As the core link of QCA method, the core objective of group analysis is to explore the impact of different combinations of antecedent conditions on the results, and the key criterion for judgment is the consistency level of adequacy. Schneider and Wagemann proposed in a related study that the consistency level should not be lower than 0.75 [
60]. Combining the results of previous research with the specific practical situation of this study, the consistency threshold finally selected in this paper is 0.9, the frequency threshold is 1, the PRI threshold is 0.75 [
61], and a total of 155 cases are covered under this setting. From the data in
Table 6, it can be clearly seen that the consistency of the overall solution of high-level regional innovation capacity is 0.961, and the consistency of the overall solution of low-level regional innovation capacity is 0.948, and both values are much higher than the standard value of 0.75; at the same time, the overall coverage of the two reaches 74% and 85.6%, which both satisfy the judgment criteria and fully indicates that the overall path has a high explanatory power. The groupings of high- and low-level regional innovation capacity are further classified and analyzed and can be categorized into five models.
5.2.1. Analysis of Aggregated Results
The M1 model is shown in
Figure 4a,b. The model was able to explain about 69% of the high-level website building performance cases, of which about 7.7% could only be explained by the model. The model is useful for provincial governments that face both high levels of satisfaction with people’s demands and organizational security systems and which will also have high levels of digital innovation capabilities if they can achieve faster economic development, digital infrastructure, and digital application capabilities invested in the topic of government digital innovation. Among them, digital infrastructure and digital application skills (technical), satisfaction of people’s demands (subjects), and digital economy development (environmenal) are the core conditions, and the organizational safeguard system (subjects) is the supplementary condition. Since the driving path is mainly composed of two types of conditions, technical and environmental, it is named the technical–environmental-driven type, which can explain the cases including Jiangsu, Sichuan, Henan, and other provinces. Sichuan Province, as a representative province, focuses on communication network and arithmetic support, builds a “cloud, network, end” digital base, forms ecological channels for data elements flow, supports the data circulation and computing needs of the whole region’s intelligence industry, takes the release of data elements value as the core, builds a data trading market, and focuses on electronic information and other industries to create “5G+ intelligent agricultural machinery” and other scenarios. The digital economy core industry has anadded value of 137 billion yuan, opening up the path of digital industry innovation.
The M2 model is shown in
Figure 4c,d. The model was able of explaining about 64.7% of the high-level website building performance cases, of which about 3.5% could only be explained by the model. The model is useful for provincial governments with a high level of digital application capacity and transparency of information dissemination, which will also have a high level of digital innovation capacity if they can invest in higher economic development, satisfaction with people’s livelihood demands, and an organizational safeguard system for government digital innovation. Among them, the satisfaction of people’s demands, organizational safeguard systems (subjects), and digital economy development (environmenal) are the core conditions, and digital application skills (technical) and transparency in information dissemination (information) are the complementary conditions. Since the driving path consists of two types of conditions, subject conditions and environmental conditions, it is called the subject–environment-driven type. Explanatory cases include Zhejiang, Chongqing, Hunan, and other provinces. Zhejiang Province, as a representative province, represents digital economy innovation and quality as the “No. 1 development project”, with eight major actions to promote digital change around cloud computing and other cutting-edge fields to build a mechanism of collaboration between industry, academia, and research. Relying on the “1 + 8 + 11” policy system, it has built a policy framework for strategic planning, industrial promotion, and factor guarantee synergy, and through the institutional design of the main body of the policy, it has introduced policies to strengthen the status of enterprise innovation’s main body and transformed the economic resources into digital innovation kinetic energy, forming a new pattern of digital innovation development.
The M3 model is shown in
Figure 4e,f. The model was able to explain about 55.5% of the high-level website building performance cases, of which about 1.5% could only be explained by the model. The provinces with perfect technical facilities and a high level of information in this model will also have a high level of digital innovation capability if they can improve the satisfaction of people’s livelihood demands and high-quality economic development. Among them, digital application skills (technical), satisfaction with people’s demands (subjects), transparency in information dissemination (information), and digital economy development (environmenal) are the core conditions, while digital infrastructure (technical) and the level of data openness (information) are the complementary conditions. In this driving path, since the realization of high-level digital innovation capability still requires the synergistic and concurrent effects of technology, subject, information, and environment, it is called the balanced driving type, which can explain cases including Guangdong Province and Shandong Province. As a representative province, Guangdong Province has integrated the internet and overall development thinking into the digital transformation of the government, and based on the Guangdong Province “Digital Government” Reform and Construction Master Plan (2018 to 2020), it has clarified eight construction concepts and created the “1 + 3 + N” model, utilizing the mobile phone and the internet to create a “1 + 3 + N” model. The N” model, the use of mobile technology, and artificial intelligence identification technology contribute to the formation of synergistic demand. This has resulted in an intelligent cloud platform for government data across the province, implementation of a standardization project for government services, the breakdown of departmental barriers, and achievemetn of a coordinated flow of data.
The M4 model mainly includes NH1a, NH1b, and NH1c, which can explain 72.8%, 59.5%, and 21.2% of the sample cases, respectively. In this model, a digital facility base, digital application skills (technical), satisfaction with people’s demands, and organizational safeguard system (subjects) are the core missing conditions, indicating that when the level of digital technology is low, and the main body is poorly organized, the other conditional variables do not have a significant effect on the improvement of innovation capability. Since the driving path consists of two types of conditions, namely technology conditions and subject conditions, it is called the technology–subject restriction type. The M5 model mainly consists of NH2a and NH2b, which can explain 30% and 26.3% of the sample cases, respectively. In this model, transparency in information dissemination and the level of data openness (information) and digital economy development (environmental) are the core missing conditions, indicating that when information dissemination and openness are low, and economic development is poor, the other conditional variables do not have a significant effect on the improvement of innovation capacity. Since the driving path consists of both information and environmental conditions, it is called information–environment restriction. The sample cases of low-level regional innovation capacity are mainly concentrated in the western and northeastern regions, and digital infrastructure development remains weak in some areas, with incomplete support systems and insufficient momentum for digital economic development. The application of digital technology and core capabilities also need to be improved, but the development environment is being optimized under the strong impetus of the national “one chain, one policy” and other major strategic initiatives. Low-level regions need to grasp the opportunities of the country’s digital development, transform the region’s natural resource advantages into scientific and technological development momentum, and continue to narrow the development gap with advanced regions. Gansu Province takes digital innovation as an opportunity for industrial upgrading and social development and makes every effort to promote e-commerce. By strengthening top-level design and optimizing industrial layout, it has created e-commerce industry clusters, promoted the integration of e-commerce and the real economy, and built a characteristic digital ecology. Guizhou Province focuses on the data industry by expanding the scale of arithmetic power; participating in the construction of the national integrated arithmetic power network; cultivating digital productivity with the core of industry, application, arithmetic power, and data linkage; improving the effectiveness of “one network”; promoting the digital transformation of the industry; and creating a digital development innovation zone. Liaoning Province coordinates and promotes the construction of digital infrastructure, stimulates the potential of data elements, promotes digital industrialization and industrial digitization, creates cluster industries, improves the digitalization level of grassroots governance, and contributes to the development of regional digital innovation.
By analyzing the patterns of high- and low-level regional innovation capacity, it can be seen that the development of digital economy as a core condition in realizing the grouping of high-level regional innovation capacity and the role played by people’s livelihood and participating subjects is becoming more and more significant. The high-level regional innovation capacity in the central and western regions is mainly driven by technology, while the eastern coastal region is mainly driven by the synergistic concurrency of the linkage and adaptation of different variables in the four dimensions of technology, subject, information, and environment. The low-level grouping significantly highlights the constraining effect of insufficient digital innovation capacity. When the province does not meet the conditions of specific dimensions, the structural adjustment and functional substitution of factor combinations can break through the limitation of a single missing condition and then build a synergistic innovation grouping of multiple paths to provide feasible solutions for realizing a high level of regional innovation capacity.
5.2.3. Analysis of Results Within the Group
From the results of the data analysis, the adjusted distance for within-group consistency, like the adjusted distance for between-group consistency, did not exceed 0.1, which indicates that the explanatory validity of each conditional grouping did not differ significantly across provinces [
59]. Intra-group consistency focuses on the province level and is mainly used to assess the degree of adequacy of each conditional grouping pattern for the results in each province over the sample period. Through an in-depth comparison of high-level and low-level regional innovation cases, the imbalance between the eastern and western development of China’s regional innovation capacity is clearly visible. In terms of investment in innovation resources, the eastern region has a significant advantage, with Beijing, Zhejiang, Guangdong, and other provinces and cities ranking at the forefront of the country in terms of the intensity of investment in scientific research, with Beijing, for example, investing more than 6% of its GDP in R&D annually and bringing together top research institutions such as Tsinghua University and Peking University and many national laboratories; meanwhile, the central and western regions of China, such as Shanxi and Tibet, as well as part of the three northeastern provinces are constrained by their weak economic foundations and seriously underinvested in scientific research, with high-end scientific research talent being severely underinvested. The investment in scientific research is seriously insufficient, and the phenomenon of outflow of high-end scientific research talents is serious. In terms of transformation of achievements, the developed regions in the east rely on a perfect industrial chain and market-oriented mechanism, and the transformation rate of scientific and technological achievements is high; for example, Zhejiang’s digital economy can be seen as an engine, giving birth to Alibaba and many other innovative enterprises, to promote the rapid application of new technologies; on the contrary, the low level of the region as shown by the transformation of scientific and technological achievements is not a smooth channel, and the conversion rate of patents is insufficient and has not been effectively transformed into real productivity. At the level of industrial support, the eastern region has formed an innovation-driven industrial system dominated by high-tech industries and strategic emerging industries, with Guangdong’s electronic information and new energy automobile industries booming, while the central and western and northeastern regions are still dominated by traditional resource-based and labor-intensive industries, and emerging industries are small in scale, weak in competitiveness, and lack momentum for industrial innovation and development. For regions with lower innovation capacity, we will strive to break the shackles of regional innovation development and gradually narrow the gap with high-level regions by setting up special funds to integrate regional innovation resources, introducing tax incentives and talent introduction policies, focusing on building digital innovation incubation platforms, and accelerating the construction of digital innovation ecosystems for the in-depth integration of industry, academia, and research in an effort to narrow the gap of regional innovation development.