Playing a Game or Making a Decision? Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Distributional Preferences
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Measures of Distributional Preferences
2.1. Different Sets of Stimuli and the Slider Measure
2.2. Different Role Assignment Protocols and Strategic Interdependence
2.2.1. Role Certainty
2.2.2. Role Uncertainty
2.2.3. Double Role Assignment
3. Hypotheses
3.1. Main Hypotheses
3.2. Secondary Hypotheses
4. Experimental Procedure
5. Results
5.1. Descriptive Analysis
5.2. Hypotheses Tests
5.2.1. Main Results
5.2.2. Secondary Results
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
DGT | Decomposed Game Treatment |
DM | Decision Maker |
MGT | Matrix Game Treatment |
RCT | Role Certainty Treatment |
RUT | Role Uncertainty Treatment |
SVO | Social Value Orientation |
Appendix A. Details on the SVO Slider Measure
Appendix B. Detailed Experimental Procedure
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 150, 150 | 159, 146 | 168, 143 | 176, 139 | 185, 135 |
Option B | 146, 159 | 155, 155 | 164, 152 | 172, 148 | 181, 144 | |
Option C | 143, 168 | 152, 164 | 161, 161 | 169, 157 | 178, 153 | |
Option D | 139, 176 | 148, 172 | 157, 169 | 165, 165 | 174, 161 | |
Option E | 135, 185 | 144, 181 | 153, 178 | 161, 174 | 170, 170 |
Appendix C. Experimental Instructions
Appendix D. The Matrix Games Used in MGT
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 170, 170 | 153, 170 | 135, 170 | 118, 170 | 100, 170 |
Option B | 170, 153 | 153, 153 | 135, 153 | 118, 153 | 100, 153 | |
Option C | 170, 135 | 153, 135 | 135, 135 | 118, 135 | 100, 135 | |
Option D | 170, 118 | 153, 118 | 135, 118 | 118, 118 | 100, 118 | |
Option E | 170, 100 | 153, 100 | 135, 100 | 118, 100 | 100, 100 |
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 100, 100 | 109, 104 | 118, 108 | 126, 111 | 135, 115 |
Option B | 104, 109 | 113, 113 | 122, 117 | 130, 120 | 139, 124 | |
Option C | 108, 118 | 117, 122 | 126, 126 | 134, 129 | 143, 133 | |
Option D | 111, 126 | 120, 130 | 129, 134 | 137, 137 | 146, 141 | |
Option E | 115, 135 | 124, 139 | 133, 143 | 141, 146 | 150, 150 |
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 150, 150 | 146, 159 | 143, 168 | 139, 176 | 135, 185 |
Option B | 159, 146 | 155, 155 | 152, 164 | 148, 172 | 144, 181 | |
Option C | 168, 143 | 164, 152 | 161, 161 | 157, 169 | 153, 178 | |
Option D | 176, 139 | 172, 148 | 169, 157 | 165, 165 | 161, 174 | |
Option E | 185, 135 | 181, 144 | 178, 153 | 174, 161 | 170, 170 |
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 150, 150 | 129, 159 | 108, 168 | 86, 176 | 65, 185 |
Option B | 159, 129 | 138, 138 | 117, 147 | 95, 155 | 74, 164 | |
Option C | 168, 108 | 147, 117 | 126, 126 | 104, 134 | 83, 143 | |
Option D | 176, 86 | 155, 95 | 134, 104 | 112, 112 | 91, 121 | |
Option E | 185, 65 | 164, 74 | 143, 83 | 121, 91 | 100, 100 |
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 150, 150 | 163, 138 | 175, 125 | 188, 113 | 200, 100 |
Option B | 138, 163 | 151, 151 | 163, 138 | 176, 126 | 188, 113 | |
Option C | 125, 175 | 138, 163 | 150, 150 | 163, 138 | 175, 125 | |
Option D | 113, 188 | 126, 176 | 138, 163 | 151, 151 | 163, 138 | |
Option E | 100, 200 | 113, 188 | 125, 175 | 138, 163 | 150, 150 |
The Other’s Options | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Option A | Option B | Option C | Option D | Option E | ||
Your Options | Option A | 150, 150 | 159, 146 | 168, 143 | 176, 139 | 185, 135 |
Option B | 146, 159 | 155, 155 | 164, 152 | 172, 148 | 181, 144 | |
Option C | 143, 168 | 152, 164 | 161, 161 | 169, 157 | 178, 153 | |
Option D | 139, 176 | 148, 172 | 157, 169 | 165, 165 | 174, 161 | |
Option E | 135, 185 | 144, 181 | 153, 178 | 161, 174 | 170, 170 |
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1. | A similar argument also holds for last-mover decisions in sequential games because the last-mover’s behavior could be driven by reciprocity. |
2. | |
3. | Notice that in our terminology, different situations may emerge from varying social context. That is, as long as only one DM affects the final payoffs of all involved parties (i.e., under role assignment protocols such as role certainty, or role uncertainty), the situation constitutes a decision making task. However, as soon as the involved parties are interdependent, such that individual payoffs are determined by the other involved DMs’ choices as well (i.e., under double role assignment protocols), the situation constitutes a proper game. |
4. | In the SVO Slider Measure introduced in Murphy et al. [17], DMs choose between nine own-other payoff combinations in each of the six resource allocation tasks. With double-role assignment (see Section 2.2.3 below) this would result in a 9 × 9 payoff matrix with 81 cells. As this would put a very high cognitive load on subjects, we reduced the number of own-other payoff combinations from 9 to 5, resulting in a 5 × 5 payoff matrix (see Appendix D). |
5. | Self-interest does not result in a score of exactly 0 because allocation task 1 is structured such that the DM’s payoff is invariant at 85 and the DM chooses a payoff for the other ranging between 15 and 85. |
6. | For 9 subjects, who made hypothetical decisions in RCT, SVOs were the same in RUT, DGT and MGT; for 7 subjects, who made incentivized decisions in RCT, SVOs were the same in all four treatments. For a total of 37 subjects, SVO scores do not differ by more than 5 units between treatments. |
7. | The SVO Slider Measure’s high retest reliability has been confirmed in other studies. Höglinger and Wehrli [48] find a retest reliability of when administering the Slider Measure on Amazon Mechanical Turk. Furthermore, Ackermann [49], (p. 124) reports a correlation of between Slider Measure scores assessed directly before and directly after subjects played a repeated public goods game for 10 rounds, while shifts in individual SVO scores between the two assessments were very well accounted for by what happened in the corresponding public goods games. Hence, there is evidence that the lower bound of the Slider Measure’s retest reliability is around , such that the substantially lower inter-treatment correlations found in this study are highly unlikely to be due to measurement error alone, even under very conservative assumptions. |
8. | To perform the MDS-analysis, the complete dissimilarity matrix (with complete entries that are symmetric across the diagonal) is considered and serves as input. On the basis of this input, the Euclidean distances between the treatments in terms of dissimilarities are computed. That is, each treatment (RCT, RUT, DGT and MGT) is assigned a location in 4-dimensional space with the coordinates being the corresponding dissimilarity coefficients. For example, the coordinates for RCT are [0, 0.484, 0.544, 0.741]. This serves the purpose of transforming dissimilarities into distances. Once the six Euclidean distances between the four treatments are computed, they serve as input for the multidimensional scaling algorithm, which produces a rank order of treatments on one dimension in terms of similarity. We used a standard non-metric MDS-algorithm based on Kruskal’s normalized STRESS1 criterion (see [50]). |
9. | We also applied yet another method to analyze the data concerning Hypothesis 2. Concretely, in addition to comparing absolute differences in SVO scores across treatments, we also compared aggregated deviations in the options that were chosen in the single items of the choice tasks across treatments. The results are qualitatively equivalent to the results reported here on the basis of the comparison between absolute differences in SVO scores. |
10. | The mean value for RUT differs slightly from the value reported in Table 1 because here, it is based only on the 96 subjects who were incentivized in RCT. |
11. | A limited number of economic experiments have investigated how small variations in information presentation may affect behavior. Requate and Waichman [51] study Cournot duopolies and find no differences between treatments when information was presented in a profit table and treatments compared to when information was presented with a profit calculator. Collusion increased however if a best-response option was available to subjects. Gürerk and Selten [52] studied the effect of payoff tables in 100-period repeated Cournot oligopoly games with 2, 3 and 4 players. They found that when payoff tables were provided, collusion was more pronounced, especially in early periods. Dariel [53] compared different ways to elicit preferences for conditional cooperation by varying the salience of conditionality across treatments. When preferences for conditional cooperation are elicited sequentially (i.e., on successive screens instead of on a single screen), the fraction of free-riders is much smaller, possibly due to self-image concerns. |
12. | To check if there is evidence for this assumption, we performed additional analyses with the data from Murphy and Ackermann [8], where subjects’ beliefs about other peoples’ SVOs were directly measured along with their own SVOs. These analyses revealed that prosocial subjects indeed believe that most other people are less prosocial than they themselves are (, ), while proself subjects indeed believe that most other people are more prosocial than they themselves are (, ). |
13. | A similar relation between uncertainty and prosociality can be seen in an early experiment by Sefton [55], who compared dictator games with full pay and random pay schemes. He found that subjects are more prosocial if the probability of being paid is 25% than when all subjects being paid for sure. See also work by Walkowitz [12]. |
14. | The resource allocation tasks were implemented in terms of zTree modules [58] that were slightly modified so that items consists of five options per task rather than nine options. We provide subjects with five options per task to ensure that the recomposition of the corresponding decomposed games into matrix games in normal form would not overwhelm subjects with too many strategies. In the most commonly used version, each item from the Slider Measure corresponds to the choice between nine alternatives. Recomposing these Slider Measure items would have resulted in a 9 × 9 payoff matrix with 81 cells. Reducing to 5 options yielded a matrix game that had only 25 cells which we considered experimentally tractable. |
RCT (inc.) | RUT | DGT | MGT | RCT (all) | RCT (hyp.) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | 96 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 192 | 96 |
Mean | 16.46 | 17.98 | 17.30 | 18.83 | 17.98 | 19.51 |
Median | 11.36 | 16.26 | 14.94 | 16.26 | 14.62 | 16.73 |
Std | 13.06 | 14.40 | 13.97 | 16.92 | 14.74 | 16.18 |
RCT | RUT | DGT | MGT | |
---|---|---|---|---|
RCT | 0 | - | - | - |
RUT | 0.484 | 0 | - | - |
DGT | 0.544 | 0.466 | 0 | - |
MGT | 0.741 | 0.586 | 0.591 | 0 |
RCT | RUT | DGT | MGT | |
---|---|---|---|---|
RCT | 0 | |||
RUT | 8.85 | 0 | ||
DGT | 9.39 | 8.64 | 0 | |
MGT | 13.54 | 12.14 | 12.49 | 0 |
RCT-RUT | RCT-DGT | RCT-MGT | RUT-DGT | RUT-MGT | DGT-MGT | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCT-RUT | ||||||
RCT-DGT | 0.52 | |||||
RCT-MGT | 0.00 *** | 0.00 *** | ||||
RUT-DGT | 0.79 | 0.36 | 0.00 *** | |||
RUT-MGT | 0.00 *** | 0.01 *** | 0.10 | 0.00 *** | ||
DGT-MGT | 0.00 *** | 0.00 *** | 0.25 | 0.00 *** | 0.67 |
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Greiff, M.; Ackermann, K.A.; Murphy, R.O. Playing a Game or Making a Decision? Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Distributional Preferences. Games 2018, 9, 80. https://doi.org/10.3390/g9040080
Greiff M, Ackermann KA, Murphy RO. Playing a Game or Making a Decision? Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Distributional Preferences. Games. 2018; 9(4):80. https://doi.org/10.3390/g9040080
Chicago/Turabian StyleGreiff, Matthias, Kurt A. Ackermann, and Ryan O. Murphy. 2018. "Playing a Game or Making a Decision? Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Distributional Preferences" Games 9, no. 4: 80. https://doi.org/10.3390/g9040080
APA StyleGreiff, M., Ackermann, K. A., & Murphy, R. O. (2018). Playing a Game or Making a Decision? Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Distributional Preferences. Games, 9(4), 80. https://doi.org/10.3390/g9040080