Digital Creative Industries in the Yangtze River Delta: Spatial Diffusion and Response to Regional Development Strategy
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Conceptual Framework
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Study Area
3.2. Research Methodology
3.2.1. Kernel Density Estimation (KDE)
3.2.2. Policy Effectiveness Model (PEM)
3.2.3. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)
3.2.4. Quantile Regression Model (QRM)
3.2.5. Robustness and Sensitivity Tests
- (1).
- Kernel Density Estimation Test with Variable Bandwidths
- (2).
- Ridge Regression as an Alternative Estimation
- (3).
- Lag Effect Test
3.3. Data Source and Processing
- (1).
- Industry classification. Qixinbao classified enterprises according to the national economic industry classification standard (GB/T 4754-2017 [52]) issued by the National Bureau of Statistics of China. Based on the industry category registered with market supervision authorities and the scope of business operations, the main industry of each enterprise was determined through unified matching rules. For enterprises engaged in multiple business activities, the primary business was used to determine the main industry, ensuring consistency and rationality in classification. Using Qixinbao’s classification data, we matched the collected data one to one with the large, medium, and broad industry categories defined by the National Bureau of Statistics for the digital creative industry, ultimately identifying the number of enterprises in eight major categories.
- (2).
- Outlier detection. Variables such as registered capital that were far above the upper limit of the normal range for the industry or far below the industry average were considered potential outliers and removed. The proportion of missing data for each variable was also checked. If a field had more than 30% missing data and key information such as address, establishment date, and industry classification was missing, it was treated as an abnormal record and removed.
- (3).
- Duplicate removal. To avoid duplication, each enterprise’s registration information was identified by a unified social credit code, which was verified via official government websites. If two or more records shared the same identifier and had identical name, address, and other information, they were considered duplicates, and only the most complete and accurate record was retained.
- (4).
- Quality control. Data quality checks were first conducted to ensure consistency of information for the same enterprise across multiple fields (e.g., name, business scope, registered capital). Reasonable value ranges were defined, such as non-negative registered capital and a business scope consistent with the industry classification, to detect unreasonable data, which were removed. Finally, manual verification and sampling were performed by randomly selecting samples from the cleaned dataset to ensure that the standards and rules were applied accurately during the cleaning process.
4. Results
4.1. The Spatial Diffusion Characteristics of Digital Creative Industry
4.1.1. Before 2016: The Diffusion Characteristic Dominated by Contagious Diffusion
4.1.2. 2017 to 2019: The Diffusion Characteristic Dominated by Hierarchical Diffusion
4.1.3. 2020 to the Present: Mixed Diffusion Is the Dominant Diffusion Mode
4.2. The Spatial Response of the Digital Creative Industries to National Regional Development Strategies
4.2.1. The Overall Spatial Response of the Digital Creative Industries
4.2.2. The Urban Spatial Response of the Digital Creative Industry Layout
4.2.3. Response Comparison of Different Digital Creative Industries
4.3. Factors Influencing the Regional Spatial Diffusion of the Digital Creative Industries
4.4. Robustness Tests
4.4.1. Kernel Density Estimation Test with Variable Bandwidths
4.4.2. Ridge Regression Test
4.4.3. Lag Effect Test
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Digital Creative Sector | Subsector | Corresponding National Economic Sectors |
---|---|---|
Digital Creative Technology Equipment | Digital creative technology equipment manufacturing | Film machinery, broadcasting and video equipment, professional audio, smart consumer devices manufacturing |
Digital Cultural and Creative Activities | Creative software engineering | Application software development |
Digital content production services | Animation and gaming content services | |
New media services | Other digital content services, digital publishing | |
Radio and television services | Cable and wireless TV transmission services | |
Other creative activities | Geographic remote sensing, program production, performing arts | |
Design Services | Digital design | Engineering, urban planning, and professional design services |
Digital Integration Services | Digital creative and integration | Online advertising, tourism exhibition services, travel agency services |
Indicator | Abbreviation | Unit | Minimum | Maximum | Mean |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Longitude | LON | Degree | 114.94 | 122.76 | 119.88 |
Latitude | LAT | Degree | 26.67 | 35.09 | 31.36 |
Opening years | YOE | Year | 1 | 32 | 6.50 |
Registered capital | REC | Million | 0.01 | 99,990 | 1850.73 |
Area code | ARC | Number | 310,000 | 341,881 | 325,940.50 |
Valid Sample No. | 923,759 |
Type of Variable | Influence Factor | Conventional Letter | Index Interpretation |
---|---|---|---|
Urban economy | Industrial structure | X1 | Share of tertiary industry in the GDP |
Urbanization level | X2 | Urbanization rate | |
Institutional environment | Government support | X3 | Government investment in science and technology |
Policy guidance | X4 | Policy effectiveness | |
Development and innovation | Innovation support | X5 | Number of universities in the city |
Innovation ability | X6 | Number of patents authorized in the city |
Project | Assignment and Scoring Criteria | |
---|---|---|
Policy Power | 5 | Laws promulgated by the National People’s Congress and its Standing Committee; |
4 | Regulations, regulations, and decisions issued by the State Council; | |
3 | Provisional regulations, plans, decisions, opinions, methods, and standards issued by various ministries; | |
2 | Opinions, methods, plans, guidelines, temporary regulations, detailed rules, conditions, and standards issued by provincial governments and departments; | |
1 | Notices, announcements, plans and measures issued by municipal governments and departments; | |
Policy Goal | 5 | The Policy Goals are clear and quantifiable, with clear indicators and quantities, and clear numerical standards; |
3 | Policy Goals are clear, but there are no quantitative criteria; | |
1 | Just a macro way to describe the policy vision and expectations; | |
Policy Feedback | 5 | There are clear supervision methods and responsible departments, and regular feedback documents; |
3 | There is a clear supervision method and a responsible department, but there is insufficient feedback; | |
1 | No oversight or feedback was available. |
Type of Policy Tool | Behavior Dynamics | Behavior Restriction | The Degree of Coercion | Main Form of Expression |
---|---|---|---|---|
Command-and-control Policy | Administration of government power | Laws and regulations, norms, systems and other constraints | High | Laws, regulations, mandatory standards, norms, plans, etc. |
Economic-incentives Policy | Economic interests closely related to industrial development | Economic cost, financial strength and industrial development budget constraints | Middle | Price policy, subsidy policy, tax policy, talent policy, land policy, etc. |
Environmental-impact Policy | The factors affecting the development environment, indirectly affect the industry | Other development environment constraints | Low | There are policies related and cross forms to the industry |
Type of Policy Tool | Assignment | Scoring Criteria |
---|---|---|
Command-and-control Policy | 5 | Established mandatory entry conditions, thresholds, and standards for enforcement; formulated measures for assessment, inspection, supervision and inspection related to industrial development; formulated mandatory management measures, opinions, plans, etc., to promote industrial development; |
3 | Clearly require the entry conditions, thresholds, and standards of the industry; clearly require the implementation of industrial development related assessments, supervision and inspection; clearly requiring the formulation of relevant policies or systems to promote industrial development, but no relevant plans have been formulated; | |
1 | The government has relatively loose control over industrial development, only mentioning the clauses in the 5-point and 3-point evaluation criteria for command and control policy tools; | |
Economic-incentives Policy | 5 | Provide strong support in finance, finance, land, talent, taxation, recruitment, and rewards, and propose the amount or support method of rewards; |
3 | it is clearly proposed to provide strong support in finance, finance, land, talent, taxation, recruitment, and rewards, but no relevant implementation measures or measures have been formulated; | |
1 | Only mention or involve clauses in the 5-point and 3-point evaluation criteria for economic incentive policy tools; | |
Environmental-impact Policy | 5 | Policies have been introduced to promote the development of industries that are highly overlapping with this industry type, providing strong support in finance, finance, land, talent, taxation, recruitment, and rewards, and proposing the amount of rewards or support methods; |
3 | Clearly propose to provide strong support in finance, finance, land, talent, taxation, recruitment, and rewards for industries that have a high degree of intersection with this industry type, but no relevant implementation measures or measures have been formulated; | |
1 | Only mention the clauses in the 5-point and 3-point evaluation criteria for environmental impact policy tools. |
Time | 2016 | 2019 | 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO. | City | NOC | City | NOC | City | NOC |
1 | Shanghai | 100,370 | Shanghai | 179,844 | Shanghai | 222,401 |
2 | Hangzhou | 25,204 | Hangzhou | 79,887 | Hangzhou | 101,409 |
3 | Nanjing | 24,217 | Nanjing | 53,636 | Suzhou | 74,496 |
4 | Hefei | 14,542 | Suzhou | 51,832 | Nanjing | 72,160 |
5 | Suzhou | 14,160 | Hefei | 36,528 | Hefei | 52,137 |
6 | Wuxi | 9395 | Wuxi | 35,182 | Wuxi | 46,348 |
7 | Changzhou | 8406 | Jinhua | 32,567 | Jinhua | 42,567 |
8 | Jinhua | 7804 | Changzhou | 26,348 | Changzhou | 39,545 |
9 | Ningbo | 6731 | Ningbo | 25,214 | Ningbo | 33,182 |
10 | Wenzhou | 5428 | Xuzhou | 18,510 | Xuzhou | 27,223 |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2016 | X1 | 1.561 (0.003 ***) | 2.556 (0.009 *** ) | 2.063 (0.027 **) | 2.354 (0.011 **) | 2.382 (0.008 ***) | 1.559 (0.060 *) | 1.457 (0.057 *) | 1.215 (0.143) | 1.163 (0.223) | 0.068 (0.953) |
X2 | −0.416 (0.440) | 0.006 (0.996) | −0.310 (0.781) | −1.020 (0.425) | −1.045 (0.420) | −1.323 (0.281) | −1.283 (0.268) | −0.784 (0.512) | −0.569 (0.566) | −0.532 (0.584) | |
X3 | 0.292 (0.007 ***) | 0.311 (0.000 ***) | 0.255 (0.000 ***) | 0.251 (0.244) | 0.286 (0.150) | 0.361 (0.166) | 0.343 (0.153) | 0.318 (0.110) | 0.327 (0.108) | 0.395 (0.101) | |
X4 | −0.114 (0.543) | −0.389 (0.272) | −0.162 (0.639) | −0.153 (0.667) | −0.158 (0.655) | 0.135 (0.709) | 0.186 (0.619) | 0.126 (0.768) | 0.193 (0.051 **) | 0.480 (0.012 **) | |
X5 | 0.241 (0.000 ***) | 0.746 (0.000 ***) | 0.786 (0.000 ***) | 0.813 (0.000 ***) | 0.844 (0.000 ***) | 0.936 (0.000 ***) | 0.905 (0.000 ***) | 0.781 (0.000 ***) | 0.735 (0.000 ***) | 0.622 (0.000 ***) | |
X6 | 0.267 (0.320) | 0.220 (0.046 *) | 0.230 (0.058 *) | 0.240 (0.038 **) | 0.258 (0.043 **) | 0.130 (0.303) | 0.157 (0.229) | 0.248 (0.124) | 0.187 (0.289) | 0.220 (0.301) | |
R2 | 0.735 | 0.745 | 0.744 | 0.761 | 0.772 | 0.771 | 0.783 | 0.790 | 0.793 | 0.809 | |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2019 | X1 | 2.054 (0.022 **) | 2.368 (0.067 *) | 1.978 (0.079 *) | 1.371 (0.072 *) | 1.645 (0.084 *) | 2.310 (0.021 **) | 1.418 (0.223) | 1.374 (0.247) | 1.497 (0.250) | 1.729 (0.128) |
X2 | −1.766 (0.103) | −2.843 (0.364) | −1.220 (0.598) | −1.409 (0.409) | −1.573 (0.291) | −1.884 (0.208) | −1.338 (0.339) | −0.387 (0.801) | −0.929 (0.533) | −1.011 (0.427) | |
X3 | 0.270 (0.048 **) | 0.266 (0.067 *) | 0.240 (0.039 *) | 0.413 (0.027 **) | 0.231 (0.313) | 0.267 (0.243) | 0.431 (0.193) | 0.347 (0.165) | 0.212 (0.390) | 0.226 (0.346) | |
X4 | 0.443 (0.321) | 0.733 (0.475) | 0.176 (0.828) | 0.142 (0.827) | 0.194 (0.735) | 0.106 (0.847) | 0.072 (0.901) | 0.191 (0.078 *) | 0.248 (0.073 *) | 0.534 (0.035 **) | |
X5 | 0.442 (0.014 **) | 0.664 (0.046 **) | 0.652 (0.017 **) | 0.635 (0.020 **) | 0.586 (0.042 **) | 0.473 (0.176 ) | 0.452 (0.111) | 0.498 (0.160) | 0.435 (0.199) | 0.353 (0.103) | |
X6 | 0.419 (0.005 ***) | 0.336 (0.163) | 0.327 (0.105) | 0.273 (0.179) | 0.449 (0.040 ** ) | 0.524 (0.020 **) | 0.437 (0.068 *) | 0.363 (0.009 ***) | 0.483 (0.033 **) | 0.372 (0.117) | |
R2 | 0.789 | 0.618 | 0.681 | 0.699 | 0.711 | 0.722 | 0.736 | 0.746 | 0.765 | 0.808 | |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2022 | X1 | 1.160 (0.182) | 2.166 (0.198) | 1.299 (0.296) | 1.293 (0.243) | 1.212 (0.285) | 0.914 (0.431) | 1.800 (0.158) | 1.130 (0.407) | 1.624 (0.276) | 0.784 (0.585) |
X2 | −1.905 (0.008 ***) | −3.576 (0.037 **) | −1.745 (0.277) | −1.266 (0.375) | −1.147 (0.397) | −2.004 (0.157) | −2.101 (0.161) | −2.429 (0.141) | −2.665 (0.220) | −3.575 (0.102) | |
X3 | 0.241 (0.021 **) | 0.013 (0.048 **) | 0.137 (0.091 *) | 0.128 (0.395) | 0.162 (0.341) | 0.217 (0.249) | 0.304 (0.141) | 0.120 (0.622) | 0.048 (0.868) | −0.032 (0.921) | |
X4 | 0.232 (0.410) | 0.541 (0.362) | 0.104 (0.859) | 0.074 (0.894) | 0.095 (0.851) | 0.060 (0.906) | 0.232 (0.063 *) | 0.516 (0.046 **) | 0.765 (0.037 **) | 1.160 (0.021 **) | |
X5 | 0.336 (0.016 **) | 0.798 (0.002 ***) | 0.507 (0.044 **) | 0.349 (0.141) | 0.314 (0.198) | 0.392 (0.109) | 0.254 (0.307) | 0.317 (0.229) | 0.158 (0.535) | 0.290 (0.230) | |
X6 | 0.614 (0.000 *** ) | 0.633 (0.007 ***) | 0.618 (0.012 **) | 0.744 (0.005 ***) | 0.725 (0.005 *** ) | 0.700 (0.008 ***) | 0.587 (0.031 **) | 0.790 (0.007 ***) | 0.865 (0.007 ***) | 0.917 (0.005 ***) | |
R2 | 0.718 | 0.726 | 0.727 | 0.730 | 0.735 | 0.733 | 0.747 | 0.754 | 0.774 | 0.902 |
EV | Ridge | ||
---|---|---|---|
2016 | 2019 | 2022 | |
X1 | 1.482 (0.000 ***) | 1.834 (0.009 ***) | 1.166 (0.145) |
X2 | −0.133 (0.728) | −0.864 (0.116) | −0.814 (0.043 **) |
X3 | 0.298 (0.000 ***) | 0.308 (0.000 ***) | 0.285 (0.000 ***) |
X4 | −0.062 (0.630) | 0.279 (0.288) | 0.057 (0.652) |
X5 | 0.619 (0.000 ***) | 0.401 (0.000 ***) | 0.322 (0.000 ***) |
X6 | 0.266 (0.256) | 0.344 (0.000 ***) | 0.473 (0.000 ***) |
R2 | 0.941 | 0.901 | 0.923 |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2019 | X1 | 2.245 (0.009 ***) | 4.183 (0.004 ***) | 2.359 (0.072 *) | 2.507 (0.050 *) | 2.322 (0.061 *) | 1.981 (0.100 *) | 2.347 (0.054 *) | 2.256 (0.067 *) | 1.654 (0.190) | 2.014 (0.095 *) |
X2 | −0.513 (0.519) | 0.667 (0.746) | −0.756 (0.625) | −0.564 (0.710) | −0.637 (0.673) | −0.325 (0.828) | 0.106 (0.945) | 0.190 (0.904) | −0.486 (0.785) | −0.236 (0.914) | |
X3 | 0.270 (0.016 ** ) | 0.021 (0.020 **) | 0.133 (0.491) | 0.234 (0.228) | 0.223 (0.291) | 0.208 (0.333) | 0.166 (0.446) | 0.153 (0.496) | 0.258 (0.277) | 0.217 (0.369) | |
X4_lag1 | 1.676 (0.047 **) | 2.715 (0.354) | 0.935 (0.523) | 0.885 (0.571) | 0.611 (0.713) | 1.849 (0.269) | 2.084 (0.212) | 2.800 (0.113) | 1.340 (0.046 **) | 0.442 (0.084 *) | |
X5 | 0.325 (0.090 *) | 0.307 (0.085 *) | 0.629 (0.022 **) | 0.482 (0.087 *) | 0.486 (0.098 *) | 0.374 (0.184) | 0.161 (0.566) | 0.138 (0.630) | 0.331 (0.264) | 0.277 (0.334) | |
X6 | 0.436 (0.005 ***) | 0.488 (0.041 ** ) | 0.371 (0.103) | 0.423 (0.072 *) | 0.477 (0.059 *) | 0.513 (0.033 **) | 0.651 (0.009 ***) | 0.650 (0.007 ***) | 0.372 (0.093 *) | 0.340 (0.116) | |
R2 | 0.903 | 0.671 | 0.706 | 0.718 | 0.717 | 0.728 | 0.745 | 0.757 | 0.771 | 0.811 | |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2022 | X1 | 1.147 (0.110) | 2.344 (0.100 *) | 1.673 (0.196) | 1.504 (0.228) | 1.523 (0.208) | 0.928 (0.461) | 2.047 (0.132) | 1.629 (0.273) | 1.567 (0.313) | 0.811 (0.595) |
X2 | −1.903 (0.010 **) | −2.970 (0.077 *) | −1.680 (0.091 *) | −2.041 (0.161) | −2.340 (0.191) | −1.843 (0.194) | −2.249 (0.123) | −1.955 (0.248) | −2.351 (0.240) | −3.288 (0.185) | |
X3 | 0.241 (0.023 **) | 0.375 (0.044 **) | 0.135 (0.415) | 0.187 (0.219) | 0.201 (0.254) | 0.270 (0.186) | 0.302 (0.180) | 0.262 (0.307) | 0.181 (0.542) | −0.018 (0.959) | |
X4_lag1 | 0.055 (0.054 *) | 1.191 (0.381) | 0.533 (0.703) | 1.079 (0.432) | 1.170 (0.455) | 0.442 (0.798) | 0.241 (0.898) | 1.500 (0.031 **) | 0.795 (0.064 *) | 0.288 (0.069 *) | |
X5 | 0.338 (0.015 **) | 0.420 (0.086 *) | 0.452 (0.058 *) | 0.446 (0.055 *) | 0.412 (0.068 *) | 0.405 (0.093 *) | 0.236 (0.337) | 0.277 (0.283) | 0.187 (0.479) | 0.221 (0.369) | |
X6 | 0.610 (0.001 ***) | 0.472 (0.060 *) | 0.685 (0.007 ***) | 0.705 (0.007 ***) | 0.764 (0.006 ***) | 0.631 (0.030 **) | 0.588 (0.060 *) | 0.479 (0.162) | 0.639 (0.111) | 0.955 (0.041 **) | |
R2 | 0.915 | 0.748 | 0.731 | 0.736 | 0.737 | 0.734 | 0.747 | 0.757 | 0.776 | 0.812 | |
Time | EV | OLS | Quantile | ||||||||
Q10 | Q20 | Q30 | Q40 | Q50 | Q60 | Q70 | Q80 | Q90 | |||
2019–2022 (pooled) | X1 | 1.891 (0.004 ***) | 2.421 (0.006 ***) | 2.433 (0.003 ***) | 2.396 (0.004 ***) | 1.856 (0.023 **) | 2.057 (0.013 **) | 1.408 (0.115) | 1.551 (0.098 *) | 1.626 (0.074 *) | 1.189 (0.206) |
X2 | −1.606 (0.013 **) | −1.641 (0.071 *) | −1.820 (0.132) | −1.281 (0.193) | −1.590 (0.101) | −1.514 (0.144) | −1.000 (0.346) | −1.914 (0.181) | −1.462 (0.207) | −1.571 (0.193) | |
X3 | 0.253 (0.004 ***) | 0.306 (0.013 **) | 0.141 (0.170) | 0.121 (0.314) | 0.184 (0.185) | 0.224 (0.165) | 0.411 (0.018 **) | 0.344 (0.072 *) | 0.239 (0.239) | 0.226 (0.254) | |
X4_lag1 | 0.640 (0.045 **) | −0.831 (0.345) | −0.755 (0.339) | −0.857 (0.233) | −0.338 (0.645) | −0.364 (0.640) | −0.580 (0.490) | 0.048 (0.958) | 0.302 (0.061 *) | 0.176 (0.038 **) | |
X5 | 0.340 (0.008 ***) | 0.465 (0.022 **) | 0.541 (0.001 ***) | 0.387 (0.017 **) | 0.481 (0.005 ***) | 0.428 (0.017 **) | 0.338 (0.068 *) | 0.349 (0.074 *) | 0.234 (0.235) | 0.387 (0.029 **) | |
X6 | 0.544 (0.001 ***) | 0.426 (0.004 ***) | 0.472 (0.001 ***) | 0.645 (0.001 ***) | 0.589 (0.001 ***) | 0.557 (0.001 ***) | 0.462 (0.011 ** ) | 0.491 (0.014 **) | 0.553 (0.006 ***) | 0.462 (0.009 ***) | |
R2 | 0.914 | 0.699 | 0.713 | 0.721 | 0.727 | 0.733 | 0.739 | 0.746 | 0.764 | 0.786 |
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Gao, Y.; Wang, C.; Geng, H. Digital Creative Industries in the Yangtze River Delta: Spatial Diffusion and Response to Regional Development Strategy. Sustainability 2025, 17, 7437. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167437
Gao Y, Wang C, Geng H. Digital Creative Industries in the Yangtze River Delta: Spatial Diffusion and Response to Regional Development Strategy. Sustainability. 2025; 17(16):7437. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167437
Chicago/Turabian StyleGao, Yang, Chaohui Wang, and Hui Geng. 2025. "Digital Creative Industries in the Yangtze River Delta: Spatial Diffusion and Response to Regional Development Strategy" Sustainability 17, no. 16: 7437. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167437
APA StyleGao, Y., Wang, C., & Geng, H. (2025). Digital Creative Industries in the Yangtze River Delta: Spatial Diffusion and Response to Regional Development Strategy. Sustainability, 17(16), 7437. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167437