The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma
Abstract
:Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Patients
2.2. Survival Analysis
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Survival Analysis in the Combined Cohort
3.2. Survival Analysis in the SEER Cohort
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Descriptor | Class 1A (n = 965) | Class 1B/2A (n = 226) | Class 2B (n = 70) | Combined (n = 1261) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years), median (Range) | 60 (13–91) | 63 (19–95) | 67 (25–88) | 61 (13–95) |
Sex | ||||
Female | 299 (31.0%) | 52 (23.0%) | 14 (20.0%) | 365 (28.9%) |
Male | 331 (34.3%) | 71 (31.4%) | 19 (27.1%) | 421 (33.4%) |
Unknown | 335 (34.7%) | 103 (45.6%) | 37 (52.9%) | 475 (37.7%) |
Tumor Location | ||||
Extremity | 453 (46.9%) | 111 (49.1%) | 31 (44.3%) | 595 (47.2%) |
Head and neck | 192 (19.9%) | 55 (24.3%) | 20 (28.6%) | 267 (21.2%) |
Trunk | 320 33.2%) | 60 (26.5%) | 19 (27.1%) | 399 (31.6%) |
Breslow thickness (mm), median (Range) | 0.6 (0.08–2.03) | 1.0 (0.1–2.0) | 1.2 (0.18–2.03) | 0.7 (0.08–2.03) |
Ulceration | ||||
No | 883 (91.5%) | 196 (86.7%) | 59 (84.3%) | 1138 (90.2%) |
Yes | 19 (2.0%) | 11 (4.9%) | 7 (10.0%) | 37 (2.9%) |
Unknown | 63 (6.5%) | 19 (8.4%) | 4 (5.7%) | 86 (6.8%) |
Mitotic rate (1/mm2), median (Range) | 0.0 (0.0–10.0) | 1.0 (0.0–10.0) | 1.0 (0.0–10.0) | 0.0 (0.0–10.0) |
Recurrence | ||||
No | 940 (97.4%) | 205 (90.7%) | 57 (81.4%) | 1202 (95.3%) |
Yes | 25 (2.6%) | 21 (9.3%) | 13 (18.6%) | 59 (4.7%) |
Melanoma-specific death | ||||
No | 960 (99.5%) | 222 (98.2%) | 64 (91.4%) | 1246 (98.8%) |
Yes | 5 (0.5%) | 4 (1.8%) | 6 (8.6%) | 15 (1.2%) |
T-stage | ||||
T1a | 581 (60.2%) | 56 (24.8%) | 11 (15.7%) | 648 (51.4%) |
T1b | 206 (21.3%) | 64 (28.3%) | 16 (22.9%) | 286 (22.7%) |
T2a | 178 (18.4%) | 106 (46.9%) | 43 (61.4%) | 327 (25.9%) |
AJCC 8th edition * | ||||
Stage IA | 713 (73.9%) | 92 (40.7%) | 20 (28.6%) | 825 (65.4%) |
Stage IB | 252 (26.1%) | 134 (59.3%) | 50 (71.4%) | 436 (34.6%) |
Factor | Hazard Ratio (95% CI) | p-Value |
---|---|---|
RFS-Combined cohort | ||
31-GEP | ||
Class 1A | Reference | -- |
Class 1B/2A | 2.63 (1.43–4.83) | 0.002 |
Class 2B | 5.16 (2.54–10.47) | <0.001 |
AJCC | ||
Stage IA | Reference | -- |
Stage IB | 2.98 (1.64–5.40) | <0.001 |
MSS-Combined cohort | ||
31-GEP | ||
Class 1A | Reference | -- |
Class 1B/2A | 2.35 (0.60–9.29) | 0.223 |
Class 2B | 11.08 (3.10–39.63) | <0.001 |
AJCC | ||
Stage IA | Reference | -- |
Stage IB | 3.00 (0.87–10.37) | 0.082 |
MSS-SEER cohort | ||
31-GEP | ||
Class 1A | Reference | -- |
Class 1B/2A | 1.37 (0.50–3.71) | 0.542 |
Class 2B | 9.23 (4.23–20.18) | <0.001 |
AJCC | ||
Stage IA | Reference | -- |
Stage IB | 0.82 (0.39–1.74) | 0.609 |
Group | Likelihood Ratio | p-Value |
---|---|---|
RFS-Combined cohort | ||
31-GEP (Combined) | 39.11 | p < 0.001 |
AJCC (Combined) | 32.05 | p < 0.001 |
31-GEP added to AJCC (Combined) | 52.99 | p < 0.001 |
MSS-Combined cohort | ||
31-GEP (Combined) | 19.29 | p < 0.001 |
AJCC (Combined) | 9.95 | p = 0.002 |
31-GEP added to AJCC (Combined) | 22.64 | p < 0.001 |
MSS-SEER cohort | ||
31-GEP (SEER) | 22.52 | p < 0.001 |
AJCC (SEER) | 0.20 | p = 0.653 |
31-GEP added to AJCC (SEER) | 22.79 | p < 0.001 |
Descriptor | Class 1A (n = 4526) | Class 1B/2A (n = 865) | Class 2B (n = 260) | Combined (n = 5651) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years), median (Range) | 60 (18–90+) | 64 (18–90+) | 65 (22–90+) | 61 (18–90+) |
Sex | ||||
Female | 2089 (46.2%) | 383 (44.3%) | 96 (36.9%) | 2568 (45.4%) |
Male | 2437 (53.8%) | 482 (55.7%) | 164 (63.1%) | 3083 (54.6%) |
Tumor Location | ||||
Extremity | 2054 (45.3%) | 430 (49.7%) | 141 (54.2%) | 2625 (46.5%) |
Head and neck | 799 (17.6%) | 209 (24.2%) | 59 (22.7%) | 1067 (18.9%) |
Trunk | 1648 (36.3%) | 222 (25.7%) | 60 (23.1%) | 1930 (34.2%) |
Not specified | 25 (0.6%) | 4 (0.5%) | 0 (0.0%) | 29 (0.5%) |
Breslow thickness (mm), median (Range) | 0.6 (0–2.0) | 1.1 (0.1–2.0) | 1.1 (0.1–2.0) | 0.7 (0–2.0) |
Ulceration | ||||
No | 3745 (82.7%) | 667 (77.1%) | 168 (64.6%) | 4580 (81.0%) |
Yes | 92 (2.0%) | 39 (4.5%) | 30 (11.5%) | 161 (2.8%) |
Unknown | 689 (15.2%) | 159 (18.4%) | 62 (23.8%) | 910 (16.1%) |
Mitotic rate (1/mm2), median (Range) | 0 (0–11) | 1 (0–11) | 1 (0–11) | 0 (0–11) |
Melanoma-specific death | ||||
No | 4504 (99.5%) | 860 (99.4%) | 250 (96.2%) | 5614 (99.3%) |
Yes | 22 (0.5%) | 5 (0.6%) | 10 (3.8%) | 37 (0.7%) |
T-stage | ||||
T1a | 2850 (63.0%) | 199 (23.0%) | 71 (27.3%) | 3120 (55.2%) |
T1b | 936 (20.7%) | 216 (25.0%) | 52 (20.0%) | 1204 (21.3%) |
T2a | 740 (16.3%) | 450 (52.0%) | 137 (52.7%) | 1327 (23.5%) |
AJCC 8th edition * | ||||
Stage IA | 3606 (79.7%) | 375 (43.4%) | 116 (44.6%) | 4097 (72.5%) |
Stage IB | 920 (20.3%) | 490 (56.6%) | 144 (55.4%) | 1554 (27.5%) |
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Podlipnik, S.; Martin, B.J.; Morgan-Linnell, S.K.; Bailey, C.N.; Siegel, J.J.; Petkov, V.I.; Puig, S. The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma. Cancers 2024, 16, 287. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16020287
Podlipnik S, Martin BJ, Morgan-Linnell SK, Bailey CN, Siegel JJ, Petkov VI, Puig S. The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma. Cancers. 2024; 16(2):287. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16020287
Chicago/Turabian StylePodlipnik, Sebastian, Brian J. Martin, Sonia K. Morgan-Linnell, Christine N. Bailey, Jennifer J. Siegel, Valentina I. Petkov, and Susana Puig. 2024. "The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma" Cancers 16, no. 2: 287. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16020287
APA StylePodlipnik, S., Martin, B. J., Morgan-Linnell, S. K., Bailey, C. N., Siegel, J. J., Petkov, V. I., & Puig, S. (2024). The 31-Gene Expression Profile Test Outperforms AJCC in Stratifying Risk of Recurrence in Patients with Stage I Cutaneous Melanoma. Cancers, 16(2), 287. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16020287