1. Introduction
The report of China’s 19th CPC National Congress made a clear judgment that their economy has shifted from a high-speed growth to a high-quality development stage, and it put forward the urgent requirement of improving total factor productivity [
1], indicating that promoting high-quality development in the new stage has become the main melody of China’s economic development. In the speech on Comprehensively Strengthening the Protection of Intellectual Property Rights, President Xi proposed that “Innovation is the driving force for high-quality development” [
2]. Hence promoting high-quality development by innovation will be an important core of China’s modernization construction in the new era. Since the publication of the planning outline of the national medium and long term science and technology development, China’s innovation has made great progress under the guidance of capital incentives of governments at all levels. By the end of 2020, the number of invention patents in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) has reached 2.213 million pieces, with an average of 15.8 pieces per 10,000 people [
3]. The 2021 Global Innovation Index Report released by the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) shows that China’s innovation index has risen to 12th place, ranking first in the world’s middle-income economy, achieving nine consecutive liters [
4]. Although China’s scientific and technological innovation ability has been continuously improved, and the investment of R&D personnel is the first and the investment of funds is the second in the world, it is undeniable that China still has the problem of low conversion rate in the transformation of scientific and technological innovation. Overall, the supporting capacity of scientific and technological innovation for China’s economic and social development is still insufficient, and the contribution rate to economic growth is far lower than that of developed countries. The weak ability of scientific and technological innovation has become the “Achilles heel” of China’s high-quality economic development [
5]. In this context, exploring the impact of innovation on high-quality development and evaluating the effectiveness of China’s innovation driven economic development mode transformation have obvious policy meaning and theoretical value.
To some extent, high-quality economic development is reflected in the continuous improvement of total factor productivity. Total factor productivity is both the purpose and means of high-quality economic development. Therefore, improving total factor productivity and realizing high-quality economic development are highly unified in essence [
6]. Total factor productivity is essentially a kind of resource allocation efficiency, and innovation can bring technological progress to improve the efficiency of resource allocation. Therefore, innovation can provide power to improve total factor productivity, that is, innovation can drive high-quality economic development. As a key subject of the market economy, enterprises should play the role of innovation subjects to improve the efficiency of the national economy and the transformation of economic development mode. In conclusion, effectively improving the total factor productivity of enterprises is the key to the high-quality development of China’s economy [
7], and it is also an important component to achieve the transformation goal of China’s innovation driven economic development mode.
There are abundant studies on the effect of innovation. For example, Hall et al. (2010) found that technological innovation helps to improve the productivity of enterprises [
8]; Jennifer et al. (2010) used the data of the United States, Japan and Europe and found that innovation helps to improve regional economic resilience [
9]; Josheski et al. (2011) found that there is a positive correlation between innovation level and economic growth in G7 countries [
10]; Bristow and Healy (2018) found that the stronger the innovation capacity, the stronger the European countries’ ability to resist the crisis and recover from the crisis [
11]. For the research of Chinese scholars, Li (2013) found that the improvement of technological innovation capacity will not only reduce local carbon emissions, but also have a positive spatial spillover effect on their neighboring regions [
12]; Lv and Li (2015) found that innovation can promote the high-quality development of China’s economy [
13]; Yuan (2016) found that innovation can promote the green development of China’s economy [
14]; Zhou et al. (2016) found that the improvement of innovation level has a significant positive impact on the enterprise’s performance [
15]; Liu et al. (2018) found that innovation has an energy-saving effect [
16]; Shi and Zhao (2018) found that technological innovation can promote the upgrading of industrial structure [
17]; Liu et al. (2020) found that the increasing innovation investment can improve the production efficiency of enterprises [
18]; Wu et al. (2021) found that innovation can significantly promote the total factor productivity of enterprises [
19]; Cheng and Jin (2022) found that the improvement of innovation ability can significantly enhance the resilience of urban economy [
20]; Ya et al. (2022) found that technological innovation has significantly promoted the decline of enterprise environmental costs [
21]; Chen and Wu (2022) found that innovation can also significantly improve the export tendency of enterprises [
22]. However, there are some problems. For example, most of these studies are carried out on the premise that innovation is high-quality innovation [
23], and their innovation indicators are mostly proxy variables of high-quality innovation. Therefore, it is biased to take the impact of high-quality innovation as the effect of overall innovation, and few studies have analyzed the innovation effect from the perspective of innovation quality. In recent years, the central government of China has been emphasizing the transformation of innovation activities from the pursuit of quantity to the improvement of quality, which reflects that the strong stimulation of China’s capital policy in the past has led to a certain of strategic and quantity oriented low-quality innovation. Due to the neglect of the impact of low-quality innovation, the conclusions of existing research may not fully reflect the real situation of the effect of innovation in China. In view of this, this paper establishes an econometric model to explore the impact of China’s innovation at the enterprise level. Meanwhile, this study also helps to answer the following research questions:
Does innovation always improve the total factor productivity and thus promote the high-quality development of enterprises?
Are there any essential differences in the impact of innovation of different quality?
Does innovation structure affect the overall performance of innovation?
The first question will be answered by the benchmark analysis along with the endogenous test and robustness test. The results of the mechanism test of this study can answer the second and the third question.
Compared with the existing research, the contribution of this paper is mainly in the following three aspects: first, through the theoretical model and empirical test, this paper jointly reveals the negative effect of low-quality innovation inhibiting the improvement of enterprise productivity, that is, we find out the root of the overall inhibitory effect of innovation in China. The results of this paper form an important supplement to the existing research and have some theoretical significance. Second, this paper not only explores the effect of innovation on enterprise productivity at the overall level, but also distinguishes the effect of different quality innovation on enterprise productivity at the level of innovation structure. It not only verifies the inhibition of low-quality innovation, but also identifies China’s current low-quality biased innovation structure. Hence it provides empirical evidence for the necessity of promoting the innovation structure shift to high-quality innovation. Third, this paper explores the structural problems of the effect of innovation on enterprise productivity and puts forward targeted countermeasures. Under the background of the effect of long-term structural factors and short-term cyclical factors, this study has important practical significance for promoting high-quality economic development and serving the construction of an innovative country.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows.
Section 2 is the literature review.
Section 3 provides the theoretical model and research hypotheses.
Section 4 introduces the research design, the sample selection and data source, model setting and variable definition.
Section 5 performs the empirical results and the analysis of these results.
Section 6 discusses the transmission mechanism, the heterogeneity tests, and so on.
Section 7 discusses how the findings of this study are comparable or in contrast to the findings of other relevant studies.
Section 8 gives the conclusions and insights of this study.
3. Theoretical Model and Research Hypothesis
With reference to the Schumpeter growth model of multiple sectors in Aghion and Howitt (1992) [
40] and Yi and Liu (2015) [
41], the production functions are set as follows:
where,
is the input of intermediate product
i,
is the productivity parameter, which measures the quality of intermediate products producing finished products. It can change with the category of intermediate products, and Y is the final output.
Due to the fierce competition among enterprises, when the innovation levels among enterprises are equal, there is no technology monopoly rent. When the innovation levels among enterprises are different, the innovative enterprises in the technology monopoly position can obtain excess profits in the competition. Referring to the research of Acemoglu et al. (2003) [
42], the balanced profit form of intermediate product enterprises can be expressed as:
Suppose that the productivity in period
t is
and it changes at a exogenous rate of
, namely:
When enterprises carry out high-quality innovation, ; when enterprises carry out low-quality innovation, .
Referring to the research of Aghion and Howitt (2009) [
43], it is assumed that enterprises carrying out high-quality innovation generally belong to the technological frontier department, and their productivity level is
, while enterprises carrying out low-quality innovation belong to the department whose technical level lags behind the frontier department, and their productivity is
.
Since innovation is not equivalent to real productivity, there is a probability
P for the transformation of innovation achievements:
where
is the productivity after the enterprise carries out high-quality innovation,
and
; when the enterprise carries out low-quality innovation, then
and
.
Further, it can be deduced that the R&D capital that enterprises need to invest in carrying out innovation activities is:
Among them, is the efficiency of the R&D department, and the elasticity is and . It is not difficult to understand that the innovation behavior of the enterprise will have an impact on the allocation of R&D capital. Therefore, can be regarded as a function of the enterprise’s innovation activity T, and when the enterprise carries out high-quality innovation and when the enterprise carries out low-quality innovation.
In addition to R&D expenses, enterprises also have to pay certain sunk costs to expand financing channels and deal with risks. Therefore, the total cost of enterprises carrying out innovation activities is as follows:
According to the research [
24], it can be judged that when enterprises carry out low-quality innovation in order to meet government supervision and seize policy preferences, the innovation investment of enterprises is difficult to form effective productivity, and only increases the sunk cost, so
. When an enterprise carries out substantive high-quality innovation activities, it will change the scientific and technological content of products and the proportion of technical elements, improve the efficiency of resource allocation, reduce the cost of enterprise financing and reduce the external risk of high-quality innovation, which will help to reduce the sunk cost of innovation activities, so
.
Under the equilibrium state, the final income of enterprises carrying out high-quality innovation and low-quality innovation activities can be expressed as:
Assuming that there are only these two enterprises in the market, the final income after they carry out innovation activities can be expressed as:
Because the innovation activities of enterprises are carried out under the principle of profit maximization, there exists the following formula:
Then, the probability of transformation of innovation achievements under equilibrium state can be obtained:
By further deducing the relationship between enterprise innovation behavior and the transformation probability of innovation achievements, the impact of innovation on enterprise productivity is identified as follows:
Obviously, when enterprises carry out high-quality innovation, due to , , so, , ; when enterprises carry out low-quality innovation, due to , , so, , ; if all enterprises in the market are regarded as a whole, there are both low-quality innovation and high-quality innovation, then and have some uncertainty, that is, and cannot be determined too.
The above results show that carrying out high-quality innovation can improve enterprise productivity, while carrying out low-quality innovation will inhibit the improvement of enterprise productivity, but it is uncertain whether the overall innovation level of all enterprises in the market will promote or inhibit the improvement of enterprise productivity. Based on the above analysis, this paper makes the following alternative assumptions:
Hypothesis 1 (H1). Innovation promotes the improvement of total factor productivity of enterprises overall and promotes the high-quality development of enterprises.
Hypothesis 2 (H2). Innovation inhibits the improvement of total factor productivity of enterprises overall and hinders the high-quality development of enterprises.
7. Discussion
The results of the empirical estimation show that innovation inhibits the improvement of total factor productivity of enterprises and hinders the high-quality development of enterprises overall. Therefore, the transformation of China’s economic development mode driven by innovation has not achieved actual results. Overall, we found that innovation has a restraining effect on the total factor productivity of enterprises. This finding is in contrast with previous studies on innovation promoting the productivity of enterprises (such as [
16,
19]). The possible reason is that these studies used a model specification and methodology different from the approach used in this paper and did not incorporate the impact of innovation structure. However, our results are also consistent with some previous findings. For example, the author of [
38] found that China’s domestic R&D did not play its due role in promoting the improvement of TFP and even hindered it. The author intuitively believes that the low intensity of basic research in China, combining with the policy of market for technology, led to this result. The author of [
39] found an innovation mystery in the process of China’s economic development: the investment in technological innovation continues to increase, but the growth of total factor productivity continues to decline. The author attributes the above findings to the fact that the change of the combination relationship of Government-Market in China has led to the intensification of the market distortion between different factors such as labor, capital and land. As the factor marketization is blocked, the mere increase of investment in technological innovation may not lead to the continuous improvement of TFP. The author of [
63] points out that the distortion of the factor market leads to the factor mismatch among enterprises, and this distorts the decision-making of enterprises’ innovation and withdrawal from the market. The factor mismatch effect is greater than the factor reset effect, and it offsets the factor reset effect of enterprise innovation, thus reducing the total factor productivity. These studies have analyzed the possible causes of relevant problems to some extent, but the impact of innovation structure may better explain such problems.
Another important result of this study is that the mismatch of resources caused by low-quality innovation causes a serious loss of production efficiency, eroding the promotion of high-quality innovation, so that innovation has a negative effect of inhibiting the improvement of total factor productivity overall. In a word, we found the inhibition effect of low-quality innovation and the promotion effect of high-quality innovation. This conclusion is logically consistent with some studies focusing on the effects of heterogeneous innovation. For example, the research of Ran and Zheng (2021) [
64] found that the increase in the number of patents has no significant impact on the high-quality development of regional economy, while the innovation ability represented by technological complexity can significantly promote the high-quality development of regional economy. Jiang and Wang (2015) [
65] found that in the comparison of different types of R&D activities, the effect of experimental development is the strongest, followed by basic research and finally applied research. Zhao et al. (2022) [
66] found that the transition from utilization innovation to exploratory innovation negatively affects enterprise failure, while the transition from exploratory innovation to utilization innovation has no significant impact on enterprise failure. Li and Zheng (2016) [
24] pointed out that invention patents, as the “high-quality” innovation achievements, can bring long-term benefits to enterprises, while the non-invention patents’ original purpose is to obtain other benefits, and itself does not increase the value of enterprises. The above studies have found that heterogeneous innovation has different effects, and our study also uses this logic to explore the internal reasons for the overall inhibitory effect of innovation in China.
In addition to the above findings, this study also explored the different performance of innovation’s inhibitory effect in different time, region and equity samples, mainly because they have different tendencies to carry out low-quality innovation. We found that in the early stage of the implementation of China’s innovation driven strategy, the inhibitory effect of innovation was strong. Tang et al. (2014) [
67] pointed out that in the early stage, China’s technological innovation knowledge accumulation was insufficient and the foundation of technological innovation was also weak, so they failed to promote the growth of total factor productivity. These reasons can partly explain our results. We found that the inhibition effect of enterprise innovation in eastern China is stronger than that in central and western China, which is consistent with Yan et al. (2021) [
68] who found that there are obvious regional differences in the pollution reduction effect of technological innovation in eastern, central and western China. We also found that the innovation inhibition effect of non-state-owned enterprises is stronger than that of state-owned enterprises, that is, non-state-owned enterprises are more inclined to carry out low-quality innovation, but this finding is in sharp contrast to what Li and Zheng (2016) [
24] found (when enterprises are stimulated by industrial policies, state-owned enterprises’ patent applications increase significantly than that of non-state-owned enterprises, especially for the increase of non-invention patents). They believe that the state-owned enterprises are to cater to policies and the government by carrying out strategic innovation, rather than to improve the “quality” of innovation. Non-state-owned enterprises face fierce market competition. In order to win in the market, they will pay attention to improving the “quality” of innovation and will not blindly innovate to cater to policies and obtain government’s support. However, on the contrary, we just believe that state-owned enterprises themselves are inextricably linked with the government, and they have no motivation to seek government’s support, while non-state-owned enterprises need to cater to policies and capture the government. After all, it is well known that “He who gets close to a good tree will have a good shade”. In addition, this study also found that high-quality innovation has a stronger effect on the promotion of executive compensation than low-quality innovation, and low-quality innovation is a kind of irrational and short-sighted behavior. Existing studies generally discuss the crowding out effect of executive compensation on enterprise innovation by explore the impact of executive compensation on enterprise innovation (such as Lu and Zhou (2022) [
69]). However, arguing the impact of innovation on executive compensation may effectively encourage the executives to carry out high-quality innovation on the practical level, which is of great practical significance.
8. Conclusions and Insights
At present, the basic contradictions of the society in China have changed, and the contradictions and problems in development are mainly reflected in the quality of development. Therefore, in the new era and new stage, China should still take promoting high-quality development as the theme. Innovation is the first driving force leading development, so adhering to innovation to promote high-quality development is the core of the overall situation of China’s modernization. Taking the A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen from 2013 to 2020 as the research object, this paper discusses the impact of innovation on high-quality development at the enterprise level, and also evaluates the effectiveness of the transformation of China’s innovation driven economic development mode. It concludes that the innovation has an inhibitory effect on enterprise’s total factor productivity, that is, innovation hinders the high-quality development of enterprises on the whole. This result also reflects that China’s innovation driven economic development mode transformation has not achieved actual effects, mainly because China is still in the dilemma of low-quality innovation occupying the dominant position of enterprise innovation. The mismatch of resources caused by low-quality innovation leads to a serious loss of production efficiency and erodes the promotion of high-quality innovation, so that innovation shows inhibition on the whole. This inhibitory effect of innovation is stronger in enterprises in the eastern region of China, non-state-owned enterprises and the early implementation of innovation driven strategy, which tend to engage in low-quality innovation. Further research also found that the promotion effect of high-quality innovation on executive compensation is stronger than low-quality innovation, and low-quality innovation is an irrational and short-sighted behavior.
This paper not only provides micro level incremental research evidence for the research about the impact of innovation on high-quality development, but it also evaluates the effectiveness of innovation driven economic development mode transformation. In addition, this paper also has some insights: first, the strong incentive of capital policies in the early stage lead to the proliferation of low-quality innovation, which shows that there are problems in our innovation management. Subsequent decisions should highlight the transformation orientation, establish the concept of quality first and understand that transformation can realize innovation value, forcing the optimization and improvement of innovation work; improve the assessment and evaluation mechanism, establish the management process of pre-evaluation, in-process monitoring and post-evaluation, reducing ineffective and low-quality innovation activities; optimize the innovation incentive policy, reduce and gradually cancel the subsidy and reward in the early stage of innovation activities, and improve the reward of transformation income distribution in the later stage of innovation; strengthen the construction of specialized institutions and talent teams, effectively improve the quality of scientific and technological innovation achievements, and promote the efficient transformation of innovation achievements into real productivity, so as to accelerate the high-quality development of the economy. Second, although the policy correction has reduced the number of low-quality innovation, the low-quality biased innovation structure has not changed, indicating that the increment of high-quality innovation is not enough, and it is difficult to form a good ecosystem of effective supply of high-quality innovation only relying on external regulation. After all, innovation depends on people to promote, and the effective supply of high-quality innovation depends on the entrepreneur as the innovation subject. Based on the “win-win” characteristics of high-quality innovation, we can stimulate the vitality of entrepreneurs as innovation explorers, organizers and leaders through more and more optimized equity incentive mechanisms, making them to carry out more and higher-quality innovation activities. This should speed up the innovation structural change of China by high-quality innovation and promote the continuous transformation of innovation achievements into real productivity, which in turn should realize the transformation and upgrade industrial structure and high-quality economic development.
This article also has the following shortcomings: First, enterprise total factor productivity can measure the high-quality development of enterprises to a certain extent, but it cannot cover the whole connotation of high-quality development of enterprises, which will be an important direction for the author to build a comprehensive index in the next step. Second, using the sample data of listed companies to assess the impact of innovation driven economic development mode transformation has limitations, because the results cannot fully reflect all the effects; after all, some unlisted small and medium enterprises accounted for more than 50% of the country’s tax revenue, more than 60% of GDP, more than 70% of the technical innovation and more than 80% of the labor employment, and their impact matters.