1. Introduction
Due to population growth, resource scarcity, and climate change, sustainability is seen as a solution to numerous environmental and social problems in the world, and today’s society faces a significant challenge in this area [
1]. The United Nations’ Brundtland Commissions report, written in 1987, defined sustainable development as meeting the needs of the present without compromising the needs of future generations. This interest in sustainability has been reflected in economic strategies like the triple bottom line, a concept introduced less than a decade later, which places social and environmental concerns alongside economic goals as part of sustainable business practices [
2].
Within construction management, sustainability similarly seeks to address environmental and social issues while preserving economic prosperity [
3]. Global pressures, reflected in increased regulations, urge companies to integrate sustainability into their project decision-making processes, as exemplified by Canada’s 2030 emission reduction plan [
1,
4]. This plan outlines a sector-by-sector approach to reduce emissions by 40% from 2005 levels by 2030, with a net-zero emissions target for 2050. Governments, businesses, non-profit organizations, and communities in Canada collaborate to achieve these objectives, underscoring sustainability’s importance in the construction industry, where it is viewed as a tripartite approach encompassing the environment, society, and the economy [
5].
Implementing sustainable development starts with selecting a sustainable project portfolio (project portfolio selection—PPS) [
6,
7]. Effective PPS requires choosing projects that maximize the portfolio’s value while working within constraints such as resources, workforce, and time [
8,
9]. Its key significance is assigning limited resources to competing projects that will achieve corporate goals and objectives [
10]. PPS is one of the most efficient and constant activities in each organization as modern societies require identifying various construction projects to improve their residents’ convenience [
11].
It has become increasingly important to promote sustainability in any business sector and at every level of business and investment, especially in the construction industry. The construction industry’s role in societal and economic development is undeniable. Economics-wise, it contributes 13% to the world’s gross domestic product (GDP) [
12]. A total of USD 10 trillion of the world’s GDP was generated by construction projects in 2018 and this is projected to be USD 14 trillion by 2025 [
13]. The global construction industry’s revenue is projected to experience consistent growth in the coming years. In 2023, the global construction market reached a value of USD 11.9 trillion. Projections indicate that it will rise to USD 17.2 trillion by 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.4% from 2024 to 2030 [
14]. Moreover, employment-wise, the industry supports around 7% of the global workforce [
12].
However, despite its economic significance, the construction industry faces criticism for its environmental and social impact, consuming substantial resources, emitting GHG, and lacking employee-friendly practices [
3]. This is particularly relevant in the industrial sector, where projects such as power-generating plants have substantial environmental and social implications. Construction projects consume 60% of raw material, 36% of global energy, and 12% of water and produce more than 37% of energy-related carbon dioxide (CO
2) and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions [
5,
15,
16]. Since the construction industry has huge economic significance with a strong environmental and social impact as well, the importance of this industry based on sustainability elements cannot be ignored [
1].
Given that numerous industrial projects, while crucial for economic development, often result in adverse long-term environmental and social consequences [
16], this study specifically targets the industrial sector within the construction industry, particularly focusing on power-generating plants. The development of industrial projects is inevitable due to their significance in the global energy supply. They accounted for 32.9% of global energy needs in 2015; however, these projects also significantly contribute to issues like global warming and toxic gas emissions [
17,
18,
19]. Also, power-generating plants are of immense importance for the economy, society, and the environment. They provide essential electricity for industries, businesses, and homes, supporting economic growth, job creation, and investments. Socially, these plants ensure access to vital services like lighting, heating, communication, and healthcare, improving living standards and promoting education. Environmentally, the choice of energy sources and technologies in these plants impacts air quality and climate change, with cleaner and renewable options reducing pollution and GHG emissions. With increasing energy demand, a global shift to sustainable sources and the need for energy access, developing such plants is unavoidable. They play a pivotal role in economic productivity, energy transition, social well-being, and environmental preservation [
20,
21,
22].
On the other side, many organizations are project-oriented these days, but they often deal with resource constraints (workforce, time, etc.) that require them to carefully select projects. Choosing the wrong project can lead to resource waste, potential legal issues, lost profits, and harm to reputation. Moreover, within growing environmental and social global challenges, organizations recognize the need for change. Picking the right projects is a way to drive change effectively. The initial step to selecting the right projects is identifying significant primary and secondary evaluation criteria. Although some scholars recognize the significance of incorporating sustainability criteria into the decision-making process, this remains a complex and unresolved challenge, because sustainable decision-making is inherently complex due to the involvement of social, economic, and environmental factors. Therefore, it demands further attention and exploration.
The construction project life cycle includes various phases: feasibility phase, design and engineering phase, procurement phase, construction phase, closing phase, operation and maintenance phase [
23]. Although each of them plays a distinct role, this research, with a specific focus on the feasibility phase, aims to identify effective criteria for integration into the project selection process. This targeted approach enables decision-makers to make strategic and proactive choices with a sustainability focus.
Existing research primarily emphasizes financial metrics in PPS, with limited attention to criteria across all pillars of sustainability. Moreover, the meetings held by the authors with industry experts in Canada reveal that project selection is characterized by an unstructured nature, with a primary emphasis on economic aspects. Thus, there is a lack of a comprehensive set of sustainability criteria for industrial projects, particularly power-generating plants in Canada during the feasibility phase; and a clear need for a more structured approach to sustainable decision-making in PPS. Given the focus of this research on power-generating plants, it is essential to emphasize the initial step of selecting the most sustainable power-generating technology before getting onto the development of a sustainable PPS. Thus, this study aims to identify the sustainability criteria and sub-criteria necessary for selecting the most sustainable power-generating technology, by drawing insights from existing literature reviews and input from industry experts (a mixed-methods approach). First, it utilizes a literature review to establish primary and sub-criteria for sustainability pillars, which is subsequently validated and enhanced through insights from industry experts.
This paper introduces a novel approach to the selection of power-generating technology by considering the three pillars of sustainability (economic, social, and environmental) along with a technical category. The technical category is included because construction projects have to be technically feasible. The current practices focus only on cost–benefit analysis, which is not acceptable in the era of decarbonization and there is extreme pressure from the general public to reduce GHG emissions for the power-generating industry. This holistic approach provides a unique practical framework for sustainable decision-making that has not been previously explored in existing literature and real life. This proposed approach can be easily utilized by decision-makers in the industry to make sure they pay attention to social and environmental factors, not only economics, prior to selecting the power-generating techniques. It comprehensively improves current practices.
The expected academic contribution of this research is the introduction of an integrated model to apply multi-dimensional rational decision-making techniques to solve complex problems. Systematic integration of a technical category with the commonly used three pillars (economic–social–environmental) is used as a methodical approach for overall sustainability assessment. In this integrated model, we proposed a comprehensive set of sustainability decision-making sub-criteria; this set is obtained through a comprehensive literature review and meeting with industry experts.
The expected industrial contribution of this study is enabling power-plant owners to change their mindset from single-dimensional thinking (money-driven) to multi-dimensional thinking (technical–economic–social–environmental). This model will support the power-generating industry to achieve their sustainability and corporate responsibility goals. The developed model is generic and can be used by any owner. The owner experts can utilize the proposed sub-criteria or replace it with other sub-criteria if needed. The model also allows the experts to reflect their preferences and priorities by assigning different weights to each of the four proposed decision-making categories. It is important to highlight that our industry partners expressed interest in integrating some of these criteria into their future decision-making processes, indicating the practical relevance and potential utility of our approach.
This research comprises nine sections:
Section 1 introduces the study;
Section 2 and
Section 3 provide a thorough literature review emphasizing research gaps;
Section 4 details research methods and methodology, while
Section 5 presents significant criteria findings from literature and expert discussions;
Section 6 discusses the description and application of the hybrid decision support system (DSS);
Section 7 and
Section 8 illustrate the application of significant sustainability criteria with a hypothetical case study along with sensitivity analysis. Lastly,
Section 9 summarizes the study’s findings and outlines limitations with directions for future research.
3. Main Findings and Research Gap
Since this research focuses on power-generating plants, it is important to note that it is essential to first start with selecting the most sustainable power-generating technology before we can build a sustainable PPS. Therefore, to select the most sustainable power-generating technology, this study is going to focus on finding the sustainability criteria and sub-criteria based on existing literature reviews and industry experts’ opinions.
Based on the literature review, current research tends to focus less on comprehensive sustainability in construction and more on financial factors that contribute to project success. Furthermore, the research on sustainable construction and project selection covers various areas and themes. As shown in
Table 1, some studies focus on one or two aspects of sustainability and others address all pillars of sustainability, but the criteria are not specified under each category/pillar clearly (e.g., technical, economic, social, environmental) except two articles. This means that the researchers did not identify these criteria categories clearly in their research. Moreover, while sustainability criteria have received some consideration across different stages of the construction lifecycle, including design, operation, and maintenance (refer to
Table 1), there is still a lack of a comprehensive set of sustainability criteria for industrial projects, particularly power-generating plants in Canada, during the feasibility phase. The majority of these studies in
Table 1 did not indicate the specific project phase for which the criteria are applicable. It is important to note that selection and evaluation criteria may vary depending on the project phase, as they are highly sensitive and dependent on the specific phase of the project.
Furthermore, meetings with industry experts confirmed that project selection processes are often unstructured, emphasizing economic factors with some consideration for the environment only. Moreover, PPS based on sustainability pillars for industrial projects in the context of power-generating plants is not only a research problem but also a critical issue within the industry. Many large-scale projects, worth billions of dollars, are often developed without adequate consideration for social and environmental factors in the feasibility phase as per our discussions with the industry experts. Therefore, it is essential to integrate technical, economic, social, and environmental considerations comprehensively.
To address these gaps and challenges, this paper proposes a novel approach with a hybrid model that embraces multi-dimensional thinking in the selection of power-generating technology. By integrating the three pillars of sustainability (economic, social, and environmental) alongside a technical category, this approach offers a comprehensive decision-making framework. It not only provides valuable insights for researchers, practitioners, and policymakers involved in sustainable project selection but also serves as a practical and user-friendly tool to drive meaningful change within the industry.
6. Hybrid DSS Model
This paper utilizes the hybrid DSS model developed by Alam Bhuiyan and Hammad [
62] with minor modifications in a hypothetical case study for illustrative purposes and to validate the findings of this paper. The hybrid model combines two multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods, including FAHP (fuzzy analytic hierarchy process), fuzzy TOPSIS (technique for order performance by similarity to an ideal solution), within a fuzzy environment. In this model, the criteria’s weights are determined employing FAHP, utilizing a trapezoidal membership function. Subsequently, fuzzy TOPSIS methodology is employed to rank the alternatives, incorporating the weights derived from the FAHP analysis.
6.1. Techniques Description
AHP and TOPSIS stand out as the prevailing MCDM techniques within the construction industry for complex decision issues (e.g., resource allocation) and ranking challenges [
82,
83,
84,
85]. AHP aims to determine the weights of criteria and priorities of alternatives while TOPSIS aims to choose the alternatives closest to the positive ideal solution (PIS) and furthest away from the negative ideal solution (NIS). Both methods use fuzzy numbers to accommodate uncertainties. Their efficiency is further enhanced when integrated with fuzzy theory, which serves to replace crisp values with fuzzy sets [
84,
86,
87,
88].
FAHP appears as a prominent tool for criteria weighting in MCDM, thus serving as essential in our research to assign weights to the sixteen chosen criteria. While the triangular membership function is commonly employed in FAHP for its simplicity, the trapezoidal function is favored for its superior ability to manage uncertainties and imprecision. Hence, the trapezoidal membership function takes priority in our research. For the ranking of alternatives, fuzzy TOPSIS is utilized as the preferred choice due to its widespread acceptance, simplicity, and utility in both industry and academia, making it a reliable tool for decision-making purposes.
Fuzzy set theory introduces a level of ambiguity that adeptly and effectively mirrors human thought processes and handles uncertainties/imprecision/information gaps [
84,
86,
87,
88]. It improves decision-making comprehensiveness and rationality. The fuzzy logic used in FAHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods with trapezoidal fuzzy numbers and membership functions is a type of multi-valued logic that deals with approximate reasoning rather than precision. It is closer to reality and allows for reasoning with linguistic terms and handling uncertainty by representing vague or imprecise information. Therefore, it provides a powerful framework for decision-making in situations where traditional binary logic may be inadequate due to uncertainty and vagueness in the available information.
Fuzzy logic employs fuzzy sets with elements that have degrees of membership rather than strictly being members or non-members. The rules used in fuzzy logic include the following: fuzzy inference rules that define how fuzzy input variables are planned as fuzzy output variables using linguistic terms and membership functions; and membership function rules which determine the degree of membership of elements in fuzzy sets based on their values with respect to defined linguistic terms. The characteristics of fuzzy logic include flexibility, linguistic representation, and approximate reasoning. It enables flexible modeling of real-world systems and linguistic representation of variables, facilitating decision-making with uncertain or incomplete information.
The approach chosen in our study was based on the need to incorporate both qualitative and quantitative inputs, including user preferences from industry experts. The integration of FAHP-fuzzy TOPSIS offers a more interpretable, domain-aware, and robust approach for sustainability assessment in power-generating plants. This is particularly beneficial when transparency in decision-making, expert participation, and uncertainty handling are crucial considerations. In scenarios where user preferences and qualitative inputs play a significant role, such as in our study, it is essential to use an approach that can effectively integrate these aspects into the decision-making process.
6.2. Model and Software Description and Modification
The software utilized in this research was developed within our research group at the University of Alberta. This software serves as an interface for conducting mathematical calculations based on FAHP and fuzzy TOPSIS techniques, which are widely recognized decision-making methods. This software has been rigorously tested and validated. A detailed description of its development, verification, and validation process can be found in the publication in the journal
Sustainability [
62].
The software is a desktop application designed to operate on the Windows platform. It is developed using the Microsoft dot-net framework and coded in C sharp within a Windows form application. The algorithm is based on the fuzzy TOPSIS technique for ranking alternatives, and a graphical user interface was created using the Windows form application. Microsoft Management Visual Studio version 16.11 was utilized for database management, with SQL Server Management Studio version 20.1 and the Windows database server employed for this purpose.
Users interact with the software through a user-friendly interface, where they can create new projects or retrieve data from previous projects. Inputs include evaluation criteria, preferences for alternatives, and stakeholders’ opinions, which are assigned as percentages using text fields and dropdown menu options. The software processes both qualitative and quantitative inputs, ultimately providing the ranking of alternatives as the output. This software was developed to facilitate decision-making processes in the context of project selection, offering users a comprehensive and efficient tool for evaluating and ranking alternatives based on multiple criteria.
The developed model and software underwent minor adjustments to accommodate the number of criteria identified through the literature review and experts’ input in this study. Initially, the model was designed with four main criteria, each having four sub-criteria, totaling 16 sub-criteria. However, in the updated model, while the number of sub-criteria remained at 16, we made slight modifications to address the lack of symmetry among the sub-criteria. For instance, in the earlier model, the “Social” category had four sub-criteria, but in the new model, it consists of three sub-criteria. Similarly, the “Economic” category previously had four sub-criteria but was expanded to include five sub-criteria. These changes were made to ensure consistency, even though the core and fundamental calculation processes remained unchanged. Furthermore, some non-technical adjustments were made to the user interface. An additional input box and a dropdown menu were introduced for the economic section, while one input section was removed from the social aspect.
The modified and employed tool also allows users, particularly experts, to reflect their preferences and allocate different weights to the main criteria and sub-criteria based on their opinions. However, it is important to note that the weights are adjustable by different panels of experts according to their specific contexts and priorities. This flexibility enhances the applicability and robustness of the model, as it accommodates diverse perspectives and ensures that the results are tailored to each user’s unique circumstances.
In the following case study (
Section 7), this model and software are used for ranking the power-generating technologies as alternatives to validate the identified criteria and provide proof of the multi-dimensional decision-making concept.
6.3. Model Phases and Processes
The process for ranking alternatives using this model (combined FAHP-fuzzy TOPSIS approach) involves several phases as explained below:
Phase 1: Normalizing Objective Values into Subjective Inputs
In this phase, subjective weights for qualitative criteria are determined by decision-makers. Additionally, subjective weights based on objective values (quantitative criteria) are derived using Shannon’s entropy as a foundation [
89,
90].
Step 1: To calculate objective weights through the entropy measure, the decision matrix must first be normalized for each criterion (denoted as
number of criteria). This normalization process yields the projection value
for each criterion:
where
m = number of alternatives.
Step 2: After normalizing the decision matrix, the Shannon diversity index is calculated as follows:
Step 3: The following equation is utilized to determine the Shannon Equitability Index, or entropy, which measures the evenness of values within specific criteria. This entropy value is represented as
:
where
m = the total number of alternatives considered in the decision-making process.
Step 4: The degree of divergence can now be computed as . A higher value of signifies a greater degree of divergence. Within the matrix, criteria values with higher degrees of divergence are selected for the range distribution of subjective values.
Phase 2: Fuzzy AHP
In this phase, we employ fuzzy numbers as a pairwise comparison scale to establish the relative priorities of various selection criteria and sub-categories. The calculations involved in the FAHP method are outlined in the following steps [
83,
91,
92]:
Step 1: Generating a Comparison Matrix
We define the details of pairwise comparison criteria in
Table 4, and the formula for pairwise comparisons is as follows:
where
,
represents the number of criteria being compared,
is the weight for criterion
, and
is the ratio of the weights of criteria
and
.
Step 2: Normalizing the Matrix
After determining the comparison values in
Table 4, the next step is to normalize the matrix. This is achieved by dividing each cell by the sum of the column values:
Step 3: Determining Criteria Weightage
Criteria weightage is calculated as the average weightage of each row:
Step 4: Checking for Consistency
Saaty introduced a set of values for comparing the consistency index (CI) with a random generator (RI) value, which varies with the matrix order n. The following equation is used to calculate the eigenvector (
:
The λ (lambda) value is then determined, and after obtaining the maximum lambda value, the consistency index (CI) can be assessed:
The CI is acceptable when it is smaller than 10% (0.1), indicating tolerance for inconsistency in each opinion.
Step 5: Fuzzification
The given weights are fuzzified based on
Table 5, as provided below:
Step 6: Calculating Fuzzified Normalized Weight and Global Ranking
Finally, the normalized fuzzy weight is calculated as
where,
Phase 3: Decision Matrix
In addition to fuzzy AHP for criteria weightage calculations, this model involves assigning percentages to reflect users’ preferences for various options. It offers a simple and convenient way for users to allocate importance to different evaluation criteria. An interface screenshot illustrating this process is provided in
Figure 2.
This process involves two steps: first, assigning weightage to each pillar of sustainable criteria, ensuring the total equals 100; second, allocating a percentage to each evaluation criteria (sub-criteria) under different pillars, with each pillar making a sum of 100 as well. Higher preference or importance corresponds to a higher percentage of weightage.
Phase 4: Fuzzy TOPSIS
In this phase, we incorporate the insights of decision-makers and the numerical input into the decision-making process. The steps of these calculations are outlined as follows [
84,
87,
88,
92,
93]:
Step 1: Collecting Users Preferences
In this initial step, we compile user preferences to create a matrix (
Table 6).
Step 2: Defining Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers (TrFN) and Transform User Input into the Fuzzy Decision Matrix
Within the FAHP framework, the TrFN encompass four boundary values:
a,
b,
c, and
d. The degree of membership increases between
a and
b, remains constant between
b and
c with a degree of 1 (indicating full membership between
c and
d), and decreases between
c and
d (as illustrated in
Figure 3). Each fuzzy set representing the categories detailed in
Table 7 is depicted by trapezoidal membership functions (as shown in
Table 5 and
Figure 4).
Step 3: Calculating the Combined Fuzzy Decision Matrix
After transforming the AHP comparison values into FAHP scale values, a combined decision matrix is constructed. This process is depicted through the following formula:
where
,
,
,
Step 4: Normalizing the Fuzzy Decision Matrix Based on Positive and Negative Criteria
The positive and negative criteria are identified to calculate the fuzzy decision matrix as follows:
Next, the decision matrix is normalized using the provided equation:
Step 5: Normalizing the Fuzzy Decision Matrix According to a Single User’s Input
Subsequently, the matrix value is adjusted by multiplying it by the fuzzy normalized weight of each criterion, obtained from fuzzy AHP.
Step 6: Deriving Fuzzy Ideal Solution, Fuzzy Positive Ideal Solution (FPIS), and Fuzzy Negative Ideal Solution (FNIS)
From the fuzzy decision matrix, fuzzy ideal solutions are obtained using the specified method.
Fuzzy Positive Ideal Solution (FPIS):
where
Fuzzy Negative Ideal Solution (FNIS):
where
.
Step 7: Calculating Distance from FPIS and FNIS
The distance from each alternative is computed using the following formula:
where
;
=
.
Step 8: Determining Closeness Coefficient
The closeness coefficient
of each alternative is calculated as follows where a higher
value indicates a higher-ranking order.
Step 9: Ranking and Selecting Decisions
The combined decision for each alternative is computed based on the number of team members (N) as follows:
where
Nimportance = the importance of the Nth member in the team, and
N = the total number of members.
An interface screenshot of this phase is given in below
Figure 5 where the fuzzy TOPSIS algorithm analyzes these inputs to rank the alternatives.
8. Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis serves as a validation process, ensuring that the system meets its intended objectives by scrutinizing the output results as input parameters vary. In this study, sensitivity analysis is conducted by subjecting the hybrid model to three scenarios, confirming its responsiveness to input changes and the meaningfulness of its output. The same group of industry experts from one of the largest power-generation companies in Canada, who initially validated and refined the sub-criteria list, were presented with the hypothetical case study described above. They were specifically consulted for their input on the weightage of criteria and user preferences for alternatives related to the qualitative criteria.
8.1. Criteria Weightage
In the initial scenario, changes were made to the criteria weightage for sustainability pillars (main criteria) and sub-criteria based on expert input as shown in
Table 22 and
Table 23. However, the user preferences for alternatives remained consistent with the case study, allowing us to assess the impact on the decision-making process. Additionally, we adjusted the importance of the owner’s perspective to 50%, 25%, and 25% based on their experiences.
This scenario was then examined to understand how these changes influenced the
values within the hybrid DSS model, which determine the ranking of the alternatives. The results for this scenario are presented in
Table 24.
In this scenario, adjusting the criteria weightage for the main and sub-criteria based on expert input had a notable impact on the ranking. Owner 1 shifted NG with hydrogen to the third priority, with solar taking the lead for both the first and second owners. For the third owner, NG with CC claimed the top spot. However, considering the combined opinions and overall ranking, solar emerged as the first priority. This demonstrates that the developed model is sensitive to the input as criteria weightage.
8.2. User Preferences for Alternatives
In the second scenario, we adjusted the user preferences for alternatives related to qualitative criteria based on expert recommendations (refer to
Table 25 and
Table 26). This modification aimed to evaluate its influence on the decision-making process. The criteria weightage for all criteria and user preferences for quantitative criteria remained constant from the case study. Additionally, we maintained the distribution of importance for the owner’s perspective at 50%, 25%, and 25%, as specified in the first scenario.
Subsequently, we reevaluated this scenario to analyze the impact of these adjustments on the
values within the hybrid DSS model, influencing the ranking of alternatives. The outcomes for this scenario are detailed in
Table 27.
In this scenario, altering user preferences for qualitative criteria based on expert input influences the ranking of alternatives. There appears to be a consensus among the experts that solar is their first priority, both in individual and composite results. Furthermore, their second, third, and fourth priorities are identified as wind, NG with CC, and NG with hydrogen, respectively. This illustrates the sensitivity of the developed model to input variations in user preferences as well.
8.3. Criteria Weightage and User Preferences for Alternatives
In the third and final scenario, we integrated adjustments from both the first and second scenarios by modifying user preferences for alternatives related to qualitative criteria and criteria weightage for main criteria and sub-criteria based on expert input. This scenario incorporated aspects of both the first and second scenarios comprehensively. Subsequently, we assessed the impact of these combined changes on the
values and the ranking of alternatives. The results of this integrated scenario are presented in
Table 28.
The combined scenario output closely resembles the second scenario in terms of values. The solar option retains its position as the first priority. Following that, wind, NG with CC, and NG with hydrogen are ranked as the second, third, and fourth priorities, respectively.
8.4. Result and Discussion
The results are interpreted based on the closeness coefficient ), where a higher value indicates a higher ranking, as explained previously. The sensitivity analysis, conducted through three scenarios involving expert opinions, leads to the conclusion that decisions from this model are notably influenced by user inputs. This impact is evident in the ranking of alternatives, with the solar option consistently securing the top position in all three scenarios.
The analysis of hypothetical data revealed that decisions from this model heavily rely on user inputs, specifically criteria weightage and preferences for different alternatives. This underscores the importance of stakeholders shifting from traditional, short-term economic perspectives to embrace sustainable solutions for effective decision-making. In this study, industry experts, actively involved in sustainable construction, exhibited a pronounced focus on economic and environmental aspects, allocating a majority of the weightage. Nevertheless, they also acknowledged the significance of social and technical aspects, dedicating approximately one-third of the total weightage.
9. Conclusions
This research emphasized that sustainable choices require construction projects’ owners to move beyond traditional economic analyses and consider all aspects of sustainable construction to maximize value and minimize harm. Incorporating sustainability considerations from the beginning of construction projects, especially during the feasibility phase, is essential. To achieve this goal, a variety of research methods were employed, combining an extensive literature review, meetings with industry experts, and decision-making techniques to comprehensively improve current practices.
This paper presented an innovative approach to rationalize decision-making for sustainable projects, specifically selecting power-generating technology, by integrating the three pillars of sustainability (economic, social, and environmental) along with a technical category. It identified a comprehensive set of sixteen sustainability criteria and sub-criteria under the pillars of sustainability to assist power-generating plant owners in selecting the most sustainable technology for their projects. A case study illustrated the practical application of these criteria through a hybrid DSS model for ranking power-generating technology. The MCDM techniques utilized in this model were FAHP with fuzzy TOPSIS. The results indicated that when stakeholders’ perspectives are weighted equally across all sustainability pillars, NG with carbon capture appears as the preferred option for sustainability. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis, incorporating expert opinions from a leading power-generating company in Canada, consistently ranked solar technology as the top priority across three different scenarios. This highlights the substantial influence of user inputs on decisions derived from this model.
Overall, this model enables users to customize the criteria and weights to suit their needs, thereby making the model more powerful and adaptable. While the findings of the case study have been verified by industry experts, it is acknowledged that other users may have different preferences or requirements, and the tool allows for easy modification to accommodate these variations.
The associated interest of this study’s contributions lies in its potential to revolutionize decision-making processes in the construction industry at the feasibility phase, especially in the context of power-generating plants. By incorporating technical feasibility alongside economic, social, and environmental considerations, our approach offers a holistic perspective that aligns with the growing emphasis on sustainability in project selection. The industrial sector of the construction industry never looked at all these factors at the same time under one umbrella in the feasibility phase. This approach leads to major changes in the ways that our industry partners make their decisions. This contribution is of interest to stakeholders involved in project selection, management, and policy formulation, as it provides a practical framework for integrating sustainability into project decision-making.
The limitations and future recommendations of this study are as follows:
Our analysis focused on technologies relevant to our industry partner’s portfolio. Future studies may explore other power-generating owners and additional renewable sources of electricity and technologies such as geothermal, hydropower, “nuclear”, bioenergy, etc. Our research utilized fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS, but future researchers may check the impact of utilizing other decision-making techniques (e.g., VIKOR, PROMETHEE, etc.) on the ranking of the alternatives.
Although our study primarily addressed GHG emissions (CO2 and CH4) as a representation of air pollution in the construction industry, we recognize the significance of other pollutants like SOx, NOx, and fine dust, which can impact human health and the ecosystem. Future research should consider incorporating these additional air pollutants to provide a more comprehensive assessment of sustainability criteria.
The percentages in
Table 19 were provided by industry experts, reflecting their current perspectives and practices. While these weightings may not fully prioritize environmental factors, such as waste disposal’s impact on greenhouse gas emissions and public health, future researchers may address these concerns and explore the impact of changing the allocated weights on the ranking of the analyzed alternatives.
Future scholars can utilize the developed tool to build a sustainable project portfolio of various technologies power-generating plants, and they may obtain data from real projects for further testing of the developed model.