A Radiomics–Clinical Nomogram for Pre-Treatment Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
3. Results
3.1. Analysis of Baseline Characteristics
3.2. Survival Analysis of the Patient Cohort
3.3. Radiomics Feature Selection and Model Construction
3.4. Predictive Performance of Machine Learning Models
3.5. Multivariate Analysis Incorporating Clinical Data
3.6. Development of a Nomogram Model and Performance Validation and Comparison
3.7. SHAP Analysis of Radiomics Features
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| GR Group | PR Group | p | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | |||
| (n = 55) | (n = 128) | ||
| Sex [n (%)] | |||
| Female | 12 (21.8) | 29 (22.7) | 0.000 |
| Male | 43 (78.2) | 99 (77.3) | |
| Age [n (%)] | |||
| >60 years | 25 (45.5) | 75 (58.6) | 0.140 |
| ≤60 years | 30 (54.5) | 53 (41.4) | |
| BMI [kg/m2] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 23.3 ± 2.90 | 23.0 ± 2.69 | 0.437 |
| M (P25, P75) | 22.9 (17.6, 31.4) | 22.7 (17.6, 33.1) | |
| Treatment regimen [n (%)] | |||
| Immunotherapy | 17 (30.9) | 21 (16.4) | 0.082 |
| other | 13 (23.6) | 28 (21.9) | |
| SOX | 22 (40.0) | 62 (48.4) | |
| XELOX | 3 (5.5) | 17 (13.3) | |
| cTstage [n (%)] | |||
| 1 | 0 | 2 (1.6) | 0.014 |
| 2 | 0 | 4 (3.1) | |
| 3 | 15 (27.3) | 36 (28.1) | |
| 4a | 33 (60.0) | 84 (65.6) | |
| 4b | 7 (12.7) | 2 (1.6) | |
| cNstage [n (%)] | |||
| 0 | 0 | 3 (2.3) | 0.056 |
| 1 | 1 (1.8) | 15 (11.7) | |
| 2 | 14 (25.5) | 38 (29.7) | |
| 3 | 40 (72.7) | 72 (56.3) | |
| WBC [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 6.54 ± 2.26 | 6.22 ± 1.89 | 0.354 |
| M (P25, P75) | 5.89 (2.56, 13.8) | 5.83 (2.57, 14.0) | |
| RBC [n×1012/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 4.07± 0.801 | 4.28 ± 0.589 | 0.078 |
| M (P25, P75) | 4.03 (2.29, 5.73) | 4.32 (2.77, 6.01) | |
| PLT [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 239 ± 93.2 | 223 ± 70.8 | 0.262 |
| M (P25, P75) | 223 (107, 500) | 220 (61.0, 440) | |
| LYM [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 1.62 ± 0.565 | 1.63 ± 0.646 | 0.863 |
| M (P25, P75) | 1.54 (0.320, 3.49) | 1.54 (0.570, 4.70) | |
| NEU [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 4.21 ± 1.96 | 4.55 ± 6.05 | 0.559 |
| M (P25, P75) | 3.72 (1.35, 12.1) | 3.67 (1.56, 69.6) | |
| HB [g/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 118 ± 26.8 | 124 ± 22.6 | 0.114 |
| M (P25, P75) | 120 (58.0, 170) | 129 (51.0, 175) | |
| Ca [mmol/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 2.23 ± 0.110 | 2.23 ± 0.152 | 0.804 |
| M (P25, P75) | 2.21 (2.02, 2.47) | 2.24(1.07, 2.50) | |
| Mg [mmol/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 0.863 ± 0.0652) | 0.890 ± 0.141 | 0.071 |
| M (P25, P75) | 0.860 (0.670, 0.990) | 0.880 (0.690, 2.28) | |
| CEA [n (%)] | |||
| >5 ng/mL | 17 (30.9) | 36 (28.1) | 0.839 |
| ≤5 ng/mL | 38 (69.1) | 92 (71.9) | |
| AFP [n (%)] | |||
| >7 ng/mL | 9 (16.4) | 15 (11.7) | 0.539 |
| ≤7 ng/mL | 46 (83.6) | 113 (88.3) | |
| CA199 [n (%)] | |||
| >30 U/mL | 17 (30.9) | 27 (21.1) | 0.216 |
| ≤30 U/mL | 38 (69.1) | 101 (78.9) |
| Variable | Training Set | Validation Set | p |
|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 128) | (n = 55) | ||
| Sex [n (%)] | |||
| Female | 33 (25.8) | 8 (14.5) | 0.139 |
| Male | 95 (74.2) | 47 (85.5) | |
| AGE [n (%)] | |||
| >60 years | 69 (53.9) | 31 (56.4) | 0.885 |
| ≤60 years | 59 (46.1) | 24 (43.6) | |
| BMI [kg/m2] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 23.0 ± 2.91 | 23.2 ± 2.33 | 0.761 |
| M (P25, P75) | 22.7 (17.6, 33.1) | 22.8 (17.6, 30.7) | |
| Missing | 10 (7.8) | 7 (12.7) | |
| Treatment Regimen [n (%)] | |||
| Immunotherapy | 31 (24.2) | 7 (12.7) | 0.315 |
| other | 26 (20.3) | 15 (27.3) | |
| SOX | 58 (45.3) | 26 (47.3) | |
| XELOX | 13 (10.2) | 7 (12.7) | |
| cTstage [n (%)] | |||
| 1 | 2 (1.6) | 0 | 0.364 |
| 2 | 4 (3.1) | 0 | |
| 3 | 33 (25.8) | 18 (32.7) | |
| 4a | 84 (65.6) | 33 (60.0) | |
| 4b | 5 (3.9) | 4 (7.3) | |
| cNstage [n (%)] | |||
| 0 | 3 (2.3) | 0 | 0.249 |
| 1 | 14 (10.9) | 2 (3.6) | |
| 2 | 36 (28.1) | 16 (29.1) | |
| 3 | 75 (58.6) | 37 (67.3) | |
| WBC [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 6.17 ± 1.88 | 6.63 ± 2.26 | 0.190 |
| M (P25, P75) | 5.71 (2.56, 14.0) | 6.16 (2.57, 13.8) | |
| RBC [n×1012/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 4.19 ± 0.665) | 4.29 ± 0.665 | 0.320 |
| M (P25, P75) | 4.19(2.48, 6.01) | 4.37 (2.29, 5.73) | |
| PLT [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 228 ± 76.2 | 226 ± 83.5 | 0.879 |
| M (P25, P75) | 221 (105, 473) | 220 (61.0, 500) | |
| LYM [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 1.61 (0.635) | 1.66 (0.593) | 0.585 |
| M (P25, P75) | 1.53 (0.320, 4.70) | 1.59(0.670, 4.10) | |
| NEU [n×109/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 4.51 ± 6.05 | 4.31 ± 1.98 | 0.743 |
| M (P25, P75) | 3.65 (1.35, 69.6) | 3.74 (1.56, 12.1) | |
| HB [g/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 122 ± 25.2 | 124 ± 21.5 | 0.477 |
| M (P25, P75) | 124 (51.0, 175) | 128(67.0, 170) | |
| Ca [mmol/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 2.23 ± 0.152 | 2.23 ± 0.111 | 0.759 |
| M (P25, P75) | 2.24 (1.07, 2.50) | 2.22 (2.03, 2.48) | |
| Mg [mmol/L] | |||
| Mean ± sd | 0.887 ± 0.141 | 0.871 ± 0.0683 | 0.295 |
| M (P25, P75) | 0.870 (0.670, 2.28) | 0.870(0.720, 0.990) | |
| CEA [n (%)] | |||
| >5 ng/mL | 35 (27.3) | 18 (32.7) | 0.577 |
| ≤5 ng/mL | 93 (72.7) | 37 (67.3) | |
| AFP [n (%)] | |||
| >7 ng/mL | 16 (12.5) | 8 (14.5) | 0.891 |
| ≤7 ng/mL | 112 (87.5) | 47 (85.5) | |
| CA199 [n(%)] | |||
| >30 U/mL | 32 (25.0) | 12 (21.8) | 0.785 |
| ≤30 U/mL | 96 (75.0) | 43 (78.2) | |
| Response [n (%)] | |||
| GR | 37 (28.9) | 18 (32.7) | 0.733 |
| PR | 91 (71.1) | 37 (67.3) |
| Model | Random Forest | SVM | Tree | Logistic Regression |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Random forest | NA | 0.004 | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| SVM | 0.004 | NA | 0.515 | 0.328 |
| Decision tree | 0.001 | 0.515 | NA | 0.467 |
| Logistic regression | 0.008 | 0.328 | 0.467 | NA |
| Variable | Univariate Analysis | Multivariate Analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95.0% CI | p | OR | 95.0% CI | p | ||
| Sex | Male | 1.050 | 0.490~2.249 | 0.901 | |||
| Female | |||||||
| Age | >60 years | 0.589 | 0.312~1.113 | 0.103 | |||
| ≤60 years | |||||||
| Treatment regimen | SOX | 0.940 | 0.041 | ||||
| XELOX | 0.497 | 0.133~1.862 | 0.300 | 0.508 | 0.199~1.297 | 0.157 | |
| Immu | 2.281 | 1.022~5.095 | 0.044 | 0.213 | 0.047~0.971 | 0.046 | |
| other | 1.308 | 0.577~2.965 | 0.520 | 1.409 | 0.494~4.016 | 0.521 | |
| BMI | 1.051 | 0.931~1.186 | 0.420 | ||||
| CEA | 0.997 | 0.990~1.005 | 0.461 | ||||
| AFP | 1.000 | 0.998~1.002 | 0.861 | ||||
| CA199 | 1.000 | 0.998~1.002 | 0.674 | ||||
| Radiomic score | 5.253 | 2.655~10.394 | 0.000 | 7.448 | 3.466~16.004 | 0.000 | |
| cT stage | 1 | 1.466 | 0.803~2.676 | 0.213 | |||
| 2 | |||||||
| 3 | |||||||
| 4 | |||||||
| cN stage | 0 | 2.053 | 1.189~3.543 | 0.010 | 2.282 | 1.228~4.242 | 0.009 |
| 1 | |||||||
| 2 | |||||||
| 3 | |||||||
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Zhou, Q.; Xu, J.; Li, Q.; Li, F.; Xu, H. A Radiomics–Clinical Nomogram for Pre-Treatment Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer. Diagnostics 2026, 16, 945. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16060945
Zhou Q, Xu J, Li Q, Li F, Xu H. A Radiomics–Clinical Nomogram for Pre-Treatment Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer. Diagnostics. 2026; 16(6):945. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16060945
Chicago/Turabian StyleZhou, Qianzheng, Jun Xu, Qiong Li, Fengyuan Li, and Hao Xu. 2026. "A Radiomics–Clinical Nomogram for Pre-Treatment Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer" Diagnostics 16, no. 6: 945. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16060945
APA StyleZhou, Q., Xu, J., Li, Q., Li, F., & Xu, H. (2026). A Radiomics–Clinical Nomogram for Pre-Treatment Prediction of Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Response in Locally Advanced Gastric Cancer. Diagnostics, 16(6), 945. https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics16060945
