Assessment of Air Quality and Health Impact in Hanoi (Vietnam) Due to Traffic Emission—Seasonal Analysis and Traffic Emission Reduction Scenarios

This study assesses air quality and health impact in Hanoi, Vietnam, using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model and health impact assessment to evaluate the effectiveness of traffic emission reduction strategies under two scenarios. An updated emission inventory was used as the input data for the CMAQ model. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF-CMAQ) model (version 5.4), incorporating the CB6 chemical mechanism, was applied alongside a calibrated meteorological model to simulate pollutant dispersion. The model achieved strong performance in PM_2.5 simulation, with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.78, an index of agreement (IOA) of −0.5, a Normalized Mean Bias (NMB) of 7.11%, and a normalized mean error (NME) of 28.51%. Seasonal analysis revealed higher concentrations of CO, NO₂, O₃, and SO₂ in January compared to July, driven by traffic and industrial emissions. Improved air quality in July was attributed to favorable meteorological conditions, such as increased rainfall and clean airflows from the sea. Spatial distribution highlighted elevated pollutant levels in urban areas, while PM_2.5 was significantly influenced by long-range transport and atmospheric processes. However, fine dust concentrations remained high in suburban areas, driven by secondary emissions and nearby industrial zones. An emission reduction scenario based on the Hanoi city policy decree focusing on traffic sources demonstrated its potential to reduce NO₂, SO₂, and PM_2.5 concentrations, though the impacts varied across time and space. Health impact due to population exposure to PM_2.5 shows that the densely populated suburbs surrounding the urban core have the largest impact in terms of mortality and cardiovascular diseases hospitalization. As PM_2.5 has the largest impact on these two health endpoints, only PM_2.5 impact assessment is performed. Health impact due to air pollution is higher in January (dry season) with estimated 625 deaths and 124 cardiovascular diseases (cvd) hospitalization as compared with estimated 94 deaths and 18 cvd hospitalization in July (wet season). One of the research questions posed by the city authority is whether converting diesel buses to electric buses can yield environmental and health benefits. Our work shows that the scenario based on Hanoi city decree of replacing 50% of fossil fuel combustion buses with electric buses by 2035 does not yield perceptible change in mortality health effect. This is due to emission from buses being small as compared to those from the whole transport sector and other sectors. This study emphasizes the need for integrated, targeted emission control strategies to address spatial and temporal variability in pollution. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers to develop effective measures in urban planning for improving air quality and protecting the health of people in Hanoi.