Next Article in Journal
Can the Concept of Integrative and Segregative Institutions Contribute to the Framing of Institutions of Sustainability?
Previous Article in Journal
Designing and Validating a Model for Measuring Sustainability of Overall Innovation Capability of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises
Article Menu

Export Article

Open AccessArticle
Sustainability 2015, 7(1), 563-583;

Risk Assessment, Partition and Economic Loss Estimation of Rice Production in China

1,2,* and 1,2
College of Economics & Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editor: Marc A. Rosen
Received: 13 August 2014 / Accepted: 23 December 2014 / Published: 6 January 2015
Full-Text   |   PDF [2009 KB, uploaded 24 February 2015]   |  


Agricultural risk, especially the risk assessment, partition and economic loss estimation of specific and main crops, maize, wheat and rice, is widely touted in China as a means of improving the effective productivity. The main objective of this article is to perform a detailed analysis of the stability and comparative advantage of rice production in 30 provinces on the basis of relative rice production data from 2000 to 2012 in China. The non-parametric information diffusion model based on entropy theory was used to assess rice production risk. Accordingly, we divided the risk level with hierarchical cluster analysis. Then, we calculated the economic loss of rice production by the scenario analysis. The results show that, firstly, the national disaster risk of rice production is at a lower level. Secondly, there are significant differences in the stability, comparative advantage and risk probability of rice production among the 30 provinces. Thirdly, Shanxi province belongs to the high risk zone, 12 provinces belong to the middle risk zone and 17 provinces to the low risk zone. Finally, there is a proportional rate between the economic loss (yield loss) and disaster area (yield loss rate) of rice production. Therefore, we could obtain some significant policy suggestions. View Full-Text
Keywords: economic loss estimation; rice production; risk assessment; risk partition economic loss estimation; rice production; risk assessment; risk partition

Figure 1

This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).

Share & Cite This Article

MDPI and ACS Style

Chen, Q.; Zhang, J.; Zhang, L. Risk Assessment, Partition and Economic Loss Estimation of Rice Production in China. Sustainability 2015, 7, 563-583.

Show more citation formats Show less citations formats

Related Articles

Article Metrics

Article Access Statistics



[Return to top]
Sustainability EISSN 2071-1050 Published by MDPI AG, Basel, Switzerland RSS E-Mail Table of Contents Alert
Back to Top