Unlocking the Economic and Business Potential of District Heating: The State of the Art and a Research Agenda
Abstract
1. Introduction
Motivations and Novelty of the Study
2. Theory
3. Materials and Methods
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics—Quantitative Trends
4.2. Thematic Trends and Theoretical Anchoring
4.2.1. Resource-Based View (RBV)
4.2.2. Stakeholder Theory
4.2.3. Institutional Economics
4.2.4. Sustainability Theories and Systems Thinking
4.2.5. Innovation Studies
4.2.6. Local Economic Development Studies
4.3. Key Topics for District Heating in Business, Management, and Economics
4.3.1. Economic Viability
4.3.2. Business Models
4.3.3. Sustainability and Environmental Economics
4.3.4. Policy and Regulation
4.4. Methodological Approaches and Empirical Settings
4.5. Gaps and Future Directions
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
Author(s) | Article Title | Source Title | Publication Year | Journal or Chapter |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aberg, M.; Falting, L.; Forssell, A. | Is Swedish district heating operating on an integrated market?—Differences in pricing, price convergence, and marketing strategy between public and private district heating companies | ENERGY POLICY | 2016 | J |
Agrell, PJ; Bogetoft, P | Economic and environmental efficiency of district heating plants | ENERGY POLICY | 2005 | J |
Boettcher, U; Moehring-Hueser, W | Cost comparison of small natural gas operated district heating power stations | BRENNSTOFF-WARME-KRAFT | 1997 | J |
Bertelsen, Nis; Paardekooper, Susana; Mathiesen, Brian Vad | Implementing large-scale heating infrastructures: experiences from successful planning of district heating and natural gas grids in Denmark, the United Kingdom, and the Netherlands | ENERGY EFFICIENCY | 2021 | J |
Bjorkqvist, Olof; Idefeldt, Jim; Larsson, Aron | Risk assessment of new pricing strategies in the district heating market A case study at Sundsvall Energi AB | ENERGY POLICY | 2010 | J |
Broberg, Sarah; Backlund, Sandra; Karlsson, Magnus; Thollander, Patrik | Industrial excess heat deliveries to Swedish district heating networks: Drop it like it’s hot | ENERGY POLICY | 2012 | J |
Bush, R. E.; Bale, C. S. E. | The role of intermediaries in the transition to district heating | 15TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON DISTRICT HEATING AND COOLING (DHC15-2016) | 2017 | C |
Chicherin, Stanislav; Starikov, Aleksander; Zhuikov, Andrey | Justifying network reconstruction when switching to low temperature district heating | ENERGY | 2022 | J |
Ciapala, Bartlomiej; Jurasz, Jakub; Janowski, Miroslaw | Ultra-low-temperature district heating systems—a way to maximise the ecological and economical effect of an investment? | 10TH CONFERENCE ON INTERDISCIPLINARY PROBLEMS IN ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND ENGINEERING EKO-DOK 2018 | 2018 | C |
Colmenar Santos, Antonio; Borge Diez, David; Rosales Asensio, Enrique; Sanchez, Patricia | Cogeneration and District Heating Networks Measures to Remove Institutional and Financial Barriers that Restrict their Joint Use in the EU-28 | 2016 WORLD CONGRESS ON SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES (WCST) | 2016 | C |
Colmenar-Santos, Antonio; Rosales-Asensio, Enrique; Borge-Diez, David; Mur-Perez, Francisco | Cogeneration and district heating networks: Measures to remove institutional and financial barriers that restrict their joint use in the EU-28 | ENERGY | 2015 | J |
Difs, Kristina; Trygg, Louise | Pricing district heating by marginal cost | ENERGY POLICY | 2009 | J |
Dominkovic, Dominik Franjo; Wahlroos, Mikko; Syri, Sanna; Pedersen, Allan Schroder | Influence of different technologies on dynamic pricing in district heating systems: Comparative case studies | ENERGY | 2018 | J |
Eguez, Alejandro | District heating network ownership and prices: The case of an unregulated natural monopoly | UTILITIES POLICY | 2021 | J |
Faria, Antonio S.; Soares, Tiago; Cunha, Jose Maria; Mourao, Zenaida | Liberalized market designs for district heating networks under the EMB3Rs platform | SUSTAINABLE ENERGY GRIDS & NETWORKS | 2022 | J |
Finney, Karen N.; Sharifi, Vida N.; Swithenbank, Jim; Nolan, Andy; White, Simon; Ogden, Simon | Developments to an existing city-wide district energy network—Part I: Identification of potential expansions using heat mapping | ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT | 2012 | J |
Frolke, Linde; Sousa, Tiago; Pinson, Pierre | A network-aware market mechanism for decentralized district heating systems | APPLIED ENERGY | 2022 | J |
Grohnheit, PE; Mortensen, BOG | Competition in the market for space heating. District heating as the infrastructure for competition among fuels and technologies | ENERGY POLICY | 2003 | J |
Hawkey, David; Webb, Janette | District energy development in liberalised markets: situating UK heat network development in comparison with Dutch and Norwegian case studies | TECHNOLOGY ANALYSIS & STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT | 2014 | J |
Hawkey, David; Webb, Janette; Winskel, Mark | Organisation and governance of urban energy systems: district heating and cooling in the UK | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION | 2013 | J |
Holzhauer, Sascha; Krebs, Friedrich; Jansen, Lukas | Dynamics of Individual Investments in Heating Technology | ADVANCES IN SOCIAL SIMULATION, ESSA 2022 | 2023 | C |
Lygnerud, Kristina | Business Model Changes in District Heating: The Impact of the Technology Shift from the Third to the Fourth Generation | ENERGIES | 2019 | J |
Lygnerud, Kristina | Challenges for Business Change in district heating | ENERGY SUSTAINABILITY AND SOCIETY | 2018 | J |
Lygnerud, Kristina; Popovic, Tobias; Schultze, Sebastian; Stochkel, Hanne Kortegaard | District heating in the future-thoughts on the business model | ENERGY | 2023 | J |
Lygnerud, Kristina; Wheatcroft, Edward; Wynn, Henry | Contracts, Business Models and Barriers to Investing in Low Temperature District Heating Projects | APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL | 2019 | J |
Maljkovic, Danica; Lenz, Nela Vlahinic; Zikovic, Sasa | The pitfalls of shared metering: Does the self-interest in district heating systems cause tragedy of the commons | ENERGY RESEARCH & SOCIAL SCIENCE | 2022 | J |
Paivarinne, Sofia; Hjelm, Olof; Gustafsson, Sara | Excess heat supply collaborations within the district heating sector: Drivers and barriers | JOURNAL OF RENEWABLE AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY | 2015 | J |
Pazeraite, Ausra; Lekavicius, Vidas; Gatautis, Ramunas | District heating system as the infrastructure for competition among producers in the heat market | RENEWABLE & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY REVIEWS | 2022 | J |
Pettersson, Karin; Axelsson, Erik; Eriksson, Lina; Svensson, Elin; Berntsson, Thore; Harvey, Simon | Holistic methodological framework for assessing the benefits of delivering industrial excess heat to a district heating network | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY RESEARCH | 2020 | J |
Polhill, Gary; Salt, Doug; Craig, Tony; Wilson, Ruth; Colley, Kathryn | Sensitivity Analysis of an Empirical Agent-Based Model of District Heating Network Adoption | ADVANCES IN COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (IWANN 2021), PT II | 2021 | C |
Reidhav, Charlotte; Werner, Sven | Profitability of sparse district heating | APPLIED ENERGY | 2008 | J |
Rojer, Jim; Janssen, Femke; van der Klauw, Thijs; van Rooyen, Jacobus | Integral techno-economic design & operational optimization for district heating networks with a Mixed Integer Linear Programming strategy | ENERGY | 2024 | J |
Sj”din, J; Henning, D | Calculating the marginal costs of a district-heating utility | APPLIED ENERGY | 2004 | J |
Soderholm, Patrik; Warell, Linda | Market opening and third party access in district heating networks | ENERGY POLICY | 2011 | J |
Song, Jingjing; Li, Hailong; Wallin, Fredrik | Cost comparison between district heating and alternatives during the price model restructuring process | 8TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON APPLIED ENERGY (ICAE2016) | 2017 | C |
Song, Jingjing; Wallin, Fredrik; Li, Hailong; Karlsson, Bjorn | Price models of district heating in Sweden | CUE 2015—APPLIED ENERGY SYMPOSIUM AND SUMMIT 2015: LOW CARBON CITIES AND URBAN ENERGY SYSTEMS | 2016 | C |
Stennikov, Valery; Penkovskii, Andrey | The pricing methods on the monopoly district heating market | ENERGY REPORTS | 2020 | J |
Sun, Qie; Li, Hailong; Wallin, Fredrik; Zhang, Qi | Marginal costs for district heating | CLEAN ENERGY FOR CLEAN CITY: CUE 2016—APPLIED ENERGY SYMPOSIUM AND FORUM: LOW-CARBON CITIES AND URBAN ENERGY SYSTEMS | 2016 | C |
Thollander, P.; Svensson, I. L.; Trygg, L. | Analyzing variables for district heating collaborations between energy utilities and industries | ENERGY | 2010 | J |
Toropoc, Sanda Mirela; Frunzulica, Rodica; Valentin, Radu Mihai | Heat losses in district heating network in dynamic regimes | 2017 8TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT (CIEM) | 2017 | C |
van Deventer, Jan; Gustafsson, Jonas; Eliasson, Jens; Delsing, Jerker; Makitaavola, Henrik | Independence and Interdependence of Systems in District Heating | 2010 IEEE INTERNATIONAL SYSTEMS CONFERENCE | 2010 | C |
Wang, Haichao; Lin Duanmu; Li, Xiangli; Lahdelma, Risto | Optimizing the District Heating Primary Network from the Perspective of Economic-Specific Pressure Loss | ENERGIES | 2017 | J |
Westin, P; Lagergren, F | Re-regulating district heating in Sweden | ENERGY POLICY | 2002 | J |
Wissner, Matthias | Regulation of district-heating systems | UTILITIES POLICY | 2014 | J |
Zheng, Weiye; Xu, Siyu; Liu, Jiawei; Zhu, Jizhong; Luo, Qingju | Participation of strategic district heating networks in electricity markets: An arbitrage mechanism and its equilibrium analysis | APPLIED ENERGY | 2023 | J |
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Theoretical Lens | Key Concepts | Application to DH | Main Contributions |
---|---|---|---|
Institutional economics | Transaction costs, property rights, governance structures, formal/informal institutions | Explains governance arrangements, regulatory frameworks, and coordination mechanisms in DH projects | Understanding how institutional design affects DH deployment efficiency and stakeholder coordination |
Stakeholder theory | Stakeholder identification, power relations, interest alignment, stakeholder engagement | Analyses relationships between utilities, governments, private actors, and citizens in DH development | Framework for managing multistakeholder complexity and balancing diverse interests |
Innovation systems | Technological trajectories, system dynamics, coevolution, institutional learning | Positions DH within broader energy transition and technological innovation processes | Explains how DH technologies develop within specific institutional and market contexts |
Methodological Aspect | Details | Rationale |
---|---|---|
Database Selection | Web of Science Core Collection | Comprehensive coverage of high-impact journals, rigorous peer-review process, structured metadata for bibliometric analysis |
Search Date | 19 December 2024 | Capture the most recent research developments |
Search Fields | Title, Abstract, Keywords | Standard approach for comprehensive topic coverage in systematic reviews |
Primary Search Query | (“district heating” OR “heat network” OR “thermal network”) AND (“business model” OR “economic analysis” OR “cost-effective” OR “investment” OR “profitab” OR “market dynamic” OR “policy incentive” OR “stakeholder engagement”) | Intersection approach to identify studies explicitly addressing economic/business aspects of DH |
Secondary Search Query | “district heating” in “Business Economics” category | Complementary search to capture relevant studies potentially missed in primary search |
Initial Results | 63 papers | Combined results from both search strategies |
Filtering Process | Removal of duplicates and texts unavailable | Data cleaning for analysis |
Final Dataset | 46 papers | Refined selection for analysis |
Inclusion Criteria | Peer-reviewed articles, conference proceedings, book chapters. Explicit focus on economic, business, or managerial aspects of DH. Academic publisher affiliation | Ensure academic rigour and relevance |
Exclusion Criteria | Studies that focus solely on engineering/technical aspects. Nonacademic publications. Studies without clear economic/business dimension | Maintain focus on business and economic perspectives |
Research Domain | Number of Articles |
---|---|
Energy Fuels | 44 |
Environmental Sciences | 17 |
Environmental Studies | 14 |
Thermodynamics | 11 |
Economics | 9 |
Green Sustainable Science Technology | 7 |
Engineering Mechanical | 6 |
Construction Building Technology | 5 |
Nuclear Science Technology | 5 |
Engineering Chemical | 4 |
Multidisciplinary Sciences | 4 |
Engineering Electrical Electronic | 3 |
Engineering Environmental | 3 |
Computer Science Interdisciplinary Applications | 2 |
Law | 2 |
Others | 9 |
Sustainable Development Goals | Number of Articles |
---|---|
7 Affordable And Clean Energy | 45 |
13 Climate Action | 9 |
11 Sustainable Cities And Communities | 7 |
9 Industry Innovation And Infrastructure | 6 |
2 Zero Hunger | 1 |
3 Good Health And Well Being | 1 |
6 Clean Water And Sanitation | 1 |
8 Decent Work And Economic | 1 |
14 Life Below Water | 1 |
15 Life On Land | 1 |
12 Responsible Consumption | 1 |
Theory/Framework | Core Idea | Application to DH Systems |
---|---|---|
Resource-Based View (RBV) | Organizations achieve competitive advantage by leveraging unique and hard-to-replicate resources. | DH systems are based on specialized infrastructure, access to local renewable energy, and heat recovery technologies as strategic assets. |
Stakeholder Theory | Firms must manage and balance the interests of multiple stakeholders for long-term success. | Successful DH projects require strong engagement with consumers, utilities, governments, and intermediaries to ensure acceptance and sustainability. |
Institutional Economics | Economic activities are shaped by institutional frameworks, such as regulations and policies. | Supportive regulations (subsidies, carbon taxes, access rules) are critical to DH adoption and expansion; fragmented policies can hinder growth. |
Sustainability Theories and Systems Thinking | Decision-making should integrate environmental, social, and economic sustainability from a systems perspective. | DH systems promote energy efficiency, circular economy principles (reuse of waste heat), and holistic urban energy planning, reducing carbon footprints. |
Innovation Studies | Innovation diffusion and adoption are driven by social, regulatory, and market dynamics. | Integration of smart grids, AI, IoT, and new storage technologies can boost DH system performance and flexibility. |
Local Economic Development Studies | Specific economic structures and dynamics can stimulate regional economic development, sustainability, and resilience. | DH systems generate local jobs, reduce dependency on imported fuels, and strengthen local energy autonomy, contributing to social and economic development. |
Economic Advantages | Economic Disadvantages |
Resource-Based Advantage | High Initial Capital Investment |
Utilization of renewable energy sources (geothermal, biomass, solar thermal) improves sustainability and reduces carbon footprint. | DH systems require significant upfront investment in infrastructure, which can be a barrier to entry. |
Specialized infrastructure and advanced technologies contribute to a competitive edge in the energy market. | Recovering the initial costs can take a long time, especially if demand or system efficiency is suboptimal. |
Government support through incentives aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. | |
Stakeholder and Social Benefits | Regulatory and Market Challenges |
Creation of jobs during the construction and maintenance phases, stimulating the local economy. | Fragmented regulations across regions may hinder the adoption and development of DH system. |
Improvement in quality of life with reliable and affordable heating, reducing energy poverty and air pollution. | Competition from alternative solutions (such as ground-source heat pumps) can make DH systems less competitive for individual users. |
Long-term economic viability, especially with dynamic pricing mechanisms and integration of renewable energy. | Political risks and changes in government policies (e.g., modifications to incentives) may negatively impact DH systems. |
Technological Integration and Innovation | Stakeholder Conflict and Complexity |
Advanced technologies (AI, IoT, Smart Grids) improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance system resilience. | Managing the conflicting interests of various stakeholders (consumers, companies, local governments) can complicate the development and operation of DH systems. |
Waste heat recovery and use of renewable energy sources optimize resource use, contributing to energy decarbonization. | Resistance from local communities or businesses, especially if the benefits of the system are not immediately clear. |
Local Economic Development | Barriers to Technology Adoption |
Creation of new local economic opportunities, promotion of industries and supply chains related to renewable energy technologies. | Technological uncertainty and delays in adoption of new technologies can slow down the expected economic benefits. |
Reduction in dependence on imported fossil fuels, keeping energy costs within the local economy. | Slow diffusion of innovations (like AI and smart grids) may delay the anticipated economic advantages. |
DH systems strengthen regional economic resilience. | Technical challenges in implementing district heating systems include: Identifying heat users and producers within a given area; developing underground distribution networks, considering the high risk associated with pre-existing subterranean infrastructure; accurately estimate the heat supply and demand of various stakeholders. |
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© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Share and Cite
Maghssudipour, A.; Noro, M.; Giacomello, G.; Buoso, E.; Dalla Santa, G. Unlocking the Economic and Business Potential of District Heating: The State of the Art and a Research Agenda. Sustainability 2025, 17, 5796. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135796
Maghssudipour A, Noro M, Giacomello G, Buoso E, Dalla Santa G. Unlocking the Economic and Business Potential of District Heating: The State of the Art and a Research Agenda. Sustainability. 2025; 17(13):5796. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135796
Chicago/Turabian StyleMaghssudipour, Amir, Marco Noro, Giovanni Giacomello, Elena Buoso, and Giorgia Dalla Santa. 2025. "Unlocking the Economic and Business Potential of District Heating: The State of the Art and a Research Agenda" Sustainability 17, no. 13: 5796. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135796
APA StyleMaghssudipour, A., Noro, M., Giacomello, G., Buoso, E., & Dalla Santa, G. (2025). Unlocking the Economic and Business Potential of District Heating: The State of the Art and a Research Agenda. Sustainability, 17(13), 5796. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17135796