Molecular Prognosticators Guiding Fertility-Sparing Surgery in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: A Comprehensive Review
Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
3. FSS in Early-Stage EC
3.1. Conventional Criteria for Patient Selection
3.1.1. Histological Criteria
3.1.2. Imaging Criteria
3.1.3. Clinical Considerations
3.2. Outcomes of FSS
3.2.1. CR
3.2.2. RR
3.2.3. PR and LBR
3.2.4. Long-Term Survival
4. EC Molecular Classification
4.1. The TCGA/ProMisE Classifiers
4.1.1. POLE-Mut
4.1.2. MMRd/Microsatellite Instability-High (MSI-High)
4.1.3. No Specific Molecular Profile (NSMP)
4.1.4. p53-Abn
4.2. Molecular Markers and Hormonal Therapy Response
4.3. Real-World Prevalence of Molecular Subtypes in FSS Candidates
- TP53-wild-type (52%)/NSMP: (43–52%)
- TP53-mutant/p53-abn: (18–22%)
- POLE-mut: (5–10%)
- MSI-high/MMRd: (20–28%)
5. Clinical Applications of Molecular Markers in Fertility-Sparing Decision-Making
5.1. Cases
- Case 1: POLE-mutated, grade 2—Expanding FSS eligibility
- Case 2: MSI-H, PR-negative—Relapse risk and low response risk
- Case 3: NSMP + PR-positive—Likely to benefit from hormonal therapy.
- Case 4: p53-abn/CN-high—Poor prognosis
5.2. Ongoing Clinical Trials
6. Challenges, Gaps, and Future Directions
6.1. Current Challenges
6.1.1. Limitations of Current Evidence
6.1.2. Limitations of Clinical Application
6.2. Moral and Psyche Issues on Molecular Stratification of FSS
6.3. Future Directions
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| EC | Endometrial Cancer |
| AUB | Abnormal Uterine Bleeding |
| TH/BSO | Total hysterectomy with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy |
| TCGA | The Cancer Genome Atlas |
| ProMisE | Proactive Molecular Risk Classifier for endometrial cancer |
| LVSI | Lymphovascular space invasion |
| D&C | dilation and curettage |
| MRI | Magnetic Resonance Imaging |
| TVUS | Transvaginal ultrasound |
| LNG-IUD | Norgestrel-Releasing Intrauterine Device |
| ECOG | Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group |
| CR | Complete response rate |
| RR | Recurrence rate |
| PR | Pregnancy rate |
| LBR | Live birth rate |
| ART | Assisted Reproductive Technology |
| MSI | microsatellite instability |
| CN-L | copy-number low |
| CN-H | copy-number high |
| POLE-mut | POLE-mutated |
| MMRd | mismatch repair deficient |
| p53-abn | p53 Abnormality |
| NSMP | non-specific molecular profile |
| IHC | immunohistochemistry |
| POLE | polymerase epsilon |
| EDM | exonuclease domains |
| FIGO | International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics |
| EEC | endometrioid carcinoma |
| MSI-high | Microsatellite instability-High |
| MMR | Mismatch repair |
| ESMO | European Society for Medical Oncology |
| PCR-based | molecular Polymerase Chain Reaction-based |
| ER | Estrogen Receptor |
| PR | Progesterone Receptor |
| PORTEC | Post Operative Radiation Therapy in Endometrial Carcinoma |
| NGS | Next-Generation Sequencing |
| LNG-IUS | Levonorgestrel-releasing Intrauterine System |
| ESGO | European Society of Gynaecological Oncology |
| ESTRO | European Society for Radiotherapy and Oncology |
| ESP | European Society of Pathology |
| NCCN | National Comprehensive Cancer Network |
| RCT | Randomized Controlled Trial |
| AI | Artificial Intelligence |
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| Treatment Modality | Complete Response Rate (CR) | Time to CR (Months) | Recurrence Rate (RR) | Pregnancy Rate (PR) | Live Birth Rate (LBR) | Key Notes | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oral progestins | 76% | - | 28% | - | 17% | [27] | |
| LNG-based therapies | 63.4% | More than 24 | 29.6% | 37.9% | 39.3% | It is a viable conservation modality | [28] |
| Hysteroscopic resection + progestin | 90% | 3–6 | 17% | 49% | 45% | This treatment modality showed overall improved response rates of pregnancy and live births. | [29] |
| Combination with ART | - | 4.2 ± 2.5 | 16.7% | 78.7% | 53.2% | Beneficial for pregnancies and did not have a negative impact on cancer recurrence. | [30] |
| Molecular Subtype | ProMisE Equivalent | Prognosis | Common Features | Implications for Fertility-Sparing Surgery (FSS) | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POLE-ultramutated | POLE-mut | Excellent | High-grade tumors, younger patients, low recurrence risk | Despite having high-grade histology, it may be safely considered for FSS because of its great results. | [37] |
| Microsatellite Instability (MSI-H) | MMR-deficient (MMRd) | Intermediate | Frequently linked to Lynch syndrome, obesity, and younger age; variable grade | Given the moderate risk of recurrence, FSS may be provided with caution and requires close monitoring. | [38] |
| Copy Number Low (CN-low) | p53 wild-type (NSMP) | Intermediate | Typical endometrioid tumors, low-grade, hormone receptor positive | This group includes the majority of traditional FSS candidates; results are good but not remarkable. | [37] |
| Copy Number High (CN-high) | p53 abnormal (p53abn) | Poor | Serous/clear cell histology, older patients, aggressive course | Because of its poor survival rate and high recurrence rate, FSS is often contraindicated. | [36] |
| Molecular Subtype | Typical Cohort % | Complete Remission | Recurrence Rate | Prognosis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POLE-mutated | 3–10% | >95% | <1–2% | excellent |
| MMRd | 15–25% | 85–90% | 10–15% | intermediate |
| NSMP | 35–55% | 85–90% | 10–15% (heterogenous) | variable |
| P53-abn | 10–25% | 60–70% | 30–40% | poor |
| Molecular Subtype | Complete Response to Progestins (6 mo) | Recurrence After Conservative Treatment | Clinical Implication | Level of Evidence | Limitations | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POLE-mut | 0% | 50% | De-escalation feasible. FSS possible. | Retrospective cohort | Small sample size, multiple biases | [11,64,71,72] |
| MMRd | 0% | 100% | Lower response to progestin therapy. High recurrence after conservative treatment | Retrospective cohort | Small sample size, multiple biases | [64,71,72,73,74] |
| NSMP | 24% | 78% | Better response to conservative therapy than MMRd. | Retrospective cohort | Small sample size, multiple biases | [64,71,73] |
| P53abn | 50% | 0% | Conservative treatment contraindicated. Intensive therapy recommended. | Retrospective cohort | Small sample size, multiple biases | [11,64,71,73] |
| Source/Guideline | Molecular Profiling Recommendation | Clinical Implication for FST | Patient Selection Criteria | Research Gaps/Notes | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESGO/ ESTRO/ ESPO | Recommends molecular classification for risk stratification; highlights POLE-mut, MMRd, NSMP, and p53abn subtypes | Suggests de-escalation for POLE-mut; close surveillance for MMRd; p53abn not ideal for FST | FST recommended for low-risk (stage IA, grade 1 endometrioid EC, ± focal LVI); FST may be considered for POLE-mut/NSMP; FST should be carefully evaluated for MMRd/p53abn for increased risk. | Data on FST outcomes by molecular subtype are limited; further trials needed | [85,86] |
| NCCN | Acknowledges molecular profiling as emerging; not yet standard for FST selection | No formal integration of molecular subtypes into FST recommendations | FST for grade 1, stage IA endometrioid EC; molecular data may inform but is not required | Calls for more evidence before routine use in FST | [86] |
| ESMO | Endorses molecular classification for prognosis; recognizes potential for FST selection | Encourages use of molecular data for counseling, especially for MMRd and p53abn | FST for early-stage, low-grade EC; molecular data may refine risk assessment | Emphasizes need for prospective studies | [86] |
| Major reviews (2021–2024) | Strongly advocate for molecular profiling (ProMisE/TCGA) to guide FST | Propose tailored FST: POLE-mut/NSMP candidates, MMRd/p53abn caution or exclusion | POLE-mut: favorable; NSMP: good prognosis; MMRd: higher recurrence; p53abn: poor prognosis | Highlight lack of robust data, especially for POLE-mut and p53abn in FST | [85,86,87] |
| Trial (NCT No.) | Design | Population | Intervention | Primary Endpoints | Molecular Stratification | Fertility Outcomes Reported | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| feMMe trial (NCT01686126) | Phase II, randomized | Obese women with atypical hyperplasia or grade 1 EC | LNG-IUD ± metformin ± weight loss | Complete pathologic response at 6 months | Not integrated | Results of pregnancy are not primary; follow-up is exploratory | [13] |
| NCT01594879 | Prospective, multicenter | Women < 40 with stage IA, grade 1 EC | LNG-IUD + oral MPA | Complete response rate | Not integrated | Fertility outcomes tracked (pregnancy rates) | [13,40] |
| NCT04008563 | Prospective | Early-stage EC or atypical hyperplasia | Hysteroscopic resection + LNG-IUD | Recurrence-free survival | Not integrated | Pregnancy/live birth assessed as secondary | [40] |
| NCT03538704 | Observational, prospective | Patients undergoing fertility-sparing treatment | Any progestin-based regimen | Treatment response | POLE, MMRd, p53-abn, NSMP | Fertility outcomes collected | [74] |
| NCT03932409 | Phase II | Young women with grade 1 EC | Oral progestin + GnRH analog | Complete pathologic response | Not specified | Pregnancy/live birth not primary | [13] |
| Biomarker-driven prospective cohorts | observational | Early EC | Oral progestins or LNG-IUD | Molecular predictors of response, recurrence | ProMisE classifier (POLE, MMRd, p53, NSMP) | Fertility outcomes | [13,87] |
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Shaikh, S.; Haque, S.; Khalifey, H.T.; Samour, H.A.; Deed, A.; Mahereen, R.; Nabiha, N.; Shaikh, S.; Samhan, L.M.; Khan, M.I.; et al. Molecular Prognosticators Guiding Fertility-Sparing Surgery in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: A Comprehensive Review. Cancers 2025, 17, 3602. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17223602
Shaikh S, Haque S, Khalifey HT, Samour HA, Deed A, Mahereen R, Nabiha N, Shaikh S, Samhan LM, Khan MI, et al. Molecular Prognosticators Guiding Fertility-Sparing Surgery in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: A Comprehensive Review. Cancers. 2025; 17(22):3602. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17223602
Chicago/Turabian StyleShaikh, Saniyah, Salsabil Haque, Hafsah Tajammul Khalifey, Halla Anas Samour, Ayesha Deed, Rutaba Mahereen, Noor Nabiha, Safwaan Shaikh, Lara M. Samhan, Mohammed Imran Khan, and et al. 2025. "Molecular Prognosticators Guiding Fertility-Sparing Surgery in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: A Comprehensive Review" Cancers 17, no. 22: 3602. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17223602
APA StyleShaikh, S., Haque, S., Khalifey, H. T., Samour, H. A., Deed, A., Mahereen, R., Nabiha, N., Shaikh, S., Samhan, L. M., Khan, M. I., & Yaqinuddin, A. (2025). Molecular Prognosticators Guiding Fertility-Sparing Surgery in Early-Stage Endometrial Cancer: A Comprehensive Review. Cancers, 17(22), 3602. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers17223602

