3.1. Milan–Cortina 2026: The First Olympic Region
The Winter Olympics are considerably smaller when compared to the Summer Olympic Games. In Pyeongchang 2018, 2833 athletes participated and there were 13,751 accredited members of the media. The volunteer workforce accounted for 22,400, a number that, when compared to the usual 70,000 volunteers for the Summer Games, is representative of the size difference between the events [
50]. However, mobility planning at the Winter Games is subject to additional challenges, as accesses to isolated mountain areas are difficult, adverse weather conditions might occur, and because mountain localities have relatively small populations and fewer resources, sustainable legacies are harder to guarantee [
7].
Milan and Cortina will be the hosts of the 2026 Winter Olympic Games. However, while the marketing name “Milan–Cortina 2026” suggests a cohosting of two cities, the venue masterplan includes four clusters of competition venues (Milan, Cortina, Val di Fiemme, and Valtellina), as well as two stand-alone competition sites (in Antholz and Baselga di Pinè), and the cities of Verona and Venice functioning as transport hubs in between clusters, with the former also being the host of the closing ceremony. Thus, the Italian candidature builds on a partnership within the Northern Italy city-region, supported by the administrative regions of Lombardy and Veneto and the two Autonomous Provinces of Trento and Bolzano/Bozen (
Figure 3), with clusters distancing up to more than 400 km by car and with a travel time of four to five hours [
51].
This spatial distribution, which can be considered both as a consequence of Olympic Agenda 2020 and the subsequent New Norm—allowing the sprawl of Olympic venues through several cities—and a political mediation to distribute consensus, does not rely on a specific spatial vision. However, it resembles a polycentric urban region with a strong dependency on a core city such as Milan, and definitely requires a strong mobility plan. Aiming at using the maximum number of existing or temporary venues to facilitate the delivery of sustainable legacies, three of the 14 competition venues are temporary, and only one previously planned permanent construction is to be carried, in the area of Santa Giulia, Milan [
52]. The other competition venues, as well as the accommodation and transport solutions, foster the use and reuse of already existing or already planned facilities and infrastructure.
The two main international gateways will be the international airports of Milano Malpensa and Venezia Marco Polo. Additionally, the international airports of Milano Linate, Bergamo Orio al Serio, Verona, and Treviso, spread across the north of Italy, or the neighboring airports of Innsbruck and Munich, are also possible gateways to the Games area. The airport in Milan is the second largest airport in Italy and is currently underutilized, thus having enough spare capacity to accommodate additional demand. The airport in Venice, the third largest in Italy, has undergone recent improvements due to its yearly traffic growing rate of 6%, and expecting more improvements as part of its 2022–2035 master plan. A 3.5 km rail line connecting it with the city’s main station and to high-speed rail is also to be built, denoting the concerns for the improvement of intermodality in such a regionally spread Olympic host. Interesting to note is that the Games have accelerated a planned intervention in a city with no competition venues, with a distance of more than 150 km by car to the closest venue cluster.
It is expected that 55% of spectators will arrive from local and domestic areas, mostly by train, while 22% are expected at the two official gateway airports. The remaining 23% are expected to come from neighboring countries, arriving mostly by train or car. Milan is the national hub for high-speed rail, connecting the country to Switzerland, France, Spain, and Germany. The city has also a dense road network, with accesses to six motorways linking to other Italian regions and European neighbors, providing very high levels of reliability, safety, and security. Mountain clusters are provided with important motorway links—e.g., between Valtellina and Switzerland or Brenner and Cortina/Val di Femme—easily accessible from the two main airports via rail or road.
The spatial dispersion of venues will result in a widespread distribution of demand, which is estimated to be of 90,000 spectators per day, with a peak day demand of 130,000. Distributed by the four clusters, additional demand is not expected to cause much disturbance to ordinary traffic, being easily managed by the Milan transport system and by the permanent and temporary service improvements in the mountain clusters. Nonetheless, traffic restrictions are planned, and extraordinary public transport services will be created to compensate affected residents on mountain clusters. In the case of Milan, investment has already been made in introducing a congestion charge to reduce road traffic in the city center.
Between clusters, the train will be the preferred mode of transport, and the Games delivery will highly rely on the intermodal ‘high-speed backbone’ between Milan and Venice, via Verona, compounding road, rail, and air links. Verona will serve as a transport hub to access the Val di Fiemme cluster. Mobility between the Milan–Venice linear city and the Alp valleys will also be strengthened through road interventions.
Table 2 summarizes the planned transport infrastructure interventions to be carried out, where some upgrades in the north–south regional rail and road links can also be noted.
Olympic Villages are planned in three clusters, and the remaining athletes will stay in existing hotels, thus guaranteeing the 30 min travel time between accommodation and competition sites. Bus shuttles for athletes and NOCs will be delivered, as well as dedicated routes for the Olympic Family and the general public. Accesses to park-and-ride facilities will be created in all clusters and will be free of charge for Games stakeholders. Parking at venues will not be allowed, as 100% use of public transport by spectators is expected. Public transport will operate 24 h per day between key venues and will be free for the Games stakeholders and ticketed spectators—something that is already practiced in the mountain clusters for skiers. Transport and venue concepts will be designed to promote the use of soft modes to access venues, creating opportunities to experience the city centers’ pedestrian routes.
In such a spatially widespread event, the transport operations have to be carefully coordinated. At the national level, the overall coordination falls in the responsibility of the Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport, which supervises the infrastructure improvement and operation of public transport and organization, in close relation with many operators, entities, and public authorities. At the regional level, public transport systems are managed by the two regions of Lombardy and Veneto and the two autonomous provinces of Trento and Bolzano/Bozen. Local responsibilities are within the municipal level of governance. An Olympic Transport Steering Group will act as a consultative body, coordinating all entities, authorities, organizations, departments, and agencies at the regional level, and reporting to the Ministry. At the delivery stage, within the OCOG Transport department, a Transport and Traffic coordination center will be created to manage transport and to coordinate with other OCOG functional areas and the main operation center. This center will be based in the existing control center in Milan, coordinating with three satellite centers in each of the clusters, and will benefit from temporary expansions.
Information systems in real-time are already implemented by operators, and motorways are equipped with variable message signs. In Milan, to inform users of modal choice and travel time and cost, a service platform for integrated mobility will be developed, encompassing the local public transport network, rail transport, and car- and bike-sharing services. In Cortina, the FIS Alpine Ski World Championships Cortina 2021 served as a test event for the new ‘Smart Mobility Cortina 2021′ project, which, after the Games, will be put in service of the local population. Resorting to users’ information and communication systems, this technology integrates smart road technology to monitor infrastructure and environmental conditions to improve connectivity of people, vehicles, objects and infrastructure for safer, more comfortable, and more informed travelling. Additionally, contactless technology for ticketing systems will be implemented in all areas.
The 2026 Winter Olympics will also focus on the delivery of environmentally sustainable mobility, with the development of electric energy use:
“By 2026, 50% of the bus fleet will be made up of electric vehicles, 25% hybrids, and the remaining diesel Euro 6. By 2030, the bus fleet in the Milano area will be 100% electric. (…) Our Generation 2026 ambitions are that all children born after 2010 will: (…) use sustainable means of transportation only” [
49] (pp. 61, 65). It is also planned to use 5G technology to link the Olympic Village with other venues in Milan by electric driverless vehicles.
According to the candidature files, all permanent actions to be carried were planned prior to the Games and are in line with the long-term plans of the involved cities and regions. They contribute to improving the proximity between the Lombardy and Veneto regions in order to develop a smart, competitive, and well-connected region for future generations. Many of these improvements are part of the 2018–2023 Regional Development Program for Lombardy, which aims at promoting intermodality and accessibility to stations, strengthening integration between road and rail modes and their technical services, upgrading railway infrastructure and rolling stock, and improving the integrated pricing system and smart ticketing. Milan, in particular, shares a vision of reducing the city’s motorization rate and plans to shift to a barrier-free, fully accessible city. In this regard, the city will take the opportunity of the Games to continue the implementation of measures initiated for the Milano World Expo 2015.
3.2. The Mobility Problem in Olympic Regions
Based on the planning for Milan–Cortina 2026, as well as on the events currently surrounding its preparation process, the effects of expanding spatial scales of Olympic hosts on the different knowledge dimensions of the mobility problem are theoretically explored in this section. As with any qualitative exploratory research, this case is solely used to generate a formal hypothesis for a problem that is not yet clearly defined. Thus, it helps to understand the problematic, but does not provide conclusive results supported by evidence.
The effects in each dimension are presented individually, but it is important to keep in mind that they are intrinsically related and share synergies (e.g., preparation time depends on scale; modes depend on scale and stakeholders; actions depend on legacy plans and edition specificity; legacies depend on pairs of action–reaction, etc.).
3.2.1. Time: Compromising Timely Deliveries of Large Transport Infrastructure Works
In the Milan–Cortina case study, integration and connectivity between host cities shows as essential. To ensure a certain level of service in a spatially distributed Olympic network, large transport infrastructure works through long links might be required, implying longer construction times. This complexifies the preparations on the planning stage, as it is well known that transport infrastructure works are prone to delays. Moreover, with nonextendable deadlines, the Olympic Games are always subject to delays that significantly contribute to cost overruns [
5,
53,
54]. As with any other mega-event, the 2026 Winter Olympics risk becoming an urgency and overpassing the usual processes of planning to guarantee completion on time (as previous mega-events in Italy, from Turin 2006 to Milan 2015).
Thus, the move towards an Olympic region might imply adaptations of the Olympic cycle to ensure that preparation times are enough to complete the planned projects without incurring extra costs. That can be achieved by rescheduling interventions to earlier periods or by expanding the duration of its planning stage. In this regard, the flexibility of the new candidature process introduced by Olympic Agenda 2020, if effectively implemented, might prove efficient to avert these potential situations.
3.2.2. Editions: Governance, (In)Equality, and Diversity Posing Opportunities and Threats
Each country has its own national attributes. However, each region, city, or neighborhood presents unique particularities, characteristics, and lifestyles, and have unique resources and needs. In the context of urban projects, the larger the territory and population, the more complex becomes the comprehensive planning, as each place requires specific implementation measures that planners have to consider and be aware of (as is definitely the case of Milan and Cortina).
The Olympic Games undoubtedly constitute a problem of governance, defined by a set of actors, networks, and policy spaces and instruments, in which urban governance is included [
14,
30]. To ensure a good governance system in an Olympic region, hierarchization and cooperation between actors require particular attention, as the number of involved parties increases and coordination between all becomes more difficult, and susceptible to conflicts and organizational chaos. On the other hand, a larger network of actors might provide opportunities for strengthening interrelationships and territory cohesion. In this regard, the Milan–Cortina candidature seems to have built a strong governance plan, contrary to the runner-up candidature of Stockholm–Åre 2026, which did not seem to have even considered the potential governance opportunities and threats [
55]. However, for involving a large number of different entities, the difference between planning and implementing is evident in the case study of Milan–Cortina: while the candidature files pay a lot of attention to governance concerns, specifically referring the strengthening of partnerships within the macroregion as one of its main objectives, the implementation of such structures in practice is proving to be complex and highly fragmented.
The involvement of more cities also requires higher amounts of physical and economic resources. Smaller cities usually have less capability for investment to cope with the event’s demanding requirements, presenting, at the same time, the greater needs for transport infrastructure and service improvement. Because outer-city transport improvements are more costly and their sustainability is harder to guarantee, that can be particularly relevant for cases of Olympic regions. Although at a different spatial scale, the underutilization of the Sydney 2000 rail loop—connecting the city center with the Olympic Park in the suburbs—serves as an illustrative example. Furthermore, when contrasting the reality of smaller cities with globalization strategies pursued by other larger ones, disparities might become evident in terms of resource allocation equity (for example, ‘global’ Milan vs. ‘local’ Cortina). On the other hand, increased cooperation between different-sized hosts potentially boosts smaller cities’ development, which can benefit from strengthened interrelationships.
The larger the host territory, the more increased its diversity. In this context, diversity includes not only the cultural, social, and territorial characteristics of cities that contribute to marketing and city-branding purposes, but also the availability of diversified and specialized physical resources, namely the key Olympic venues. That is particularly evident in the case study of Milan–Cortina, as the organizers seem to have efficiently designed a venue masterplan that makes maximum use of the regional existing sports and transport facilities. However, the project lacks a clear macroregional vision, resembling more of a collection of existing projects, each with its own objectives.
It is still to be seen how Olympic sprawl will influence event characteristics. Event organizers can be tempted to enlarge the Olympic Programme, given the higher availability of quality sports venues, thus complexifying the mobility problem. Furthermore, larger territories are subject to more unpredictable risks and external occurrences.
3.2.3. Scales: Multi-Scaled Scattered Demand Destressing Infrastructure Capacity and Pressuring Service Efficiency
In general, the larger the host territory, the more dispersed the demand through the network, and the higher the offer of transport alternatives. For example, the Milan–Cortina transport concept provides numerous gateways for international stakeholders to enter or exit the country, exempting existing airports from undergoing expansions to cope with the additional (yet dispersed) demand. Long-distance transport is vital for the success of events hosted in large territories, as stakeholders might take several hours to travel between cities. At the interurban (or national) scale, the mobility problem at the Olympic Games becomes similar to the mobility problem at other sports mega-events, such as the FIFA World Cup or the UEFA European Championship, where connectivity between relatively distant cities is fundamental [
34]. In the Milan–Cortina case study, the relevance of interurban transport is clearly perceived by the emphasis that planning puts in the combined system performance of the intermodal ‘high-speed backbone’ between Milan and Venice, together with other local infrastructure works for reducing travel times and improving service and comfort when travelling between host cities.
The dispersion of demand through the various host cities results in destress of intra-urban transport services in each of them. For Milan, while expansions and improvements on the subway and tram networks are to be carried, the candidature files many times refer to the fact that the existing transport system of the city is more than capable of handling the expected demand [
49] (for example, p. 88). However, that is not the case for the smaller cities of Cortina, Bormio, or Livigno, where significant permanent and temporary measures will need to be implemented to improve mountain access and ensure proper intraurban mobility during the event (underlining the significance of disparities between different-sized host cities—see
Section 3.2.2). Finally, unless venue masterplans of Olympic regions become less dependent on the agglomeration of facilities—such as Olympic Parks–at the venue scale, time- and place-specific peak demands will continue to exist, being defined by event schedules and venue capacities.
3.2.4. Modes: Highlighting the Relevance of Railway Transport and Intermodality
Each mode of transport has its particular purpose and relevance at each specific scale and for each type of stakeholder. In Olympic regions, that is not expected to change, but since interurban transport becomes fundamental in mobility concepts, railway transport (and namely, intercity high-speed trains) is expected to play an increasingly important role. Intermodality enhancement is also likely to become structural to the mobility visions of hosts. Together with the expected modal shift associated with them, both these observations can be deduced from the Milan–Cortina mobility concept. These changes are all in line with the new sustainable mobility concepts of contemporary urban regions. However—and also deducing from the Milan–Cortina case study–relatively distant venue clusters might encourage air travel, bringing new environmental challenges for mobility planners.
3.2.5. Demand Stakeholders: Impacting More Residents, Requiring More Personnel, and Potentially Attracting More Visitors
The number of residents affected and involved in the hosting of the Olympic Games is considerably higher in the Olympic region when compared to only one of the cities. However, given the dispersion of the event demand, the likelihood of affecting the daily routines of residents and workers is lower. In the case of Milan–Cortina 2026, more than 20 million inhabitants reside within two hours from the proposed Olympic areas. The candidature mentions that, in general,
“there will be no disturbance to ordinary traffic” [
49] (p. 76), but for the particular case of mountain clusters, planners expect to implement/enhance
“a complementary compensatory public transport system for local residents, who might be impacted by road restrictions” [
49] (p. 87). Once again, this highlights the disparities between different-sized host cities (see
Section 3.2.2).
Scattered Olympic venues, namely non-competition facilities and infrastructure, are naturally expected to influence the number of event stakeholders, even if the size of the Olympic Family is kept unchanged. Notably, fewer opportunities for economies of scale in many activities can increase the number of, for example, accredited media, logistics, workforce, and volunteers. In addition, involving several cities increases the supply for activities of nonaccredited and non-ticketed visitors, such as tourist visitors, spectators attending live event sites, or media searching for Olympic content. Although it cannot be taken for granted, it is possible that the number of these visitors will also increase, depending on the promotion of such activities through the coordination of multiple factors and policies (e.g., efficient dimensions of event venues, accessibility to event venues and areas, as well as complementary cultural side events and policies by local institutions).
3.2.6. Actions: Same Strategies, Different Scales
The actions planned for the Milan–Cortina mobility concept do not differ much in nature from those presented in
Table 1. However, the scale at which some of them are to be implemented significantly changes. On the supply side, infrastructure and service improvement expand through long links, with actions aimed at reducing long-distance travel times and improving the quality of public transport. On the demand side, few concerns are put in rescheduling, rerouting, or reducing trips, as the additional event demand becomes spatially distributed throughout the network. The exception is in mountain sites, where access to remote areas is provided by lower-quality infrastructure. In these cases, temporary measures to reduce the trips of regular commuters are considered necessary to ensure the proper delivery of the event.
The involvement of several administrative regions and respective traffic control entities complexifies the control of the equilibrium between supply and demand, namely because of governance issues and coordination between centers (see
Section 3.2.2.). Furthermore, such coordination becomes particularly relevant for host regions, as multiple control centers exist, requiring integrated information and communication systems, an efficient distribution of roles and responsibilities and a well-structured hierarchy. In addition, improvements in intermodality become pivotal to promote modal shift from private to public transport, especially in trips with considerable travel times (medium and long-distance) where commuters tend to prefer the comfort and flexibility of private cars.
3.2.7. Reactions: More Options for Commuters, Less Control over Their Behaviors
Because the edition of Milan–Cortina is still in its planning stage, reactions to the planned actions are yet to be seen. However, as highlighted in
Section 3.2.4 and
Section 3.2.5, reactions are mostly expected to be noticed in the travel behavior of host and event commuters (especially at the interurban scale). They will result from the physical, institutional, and administrative changes in the public transport services aimed at improving connectivity between cities, reducing travel times, enhancing intermodality, and integrating information systems. However, given the wide range of possible origin/destination pairs and modal and route choices, segregation of flows might occur naturally, freeing commuters’ behaviors and complexifying forecasts.
3.2.8. Legacies: Aiming for Interconnectivity and Sustainability
Inferring from the Milan–Cortina case study, the prospective improvement of mobility at the interurban scale in Olympic regions, namely in the public transport system performance and intermodality, potentially enhances interconnectivity between host cities. The consequent expected modal shift for green modes of transport can also contribute to environmental enhancement, namely, for the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions, pollution and traffic congestion, but for that, mega-event planners need to find attractive solutions that permanently change commuters’ behaviors. However, in regard to legacy plans, the case study of Milan–Cortina remains uncertain, with many decisions scheduled only for 2022. Therefore, pros and cons of scattering venues for mobility and sustainability are still to be seen.
At last, as challenges and problems faced by Olympic regions become more diverse and edition-specific (see
Section 3.2.2), extrapolations from edition to edition will become harder to realize. Nonetheless, urban regions present similarities that allow for a confident implementation of strategies that proved efficient in the past, and thus, the IOC Transfer of Knowledge program is expected to remain vital for planners.
3.3. Urban Sustainability in Olympic Regions
In contemporary urban regions, a sustainable and efficient regional mobility system is essential to mitigate undesirable migration patterns and encourage desirable ones, mitigate social polarization, promote efficient use and exploitation of resources, spatial diversity, differentiation, specialization and equity, capture investment and external income, and improve territorial cohesion and inclusion. Furthermore, time travels have important implications in the well-functioning of urban regions, impacting energy use, air pollution, and urban sprawling, thus requiring cautious consideration (especially in the context of mega-events) [
56].
Driven by technological innovation in communication, transport, and accessibility, the growth of contemporary urban regions—with people moving to residential landscapes in the outskirts of cities—has also increased the scale of mobility flows [
43,
57]. These new centralities generate new flows of people, goods, and information, which are associated with new functions of leisure, productivity, and consumption—such as small industries, commerce, exhibition halls, hotels, restaurants, etc. [
58]. However, the imbalance between the distribution of jobs and housing, and the availability of transit facilities and infrastructure is prone to lead to unsustainable land consumption and severe problems of pollution and congestion, ultimately leading to a decline in quality of life and to environmental degradation, climate change, and global warming [
59]. Yet, studies have shown that low-density sprawl and polycentrism are more energy-efficient than centralized development [
60]. However, while expanded urban regions might naturally promote the use of public transport, policy making needs to efficiently contribute to such a purpose, creating mixed-use environments, with a balance of jobs and residents, retail areas close to office centers, and promoting sustainable modes of transport [
60,
61]. In the particular case of Olympic regions, mega-event planners need to consider such issues and strive to take advantage of the event to mitigate such problems, not only increasing the Games’ sustainability but also the sustainability of resulting legacies. In this regard, smart-city and technological innovations have proven to considerably alleviate urban traffic [
62], and thus, mega-event planners shall seek such innovations, possibly taking advantage of cooperation with other business partners (namely, the IOC technological partners).
The design of the venue masterplan for the Olympic Games also brings opportunities for the enhancement of urban mobility, as venues require good accessibility and functionality, and must be located in urban areas with good transport links (especially rail) [
6,
10]. In cases of Olympic regions, the role of public policy is to design a Games concept that adequately addresses the long-term development plans of the entire territory, potentially releasing funds for investment in needed transport infrastructure. When designing venue masterplans, mega-event planners must consider actions that promote sustainable mobility, such as mixed-used development, the choice of location for housing and facilities, as well as the proper design of public spaces [
43]. The choice of cities to take part in the Games concept must take into consideration the needs of those cities for better interconnectivity and territorial cohesion. Moreover, in order to take advantage, not only of existing sports and service facilities, but also of existing and planned transport infrastructure, venue location choice and transport planning must be carried simultaneously, focalizing investment in what is deemed necessary, and avoiding the design of mobility concepts that serve only venue master plans [
6].
To some degree, the case study of Milan–Cortina suggests that Olympic Agenda 2020 is being successfully implemented, namely, in ensuring that the actions carried for the Games are either temporary or act only as catalyzers of previously planned interventions, which, theoretically, facilitates the guarantee of sustainable legacies. Such success is also noticeable through the national public support of 83% in favor of the Italian candidature [
52], showing that the Agenda is contributing to the mitigation of public opposition. That is especially relevant in the context of the several bid withdrawals that occurred for the Summer and Winter Olympic Games of 2020, 2022, and 2024 due to public petitions, referendums, and lack of political support in host cities [
63], which included two bid withdrawals from another Italian city, Rome, for the Summer Games of 2020 and 2024. However, the alignment of investment with the host’s long-term plans is not sufficient to guarantee a sustainable legacy, as the strategies to implement such plans can negatively affect parts of the territory and population [
47]. In the particular case of Milan–Cortina, the difference in the allocation of resources is noticeable between Milan and Venice and the respective west-east connections, when compared to the south-north links that connect these larger cities with the smaller and more isolated cohosting mountain areas. Thus, venue location choice in Olympic regions has to be carefully regarded to equally spread and multiply the event benefits for all involved populations.
For the organizers of Milan–Cortina 2026, to promote
“sustainable development and cooperation in the macro-alpine region” is one of the five primary motivations for hosting the Olympic Games [
49] (p. 4). This aspect is particularly important as international institutions and organizations, such as the United Nations and the European Union, are pursuing policies to promote territorial cohesion and polycentricity of urban regions, in which sustainable mobility plays a primary role [
59,
64]. Furthermore, ‘region-branding’ strategies—instead of the usual city-branding—can prove to be one of the biggest advantages of Olympic regions, as media exposure can contribute to the global promotion of the territory as a whole. However, in this regard, the branding name “Milan–Cortina 2026” seems to be inadequate to promote the entire Alpine macroregion—contrary to the branding name of the German private initiative “Rhein–Ruhr 2032”, which aimed at hosting the 2032 Summer Games in 14 cities of the Rhein–Ruhr polycentric region.
Finally, increased travel times between Olympic clusters might compromise daily round trips for participants and spectators. In Milan–Cortina, stakeholders might have to stay overnight to experience all Olympic sites [
52]. Thus, it must be acknowledged that the move towards an Olympic region implies that mega-event planners must prepare the host’s transport network for an ‘Olympic Transport Relay’. Moreover, with that comes the additional challenge of guaranteeing that distances do not encourage the use of unsustainable modes of transport, such as air and private cars. It is important to recognize that the large number of travels performed by stakeholders generates environmental externalities, which are aggravated in Olympic regions where the need for mobility is higher. If not correctly tackled, these externalities might compromise the environmental sustainability of the event and of its legacy.