Abstract
This study illustrates the intellectual structure of research in the domain of supply chain risk management (SCRM) from the year 2000 to the year 2022. This paper employs a bibliometric analysis to investigate the foundations of the discipline and a quantitative approach to uncover the evolution of research in SCRM. Firstly, CiteSpace is used to evaluate and show the intellectual structure of this sector. With its help, we establish cooperation networks of institutions and countries, networks of different terms and keywords, and cooperation relations among writers. The process involves the extraction of certain useful information, such as core terms, leading authors, and major institutions. Secondly, with the help of the latent Dirichlet allocation technology, we look at the progression of the subject matter about the management of risks associated with supply chains. The outcome of this review provides a foundation for understanding developing patterns and new changes in the industry, and it is significant for future research on supply chain risk management. Our study not only updates the review of SCRM but also illustrates the possibility to objectively review literature with the support of text mining technology, using our newly developed framework. This framework can also be easily applied to other research fields.
1. Introduction
The study focus on supply chains and operations management has changed dramatically in the past decades. The extension and globalization of supply chains reduce the visibility and complicate the control over the process. Natural disasters, social events, man-made mistakes, and IT system shutdowns also bring the chances of disrupting material flows, information flows, and cash flows of a supply chain [1]. Instead of solely focusing on increasing productivity, lowering costs, and fulfilling demand, firms nowadays are paying more attention to supply chain risk management (SCRM) in order to enhance the robustness of a supply chain and consequently sustain its development [2,3].
In addition to creating risk mitigation procedures, businesses must identify possible hazards and analyze their effect in order to manage risk in supply chains [4]. Therefore, supply chain risk management is the adoption of methods to manage both everyday and extraordinary risks along the supply chain. These strategies must be based upon constant risk assessment to minimize vulnerability and assure continuity.
Marked by a surging amount of studies in the area, the research of SCRM has emerged as a prosperous academic field over the past years. Accompanied by this booming development, some new research topics have inevitably emerged and replaced the out-of-date topics in literature. The new direction of SCRM has been significantly driven by external factors, such as research collaboration networks, information, and interdisciplinary studies, among many others [4,5].
To achieve a comprehensive analysis of SCRM research, some studies have aimed at the general discussion of SCRM and reviews of SCRM literature, such as Pournader et al. (2020), Colicchia and Strozzi (2012), and Tang and Musa (2011) [2,6,7]. These studies are mainly based on industrial observations, content analysis of literature, and, more importantly, the knowledge and subjective judgment of the authors [8,9]. However, the investigation of the intellectual structure, and, more importantly, an objective analysis of literature is particularly missing. Bibliometric analysis is considered an effective method to illustrate the state of one field of research in the past and indicate its development direction in the future [10,11,12]. For bibliometric analysis, there are studies that include primarily document similarity measurement [13], community structure detection [14], and topic extraction [15]. Moreover, important research contents are co-citation analysis [16,17], author contributions [18], and topic evolution [19,20,21].
However, there is relatively less research on bibliometric analysis in the field of SCRM; some recent studies still focus on narrow specified problems but lack a comprehensive understanding of SCRM research from a wide perspective [22,23,24]. Since bibliometric analysis has the aim of research trends, this study mainly targets the intellectual structure and topic evolution of SCRM. Researchers need to exhibit the whole structure of this field by analyzing core terms, key authors, and key and co-citation references based on selected journals. In addition, we will study emerging trends and new developments by using latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) technology. With massive literature data, text mining approach has been implemented to answer two questions: (i) What is the intellectual structure in the literature of SCRM? (ii) What topics have been mainly studied in the past, and how have these topics dynamically changed over time? Concentrating on the two important questions, this research seeks to provide a comprehensive and systematic bibliometric analysis on SCRM and position the discussion with an operations management perspective. Specifically, the objectives of this paper are as follows:
1. Describing the nature of SCRM-related articles in terms of distribution by journals, year of publication, methodologies, and research contexts.
2. Identifying the key research domain of SCRM based on a text mining approach.
3. Concluding the research trends and suggesting future research opportunities for each research domain from an operations management perspective.
4. Observing the development of topics in different periods and the merging or dividing of different topics in SCRM research.
2. Research Design
Concentrating on the research objectives, this paper proposes the following research framework (Figure 1). Firstly, descriptive statistics are used to provide an overview of literature structure of SCRM, including the terms, keywords, authors, institutions, and countries. Valuable information is acquired based on the CiteSpace, such as core terms, key authors, important institutions, and so on. Secondly, all cited references are extracted, and we obtain the clustering of references, cooperation relations of authors, and journals with high centrality. Finally, LDA technology is used to extract topics from literature records to obtain a guideline of emerging trends and new developments. We find some interesting variations of different topics. From the above research, it is easy to learn the whole structure of supply chain risk management.
Figure 1.
Research framework for investigating the literature in SCRM.
2.1. Tools and Technology
The abundant literature contains plentiful information about the organization of SCRM. Our objective is to glean valuable information behind the complex structure of a multitude of nodes and linkages. Fully grasping the organization of networks requires powerful tools that can both simplify and highlight the most important structures in these networks. In this paper, a tool named CiteSpace will be adopted to analyze the author, keywords, terms, and references, and LDA technology will be used to process the topic distribution and evolution. Generally, the term is a noun or compound word used in a specific field, the keyword is a term given by authors, and, in addition, multiple terms can form a topic in the study field [25].
2.1.1. CiteSpace
CiteSpace is used to detect and analyze the emerging terms and keywords in research, and the relationship between authors, institutions, and countries. The main features of this useful tool include performing many useful visual analyses; for example, it can provide co-cited articles analysis, co-occurring terms analysis, institution cooperation analysis, author co-citation analysis, authors cooperation analysis, and many more [25]. In addition, it can detect a burst term that relies on the frequency and trend of the words, to acquire the research frontier and changing tendency of the field. This paper will analyze the SCRM-related references in some selected journals by using CiteSpace to obtain some visual maps. With the help of maps, researchers could understand the distribution of research institutions, high-impact authors, and core literature in the field of supply chain risk.
CiteSpace creates a visual representation of the published works in the form of a co-citation network, which is based on the citations of individual articles and reveals the structure of a certain discipline. In this network, a link is created between two article nodes when a third article cites them together. The importance degree of each article is computed by the network analysis method. With this tool, conceptual clusters are formed as certain groups are repeatedly referenced in conjunction with one another. In addition, this tool uses color-coded nodes and edges to discriminate different networks, with every year in a dataset assigned to a different color. Moreover, this tool illustrates the betweenness and importance of phrases, authors, and keywords. A conceptual cluster from one time can be linked to a cluster from a different time via a node that has high betweenness centrality.
2.1.2. Latent Dirichlet Allocation
Latent Dirichlet allocation is a probabilistic Bayesian model for text content [26] that assumes each document has K topics. Each topic defines a multinomial distribution over the vocabulary, and it is assumed to have been drawn from . When the topics are given, the following generative process of each document is conducted by LDA. Firstly, distribution of over topics will be drawn. Secondly, for each word i in d, draw a topic index from the topic weights , and observed word from selected topic, . In addition, and are Dirichlet distribution parameters. The overview of LDA is shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Diagram of latent Dirichlet allocation.
2.2. Data Source
The data source is retrieved with the keyword “supply chain risk management” in twenty journals with a list given below in Table 1. These journals are selected to represent the field of SCRM due to their high relevance and quality. The timespan of literature is decided to range from January 2000 to September 2022. Finally, we acquire 1815 papers (literature records), which contain but are not limited to each paper’s title, authors, keywords, abstract, and references. All of them are collected via the database Web of Science. The distribution of data is as follows.
Table 1.
Distribution of data.
3. Bibliometric Analysis Based on CiteSpace
To illustrate the static view of topics within SCRM research, several networks are established to detect different intellectual bases via CiteSpace. Co-occurring terms analysis, institution cooperation analysis, and authors cooperation analysis will be studied, respectively.
3.1. Co-Occurring Terms and Co-Occurring Keywords Analysis
SCRM is one of the most significant operations management research fields. This study will highlight transformations in the intensity of publications in terms of changes in their terms and keywords, as well as citations, etc. Co-occurring phrases or co-occurring keywords reveal the most active areas in a discipline’s publications. Terms are extracted from all titles and abstracts and keywords. The co-occurring terms network is built and analyzed by CiteSpace. Then these terms are processed by spectral clustering, as shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3.
Co-occurring terms network.
In Table 2, all terms from 1815 literature records are mainly divided into 10 clusters. Cluster 0 has 61 papers and a silhouette value of 0.973. The silhouette value quantifies how identical an object is to its cluster (cohesion) relative to other clusters (separation). Cluster 0 is labeled as supply chain by the log-likelihood ratio (LLR), which is an algorithm to find the most representative words to explain a cluster according to the probability density function. Automotive, supply chain, inventory risk, advance-purchase discount contracts, allocation, and lead time variability are the selected words by the latent semantic indexing (LSI) algorithm, which is developed to use the character strings in a document to establish their relevance to the search term used. Research shows that LLR usually provides a better result in terms of uniqueness and coverage. The largest cluster is Cluster 0, with 61 members and a silhouette value of 0.973. It is labeled as supply chain and empirical investigation by LLR. Others clusters are shown in Table 2.
Table 2.
Terms cluster.
From the term list, the high-frequency terms are selected to study their development; the result is shown in Figure 4. Some terms, such as “equity risk”, “b2b pricing decision”, and “business cycles”, were widely concerned in the past but now are almost neglected. On the other hand, such terms as “ordering behavior”, “absorptive capacity”, and “system dynamics approach” are appearing more often in many papers recently. This result shows that scholars have lost interest in some traditional research topics, while the studies related to new technologies, new applications, and cross-domain integration have attracted attention, though it is apparently to obtain only raw data about the development of the terms.
Figure 4.
Terms development.
In addition, we obtain core terms (Table 3). Because of the co-occurring terms, all terms can constitute a large terms network. The terms’ centrality indicates a central position by the relationship between term and term in all nodes, and these core terms belong to crucial words in the whole field.
Table 3.
Core terms.
Keywords are extracted from the keyword list of the collected literature. These are special terms that are subjectively selected by authors. The analysis result of co-occurring keywords is shown in Figure 5 and Table 4.
Figure 5.
Co-occurring keywords network.
Table 4.
Keywords analysis.
The top-ranked item by centrality is “supply chain” in Cluster 0, with a centrality of 0.18. The second one is “supply chain resilience” in Cluster 2, with a centrality of 0.13. The results of the clustering are shown in Table 4. In this paper, the result of the co-occurring keywords analysis is better than the co-occurring terms analysis, because the keywords are provided by authors, as the conclusion of the full text, are more representative.
Secondly, we find some burst keywords by using burst detection. The most active research terms may be determined via burst detection, which also reveals the terms that become more prevalent with time. In CiteSpace, Burst is a detection of a burst event, which can last for multiple years as well as a single year. It provides evidence that a term is associated with a surge of research, and this term has attracted an extraordinary degree of attention. The goal of burst keywords detection is to determine whether the appearance of a keyword increases sharply with reference to other keywords. For example, if the number of articles with the keyword “internet” in their titles or abstracts sharply increased between 2009 and 2012 at a much faster rate than other keywords, then this keyword is defined as a burst word. The top nine burst keywords are shown in Figure 6.
Figure 6.
Top keywords with strongest citation bursts.
3.2. Cooperation Analysis of Authors, Institutions, and Countries
CiteSpace can help us understand which authors, institutions, or countries are pivotal in the field of supply chain risk. The network of authors’ cooperation, institutions’ cooperation, and countries’ cooperation will be constructed, as follows.
Because the authors’ cooperation network does not form a whole structure, there is no point in computing the centrality of the authors. Therefore, we use the PageRank value to present the importance of authors instead. Google makes use of this algorithm in order to categorize webpages within their search results. It is a method for determining how significant a node is by providing an approximate estimate based on the quantity and quality of connections that go to a specific node. This approach measures the relevance of nodes. The underlying assumption is that more important websites are likely to receive more links from another node. From Figure 7 and Table 5, the top-ranked author item in twenty journals is Tsan-Ming Choi with 30 papers. The second one is Dmitry Ivanov.
Figure 7.
Authors cooperation network.
Table 5.
Authors cooperation analysis.
The institutions’ cooperation network is shown in Table 6 and Figure 8. Ordering by the numbers of published papers or PageRank, Hong Kong Polytech University, Michigan State University, and Penn State University occupy the top three slots.
Table 6.
Institutions cooperation analysis.
Figure 8.
Institutions cooperation network.
Then, we build the countries cooperation network. From Figure 9 and Table 7, the USA is first both in terms of quantity and centrality. China and England take up second and third place.
Figure 9.
Countries cooperation network.
Table 7.
Countries cooperation analysis.
4. Cited References Analysis
4.1. Co-Cited Reference Analysis
Our data include 57,451 references. Some valuable information is contained in references [27,28]. These references will be processed by CiteSpace. In the first step, the co-cited reference network is constructed in Figure 10.
Figure 10.
Co-cited reference network.
From Table 8, the top-ranked item by citation counts is the paper written by William Ho (2015) with a citation count of 100. It was published in the International Journal of Production Research. The second one is Christopher S. Tang (2006) with citation counts of 81. The third is Iris Heckmann, et al. (2015) with citation counts of 75. Next, all references will be clustered with CiteSpace, the results of which are shown in Figure 10. Because co-cited references could include most literature in the field of SCRM, the results of clustering are more decentralized. Secondly, we obtain different categories, the top 10 of which are shown in Figure 11 and Table 9.
Table 8.
Co-cited reference analysis.
Figure 11.
Cluster of Co-cited reference network.
Table 9.
Result of cluster.
The largest cluster, 0, has 117 papers with a silhouette value of 0.870. It is named “empirical study” by the LLR algorithm. In this cluster, the major citing article is Ghadge, A (2012), Supply chain risk management: present and future scope. The second one has 97 papers with a silhouette value of 0.919. It is labeled as disruption risk, and Dolgui, A (2020) is the major citing article.
Finally, we obtain the citation burst, which is a detection of the sustainability of citation. For example, from Figure 12, we can tell that Kleindorfer and Saad (2005) have the strongest bursts among articles published between 2005 and 2013. It is also interesting to note that Hendricks KB (2005) has the second strongest citation burst from 2005 to 2013.
Figure 12.
Top 20 references with strongest citation bursts.
4.2. Co-Cited Author Analysis
This analysis of the co-cited author is the same as the authors’ cooperation analysis. The relations of authors are connected (as shown in Figure 13).
Figure 13.
Co-cited author network.
From Table 10, some important authors in references are identified. Tang CS, Chopra S, Cachon GP, Lee HL, and Christopher M are key scholars with a high number of citations. Moreover, the category of each author is also acquired. Tang CS and Chopra S belong to the direction of supply chain risk management. In Figure 14, the distribution of these authors is shown. It is obvious that three directions in supply chain risk, “supply chain resilience”, “trust”, and “supply chain finance”, have received increased attention.
Table 10.
Co-cited author analysis.
Figure 14.
The distribution of authors.
4.3. Co-Cited Journal Analysis
In this section, some journals about SCRM will be identified. The results are shown in Figure 15 and Table 11.
Figure 15.
Co-cited journal network.
Table 11.
Co-cited journal analysis.
In Table 11, the top-ranked item by citation counts is International Journal of Production Economics, with citation counts of 1207. The top-ranked item by centrality is Management Science with a centrality of 0.22. From this network, we can learn which journals are more valuable in this field.
5. Topics Evolution
The processing result of terms by CiteSpace is rough and unclear. Moreover, those networks are constructed based on co-words, and clustering is processed by the algorithm of spectral clustering. Considering this, topic development needs to find more relationships in word and word, topic and topic, year and year. Topic modeling is a better technology for extracting and clustering topics. It is a generative probabilistic model for collections text corpora. LDA is a classical topic model. This technology is a three-level hierarchical Bayesian model, and it models each item in a collection as a finite mixture over an underlying set of topics. After that, every topic is modeled as an infinite mixture placed over an underlying collection of topic probabilities [26]. This section will study the emerging trends and new developments in supply chain risk. It is of great significance to study the topic further.
Firstly, perplexity is used to determine the most optimal number of topics. The most appropriate number in this study is 25 (as shown in Figure 16). Secondly, the data from 2000 to 2022, which only include title, abstract, and keywords, are processed by LDA technology. Topic words are shown in Table 12. Considering each topic includes a list of words, it is difficult to retrieve the meaning of topics. Therefore, we will conceptualize the words of each topic with Google Scholar and the Microsoft Concept Tagging model [29]. Google Scholar can rearrange these terms and retrieve relevant research, whereas the Microsoft Concept Tagging model seeks to map typographic entities into semantic concept categories with some probabilities, which may rely on the context texts of the things.
Figure 16.
The most optimal numbers.
Table 12.
Topics from 2000 to 2022.
In the next step, we will observe the evolution of 25 topics from 2000 to 2022, as shown in the heatmap in Figure 17 and Table 13.
Figure 17.
Evolution of 25 topics in supply chain risk.
Table 13.
Distribution value of each topic.
Furthermore, the distribution values of each topic every year are also calculated by LDA, with the results shown in Table 14. Emerging trends and new developments in these topics can be found in Table 14. It is obvious that the variation tendency of some topics could be learned from Figure 14 and Figure 17. For all topics, topics 19, 20, 21, and 22 attracted the attention of a large number of studies in the past. Moreover, topics 20, 21 and 22 are still studied as of recently, but topic 22 has been decreasing recently. Conversely, topics 1, 3, 4, and 24 are attracting more and more attention, and thus it is worthy to focus on these topics in the future. Moreover, we should note that some topics, such as 15, 16, and 23, have seen little research over the last five years, which indicates further work on these topics requires a tremendous breakthrough.
Table 14.
Topics of different periods.
Finally, we define four years as a research period. The time dimension is divided into four stages, from 2000 to 2006, 2007 to 2011, 2012 to 2016, and 2017 to 2022. All the literature from twenty journals is divided into four sections by publication date. The same technology is used to extract 20 topics of different periods, as shown in the top five words in Table 14 Then, the similarity of topics between two adjacent stages is measured by the method of computing sentence similarity. It is clear that topic 15 in stage 2 originates in topic 1 in stage 1, and evolves into topic 3 in stage 3 and topic 17 in stage 4. Topic 5 in stage 1 is divided into topics 7, 16, and 18 in stage 2, and further into topics 1, 2, 6, 14, 17, and 19 in stage 3.
6. Conclusions and Future Work
6.1. Conclusions
This paper introduces the intellectual structure of supply chain risk from 2000 to 2022. Firstly, terms, keywords, authors, institutions, and countries from twenty journals are analyzed respectively based on CiteSpace. Valuable information is acquired, such as core terms, key authors, important institutions, and so on. Secondly, all cited references are extracted, and the analysis of co-cited references, co-cited authors, and co-cited journals is extremely significant in this field. We obtain the clustering of references, cooperation relations of authors, and journals with high centrality. From the above research, it is easy to learn the whole structure of supply chain risk. Finally, emerging trends and new developments in this field are presented by LDA technology and the Microsoft Concept Tagging model. We find some interesting variations of different topics. It is of help to understand the development tendency of research. Our next step will focus on the integration and separation of different topics in this field.
6.2. Managerial Implication
The contributions of this paper are twofold. First, we have reviewed the most recent literature on SCRM and presented the evolution of the topic in the field. Second, we have proposed a research framework to understand the intellectual structure of SCRM research based on text mining technology, as displayed in Figure 1. This framework can be easily adapted to other research fields.
The study results indicate that the literature review can be made more objective and hopefully also more accurate. We explore the possibility to objectively review literature with the support of text mining technology. By observing the core terms, important keywords, the clustering of references, the cooperation relations of authors, and journals with high citations, we can acquire the knowledge structure, differences in the importance of terms or authors, and relationship network among terms or authors. These results can help readers understand the overall structure, breakdown areas and current hot spots of a certain field. Moreover, it is believed that the objectivity and authenticity of research conclusions are directly related to the quantity and accuracy of text information.
To further understand the development and evolution of topics in a certain field, we develop an approach to evaluate topic evolution. By applying crawling technology, computing perplexity, LDA technology, and a text similarity algorithm, we acquire the topics automatically and conceptualize each topic using topic words and the top three papers within each topic. Additionally, emerging trends and new developments in this field are presented by LDA technology. This approach can reveal some variation in a certain field; take the research results of the SCRM field as an example: (1) empirical studies and reviews are very representative topics, especially in the early period of the field; (2) quantitative modeling, system perspective, and supply side risks are among the interesting topics; (3) ordering behavior, absorptive capacity, social sustainability, and organization issues are less explored yet represent new trends in the field. Compared with the clustering results of terms or authors, the topic analysis generated by LDA technology could generate further insights into the field, such as content explanation and topic evolution. This study also indicates the possibility of applying text mining when reviewing the literature. The study results are generated by newly developed text mining technology, which can process a large number of texts in other fields.
6.3. Future Work
Nevertheless, the framework and technology of text mining still need to be further developed for bibliometric analysis. For instance, we observe that data quality is very important for LDA analysis of full texts to obtain focused topics. Even in our study, when there are relatively fewer data available (such as in stage 1 of Table 14), several topics present the same topic content. Improving raw data quality and merging similar topics still require the development of new algorithms. In addition, when conceptualizing the topics, content analysis is again used, which reintroduces subjective judgment to some extent. Thus, this approach requires new methods to construct the relationships between topics words and topics in an objective manner.
Author Contributions
Methodology, S.G.; Writing—original draft, X.L.; Writing—review & editing, Y.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This work is supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China [72001215] and funding from Chongqing Key Laboratory of Social Economics and Applied Statistics [KFJJ2019099].
Data Availability Statement
The data presented in this study are available on request from the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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