265. https://doi.org/10.3390/insects17030265

