Survival Analysis of Metastatic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Compared to Metastatic Average-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis
Abstract
:Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Population
2.2. Study Design and Primary Outcome
2.3. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
- Siegel, R.L.; Wagle, N.S.; Cercek, A.; Smith, R.A.; Jemal, A. Colorectal cancer statistics, 2023. CA Cancer J. Clin. 2023, 73, 233–254. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Hofseth, L.J.; Hebert, J.R.; Chanda, A.; Chen, H.; Love, B.L.; Pena, M.M.; Murphy, E.A.; Sajish, M.; Sheth, A.; Buckhaults, P.J.; et al. Early-onset colorectal cancer: Initial clues and current views. Nat. Rev. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 2020, 17, 352–364. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Adnan, D.; Trinh, J.Q.; Sharma, D.; Alsayid, M.; Bishehsari, F. Early-onset Colon Cancer Shows a Distinct Intestinal Microbiome and a Host–Microbe Interaction. Cancer Prev. Res. 2024, 17, 29–38. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Medici, B.; Riccò, B.; Caffari, E.; Zaniboni, S.; Salati, M.; Spallanzani, A.; Garajovà, I.; Benatti, S.; Chiavelli, C.; Dominici, M.; et al. Early Onset Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: Current Insights and Clinical Management of a Rising Condition. Cancers 2023, 15, 3509. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Saraiva, M.R.; Rosa, I.; Claro, I. Early-onset colorectal cancer: A review of current knowledge. World J. Gastroenterol. 2023, 29, 1289–1303. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gausman, V.; Dornblaser, D.; Anand, S.; Hayes, R.B.; O’Connell, K.; Du, M.; Liang, P.S. Risk Factors Associated with Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer. Clin. Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 2020, 18, 2752–2759.e2. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- AlZaabi, A.; AlHarrasi, A.; AlMusalami, A.; AlMahyijari, N.; Al Hinai, K.; Aladawi, H.; Al-Shamsi, H.O. Early onset colorectal cancer: Challenges across the cancer care continuum. Ann. Med. Surg. 2022, 82, 104453. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Spaander, M.C.; Zauber, A.G.; Syngal, S.; Blaser, M.J.; Sung, J.J.; You, Y.N.; Kuipers, E.J. Young-onset colorectal cancer. Nat. Rev. Dis. Primers 2023, 9, 21. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Hossain, S.; Karuniawati, H.; Jairoun, A.A.; Urbi, Z.; Ooi, D.J.; John, A.; Lim, Y.C.; Kibria, K.M.K.; Mohiuddin, A.M.; Ming, L.C.; et al. Colorectal Cancer: A Review of Carcinogenesis, Global Epidemiology, Current Challenges, Risk Factors, Preventive and Treatment Strategies. Cancers 2022, 14, 1732. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Rawla, P.; Sunkara, T.; Barsouk, A. Epidemiology of colorectal cancer: Incidence, mortality, survival, and risk factors. Przegla Gastroenterol. 2019, 14, 89–103. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Sinicrope, F.A. Increasing Incidence of Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 2022, 386, 1547–1558. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Cardoso, R.; Guo, F.; Heisser, T.; De Schutter, H.; Van Damme, N.; Nilbert, M.C.; Christensen, J.; Bouvier, A.-M.; Bouvier, V.; Launoy, G.; et al. Overall and stage-specific survival of patients with screen-detected colorectal cancer in European countries: A population-based study in 9 countries. Lancet Reg. Health-Eur. 2022, 21, 100458. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Wang, J.; Li, S.; Liu, Y.; Zhang, C.; Li, H.; Lai, B. Metastatic patterns and survival outcomes in patients with stage IV colon cancer: A population-based analysis. Cancer Med. 2020, 9, 361–373. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Cheng, E.; Blackburn, H.N.; Ng, K.; Spiegelman, D.; Irwin, M.L.; Ma, X.; Gross, C.P.; Tabung, F.K.; Giovannucci, E.L.; Kunz, P.L.; et al. Analysis of Survival among Adults with Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in the National Cancer Database. JAMA Netw. Open 2021, 4, e2112539. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Lingas, E.C. Early-Onset Colon Cancer: A Narrative Review of Its Pathogenesis, Clinical Presentation, Treatment, and Prognosis. Cureus 2023, 15, e45404. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Foppa, C.; Maroli, A.; Lauricella, S.; Luberto, A.; La Raja, C.; Bunino, F.; Carvello, M.; Sacchi, M.; De Lucia, F.; Clerico, G.; et al. Different Oncologic Outcomes in Early-Onset and Late-Onset Sporadic Colorectal Cancer: A Regression Analysis on 2073 Patients. Cancers 2022, 14, 6239. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Kanter, K.; Fish, M.; Mauri, G.; Horick, N.K.; Allen, J.N.; Blaszkowsky, L.S.; Clark, J.W.; Ryan, D.P.; Nipp, R.D.; Giantonio, B.J.; et al. Care Patterns and Overall Survival in Patients with Early-Onset Metastatic Colorectal Cancer. JCO Oncol. Pract. 2021, 17, e1846–e1855. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Doleschal, B.; Niedersüß-Beke, D.; Kirchweger, P.; Petzer, A.; Thaler, J.; Rumpold, H. Survival Outcome in Early-Onset Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: A Multicenter-Matched Pair Analysis. Oncology 2024, 102, 107–113. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. SEER*Stat Database: Incidence—SEER Research Data, 8 Registries, Nov 2022 Sub (1975–2020). Available online: www.seer.cancer.gov (accessed on 15 December 2023).
- STATA. 2023 [V16.0:]. Available online: https://www.stata.com (accessed on 15 December 2023).
- Wu, C.W.; Lui, R.N. Early-onset colorectal cancer: Current insights and future directions. World J. Gastrointest. Oncol. 2022, 14, 230–241. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Akimoto, N.; Ugai, T.; Zhong, R.; Hamada, T.; Fujiyoshi, K.; Giannakis, M.; Wu, K.; Cao, Y.; Ng, K.; Ogino, S. Rising incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer—A call to action. Nat. Rev. Clin. Oncol. 2021, 18, 230–243. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- O’Sullivan, D.E.; Cheung, W.Y.; Boyne, D.J.; Jarada, T.N.; Tang, P.A.; Gill, S.; Hilsden, R.J.; Brenner, D.R. Treatment patterns and survival outcomes of early-onset colorectal cancer patients in Alberta, Canada: A population-based study. Cancer Treat. Res. Commun. 2022, 32, 100585. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Patel, S.G.; Karlitz, J.J.; Yen, T.; Lieu, C.H.; Boland, C.R. The rising tide of early-onset colorectal cancer: A comprehensive review of epidemiology, clinical features, biology, risk factors, prevention, and early detection. Lancet Gastroenterol. Hepatol. 2022, 7, 262–274. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Chang, D.T.; Pai, R.K.; Rybicki, L.A.; Dimaio, M.A.; Limaye, M.; Jayachandran, P.; Koong, A.C.; Kunz, P.A.; Fisher, G.A.; Ford, J.M.; et al. Clinicopathologic and molecular features of sporadic early-onset colorectal adenocarcinoma: An adenocarcinoma with frequent signet ring cell differentiation, rectal and sigmoid involvement, and adverse morphologic features. Mod. Pathol. 2012, 25, 1128–1139. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- O’reilly, M.; Linehan, A.; Krstic, A.; Kolch, W.; Sheahan, K.; Winter, D.C.; Mc Dermott, R. Oncotherapeutic Strategies in Early Onset Colorectal Cancer. Cancers 2023, 15, 552. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Gallagher, D.J.; Kemeny, N. Metastatic colorectal cancer: From improved survival to potential cure. Oncology 2010, 78, 237–248. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Zeineddine, F.A.; Zeineddine, M.A.; Yousef, A.; Gu, Y.; Chowdhury, S.; Dasari, A.; Huey, R.W.; Johnson, B.; Kee, B.; Lee, M.S.; et al. Survival improvement for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer over twenty years. NPJ Precis. Oncol. 2023, 7, 16. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Moehler, M.; Folprecht, G.; Heinemann, V.; Holch, J.W.; Maderer, A.; Kasper, S.; Hegewisch-Becker, S.; Schröder, J.; Overkamp, F.; Kullmann, F.; et al. Survival after secondary liver resection in metastatic colorectal cancer: Comparing data of three prospective randomized European trials (LICC, CELIM, FIRE-3). Int. J. Cancer 2022, 150, 1341–1349. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Wang, S.; Yuan, Z.; Ni, K.; Zhan, Y.; Zhao, X.; Liu, Z.; Liu, Y.; Yi, B.; Lai, S.; Yin, X.; et al. Young Patients with Colorectal Cancer Have Higher Early Mortality but Better Long-Term Survival. Clin. Transl. Gastroenterol. 2022, 13, e00543. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
- Cercek, A.; Chatila, W.K.; Yaeger, R.; Walch, H.; Fernandes, G.D.S.; Krishnan, A.; Palmaira, L.; Maio, A.; Kemel, Y.; Srinivasan, P.; et al. A Comprehensive Comparison of Early-Onset and Average-Onset Colorectal Cancers. JNCI J. Natl. Cancer Inst. 2021, 113, 1683–1692. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Schreuders, E.H.; Ruco, A.; Rabeneck, L.; Schoen, R.E.; Sung, J.J.Y.; Young, G.P.; Kuipers, E.J. Colorectal cancer screening: A global overview of existing programmes. Gut 2015, 64, 1637–1649. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef]
- Gu, J.; Li, Y.; Yu, J.; Hu, M.; Ji, Y.; Li, L.; Hu, C.; Wei, G.; Huo, J. A risk scoring system to predict the individual incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer. BMC Cancer 2022, 22, 122. [Google Scholar] [CrossRef] [PubMed]
Characteristics | Entire Sample (n = 23,278) | Early-Onset (n = 4141) | Average-Onset (n = 19,137) | p-Value | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | % | n | % | n | % | ||
Age (years) | |||||||
18–24 | 50 | 0.21 | - | - | - | - | |
25–29 | 151 | 0.65 | |||||
30–34 | 329 | 1.41 | |||||
35–39 | 558 | 2.40 | |||||
40–44 | 1080 | 4.64 | |||||
45–49 | 1973 | 8.48 | |||||
51 or older | 19,137 | 82.21 | - | - | - | - | |
Sex | 0.438 † | ||||||
Female | 11,009 | 47.29 | 1981 | 47.84 | 9028 | 47.18 | |
Male | 12,269 | 52.71 | 2160 | 52.16 | 10,109 | 52.82 | |
Race | <0.001 † | ||||||
White | 17,615 | 75.67 | 3001 | 72.47 | 14,614 | 76.37 | |
Black | 3314 | 14.24 | 632 | 15.26 | 2682 | 14.01 | |
Asian/Pacific Islander | 2138 | 9.18 | 451 | 10.89 | 1687 | 8.82 | |
American Indian/Alaska Native | 211 | 0.91 | 57 | 1.38 | 154 | 0.80 | |
Histologic subtype | 0.596 † | ||||||
Adenocarcinoma | 20,399 | 87.37 | 3615 | 87.30 | 16,724 | 87.39 | |
Mucinous adenocarcinoma | 1773 | 7.62 | 308 | 7.43 | 1465 | 7.66 | |
Large-cell neuroendocrine carcinoma | 511 | 2.20 | 89 | 2.15 | 422 | 2.21 | |
Others | 655 | 2.81 | 129 | 3.12 | 526 | 2.75 | |
Tumor size (mm) | 0.394 ‡ | ||||||
Median (IQR) | 50 (40–70) | 50 (40–70) | 50 (40–70) | ||||
T score | 0.677 † | ||||||
T1 | 1038 | 4.46 | 183 | 4.42 | 855 | 4.47 | |
T2 | 666 | 2.86 | 121 | 2.92 | 545 | 2.85 | |
T3 | 11,506 | 49.43 | 2080 | 50.23 | 9426 | 49.25 | |
T4 | 10,068 | 43.25 | 1757 | 42.43 | 8311 | 43.43 | |
N score | <0.001 † | ||||||
N0 | 4342 | 18.65 | 649 | 15.67 | 3693 | 19.30 | |
N1 | 8907 | 38.26 | 1552 | 37.48 | 7355 | 38.43 | |
N2 | 10,029 | 43.08 | 1940 | 46.85 | 8089 | 42.27 | |
Histologic grade | 0.065 † | ||||||
Well differentiated | 1149 | 4.94 | 198 | 4.78 | 951 | 4.97 | |
Moderately differentiated | 15,037 | 64.60 | 2749 | 66.38 | 12,288 | 64.21 | |
Poorly differentiated | 5932 | 25.48 | 995 | 24.03 | 4937 | 25.80 | |
Undifferentiated | 1160 | 4.98 | 199 | 4.81 | 961 | 5.02 | |
Primary tumor site | <0.001 † | ||||||
Right colon | 3973 | 17.07 | 509 | 12.29 | 3464 | 18.10 | |
Left colon | 9372 | 40.26 | 2055 | 49.63 | 7317 | 38.23 | |
Transverse colon | 1676 | 7.20 | 249 | 6.01 | 1427 | 7.46 | |
Cecum | 5076 | 21.80 | 552 | 13.33 | 4524 | 23.64 | |
Rectum | 3181 | 13.67 | 776 | 18.74 | 2405 | 12.57 | |
Surgical treatment | 0.140 † | ||||||
No/Unknown | 2706 | 11.62 | 509 | 12.29 | 2197 | 11.48 | |
Yes | 20,572 | 88.38 | 3632 | 87.71 | 16,940 | 88.52 | |
Radiotherapy | <0.001 † | ||||||
No/Unknown | 20,841 | 89.53 | 3523 | 85.08 | 17,318 | 90.49 | |
Yes | 2437 | 10.47 | 618 | 14.92 | 1819 | 9.51 | |
Chemotherapy | <0.001 † | ||||||
No/Unknown | 6909 | 29.68 | 529 | 12.77 | 6380 | 33.34 | |
Yes | 16,369 | 70.32 | 3612 | 87.23 | 12,757 | 66.66 | |
Vital Status | <0.001 † | ||||||
Alive | 5565 | 23.91 | 1348 | 32.55 | 4217 | 22.04 | |
Died | 17,713 | 76.09 | 2793 | 67.45 | 14,920 | 77.96 | |
Follow-up (years) | <0.001 ‡ | ||||||
Median (IQR) | 1.42 (0.50–2.83) | 2 (1.00–3.67) | 1.25 (0.42–2.67) |
Metastasis Site | Early-Onset | Average-Onset | p-Value † | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | % | n | % | ||
One site | |||||
Only liver | 2901 | 70.06 | 13,391 | 69.97 | 0.918 |
Only lung | 694 | 16.76 | 3700 | 19.33 | <0.001 |
Only bone | 123 | 2.97 | 695 | 3.63 | 0.036 |
Only brain | 23 | 0.56 | 197 | 1.03 | 0.004 |
Two sites | |||||
Liver and lung | 455 | 10.99 | 2376 | 12.42 | 0.011 |
Liver and bone | 85 | 2.05 | 470 | 2.46 | 0.123 |
Liver and brain | 10 | 0.24 | 90 | 0.47 | 0.041 |
Lung and bone | 49 | 1.18 | 259 | 1.35 | 0.385 |
Lung and brain | 10 | 0.24 | 75 | 0.39 | 0.146 |
Bone and brain | 7 | 0.17 | 33 | 0.17 | 0.962 |
Three sites | |||||
Liver and lung and bone | 35 | 0.85 | 197 | 1.03 | 0.279 |
Liver and lung and brain | 7 | 0.17 | 49 | 0.26 | 0.300 |
Liver and bone and brain | 5 | 0.12 | 24 | 0.13 | 0.938 |
Lung and bone and brain | 5 | 0.12 | 17 | 0.09 | 0.545 |
Four sites | |||||
Liver and lung and bone and brain | 3 | 0.07 | 14 | 0.07 | 0.988 |
Exposure | Crude Model a | Adjusted Model a,b | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | 95% CI | p-Value | HR | 95% CI | p-Value | |
Age | ||||||
Early onset | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Average onset | 1.53 | 1.47–1.59 | <0.001 | 1.36 | 1.31–1.42 | <0.001 |
Sex | ||||||
Female | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Male | 1.01 | 0.97–1.03 | 0.818 | 1.05 | 1.02–1.08 | 0.003 |
Race | ||||||
White | Ref. | --- | --- | Not evaluated † | ||
Black | 1.08 | 1.04–1.13 | <0.001 | |||
Asian/Pacific Islander | 0.89 | 0.84–0.94 | <0.001 | |||
American Indian/Alaska Native | 0.95 | 0.81–1.11 | 0.522 | |||
Histologic subtype | Not evaluated † | |||||
Adenocarcinoma | Ref. | --- | --- | |||
Mucinous adenocarcinoma | 1.17 | 1.11–1.24 | <0.001 | |||
Large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma | 1.11 | 1.01–1.23 | 0.035 | |||
Others | 1.67 | 1.54–1.82 | <0.001 | |||
T score | Not evaluated ‡ | |||||
T1 | Ref. | --- | --- | |||
T2 | 0.53 | 0.47–0.59 | <0.001 | |||
T3 | 0.64 | 0.60–0.68 | <0.001 | |||
T4 | 0.92 | 0.86–0.99 | 0.002 | |||
N score | ||||||
N0 | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
N1 | 1.04 | 1.00–1.09 | 0.057 | 1.18 | 1.13–1.23 | <0.001 |
N2 | 1.36 | 1.30–1.41 | <0.001 | 1.59 | 1.53–1.67 | <0.001 |
Histologic grade | ||||||
Well differentiated | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Moderately differentiated | 1.10 | 1.03–1.18 | 0.008 | 1.31 | 1.22–1.41 | <0.001 |
Poorly differentiated | 1.75 | 1.63–1.89 | <0.001 | 1.97 | 1.83–2.13 | <0.001 |
Undifferentiated | 1.90 | 1.73–2.08 | <0.001 | 2.11 | 1.92–2.31 | <0.001 |
Surgical treatment | ||||||
No/Unknown | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Yes | 0.64 | 0.61–0.66 | <0.001 | 0.46 | 0.44–0.48 | <0.001 |
Radiotherapy | ||||||
No/Unknown | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Yes | 0.71 | 0.68–0.75 | <0.001 | 0.81 | 0.77–0.85 | <0.001 |
Chemotherapy | ||||||
No/Unknown | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
Yes | 0.36 | 0.35–0.38 | <0.001 | 0.35 | 0.34–0.36 | <0.001 |
Exposure | Crude Model a | Adjusted Model a,b | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HR | 95% CI | p-Value | HR | 95% CI | p-Value | |
Treatment | ||||||
QT | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
QT + Qx | 0.55 | 0.52–0.58 | <0.001 | 0.48 | 0.45–0.52 | <0.001 |
Treatment | ||||||
QT + Qx | Ref. | --- | --- | Ref. | --- | --- |
QT + Qx + RT | 0.71 | 0.66–0.75 | <0.001 | 0.81 | 0.76–0.87 | <0.001 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Jeri-Yabar, A.; Vittini-Hernandez, L.; Prado-Nuñez, S.; Dharmapuri, S. Survival Analysis of Metastatic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Compared to Metastatic Average-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis. Cancers 2024, 16, 2004. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16112004
Jeri-Yabar A, Vittini-Hernandez L, Prado-Nuñez S, Dharmapuri S. Survival Analysis of Metastatic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Compared to Metastatic Average-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis. Cancers. 2024; 16(11):2004. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16112004
Chicago/Turabian StyleJeri-Yabar, Antoine, Liliana Vittini-Hernandez, Sebastian Prado-Nuñez, and Sirish Dharmapuri. 2024. "Survival Analysis of Metastatic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Compared to Metastatic Average-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis" Cancers 16, no. 11: 2004. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16112004
APA StyleJeri-Yabar, A., Vittini-Hernandez, L., Prado-Nuñez, S., & Dharmapuri, S. (2024). Survival Analysis of Metastatic Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Compared to Metastatic Average-Onset Colorectal Cancer: A SEER Database Analysis. Cancers, 16(11), 2004. https://doi.org/10.3390/cancers16112004