Seeking the Optimal Dimension of Local Administrative Units: A Reflection on Urban Concentration and Changes in Municipal Size
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Literature
3. Methodology
3.1. Study Area
3.2. Logical Framework
3.3. Data Sources and Elementary Variables
3.4. Statistical Analysis
4. Results
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Year | Number of Municipalities | Municipal Size (km2) | Population (Inhabitants) | Population Density (Inhabitants/km2) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Median | CV | Median | CV | Median | CV | ||
1928 | 96 | 13.4 | 1.5 | 1313 | 4.5 | 57 | 2.9 |
1940 | 103 | 12.0 | 1.6 | 2231 | 4.1 | 140 | 2.2 |
1951 | 105 | 10.7 | 1.6 | 3305 | 4.0 | 214 | 2.0 |
1961 | 109 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 5503 | 3.4 | 331 | 1.7 |
1971 | 112 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 7812 | 3.4 | 544 | 1.5 |
1981 | 115 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 10,100 | 2.9 | 637 | 1.4 |
1991 | 115 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 12,023 | 2.5 | 1235 | 1.3 |
2001 | 115 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 13,921 | 2.3 | 1401 | 1.3 |
2011 | 115 | 9.5 | 1.6 | 16,002 | 2.0 | 1717 | 1.2 |
2012 | 59 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 46,897 | 1.3 | 6072 | 0.9 |
2021 | 59 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 46,782 | 1.3 | 6011 | 0.9 |
Year | Absolute Population | Population Density | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pearson | Spearman | Kendall | Pearson | Spearman | Kendall | |
1928 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.13 | −0.59 * | −0.54 * | −0.37 * |
1940 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | −0.66 * | −0.66 * | −0.46 * |
1951 | −0.09 | −0.12 | −0.06 | −0.69 * | −0.71 * | −0.50 * |
1961 | −0.20 | −0.20 | −0.11 | −0.73 * | −0.69 * | −0.49 * |
1971 | −0.25 | −0.22 | −0.11 | −0.73 * | −0.69 * | −0.48 * |
1981 | −0.26 | −0.22 | −0.12 | −0.75 * | −0.69 * | −0.48 * |
1991 | −0.22 | −0.21 | −0.11 | −0.75 * | −0.73 * | −0.51 * |
2001 | −0.20 | −0.17 | −0.09 | −0.77 * | −0.74 * | −0.53 * |
2011 | −0.19 | −0.16 | −0.08 | −0.77 * | −0.74 * | −0.52 * |
2012 | −0.25 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.94 * | −0.85 * | −0.71 * |
2021 | −0.26 | −0.23 | −0.14 | −0.95 * | −0.86 * | −0.71 * |
Year | Intercept | Slope | Slope/Intercept | Adjusted R2 | df | Durbin–Watson |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1928 | 1.83(0.13) | −0.34(0.06) | −0.18 | 0.25 * | 1;94 | 1.62 |
1940 | 2.06(0.13) | −0.41(0.05) | −0.20 | 0.37 ** | 1;101 | 1.63 |
1951 | 2.14(0.12) | −0.42(0.04) | −0.20 | 0.46 ** | 1;103 | 1.63 |
1961 | 2.12(0.11) | −0.40(0.04) | −0.19 | 0.46 ** | 1;107 | 1.57 |
1971 | 2.14(0.11) | −0.39(0.04) | −0.18 | 0.47 ** | 1;110 | 1.52 |
1981 | 2.22(0.12) | −0.40(0.04) | −0.18 | 0.48 ** | 1;113 | 1.50 |
1991 | 2.42(0.12) | −0.45(0.04) | −0.19 | 0.53 ** | 1;113 | 1.61 |
2001 | 2.56(0.13) | −0.49(0.04) | −0.19 | 0.55 ** | 1;113 | 1.66 |
2011 | 2.60(0.13) | −0.49(0.04) | −0.19 | 0.56 ** | 1;113 | 1.70 |
2012 | 3.98(0.14) | −0.79(0.04) | −0.20 | 0.87 ** | 1;57 | 1.70 |
2021 | 3.97(0.13) | −0.78(0.04) | −0.20 | 0.88 ** | 1;57 | 1.71 |
Specification (Polynomial Order) | 1951 | 2011 |
---|---|---|
2 (quadratic) vs. 1 (linear) | 5.1 | 0.2 |
3 (cubic) vs. 2 (quadratic) | 4.4 | 1.4 |
4 vs. 3 (cubic) | 0.2 | 1.6 |
5 vs. 4 | 3.6 | 0.5 |
6 vs. 5 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
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Bartolacci, F.; Salvia, R.; Quaranta, G.; Salvati, L. Seeking the Optimal Dimension of Local Administrative Units: A Reflection on Urban Concentration and Changes in Municipal Size. Sustainability 2022, 14, 15240. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142215240
Bartolacci F, Salvia R, Quaranta G, Salvati L. Seeking the Optimal Dimension of Local Administrative Units: A Reflection on Urban Concentration and Changes in Municipal Size. Sustainability. 2022; 14(22):15240. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142215240
Chicago/Turabian StyleBartolacci, Francesca, Rosanna Salvia, Giovanni Quaranta, and Luca Salvati. 2022. "Seeking the Optimal Dimension of Local Administrative Units: A Reflection on Urban Concentration and Changes in Municipal Size" Sustainability 14, no. 22: 15240. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142215240
APA StyleBartolacci, F., Salvia, R., Quaranta, G., & Salvati, L. (2022). Seeking the Optimal Dimension of Local Administrative Units: A Reflection on Urban Concentration and Changes in Municipal Size. Sustainability, 14(22), 15240. https://doi.org/10.3390/su142215240