Comprehensive Insights into Carbon Capture and Storage: Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects, Modeling, Risk Assessment, Monitoring, and Cost Analysis in Geological Storage
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Phase Behavior of CO2
3. Key Components of Carbon Capture, Transport, and Storage
3.1. CO2 Capture
3.1.1. Pre-Combustion Capture
3.1.2. Post-Combustion Capture
3.1.3. Oxy Fuel Combustion Capture
3.1.4. Direct Air Capture (DAC)
3.2. CO2 Conditioning and Transportation
3.3. CO2 Storage
3.3.1. Ocean Storage
3.3.2. Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS)
3.3.3. Geological Storage
Deep Saline Aquifers
Coal Beds
Depleted Oil and Gas Reservoirs
Method | Advantages | Disadvantages |
---|---|---|
Geological Storage | A substantial volume of CO2 can be stored in geological formations owing to their massive dimensions [116]. Carbon dioxide is sequestered inside geological formation reservoirs, so the risk of releasing it into the atmosphere is very low [117]. Geological formations are usually adjacent to the oil and gas fields, due to which carbon dioxide movement and storage are feasible [118]. Depleted oil and gas reservoirs are highly attractive for CO2 storage because they come with a wealth of geological data such as well logs, seismic surveys, and production history that significantly reduces uncertainty during site characterization. In many cases, existing wells and pipeline networks can be repurposed for CO2 injection and monitoring, which lowers capital costs compared to developing new sites. Moreover, the proven ability of these reservoirs to retain hydrocarbons over geological timescales provides strong confidence in their sealing integrity. Together, these factors accelerate project timelines and leverage decades of petroleum engineering expertise. Geological CO2 storage can provide additional financial incentives by coupling storage with resource recovery. In depleted oil reservoirs, CO2 injection can be used for Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR), where additional hydrocarbons are mobilized and produced while simultaneously storing CO2. Similarly, coal beds enable Enhanced Coalbed Methane Recovery (ECBM), where CO2 injection displaces methane that can be captured and used as an energy resource. These co-benefits not only improve project economics but also provide a transition strategy for industries to adopt CO2 storage while still generating revenue. | Sometimes, there may be difficulties with selecting a site for carbon storage. Not every formation can be utilized for this purpose [119]. Geological storage has considerable cost implications because of the expenses associated with capture, compression, and transport of CO2, as well as the costs related to monitoring and maintaining storage sites [117]. Injection activities can cause pressure buildup, potentially activate faults or trigger earthquakes. This requires careful geomechanical monitoring and site-specific risk mitigation. Ensuring CO2 remains stored safely for centuries requires long-term monitoring commitments. Political or financial instability could jeopardize consistent oversight. |
Ocean Storage | Carbon, as previously noted, is soluble in the ocean, facilitating the translocation of CO2 carried in seawater, which further enhances the ocean’s natural ability to draw down carbon from the atmosphere [120]. Unlike other geological formations, the mobility of the ocean increases the safety of CO2 storage in the sea by reducing leakage [121]. Very large theoretical capacity and potential for long-term storage as dissolved inorganic carbon or bicarbonate when alkalinity is increased, offering a pathway to durable sequestration if implemented responsibly [122]. | Carbon sequestration involving CO2 injection in ocean processes requires an investigative setting and equipment, which may be costly and difficult to procure [123]. Ocean storage cannot be proven to inflict serious harm to the environment, but the mechanisms and ramifications remain misunderstood; therefore, this technology must be studied to determine its effective long-term use [124]. Ocean storage of CO2 raises significant ethical concerns because it involves large-scale manipulation of marine ecosystems, which could lead to irreversible ecological and biogeochemical impacts. Such interventions risk harming biodiversity, altering ocean chemistry, and exacerbating ocean acidification, thereby threatening marine life and food security for communities dependent on these ecosystems. Furthermore, these actions pose intergenerational justice issues, as the long-term consequences of ocean storage are uncertain and could impose risks on future generations without their consent. International governance frameworks, such as the London Convention and Protocol, strongly discourage or prohibit direct deep-water CO2 injection due to these ecological and ethical risks, reflecting a global consensus that the precautionary principle should guide such interventions [125]. |
BECCS | The significant advantage of this method is that it generates renewable energy while removing CO2 from the environment [126]. It is also an advantage that it can be utilized with existing infrastructure like power plants [127]. | The drawback of this method is that it requires large areas to generate energy from biomass; this area can be used in other productive things like food production. In its early stages, there are concerns regarding efficiency and cost of the process [128]. Social, policy and market dependencies (sustainable biomass standards, carbon credits, long-term storage liability) make economic viability sensitive to policy design and public acceptance. |
No# | Project Name | Operator | Country | CO2 Source—Capture Type | Storage Type | Capture Capacity (Mt/Year) | CO2 Transport | Geological CO2 Stored (Reported) | Project Status | Ref. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saline aquifer | ||||||||||
1 | Quest | Shell Canada | Canada | The Quest CCS project captures CO2 from hydrogen production via steam methane reformers at the Shell Scotford Upgrader in Alberta, Canada. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 1.3 | Pipeline | Over 9 million tonnes (End of 2024) | Operational since 2015 | [129,130,131] |
2 | Entropy Glacier Gas Plant | Entropy Inc. | Canada | CO2 is captured during natural gas processing at the Entropy Glacier Gas Plant, where it is separated from the raw gas stream before further treatment and compression. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 0.32 | Pipeline | Around 63,000 tonnes (2025) | Operational since July 2022 (Phase 1); Phase 1b by 2023; Phase 2 under construction (FID July 2024) | [131,132,133] |
3 | Snøhvit | Equinor | Norway | The Snøhvit CCS project captures CO2 from natural gas processing at the Hammerfest LNG plant on Melkøya Island, where 5–8% CO2 is removed from Snøhvit field gas before liquefaction. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 0.7 | Pipeline | Around 6.5 million tonnes (~1.1 million tonnes from Tubåen Formation and ~5.4 million tonnes from Stø Formation) (2019) | Operational since 2008, the project is now entering a new phase of expansion under the name Snøhvit Future. | [131,134,135] |
4 | Sleipner | Equinor | Norway | The Sleipner CCS project captures CO2 from natural gas processing at the Sleipner T platform in the North Sea, where CO2 is separated from produced gas from the Sleipner West field due to its high CO2 content (~9%). (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 1 | Pipeline | Over 17 million tonnes (January 2022) | Operational since 1996 | [131,136] |
5 | Gorgon | Chevron Australia | Australia | The Gorgon CCS project captures CO2 during natural gas processing at the Chevron-operated Barrow Island facility, where CO2 naturally present in the Gorgon field gas (approximately 14% by volume) and the Jansz-Io field gas (less than 1%) is removed using an amine-based solvent system prior to liquefaction. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 4 | Pipeline | More than 11 million tonnes (May 2025) | Operational since 2019 | [131,137,138] |
6 | CNOOC Enping | CNOOC | China | CO2 is captured during natural gas processing at the Enping 15-1 platform operated by CNOOC, where it is separated from production gas streams. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 0.30 | Pipeline | Around 0.2 million tonnes (2023) | Operational since 2013 | [131,139,140] |
7 | Qatar Energy LNG CCS | Qatar Energy | Qatar | The Qatar Energy LNG CCS project captures CO2 during natural gas processing at the Ras Laffan Industrial City in Qatar, where CO2 is separated from produced gas streams during the liquefaction process across multiple LNG trains. (Pre-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 2.2 | Pipeline | Around 7.5 million tonnes (2025) | Operational since 2019 | [131,141,142] |
8 | ADM Illinois Industrial Carbon Capture and Storage | Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) | USA | CO2 is captured during ethanol production at the ADM facility in Decatur, Illinois, where it is separated from fermentation gas streams. (Industrial process) | Saline Aquifer | 1 | Pipeline | Around 4.5 million tonnes (2025) | Operational since 2017 | [131,143] |
9 | Blue Flint Ethanol CCS | Harvestone Low Carbon Partners | USA | CO2 is captured during ethanol production at the Blue Flint Ethanol facility in Underwood, North Dakota, where it is separated from fermentation gas streams. (Industrial process) | Saline Aquifer | 0.20 | On-site injection | More than 0.125 million tonnes (September 2024) | Operational since 2023 | [131,144,145] |
10 | Red Trail Energy CCS | Red Trail Energy, LLC | USA | CO2 from ethanol fermentation and associated combustion processes at a corn-based ethanol plant. (Industrial + post-combustion) | Saline Aquifer | 0.18 | On-site injection | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2022 | [131,146] |
Active oil reservoir | ||||||||||
11 | Petrobras Santos Basin Pre-Salt Oil Field CCS | Petrobras | Brazil | CO2 is sourced primarily from the separation of CO2-rich natural gas produced in the pre-salt oil reservoirs of the Santos Basin during oil and gas processing operations. (Pre-combustion) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 10.60 | Pipeline | Around 61.61 million tonnes (May 2024) | Operational since 2013 | [131,147,148] |
12 | Air Products and Chemicals Valero Port Arthur Refinery | Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. | USA | CO2 is captured at Air Products’ hydrogen production units within the Valero Port Arthur Refinery in Texas, as a byproduct of steam methane reforming for hydrogen production. (Pre-combustion) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.9 | Pipeline | More than 3.64 million tonnes (2017) | Operational since 2013 | [149,150,151] |
13 | Coffeyville Gasification Plant | Coffeyville Resources Nitrogen Fertilizers, LLC | USA | CO2 is captured at the Coffeyville Gasification Plant in Kansas, as a byproduct of petroleum coke gasification used to produce hydrogen for fertilizer manufacturing. It is then transported via pipeline to the North Burbank oil field in Oklahoma, where it is injected into active oil reservoirs for enhanced oil recovery (EOR). (Pre-combustion) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.9 | Pipeline | It uses the captured CO2 for Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) not for permanent storage | Operational since 2013 | [131,152] |
14 | Contango Lost Cabin Gas Plant | ConocoPhillips (gas plant), Denbury Resources (CO2 transport and EOR) | USA | CO2 is captured at the Lost Cabin Gas Plant in Wyoming, as a byproduct of natural gas processing involving gas streams containing approximately 20% CO2 and 12% H2S. (Pre-combustion) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.9 | Pipeline | More than 5 million tonnes (2017) | Operational since 2013 | [153,154] |
15 | Arkalon CO2 Compression Facility | CapturePoint LLC | USA | Industrial CO2 emissions captured from bio-ethanol production at Arkalon ethanol plant. (Industrial process) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.5 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational (new compression facility began in April 2023) | [131,155] |
16 | Al Reyadah CCUS Project | ADNOC | UAE | CO2 is captured at the Emirates Steel Industries facility in Abu Dhabi, as a byproduct of steel manufacturing. (Industrial process) | Active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.8 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2016 | [156] |
17 | Sinopec Qilu-Shengli CCS | Sinopec Group | China | CO2 is captured at the Qilu Petrochemical plant in Zibo, Shandong Province, and the source is indeed industrial processes, specifically the coal-to-hydrogen (or coal gasification) operations at the refinery. (Pre-combustion) | Low permeability active oil reservoir (EOR) | 1 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed; likely a few million tonnes over years | Operational since 2022 | [157] |
18 | Yangchang Yulin CO2-EOR | Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Group | China | CO2 is captured at the Yulin Coal Chemical Company in Shaanxi Province, China, as a byproduct of methanol and acetic acid production from coal. (Industrial process) | Low permeability active oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.3 | Truck | Around 41,000 tonnes (2015) | Pilot Phase (Phase 1 completed): CO2 injection began in 2012 and ended around 2015. Partially operational since 2015 | [70,131] |
Depleted oil reservoir | ||||||||||
19 | Longfellow WTO Century Plant | Longfellow Energy | USA | CO2 is sourced primarily from natural gas processing at the Century Plant in West Texas, where CO2 is separated from produced gas streams as part of natural gas treatment operations. (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 5 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2013 | [131,158] |
20 | Northern Reef Trend | Core Energy, LLC | USA | Core Energy’s Antrim Shale gas processing plant. (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.331 | Pipeline | Over 1.3608 million tonnes (2021) | Operational since 2013 | [159] |
21 | Great Plains Synfuels Plant and Weyburn-Midale | Dakota Gasification Company | USA | CO2 is sourced primarily from the coal gasification process at the Great Plains Synfuels Plant in North Dakota, where CO2 is captured as a byproduct during the production of synthetic natural gas from lignite coal. (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 3 | Pipeline | Around 40 million tonnes in Weyburn (2023) and Around 2 million tonnes in Weyburn (2010) | Operational since 2000 | [131,160,161,162] |
22 | Petra Nova Carbon Capture | ENEOS Xplora Inc. | USA | CO2 is captured at the W.A. Parish coal-fired power plant near Houston, Texas, as a byproduct of coal combustion for electricity. It is then transported to the West Ranch oil field for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) as part of the Petra Nova Carbon Capture Project. (Post-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 1.4 | Pipeline | More than 5 million tonnes (2025) | The Petra Nova Carbon Capture Project began operations in January 2017, capturing CO2 from the W.A. Parish coal-fired power plant for enhanced oil recovery. It was shut down in May 2020 due to economic challenges, mainly falling oil prices. After a three-year hiatus, the project was restarted in September 2023 under the sole ownership of ENEOS Xplora Inc. As of 2025, Petra Nova is fully operational | [131,163] |
23 | Core Energy CO2-EOR | Core Energy, LLC | USA | CO2 is captured as a byproduct during natural gas processing at facilities in Michigan, where raw gas streams containing 18–53% CO2 undergo acid gas removal. (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.35 | Pipeline | Around 0.462 million tonnes (2015) | Operational since 2013 | [131,164] |
24 | Enid Fertilizer | Koch Nitrogen Company | USA | CO2 is captured as a byproduct during ammonia production at the Koch Nitrogen Plant in Enid, Oklahoma. (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.2 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 1982 | [131,165] |
25 | MOL Szank Field CO2 EOR | MOL Hungarian Oil & Gas PLC | Hungary | CO2 from a nearby CO2 sweetening plant (treating natural gas feed ~81% CO2 content). (Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.16 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 1990 | [131,166,167] |
26 | Guohua Jinjie CCS Demonstration Project | Shaanxi Guohua Jinjie Energy Co., Ltd. | China | CO2 is captured at the Jinjie coal-fired power plant in Shaanxi Province, China, as a byproduct of post-combustion flue gas treatment. (Post-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.15 | Road Tanker | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2021 | [71,131] |
27 | Yangchang Yan’an CO2-EOR | Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Group | China | CO2 is captured at coal-to-chemical plants in Yulin and Yan’an, Shaanxi Province, China, as a byproduct of industrial processes. (Industrial process) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.10 | Truck | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2009 | [131,168] |
28 | WCS Redwater | Enhance Energy Inc. | Canada | CO2 is captured at the Sturgeon Refinery in Alberta, Canada, as a byproduct of bitumen upgrading and hydrogen production. (Industrial process) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.3 | Pipeline | More than 3.5 million tonnes (End of 2022) | Operational since 2014 | [131,169,170] |
29 | Boundary Dam CCS (Weyburn for EOR and Aquistore Permanent CO2 storage). | SaskPower | Canada | CO2 is captured at the Boundary Dam coal-fired power plant near Estevan, Saskatchewan, as a byproduct of coal combustion for electricity. (Post-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) + Saline aquifer for storage | 1 | Pipeline | Around 0.5 million tonnes in Saline aquifer (2023) | Operational since 2014 | [131,171,172,173] |
30 | NWR Sturgeon Refinery + Nutrien Redwater Fertilizer Facility + Alberta Carbon Trunk Line (ACTL) system | North-West Redwater Partnership (NWRP) | Canada | CO2 is captured at the NWR Sturgeon Refinery during hydrogen production from bitumen gasification, with a capture capacity of 1.6 Mt/year, of which 70% is sent via the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line (ACTL) for enhanced oil recovery and permanent geological storage. The Nutrien Redwater Fertilizer Facility captures CO2 from ammonia production, with a capacity of 0.3 Mt/year, and exports it into the ACTL system. (Industrial process + Pre-combustion) | Depleted oil reservoir (EOR) | 1.9 | Pipeline | In 2024, the NWR Sturgeon Refinery transferred approximately 3.66 million tonnes of CO2, while the Nutrien Redwater Fertilizer Facility contributed around 600,000 tonnes to the Alberta Carbon Trunk Line (ACTL) system. The ACTL is the world’s largest carbon capture and storage (CCS) project, with the capacity to transport and store up to 14.6 million tonnes of CO2 annually, supporting both enhanced oil recovery and permanent geological. | Operational since 2019 | [131,174,175,176,177] |
Depleting oil reservoir | ||||||||||
31 | Terrell Natural Gas Processing Plant CO2-EOR Project (formerly Val Verde Gas Plant) | Occidental Petroleum Corporation | USA | CO2 captured as a byproduct during natural gas processing (acid gas removal from raw gas streams containing 18–53% CO2). (Pre-combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.5 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 1972 | [131,178,179] |
32 | Bonanza BioEnergy CCS | Conestoga Energy Partners LLC (capture); PetroSantander (storage); Gary Climate Solutions (transport and operations) | USA | CO2 captured from ethanol fermentation at a corn and sorghum-based ethanol plant. (Industrial process) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.10 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2011 | [131,180] |
33 | Uthmaniyah CO2 EOR Demonstration Project | Saudi Aramco | Saudi Arabia | CO2 is captured at the Hawiyah gas plant in Saudi Arabia, as a byproduct of natural gas processing. (Pre-combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.8 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2015 | [131,181] |
34 | Jilin Oil Field CO2-EOR | CNPC | China | CO2 is captured at the Changchun gas processing facility in Jilin Province, China, as a byproduct of natural gas processing. (Pre-combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.6 | Pipeline | More than 3.5 million tonnes (End of 2024) | Operational since 2018 | [131,182,183] |
35 | Sinopec Jinling Petrochemical | Sinopec | China | CO2 is captured at the Jinling Petrochemical Refinery in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China, as a byproduct of hydrogen production and refining processes. (Industrial process) | Low permeability Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.3 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2022 | [131,184] |
36 | Sinopec Nanjing Chemical or Sinopec Eastern China CCS | Sinopec | China | High-concentration CO2 extracted from syngas by-products at coal and refinery gasification plants, used for hydrogen, methanol, fertilizers, etc. (Pre-combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.20 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2022 | [131,185] |
37 | Qingzhou Oxy-Fuel Combustion Carbon Capture Project | China United Cement Company (CNBM) | China | CO2 is captured at the Qingzhou Cement Plant in Shandong Province, China, where it is separated from flue gas produced during cement manufacturing using oxy-fuel combustion technology. (Oxy-fuel combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.20 | On-site or local | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2024 | [131,186,187] |
38 | Xinjiang Dunhua Karamay | Xinjiang Dunhua Petroleum Technology Co., Ltd. | China | CO2 is captured at a coal-fired power plant in Karamay, Xinjiang, China, as a byproduct of flue gas treatment. (Post-combustion) | Low permeability Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.10 | Road Tanker | Not publicly disclosed | Partially operational since 2016 | [131,188,189] |
39 | Guanghui Energy Methanol Plant | Xinjiang Guanghui Carbon Technology Comprehensive Utilization Co., Ltd. | China | High-concentration CO2 (~82–85%) emitted during coal gasification to methanol production and other coal-chemical operations. (Pre-combustion) | Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.10 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Partially operational since 2009 | [131] |
40 | Yanchang Integrated Demonstration | Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum Group | China | Byproduct CO2 from coal-to-chemicals plants (methanol/acetic acid) via Rectisol capture system. (Pre-combustion) | Low permeability Depleting oil reservoir (EOR) | 0.05 | Truck | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2012 | [131,190] |
Others | ||||||||||
41 | Shute Creek Gas Processing Plant | ExxonMobil | USA | CO2 is sourced primarily from natural gas processing at the Shute Creek Gas Processing Plant in Wyoming, where CO2 is separated from produced gas streams during the treatment of raw gas extracted from the LaBarge field, which contains a high concentration of CO2. The separated CO2 is then compressed and transported in larger quantities for EOR and small quantities for sequestration. (Pre-combustion) | EOR | 7 | Pipeline | Around 6 million tonnes (March 2022) | Operational since 1986 | [131,191,192] |
42 | Barnett Zero CCS | BKV and EnLink Midstream | USA | CO2-rich waste from EnLink’s Bridgeport natural gas processing plant (handling gas from Barnett Shale production). (Pre-combustion) | Purpose-drilled Class II injection well | 0.19 | Pipeline | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2023 | [131,193] |
43 | CarbFix–Mammoth DAC + S Project | Climeworks (capture) and CarbFix (storage) | Iceland | CO2 captured directly from ambient air (Direct Air Capture) via Climeworks’ Mammoth plant. (Direct Air Capture) | Geological storage via mineralization in basalt | 0.03 | On-site injection | Not publicly disclosed | Operational since 2024 | [131,194,195] |
4. Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects of CCS in Depleted Hydrocarbon Reservoirs and Deep Saline Aquifers
4.1. Geomechanical Aspects
4.2. Geochemical Aspects
5. Computer Modeling and Simulation
6. Risk Assessment in Geological Storage
- Qualitative;
- Quantitative;
- Semi-Quantitative;
- Hybrid Model.
6.1. Qualitative Risk Assessment
6.1.1. Features, Events, and Processes (FEP) Analysis
6.1.2. Vulnerability Evaluation Framework (VEF)
6.1.3. The Structured What-If Technique (SWIFT)
6.1.4. Hazard Identification (HAZID)
6.1.5. Risk Matrix for Legacy Wells
6.2. Quantitative Risk Assessment
6.2.1. Fault Tree Analysis
6.2.2. Monte Carlo Simulation
6.2.3. Deterministic Risk Assessment (DRA)
6.2.4. Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)
6.3. Semi-Quantitative Risk Assessment
6.3.1. Method Organized for a Systematic Analysis of Risk (MOSAR)
6.3.2. Bow-Tie Analysis
6.3.3. Risk Identification and Strategy Using Quantitative Evaluation (RISQUE)
6.4. Hybrid Integrated Risk Assessment Model
6.4.1. NRAP-Open-IAM (National Risk Assessment Partnership—Open Integrated Assessment Model)
6.4.2. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) Integrated with Simulation Data
6.4.3. GoldSim-Based Probabilistic Simulation Framework
7. Monitoring and Verification Methods
7.1. Sub-Surface Monitoring
Field | Monitoring Technique | Ref. |
---|---|---|
In Salah Site, Algeria | Micro-seismic, Wireline logging, and Repeat 3D seismic | [287] |
Naylor Field, Australia | Time lapse 3D surface and 2D and 3D VSP seismic | [288] |
Weyburn Field, Canada | 3D Time-lapse | [282] |
Bell Creek oil field, USA | Time-lapse pulsed neutron log | [289] |
Frio Formation, USA | VSP Seismic | [290] |
Tuscaloosa Formation, USA | Well Logging and 3D time-lapse seismic | [291] |
Stuttgart Formation, Germany | Pulsed neutron gamma well logging, 3D time-lapse seismic, and petrophysical test on core samples | [292] |
Nagaoka Test Site, Japan | Time-lapse cross-well seismic tomography | [293] |
Jingbian Field, China | Time-lapse well logging and 4D seismic | [294,295] |
Sleipner Field, Norway | 2D time-lapse seismic | [296] |
7.2. Atmospheric Monitoring
8. Economic Analysis of the CCS Process
9. Discussion
10. Conclusions
- Technology Choices: Pre-combustion capture and pipeline transport are the most common in commercial CCS projects.
- Storage Strategies: Depleted oil/gas reservoirs are widely used due to EOR benefits and existing infrastructure; saline aquifers offer large capacity but require intensive monitoring.
- Geomechanical and Geochemical Stability: Long-term containment depends on managing pressure buildup, fault activation, and chemical interactions that affect porosity and injectivity.
- Modeling Approaches: Analytical models are useful for early screening; numerical models are essential for detailed design and risk prediction.
- Risk Assessment: A phased approach is best—qualitative methods for early stages, quantitative and hybrid models for advanced evaluation.
- Monitoring and Verification: Integrated subsurface and surface monitoring ensures CO2 containment and supports regulatory compliance.
- Economic Considerations: Capture is the most expensive phase (~70% of total cost); reuse of infrastructure and policy incentives improve project viability.
- Path Forward: Although CCS technologies have matured significantly, challenges remain in cost reduction, infrastructure development, and regulatory alignment. Moving forward, interdisciplinary collaboration, technological innovation, and strong policy support will be essential to accelerate CCS deployment and achieve global decarbonization goals.
11. Future Recommendations
- Integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML): Future research should explore the integration of AI/ML algorithms with CCS simulation tools for predictive modeling, anomaly detection, and optimization of injection strategies.
- Improved Geomechanical-Geochemical Coupling: Advanced Multiphysics models that better couple stress-induced changes with reactive transport are needed to predict long-term site stability more accurately.
- Legacy Infrastructure Assessment: More comprehensive frameworks are needed to assess and remediate legacy wells beyond initial risk matrices, integrating real-time data and dynamic monitoring to ensure effective remediation.
- Standardized Risk Protocols: Global standardization of CCS risk assessment methods should be pursued to ensure consistent evaluation, especially across jurisdictions and storage environments.
- Cost Reduction Innovations: Investment in novel capture materials, efficient compressors, and automated monitoring technologies can significantly reduce capital and operational costs, enhancing economic viability.
- Public Engagement and Policy Development: Successful implementation of CCS requires public trust and supportive regulatory frameworks. Policies should incentivize CCS development, ensure long-term liability management, and promote transparent data sharing.
- Pilot and Field-Scale Projects: More field validation studies, particularly in underexplored regions and geological settings, will help improve modeling accuracy and stakeholder confidence in large-scale deployment.
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviation
CCS | Carbon Capture and Storage |
EOR | Enhanced Oil Recovery |
USA | United States of America |
U.S. | Unites States |
UAE | United Arab Emirates |
Mt/Year | Million Metric Tonnes Per Year |
Ref. | Reference |
GJ/tCO2 | Gigajoules per ton of CO2 |
USD | United States Dollar |
ASU | Air Separation Unit |
kWh/tCO2 | kilowatt-hours per ton of CO2 |
GCC | Gulf Cooperation Council |
Appendix A
TRL | Definition | Stage |
---|---|---|
1 | Basic principles observed and reported | Scientific research begins |
2 | Technology concept and/or application formulated | Concept development |
3 | Experimental proof of concept | Lab testing |
4 | Technology validated in the lab | Bench-scale validation |
5 | Technology validated in a relevant environment (pilot-scale) | Initial pilot testing |
6 | A system/subsystem model or prototype was demonstrated in a relevant environment. | Advanced pilot testing |
7 | System prototype demonstration in an operational environment | Pre-commercial demo |
8 | The actual system was completed and qualified through test and demonstration. | First-of-a-kind commercial |
9 | Actual system proven through successful operation | Fully commercial |
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Method | Source of CO2 | Approx. Efficiency (%) | Typical Applications | Cost (USD/ton) | Solvent/Sorbent Examples | Energy Penalty | Integrated with Combustion? | Technology Readiness Level | Ref. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-combustion capture | Before fuel is burned | 90–95% | IGCC plants, hydrogen production. | 50–100 | Selexol, Rectisol, methanol-based solvents | 2–4 GJ/t CO2 | Yes | 9 (commercially deployed in gas processing, hydrogen, ammonia); 7–8 for IGCC integration | [49,50,51,52,53] |
Post-combustion capture | After fuel is burned | 85–90% | Power plants, cement, steel | 40–80 | Monoethanolamine (MEA), 2-Amino-2-methyl-1-propanol (AMP), Piperazine (PZ), blended amines, biphasic solvents, non-aqueous amines | 3–4 GJ/t CO2 is accurate for MEA-based systems; advanced blends like AMP/PZ can reduce it to ~2.8 GJ/tCO2 | Yes | 9 (full-scale systems proven and commercially deployed) | [27,51,52,53,54] |
Oxy-fuel combustion | During fuel combustion | 85–90% | Industrial heating systems | 60–100 | Oxygen from ASU, calcium looping for CO2 purification | 200–300 kWh/t CO2 (ASU penalty) | Yes | 6–7 (Scale-up to pilot or demonstration system) | [51,52,53,55,56] |
Direct Air Capture | Atmospheric CO2 | Solid sorbent:10–75%, Liquid solvent > 75% | Ambient air CO2 removal | 600–1300 | Solid amines, alkaline solvents (NaOH, KOH), metal–organic frameworks (MOFs), ionic liquids | Solid sorbent systems: 5–8 GJ/t CO2, Liquid solvent systems: often 6–8 GJ/t CO2 | No | 5–6 (Early pilot testing in realistic conditions) | [40,41,42,46,57,58,59,60,61,62] |
Feature | Analytical Model | Numerical Model |
---|---|---|
Solution type | Exact (closed form) | Approximate (discrete) |
Assumptions | Requires strong simplifications | Fewer simplifying assumptions |
Complexity Handling | Limited | High (handles real-world complexity) |
Computation Time | Extremely low | Moderate to high |
Scalability | Poor | Excellent (suitable for 3D domains) |
Use Case in CCS | Preliminary screening, verification | Full-field simulations, risk assessment |
Software/Tool | Phase(s) | Purpose and Use Case | Ref. |
---|---|---|---|
Aspen Adsorption/ProSim DAC | Capture (Adsorption/Direct Air Capture) | Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA)/Temperature Swing Adsorption (TSA) cycle modeling for post-combustion capture or direct air capture | [220,221,222] |
Molecular Dynamics (MD)/Density Functional Theory (DFT tools) | Capture (Molecular level) | Molecular-scale modeling of sorption, solvent optimization, and material design | [223,224,225] |
CMG (IMEX, GEM, STARS) | Capture and Storage | Multiphase flow, geochemistry, thermal, and Equation of State (EOS)-based modeling; CO2 trapping, mineralization, healthy interactions | [226,227] |
Pipesim | Transport | Steady-state multiphase flow modeling: pipeline hydraulics, heat transfer, phase- and PVT-based flow assurance (CO2-rich fluids) | [228,229] |
OLGA | Transport | Dynamic multiphase flow simulation: depressurization, transient operations, hydrate prediction, two-/three-phase CO2 flow | [230,231] |
CMG CoFlow | Transport and Storage | Wellbore + pipeline flow modeling; real-time monitoring/alerting of temperature, pressure, corrosion | [232,233,234] |
TOUGH2/TOUGHREACT | Storage | Non-isothermal, multicomponent transport, fracturing, reactive transport modeling | [235,236,237,238] |
CCSNet (ML surrogate) | Storage | Deep-learning model for pressure/plume forecasting, trapping prediction (~103–104× faster than numeric) | [239] |
Vertical Equilibrium (VE) Models | Storage | Fast large-scale reservoir simulations relying on VE approximations for structural and residual trapping | [240,241] |
PFLOTRAN + Gas Hydrate | Storage | Modeling CO2 phase transitions and hydrate formation in marine Gas Hydrate Stability Zone (GHSZ), temperature-pressure effects | [242] |
PFLOTRAN (generic) | Storage | Mass/heat transport, geochemical reactions, multiphase subsurface flow, fracture coupling | [243,244] |
ECLIPSE/ECLIPSE 300 | Storage | Compositional/black-oil reservoir simulation: CO2 plume migration, dissolution, phase behavior | [226,245] |
Large-scale compositional simulator (PRSI-CGCS) | Storage | Parallel/EOS-based CO2 geological storage modeling on High-Performance Computing (HPC) platforms | [246] |
GWB (Geochemist Workbench) | Storage | Reactive transport simulations: mineral trapping, dissolution/precipitation, complex fluid chemistry | [247] |
FEHM (LANL flow code) | Storage | Multiphase heat and mass transport with stress coupling, used in CCS site risk and integrity assessment | [247] |
RA Methods | Goal | Data Needed | Application in CO2 Storage | Time Consumption | Ease to Use | Strength/Robustness | Application for Actual CCS Projects | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Qualitative | FEP | Identify and classify factors influencing the system. | Expert knowledge, geological and operational data | Scenario development and safety analysis. | High | Moderate | Strong for systematic identification | Used to build exhaustive scenario/FEP registers for long-term safety studies (foundational for site screening and scenario development). Example: Sleipner/generic FEP database used across CCS assessments [271]. |
VEF | Evaluate system vulnerability across scenarios. | Geological, operational, and exposure data | Identify vulnerable zones. | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate to strong. | VEF was designed to support site-specific risk assessments for geological CO2 sequestration. However, based on the available documentation, VEF has not been directly applied to a named commercial CCS project. | |
SWIFT | Identify hazards via structured brainstorming. | Process details, expert opinion | Early-phase CCS planning. | Low | Easy | Moderate, expert-dependent | Rapid workshop-style hazard identification used in early-phase CCS screening (used in Norway/North Sea screening and DNV workflows). Example: DNV/early offshore screening workshops [272]. | |
HAZID | Systematic hazard identification. | Project/design docs, expert input | Identify CO2 leakage paths. | Moderate | Moderate | Strong in early design | Standard project HSE hazard identification applied in large commercial CCS projects (used during permitting/EMP development). Example: Gorgon CO2 Injection project HAZID/EMP documents [273]. | |
Risk Matrix for Legacy Wells | Categorize and assess legacy well risks. | Well records, AoR characteristics | Risk ranking for permitting (Class VI wells). | Low | Easy | Moderate | Semi-qualitative triage to prioritize legacy wells in an Area-of-Review (AoR). Example: Illinois Basin–Decatur AoR legacy-well screening/triage study [260]. | |
Quantitative | Fault Tree Analysis | Analyze causes of system failure. | Failure probabilities, system design | CO2 leakage path analysis. | High | Complex | Strong if data available | No explicit CCS project was found using FTA; however, it is conceptually included in broader FEP/PRA frameworks for life-cycle risk scenarios. |
Monte Carlo Simulation | Quantify uncertainty probabilistically. | Probabilistic distributions | Leakage/plume prediction. | High | Moderate | Very strong | Used in modeling the Ketzin pilot site (Germany): Monte Carlo assessed heterogeneity’s impact on CO2 arrival times in observation wells [274]. | |
DRA | Evaluate the worst case without uncertainty. | Point estimates | Bounding case analysis. | Low | Easy | Limited, no uncertainty | DRA used in project permitting/MMV documents as conservative checks (e.g., stakeholder/regulator bounding analyses in the Quest MMV and project safety documentation) [275]. | |
PRA | Quantify risk including uncertainties. | Distributions, system models | Full leakage risk assessment. | High | Complex | Very strong | Probabilistic quantification of leak frequencies and impacts over life cycle (used to compare mitigation measures/monitoring designs). Example: Advanced probabilistic/geosphere risk work for the Weyburn-Midale project [276]. | |
Semi-Qualitative | MOSAR | Analyze risks using event sequences. | Accident sequences, safety barriers | Limited CCS use; potential in system safety. | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate | Not explicitly tied to a real-world CCS project; originally used in EU CCS feasibility studies [266]. |
Bow-Tie (with FTA and ETA) | Visualize causes and consequences with barriers. | Event/fault data | CO2 leakage scenarios. | Moderate to High | Moderate | Strong if quantified | Adopted at Quest (Canada), Peterhead/Goldeneye, and other field CCS projects to map containment risk pathways and control barriers [277]. | |
RISQUE | Evaluate sites via expert scoring and matrixes. | Site indicators, expert judgment | Used in GEODISC for comparison. | Moderate | Moderate | Good for screening, less for numbers | Applied under Australia’s GEODISC program to conceptual CCS projects in Dongara, Petrel, Gippsland and Carnarvon basins to compare storage risks and engage stakeholders [267]. | |
Hybrid Integrated Model | NRAP-Open-IAM | Assess long-term integrated risk. | Simulation outputs, site parameters | Used in U.S. risk analysis. | High | Complex | Very strong | Deployed to real U.S. candidate sites (incl. Illinois Basin/Decatur) to estimate project risk area/AoR and quantify potential impacts from legacy-well leakage; supporting risk-based monitoring [278]. |
ANNs with Simulation Data | Predict trends using AI. | Training datasets | ROP, pressure, and leakage prediction. | High | Complex | Very strong with data | Machine-learning surrogate models trained on field + simulated data for well-leakage screening and accelerated uncertainty quantification. Example: ANN well-leakage prediction trained on two sequestration-field datasets [279]. | |
GoldSim-Based Probabilistic Framework | Simulate system risk dynamically. | Input distributions, process models | System leakage and plume modeling. | High | Moderate | Very strong | Used in decision-support modeling for CCS uncertainty analysis. However, no specific project was found. |
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Baig, A.R.; Fentaw, J.; Hajiyev, E.; Watson, M.; Emadi, H.; Eissa, B.; Shahin, A. Comprehensive Insights into Carbon Capture and Storage: Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects, Modeling, Risk Assessment, Monitoring, and Cost Analysis in Geological Storage. Sustainability 2025, 17, 8619. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198619
Baig AR, Fentaw J, Hajiyev E, Watson M, Emadi H, Eissa B, Shahin A. Comprehensive Insights into Carbon Capture and Storage: Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects, Modeling, Risk Assessment, Monitoring, and Cost Analysis in Geological Storage. Sustainability. 2025; 17(19):8619. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198619
Chicago/Turabian StyleBaig, Abdul Rehman, Jemal Fentaw, Elvin Hajiyev, Marshall Watson, Hossein Emadi, Bassel Eissa, and Abdulrahman Shahin. 2025. "Comprehensive Insights into Carbon Capture and Storage: Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects, Modeling, Risk Assessment, Monitoring, and Cost Analysis in Geological Storage" Sustainability 17, no. 19: 8619. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198619
APA StyleBaig, A. R., Fentaw, J., Hajiyev, E., Watson, M., Emadi, H., Eissa, B., & Shahin, A. (2025). Comprehensive Insights into Carbon Capture and Storage: Geomechanical and Geochemical Aspects, Modeling, Risk Assessment, Monitoring, and Cost Analysis in Geological Storage. Sustainability, 17(19), 8619. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198619