Screening HCC Patients Who Can Benefit from the Sequential Treatment of Conversion Therapy and Radical Surgery and Constructing a Predictive Model
Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Patient Selection
2.2. Data Collection and Follow-Up
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Patient Baseline Data
3.2. Screening of Independent Risk Factors
3.3. Construction and Validation of the Nomogram
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variables | Development Set (n = 412) | Validation Set (n = 177) | p Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | Male | 342 (83.0%) | 153 (86.4%) | 0.297 |
| Female | 70 (17.0%) | 24 (13.6%) | ||
| Age | 54 ± 11 | 53 ± 11 | 0.329 | |
| BCLC stage | A | 128 (31.1%) | 54 (30.5%) | 0.893 |
| B/C | 284 (68.9%) | 123 (69.5%) | ||
| Child–Pugh score | A | 407 (98.8%) | 174 (98.3%) | 0.644 |
| B | 5 (1.2%) | 3 (1.7%) | ||
| Tumor number | Single | 127 (30.8%) | 60 (33.9%) | 0.463 |
| Multiple | 285 (69.2%) | 117 (66.1%) | ||
| Max. tumor size (mm) | 62 (40–99) | 59 (41–89) | 0.895 | |
| AFP ( ≥ 400ng/mL) | No | 276 (67.0%) | 112 (63.3%) | 0.383 |
| Yes | 136 (33.0%) | 65 (36.7%) | ||
| ALT (U/L) | 38 (26–60) | 38 (26–59) | 0.471 | |
| AST (U/L) | 44 (31–71) | 42 (30–72) | 0.635 | |
| TBIL (umol/L) | 13.2 (9.5–19.1) | 12.3 (8.8–18.6) | 0.105 | |
| PNI | 46.7 (43.5–50.6) | 46.9 (44.3–50.9) | 0.465 | |
| Preoperative TACE number | 3 (2–5) | 3 (2–4) | 0.498 | |
| Tumor differentiation | Poor/Moderate | 281 (68.2%) | 115 (65.0%) | 0.444 |
| Good | 131 (31.8%) | 62 (35.0%) | ||
| MVI | 0 | 296 (71.8%) | 117 (66.1%) | 0.270 |
| 1 | 100 (24.3%) | 49 (27.7%) | ||
| 2 | 16 (3.9%) | 11 (6.2%) | ||
| Targeted therapy and immunotherapy | No | 209 (50.7%) | 106 (59.9%) | 0.041 |
| Yes | 203 (49.3%) | 71 (40.1%) | ||
| Postoperative TACE | No | 227 (55.1%) | 103 (58.2%) | 0.488 |
| Yes | 185 (44.9%) | 74 (41.8%) | ||
| Benefit | No | 240 (58.3%) | 115 (65.0%) | 0.127 |
| Yes | 172 (41.7%) | 62 (35.0%) | ||
| Status | Alive | 57 (13.8%) | 37 (20.9%) | 0.032 |
| Dead | 355 (86.2%) | 140 (79.1%) | ||
| OS (months) | 22.0 (15.0–36.0) | 19 (14.0–32.5) | 0.113 | |
| Variables | Univariable Analysis | Multivariable Analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | p Value | OR (95% CI) | p Value | |
| Sex (Male) | 2.000 (1.142, 3.504) | 0.015 | 2.000 (1.018, 3.931) | 0.044 |
| Age | 0.996 (0.979, 1.013) | 0.631 | ||
| BCLC stage (B/C) | 0.449 (0.287, 0.702) | <0.001 | 0.666 (0.298, 1.488) | 0.321 |
| Child–Pugh score (B) | 0.345 (0.038, 3.114) | 0.343 | ||
| Tumor number (multiple) | 0.589 (0.381, 0.912) | 0.018 | 1.154 (0.525, 2.538) | 0.722 |
| Max. tumor size | 0.986 (0.980, 0.992) | <0.001 | 0.994 (0.986, 1.002) | 0.130 |
| AFP ( ≥ 400ng/mL) | 0.478 (0.309, 0.739) | 0.001 | 0.533 (0.313, 0.907) | 0.020 |
| ALT | 0.995 (0.991, 0.999) | 0.013 | 0.999 (0.990, 1.008) | 0.811 |
| AST | 0.993 (0.988, 0.997) | 0.002 | 0.995 (0.985, 1.004) | 0.247 |
| TBIL | 1.001 (0.998, 1.004) | 0.463 | ||
| PNI | 1.041 (1.004, 1.080) | 0.032 | 1.029 (0.985, 1.076) | 0.197 |
| Preoperative TACE number | 0.883 (0.787, 0.991) | 0.035 | 1.032 (0.882, 1.208) | 0.692 |
| Tumor differentiation (good) | 0.969 (0.636, 1.476) | 0.882 | ||
| MVI | 1.178 (0.824, 1.685) | 0.369 | ||
| Targeted therapy and immunotherapy (yes) | 3.485 (2.308, 5.261) | <0.001 | 3.283 (2.029, 5.312) | <0.001 |
| Postoperative TACE (yes) | 5.919 (3.850, 9.101) | <0.001 | 6.544 (4.021, 10.649) | <0.001 |
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Liu, L.; Qin, C.; Lei, K.; Zhang, H.; Zhang, W. Screening HCC Patients Who Can Benefit from the Sequential Treatment of Conversion Therapy and Radical Surgery and Constructing a Predictive Model. Cancers 2025, 17, 3928. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17243928
Liu L, Qin C, Lei K, Zhang H, Zhang W. Screening HCC Patients Who Can Benefit from the Sequential Treatment of Conversion Therapy and Radical Surgery and Constructing a Predictive Model. Cancers. 2025; 17(24):3928. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17243928
Chicago/Turabian StyleLiu, Lei, Chuan Qin, Kai Lei, Han Zhang, and Wenqian Zhang. 2025. "Screening HCC Patients Who Can Benefit from the Sequential Treatment of Conversion Therapy and Radical Surgery and Constructing a Predictive Model" Cancers 17, no. 24: 3928. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17243928
APA StyleLiu, L., Qin, C., Lei, K., Zhang, H., & Zhang, W. (2025). Screening HCC Patients Who Can Benefit from the Sequential Treatment of Conversion Therapy and Radical Surgery and Constructing a Predictive Model. Cancers, 17(24), 3928. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17243928
