Climate Change and Agricultural Risks: Perception of Farmers from a Socio-Economic Sustainability Perspective
Abstract
Abstract
1. Introduction
Research Contribution
- How do Libyan farmers perceive climate change and its potential impact on their agricultural activities?
- What are the perceived risks associated with climate change among Libyan farmers?
- What socio-economic factors significantly influence farmers’ climate risk perceptions and adaptation behaviors?
- To what extent do socio-economic characteristics determine the level and type of climate change adaptation strategies adopted by Libyan farmers?
2. Research Design
2.1. Study Area and Population
2.2. Sampling Technique and Size
2.3. Data Collection Tool
- Climate change awareness: This is characterized as a farmer’s awareness of the causes and impacts of climate change [35]. Climate change awareness is a reported factor in influencing the perceived risks and associated vulnerabilities of farmers towards climate change [36]. A twelve-item scale was adapted from the study by Sen et al. [37].
- Climate change risk perception: This is characterized as the perceived susceptibility of farmers to climate change effects such as droughts and floods [38]. The risk perception of climate change influences the adaptation and maladaptation of farmers towards climate change [39]. A ten-item scale was adapted from the study by Ghanaian et al. [34].
2.4. Data Analysis
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
5.1. Recommendations and Future Work
- Localized environmental and sustainable agricultural programs that address context-specific climate challenges faced by Libyan farmers should be developed and implemented.
- Farming cooperatives should be strengthened and empowered as key drivers of environmental education and information dissemination to farmers. Cooperatives should be equipped with the information and skills required based on current climate change trends.
- Environmental education should be integrated into agricultural extension services in rural training initiatives. This should include practical agricultural workshops demonstrating the strategies and skills required for adequate adaptation.
5.2. Limitations of the Study
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Sample (n) | Percentage (%) | |
---|---|---|
Sex | ||
Male | 423 | 83.60 |
Female | 83 | 16.40 |
Age | ||
Younger than 30 years | 64 | 12.60 |
31–45 years | 272 | 53.80 |
46–55 years | 132 | 26.10 |
Older than 55 years | 38 | 7.50 |
Education status | ||
No formal education | 72 | 14.20 |
Primary education | 48 | 9.50 |
Secondary education | 114 | 22.50 |
Tertiary education | 272 | 53.80 |
Farmers’ cooperative membership | ||
Yes | 314 | 62.10 |
No | 192 | 37.90 |
Main occupation | ||
Farming | 266 | 52.60 |
Civil servant | 176 | 34.80 |
Trader | 33 | 6.50 |
Artisan | 31 | 6.10 |
Major source of funding | ||
Personal | 388 | 76.70 |
Money lender | 40 | 7.90 |
Bank loan | 44 | 8.70 |
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 6.70 |
Years of experience | ||
Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 21.50 |
11–20 years | 318 | 62.80 |
21–30 years | 79 | 15.60 |
Total | 506 | 100.00 |
Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | 506 | 14.07 | 3.21 | 4 | 20 |
Climate change awareness | 506 | 50.23 | 9.92 | 21 | 69 |
Risk perception of climate change | 506 | 36.15 | 6.93 | 10 | 49 |
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | 506 | 16.15 | 3.76 | 5 | 24 |
Self-efficacy towards climate change | 506 | 21.61 | 4.05 | 9 | 30 |
Maladaptation to climate change | 506 | 12.26 | 1.57 | 7 | 15 |
Ecological policies on climate change perception | 506 | 15.89 | 3.24 | 4 | 20 |
Kolmogorov–Smirnov | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Statistic | Degrees of Freedom (df) | Significance Level (p) | Skewness | Kurtosis | |
Belief in climate change | 0.149 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.548 | 0.255 |
Climate change awareness | 0.104 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.525 | −0.314 |
Risk perception of climate change | 0.099 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.647 | 0.060 |
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | 0.090 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.231 | −0.614 |
Self-efficacy towards climate change | 0.128 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.626 | −0.049 |
Maladaptation to climate change | 0.179 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.311 | 0.366 |
Ecological policies on climate change perception | 0.158 | 506 | 0.000 | −0.585 | 0.025 |
Sex | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | t-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Male | 423 | 14.30 | 3.12 | 3.621 | 0.000 * |
Female | 83 | 12.92 | 3.45 | |||
Climate change awareness | Male | 423 | 51.59 | 9.20 | 7.314 | 0.000 * |
Female | 83 | 43.30 | 10.60 | |||
Risk perception of climate change | Male | 423 | 36.69 | 6.80 | 4.049 | 0.000 * |
Female | 83 | 33.37 | 6.98 | |||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Male | 423 | 16.53 | 3.67 | 5.356 | 0.000 * |
Female | 83 | 14.18 | 3.60 | |||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Male | 423 | 21.99 | 3.90 | 4.891 | 0.000 * |
Female | 83 | 19.66 | 4.24 | |||
Maladaptation to climate change | Male | 423 | 12.30 | 1.54 | 1.271 | 0.204 |
Female | 83 | 12.06 | 1.73 | |||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Male | 423 | 15.89 | 3.20 | 0.055 | 0.956 |
Female | 83 | 15.87 | 3.42 |
Age | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | F-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | Pairwise Diff. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 13.09 | 3.21 | 4 | 20 | 4.433 | 0.004 * | 1–4 |
31–45 years | 272 | 14.01 | 3.15 | 4 | 20 | ||||
46–55 years | 132 | 14.28 | 3.19 | 4 | 20 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 15.39 | 3.30 | 6 | 20 | ||||
Climate change awareness | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 44.58 | 10.68 | 23 | 67 | 8.714 | 0.000 * | 1–2 |
31–45 years | 272 | 51.12 | 9.36 | 21 | 69 | 1–3 | |||
46–55 years | 132 | 50.50 | 9.72 | 24 | 65 | 1–4 | |||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 52.47 | 10.31 | 27 | 65 | ||||
Risk perception of climate change | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 34.63 | 6.90 | 20 | 49 | 3.803 | 0.010 * | 1–4 |
31–45 years | 272 | 35.99 | 6.73 | 15 | 49 | ||||
46–55 years | 132 | 36.30 | 7.18 | 10 | 49 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 39.32 | 6.80 | 20 | 47 | ||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 15.83 | 3.67 | 6 | 24 | 4.520 | 0.004 * | 1–4 |
31–45 years | 272 | 15.89 | 3.63 | 5 | 24 | 2–4 | |||
46–55 years | 132 | 16.23 | 4.07 | 7 | 24 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 18.21 | 3.06 | 10 | 24 | ||||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 20.73 | 4.35 | 9 | 29 | 2.978 | 0.031 * | 1–4 |
31–45 years | 272 | 21.48 | 3.79 | 10 | 29 | ||||
46–55 years | 132 | 21.87 | 4.10 | 9 | 30 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 23.08 | 4.83 | 9 | 29 | ||||
Maladaptation to climate change | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 12.39 | 1.90 | 7 | 15 | 2.146 | 0.094 | |
31–45 years | 272 | 12.14 | 1.46 | 7 | 15 | ||||
46–55 years | 132 | 12.30 | 1.55 | 7 | 15 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 12.79 | 1.74 | 9 | 15 | ||||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Younger than 30 years | 64 | 14.75 | 3.71 | 4 | 20 | 3.222 | 0.022 * | 1–2 |
31–45 years | 272 | 16.14 | 3.19 | 8 | 20 | ||||
46–55 years | 132 | 15.89 | 2.89 | 7 | 20 | ||||
Older than 55 years | 38 | 15.97 | 3.54 | 6 | 20 |
Education Status | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | F-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | Pairwise Diff. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | No formal education | 72 | 13.36 | 3.84 | 4 | 20 | 2.164 | 0.091 | |
Primary education | 48 | 13.83 | 2.82 | 8 | 20 | ||||
Secondary education | 114 | 14.56 | 3.54 | 4 | 20 | ||||
Tertiary education | 272 | 14.09 | 2.92 | 4 | 20 | ||||
Climate change awareness | No formal education | 72 | 42.54 | 9.94 | 21 | 66 | 19.389 | 0.000 * | 1–2 |
Primary education | 48 | 49.81 | 9.62 | 32 | 68 | 1–3 | |||
Secondary education | 114 | 51.21 | 9.49 | 24 | 66 | 1–4 | |||
Tertiary education | 272 | 51.93 | 9.22 | 25 | 69 | ||||
Risk perception of climate change | No formal education | 72 | 33.31 | 7.69 | 15 | 49 | 5.106 | 0.002 * | 1–2 |
Primary education | 48 | 35.83 | 8.43 | 20 | 49 | 1–3 | |||
Secondary education | 114 | 36.92 | 7.05 | 10 | 47 | 1–4 | |||
Tertiary education | 272 | 36.63 | 6.19 | 18 | 49 | ||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | No formal education | 72 | 14.65 | 3.34 | 8 | 24 | 12.690 | 0.000 * | 1–3 |
Primary education | 48 | 14.00 | 3.48 | 6 | 20 | 1–4 | |||
Secondary education | 114 | 16.88 | 4.00 | 7 | 24 | 2–3 | |||
Tertiary education | 272 | 16.61 | 3.57 | 5 | 24 | 2–4 | |||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | No formal education | 72 | 20.35 | 3.88 | 10 | 27 | 5.815 | 0.001 * | 1–3 |
Primary education | 48 | 20.40 | 3.75 | 9 | 27 | 1–4 | |||
Secondary education | 114 | 22.46 | 4.34 | 9 | 30 | 2–3 | |||
Tertiary education | 272 | 21.79 | 3.91 | 9 | 29 | 2–4 | |||
Maladaptation to climate change | No formal education | 72 | 12.38 | 1.73 | 7 | 15 | 0.848 | 0.468 | |
Primary education | 48 | 11.96 | 1.17 | 8 | 15 | ||||
Secondary education | 114 | 12.35 | 1.85 | 7 | 15 | ||||
Tertiary education | 272 | 12.25 | 1.47 | 7 | 15 | ||||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | No formal education | 72 | 15.11 | 3.12 | 7 | 20 | 3.649 | 0.013 * | 1–4 |
Primary education | 48 | 15.63 | 2.60 | 8 | 20 | 2–4 | |||
Secondary education | 114 | 15.48 | 2.87 | 8 | 20 | 3–4 | |||
Tertiary education | 272 | 16.31 | 3.45 | 4 | 20 |
Farmers’ Cooperative Membership | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | t-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Yes | 314 | 1397 | 3.21 | −0.847 | 0.397 |
No | 192 | 14.22 | 3.22 | |||
Climate change awareness | Yes | 314 | 51.20 | 10.17 | 2.833 | 0.005 * |
No | 192 | 48.65 | 9.31 | |||
Risk perception of climate change | Yes | 314 | 36.46 | 6.75 | 1.289 | 0.198 |
No | 192 | 35.64 | 7.21 | |||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Yes | 314 | 16.30 | 3.70 | 1.149 | 0.251 |
No | 192 | 15.90 | 3.85 | |||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Yes | 314 | 21.87 | 3.82 | 1.894 | 0.059 |
No | 192 | 21.17 | 4.37 | |||
Maladaptation to climate change | Yes | 314 | 12.31 | 1.54 | 0.878 | 0.380 |
No | 192 | 12.18 | 1.63 | |||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Yes | 314 | 16.32 | 3.24 | 3.963 | 0.000 * |
No | 192 | 15.17 | 3.10 |
Main Occupation | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | F-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | Pairwise Diff. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Farming | 266 | 14.03 | 3.25 | 4 | 20 | 1.725 | 0.161 | |
Civil servant | 176 | 14.31 | 2.72 | 8 | 20 | ||||
Trader | 33 | 12.94 | 4.21 | 4 | 20 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 14.23 | 4.03 | 4 | 19 | ||||
Climate change awareness | Farming | 266 | 49.82 | 10.36 | 21 | 68 | 8.982 | 0.000 * | 1–3 |
Civil servant | 176 | 52.40 | 8.46 | 25 | 69 | 2–3 | |||
Trader | 33 | 43.24 | 8.98 | 23 | 62 | 3–4 | |||
Artisan | 31 | 48.97 | 11.07 | 25 | 64 | ||||
Risk perception of climate change | Farming | 266 | 36.09 | 7.41 | 10 | 49 | 1.490 | 0.216 | |
Civil servant | 176 | 36.64 | 6.01 | 18 | 46 | ||||
Trader | 33 | 33.88 | 6.64 | 21 | 46 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 36.26 | 7.67 | 20 | 47 | ||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Farming | 266 | 15.70 | 3.85 | 6 | 24 | 4.973 | 0.002 * | 2–3 |
Civil servant | 176 | 16.90 | 3.63 | 5 | 24 | 3–4 | |||
Trader | 33 | 15.06 | 3.47 | 8 | 24 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 16.81 | 3.19 | 12 | 22 | ||||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Farming | 266 | 21.33 | 3.91 | 9 | 30 | 2.488 | 0.060 | |
Civil servant | 176 | 22.19 | 3.94 | 12 | 29 | ||||
Trader | 33 | 20.52 | 4.56 | 9 | 28 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 21.81 | 4.94 | 11 | 29 | ||||
Maladaptation to climate change | Farming | 266 | 12.14 | 1.56 | 7 | 15 | 2.952 | 0.032 * | 3–4 |
Civil servant | 176 | 12.37 | 1.44 | 7 | 15 | ||||
Trader | 33 | 12.06 | 1.98 | 8 | 15 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 12.94 | 1.82 | 9 | 15 | ||||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Farming | 266 | 15.93 | 3.08 | 4 | 20 | 2.951 | 0.032 * | 2–4 |
Civil servant | 176 | 16.19 | 3.42 | 4 | 20 | ||||
Trader | 33 | 15.18 | 3.00 | 11 | 20 | ||||
Artisan | 31 | 14.52 | 3.41 | 8 | 20 |
Major Source of Funding | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | F-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | Pairwise Diff. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Personal | 388 | 14.32 | 3.17 | 4 | 20 | 7.464 | 0.000 * | 1–4 |
Money lender | 40 | 13.13 | 2.62 | 8 | 20 | 2–4 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 14.34 | 3.21 | 7 | 20 | 3–4 | |||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 11.91 | 3.41 | 4 | 19 | ||||
Climate change awareness | Personal | 388 | 51.04 | 10.13 | 21 | 69 | 4.967 | 0.002 * | 1–4 |
Money lender | 40 | 47.30 | 6.49 | 30 | 62 | 2–4 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 49.59 | 9.69 | 27 | 66 | 3–4 | |||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 45.32 | 9.39 | 24 | 62 | ||||
Risk perception of climate change | Personal | 388 | 37.05 | 6.72 | 15 | 49 | 13.969 | 0.000 * | 1–4 |
Money lender | 40 | 32.35 | 5.26 | 22 | 47 | 3–4 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 35.82 | 7.46 | 10 | 43 | ||||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 30.79 | 6.62 | 20 | 42 | ||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Personal | 388 | 16.29 | 3.84 | 5 | 24 | 5.194 | 0.002 * | 1–4 |
Money lender | 40 | 15.68 | 3.48 | 10 | 24 | 3–4 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 17.00 | 3.25 | 8 | 23 | ||||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 13.94 | 2.83 | 7 | 20 | ||||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Personal | 388 | 21.97 | 3.86 | 9 | 29 | 9.122 | 0.000 * | 1–4 |
Money lender | 40 | 19.80 | 3.98 | 12 | 29 | 3–4 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 22.09 | 4.07 | 12 | 28 | ||||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 18.97 | 4.79 | 9 | 30 | ||||
Maladaptation to climate change | Personal | 388 | 12.38 | 1.50 | 7 | 15 | 6.714 | 0.000 * | 1–2 |
Money lender | 40 | 11.25 | 1.50 | 8 | 15 | 2–3 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 12.07 | 1.81 | 8 | 15 | 2–4 | |||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 12.32 | 1.79 | 7 | 15 | ||||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Personal | 388 | 16.05 | 3.14 | 4 | 20 | 4.558 | 0.004 * | 1–2 |
Money lender | 40 | 14.20 | 3.55 | 8 | 20 | 2–3 | |||
Bank loan | 44 | 16.32 | 3.39 | 8 | 20 | 2–4 | |||
Farmers’ cooperative | 34 | 15.41 | 3.19 | 10 | 20 |
Years of Experience | Sample (n) | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | F-Statistic | Significance Level (p) | Pairwise Diff. | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 14.04 | 3.82 | 4 | 20 | 0.033 | 0.968 | |
11–20 years | 318 | 14.06 | 3.05 | 4 | 20 | ||||
21–30 years | 79 | 14.15 | 2.96 | 6 | 19 | ||||
Climate change awareness | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 47.32 | 11.51 | 21 | 68 | 6.674 | 0.001 * | 1–2 |
11–20 years | 318 | 50.77 | 9.49 | 23 | 69 | 1–3 | |||
21–30 years | 79 | 52.08 | 8.44 | 29 | 68 | ||||
Risk perception of climate change | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 35.55 | 7.67 | 20 | 49 | 1.057 | 0.348 | |
11–20 years | 318 | 36.13 | 6.83 | 10 | 49 | ||||
21–30 years | 79 | 37.04 | 6.22 | 20 | 47 | ||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 16.32 | 3.93 | 6 | 24 | 0.336 | 0.715 | |
11–20 years | 318 | 16.04 | 3.70 | 5 | 24 | ||||
21–30 years | 79 | 16.33 | 3.77 | 7 | 24 | ||||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 21.23 | 4.54 | 9 | 29 | 1.622 | 0.199 | |
11–20 years | 318 | 21.57 | 3.75 | 10 | 29 | ||||
21–30 years | 79 | 22.29 | 4.45 | 9 | 30 | ||||
Maladaptation to climate change | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 12.61 | 1.84 | 7 | 15 | 4.291 | 0.014 * | 1–2 |
11–20 years | 318 | 12.11 | 1.41 | 7 | 15 | 1–3 | |||
21–30 years | 79 | 12.38 | 1.74 | 8 | 15 | ||||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | Fewer than 10 years | 109 | 14.88 | 3.57 | 4 | 20 | 7.986 | 0.000 * | 1–2 |
11–20 years | 318 | 16.28 | 2.93 | 7 | 20 | 1–3 | |||
21–30 years | 79 | 15.68 | 3.61 | 6 | 20 |
Belief in Climate Change | Climate Change Awareness | Risk Perception of Climate Change | Adaptation Assessment Towards Climate Change | Self-Efficacy Towards Climate Change | Maladaptation to Climate Change | Ecological Policies on Climate Change Perception | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Belief in climate change | r | 1 | ||||||
p | ||||||||
N | 506 | |||||||
Climate change awareness | r | 0.477 ** | 1 | |||||
p | 0.000 | |||||||
N | 506 | 506 | ||||||
Risk perception of climate change | r | 0.332 ** | 0.601 ** | 1 | ||||
p | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||||
N | 506 | 506 | 506 | |||||
Adaptation assessment towards climate change | r | 0.315 ** | 0.441 ** | 0.487 ** | 1 | |||
p | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||||
N | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | ||||
Self-efficacy towards climate change | r | 0.327 ** | 0.440 ** | 0.419 ** | 0.480 ** | 1 | ||
p | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||||
N | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | |||
Maladaptation to climate change | r | 0.165 ** | 0.134 ** | 0.134 ** | 0.217 ** | 0.325 ** | 1 | |
p | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
N | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | ||
Ecological policies on climate change perception | r | 0.123 ** | 0.215 ** | 0.173 ** | 0.177 ** | 0.271 ** | 0.278 ** | 1 |
p | 0.006 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | ||
N | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 | 506 |
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Agila, F.A.R.; Kiraz, A. Climate Change and Agricultural Risks: Perception of Farmers from a Socio-Economic Sustainability Perspective. Sustainability 2025, 17, 7285. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167285
Agila FAR, Kiraz A. Climate Change and Agricultural Risks: Perception of Farmers from a Socio-Economic Sustainability Perspective. Sustainability. 2025; 17(16):7285. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167285
Chicago/Turabian StyleAgila, Fadel Ali Ramadan, and Askin Kiraz. 2025. "Climate Change and Agricultural Risks: Perception of Farmers from a Socio-Economic Sustainability Perspective" Sustainability 17, no. 16: 7285. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167285
APA StyleAgila, F. A. R., & Kiraz, A. (2025). Climate Change and Agricultural Risks: Perception of Farmers from a Socio-Economic Sustainability Perspective. Sustainability, 17(16), 7285. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17167285