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Article

Intelligent Data Analysis for Infection Spread Prediction

The World-Class Research Center “Advanced Digital Technologies”, Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University, 195251 St. Petersburg, Russia
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Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editors: Yury Klochkov and Marc A. Rosen
Sustainability 2022, 14(4), 1995; https://doi.org/10.3390/su14041995
Received: 1 December 2021 / Revised: 17 January 2022 / Accepted: 7 February 2022 / Published: 10 February 2022
(This article belongs to the Collection The Impact of Digitalization on the Quality of Life)
Intelligent data analysis based on artificial intelligence and Big Data tools is widely used by the scientific community to overcome global challenges. One of these challenges is the worldwide coronavirus pandemic, which began in early 2020. Data science not only provides an opportunity to assess the impact caused by a pandemic, but also to predict the infection spread. In addition, the model expansion by economic, social, and infrastructural factors makes it possible to predict changes in all spheres of human activity in competitive epidemiological conditions. This article is devoted to the use of anonymized and personal data in predicting the coronavirus infection spread. The basic “Susceptible–Exposed–Infected–Recovered” model was extended by including a set of demographic, administrative, and social factors. The developed model is more predictive and applicable in assessing future pandemic impact. After a series of simulation experiment results, we concluded that personal data use in high-level modeling of the infection spread is excessive. View Full-Text
Keywords: Big Data; data analysis; infection spread; personal data; simulation modeling; system dynamics Big Data; data analysis; infection spread; personal data; simulation modeling; system dynamics
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MDPI and ACS Style

Borovkov, A.I.; Bolsunovskaya, M.V.; Gintciak, A.M. Intelligent Data Analysis for Infection Spread Prediction. Sustainability 2022, 14, 1995. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14041995

AMA Style

Borovkov AI, Bolsunovskaya MV, Gintciak AM. Intelligent Data Analysis for Infection Spread Prediction. Sustainability. 2022; 14(4):1995. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14041995

Chicago/Turabian Style

Borovkov, Alexey I., Marina V. Bolsunovskaya, and Aleksei M. Gintciak. 2022. "Intelligent Data Analysis for Infection Spread Prediction" Sustainability 14, no. 4: 1995. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14041995

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