1. Introduction
The development of the nuclear industry represents a key driver of modern scientific and technological advancement as nuclear energy offers a reliable, high-efficiency, and economically viable source capable of meeting the growing global demand for electricity. The expanding use of nuclear technologies contributes to industrial modernization, strengthens national energy security, and promotes sustainable socio-economic development worldwide. This issue is particularly relevant for Kazakhstan, which consistently ranks as the world’s leading producer of uranium. According to the World Nuclear Association, Kazakhstan produced approximately 23,270 tonnes of uranium in 2024 and possesses nearly 14% of the world’s identified recoverable uranium resources [
1]. Given its dominant position in the global nuclear fuel cycle, Kazakhstan faces an increased demand for effective radiation safety measures and comprehensive radiological protection strategies to safeguard occupationally exposed populations and ensure long-term environmental and public health security.
Despite the substantial benefits associated with nuclear technologies, ionizing radiation presents significant health risks. The biological and medical consequences of radiation exposure vary considerably depending on the absorbed dose, dose rate, and individual physiological characteristics. High-dose exposures that exceed established threshold levels lead to deterministic (non-stochastic) effects such as acute radiation syndrome (ARS), hematopoietic suppression, gastrointestinal injury, and multi-organ failure. These effects exhibit a well-defined dose–response relationship, and their likelihood increases sharply once the threshold dose is surpassed [
2].
In contrast, the effects of low-dose radiation exposure are probabilistic in nature. The long-term accumulation of small radiation doses may induce stochastic outcomes, including carcinogenesis and hereditary alterations. According to the widely accepted linear-no-threshold (LNT) model, even minimal exposures carry a measurable degree of risk, despite the absence of immediate clinical manifestations [
2]. Although regulatory dose limits serve as an essential tool for risk reduction, they cannot ensure complete radiological safety because the probability of stochastic effects persists at any dose. This highlights the importance of comprehensive radiation protection strategies grounded in the ALARA principle (“as low as reasonably achievable”), as recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection [
3].
Prolonged exposure to low doses of ionizing radiation is believed to induce subtle yet biologically meaningful alterations at the cellular and molecular levels. These effects include DNA damage, disturbances in genome integrity, activation of oncogenic signaling pathways, metabolic dysregulation, and impairment of hematopoietic function [
2,
3,
4]. Importantly, susceptibility to such low-dose health effects varies considerably among individuals due to complex interactions between genetic predisposition, physiological status, lifestyle factors, and environmental conditions. As noted by Hall and Giaccia, inter-individual radiosensitivity represents a multifactorial phenomenon influenced by both inherited and acquired determinants [
5]. This variability underscores one of the major unresolved challenges in modern radiobiology: the identification of reliable and mechanistically informative biomarkers capable of identifying individuals with heightened or reduced radiosensitivity.
Of particular interest is the assessment of the workers at Kazakhstan’s coal deposits, which contain naturally occurring radioactive elements (uranium, thorium, and potassium-40). Kazakhstan’s coals are generally characterized as slightly radioactive, but the natural radioactivity of Kazakhstan’s coals has been poorly studied. Average uranium and thorium contents in Kazakhstan’s coals are 1.8 and 2.2 g/t, respectively, and in ash, they are 8.7 and 10.6 g/t. It is known that the average uranium content in the studied coals of Northern Asia varies from 0.4–0.5 g/t (Karaganda and Torgai basins, Karazhyra deposit, Kazakhstan) to 32.8 g/t (Adun-Chulun deposit, Mongolia) [
6].
It is known that during the combustion of coals, even those with low concentrations of radionuclides in the combustion waste (solid ash, slag, fly ash), the content of radionuclides (uranium-238 and its decay products, thorium-232 (and its decay products) and potassium-40) increases by 3–8 times compared to the original coal. Thus, in the ash and slag waste of the Toparskaya GRES, which burns Karaganda coal, the concentration factors of radionuclides vary in the range of 2.5–10.9. The obtained results indicate that during the combustion of weakly radioactive coals, a concentration of radionuclides in the ash and slag waste occurs [
7,
8,
9].
Radiation genetics has emerged as a key discipline addressing interindividual variability in biological responses to ionizing radiation. Inherited genetic factors are considered among the most promising determinants of radiation-associated health risks, as they influence DNA repair capacity, apoptosis regulation, oxidative stress tolerance, and cell-cycle control [
10]. Genetic variation plays a central role in the development of multifactorial diseases, including immune-mediated disorders, cardiovascular diseases, and cancer, underscoring the broader relevance of human genomic diversity [
11]. Identifying genetic markers associated with increased susceptibility to radiation-related conditions may therefore enable the prevention of unnecessary exposure among radiosensitive individuals and support more precise diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making in radiology and radiotherapy [
8].
Advances in molecular genetics, particularly those enabled by the completion of the Human Genome Project, have substantially enhanced the capacity to investigate genetic determinants of radiosensitivity [
12]. One major outcome of the project is the ability to characterize human genetic diversity through single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), the most common form of genomic variation. SNP-based analyses provide powerful tools for identifying gene variants directly or indirectly associated with individual biological responses to environmental stressors, including ionizing radiation [
13]. This genomic approach offers a strong methodological framework for exploring inherited susceptibilities and improving the understanding of inter-individual differences in radiation response, thereby supporting the development of personalized radiological protection and precision radiotherapy strategies [
14].
Among the genetic systems investigated to date, some of the strongest inter-individual variability has been documented in genes responsible for maintaining genome integrity and regulating the cell cycle. These include key components of the DNA repair, apoptosis, and cellular stress-response pathways such as
TP53,
CDKN1A/p21,
APC,
VEGF,
XPD, and
RAD51. Variability within these genes is of particular interest because they play central roles in recognizing and repairing radiation-induced DNA lesions, coordinating cell-cycle arrest, and determining cell fate decisions following genotoxic stress [
15]. Taken together, these molecular systems represent a highly promising framework for elucidating the genetic mechanisms underlying radiosensitivity and radioresistance [
16].
4. Discussion
The present study provides substantial evidence that genetic polymorphisms within TP53 and CDKN1A (p21) contribute to interindividual differences in susceptibility to chronic low-dose ionizing radiation. The significant allele frequency shifts observed in workers from the Stepnogorsk Mining and Chemical Combine and the Balkashinskoye uranium deposit may reflect genetic differences potentially related to occupational exposures.
Observation of multiple radioresistance-associated alleles such as
TP53 intron 3 insertion,
TP53 intron 6 A allele,
TP53 Pro72, and the
p21 codon 31 A allele suggests a polygenic model of adaptation, consistent with previous reports indicating that radiosensitivity is regulated by several genes rather than single-locus variation [
32,
33]. These findings align with a polygenic model of variability in DNA damage response described by Hall et al. [
5], in which efficient DNA repair, enhanced checkpoint control, and reduced apoptotic loss may contribute to differences in cellular responses under occupational exposure.
The significant enrichment of the
TP53 intron 3 insertion allele (rs17878362) in exposed individuals is consistent with earlier research showing that this polymorphism affects
TP53 mRNA processing and alternative splicing [
34]. Increased expression of certain
TP53 isoforms (e.g., Δ40p53) may modulate apoptosis and cell-cycle arrest under chronic radiation exposure, supporting cellular survival [
35].
Similarly, the observed enrichment of the
TP53 intron 6 A allele (rs1625895) corresponds with findings indicating that intronic variants alter transcription factor binding sites and
TP53 regulatory dynamics [
36,
37]. Intronic regions are increasingly recognized as contributors to radiation response, which act via modulation of chromatin structure and co-factor binding [
38].
The Pro allele (C) of the
TP53 Arg72Pro polymorphism, which was found at a higher frequency among radiation-exposed workers, is functionally characterized as reducing p53-mediated apoptosis and the shift toward cell-cycle arrest and DNA repair pathways. This allele has been shown to diminish mitochondrial translocation of p53 and weaken its apoptotic activity while enhancing G1/S checkpoint control and promoting cell survival under stress conditions [
39]. Such a functional profile may contribute to cellular survival under occupational genotoxic stress, where excessive apoptosis could compromise tissue homeostasis.
Dumont et al. demonstrated that the Arg72 variant induces apoptosis up to five times more efficiently than the Pro72 variant, indicating substantially different functional capacities between these isoforms. Consequently, individuals carrying the Pro/Pro genotype may exhibit greater resilience under long-term genotoxic exposure due to preferential activation of cell-cycle arrest and DNA repair mechanisms rather than apoptosis-driven cell loss. The
p21 codon 31 A allele was also enriched in exposed individuals and is associated with increased protein stability and enhanced G1/S checkpoint activation [
10]. Keshava et al. demonstrated that this variant strengthens cell-cycle arrest following DNA damage [
36], thereby reducing the likelihood of replication of damaged DNA. Such properties align closely with the adaptive needs of populations experiencing continuous low-dose radiation.
The pronounced allele frequency differences between Kazakh and Russian subgroups emphasize the necessity of considering population genetic structure in radiosensitivity research. Similar ethnicity-dependent effects have been documented in studies on
TP53 and
CDKN1A polymorphisms in East European and Central Asian populations [
40,
41]. Such background variation may modulate the magnitude and direction of environmental selection pressures.
The concordant enrichment of radioresistant alleles across multiple loci suggests that occupational exposures in the uranium sector may contribute to observed patterns in long-tenured workers. Although evolutionary timescales are short, strong environmental stressors can yield measurable allele frequency shifts within a few generations or even within survivor cohorts [
42]. Survivorship bias may also contribute: individuals with radiosensitive genotypes may have been more susceptible to health complications, leaving a genetically enriched group of survivors, as was observed in studies of Chernobyl cleanup workers and radiology personnel [
43,
44].
The observed allele frequency shifts must be interpreted cautiously in the context of a cross-sectional study design. A cross-sectional comparison cannot distinguish between potential evolutionary processes (e.g., selection over generations) and non-evolutionary explanations. Key alternatives include:
Survivorship (healthy worker survivor) bias: Workers with longer employment durations (mean 11–17 years) represent a surviving cohort. Individuals with genotypes conferring higher susceptibility to radiation-related health effects (or other occupational stressors) may have left employment earlier due to illness or other reasons, leading to relative enrichment of “resistant” alleles among remaining long-tenured workers. Similar survivor bias has been documented in occupational radiation cohorts, such as uranium miners and Chernobyl liquidators, where healthier individuals persist in high-exposure roles [
45,
46,
47].
Population stratification: The study included Kazakh and Russian ethnic subgroups with known genetic differences (e.g., distinct ancestry components in Central Asian vs. Slavic populations). Although we stratified analyses by ethnicity, residual stratification or unaccounted substructures could contribute to allele frequency differences unrelated to exposure [
48,
49]. This is particularly relevant in Kazakhstan, where ethnic groups show admixture patterns and varying historical migration influences.
These factors, combined with other occupational confounders (e.g., dust, chemicals, lifestyle), provide plausible non-selection explanations for the patterns. We have explicitly stated that the findings represent associations in exposed vs. unexposed groups, not evidence of radiation-driven selection within the study timeframe. Future longitudinal or family-based studies would be needed to explore transgenerational or longer-term effects.
The molecular patterns identified in this study underscore the importance of integrating genetic screening into occupational radiation safety programs. A growing body of evidence supports the use of
TP53,
CDKN1A,
ATM, and
XRCC family polymorphisms as predictive biomarkers for individualized radiation risk assessment [
50,
51,
52]. Our findings contribute valuable data for Central Asian populations, which remain understudied in global radiogenomic research.
In addition, in the future, we plan to expand the field of research to include the population of coal miners in Kazakhstan exposed to coal dust from low-radioactive types (rocks) of coal.
While the associations identified are compelling, several limitations should be acknowledged. A key limitation is the lack of individual or group-specific dosimetry data for the recruited workers, which precludes direct dose–response analysis and causal attribution of allele frequency shifts to ionizing radiation exposure. Aggregate data from Kazatomprom indicate predominantly low annual doses (1.36–1.51 mSv/year on average for Group A personnel), but these do not replace cohort-specific measurements and may not fully capture historical or internal exposure variability (e.g., radon progeny, uranium dust). Future research should incorporate urine bioassays and electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) tooth enamel dosimetry to enable precise exposure assessment and mechanistic studies.
Additional limitations include moderate sample sizes for some subpopulations and the absence of functional cellular assays to validate mechanistic hypotheses. Future studies should integrate genome-wide approaches, transcriptomic profiling, DNA repair assays, and long-term health outcome monitoring to better characterize genotype–phenotype correlations. Machine learning models integrating multi-SNP profiles could further enhance the prediction accuracy for individual radiosensitivity.