Choice Modelling of a Car Traveler towards Park-and-Ride Services in Putrajaya to Create Green Development
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Study Area
3. Park and Ride Service
4. Influencing Factors Mode Choice
5. Research Methods
Study Variables
6. Results and Discussion
- χ2 (chi-square test statistic): used with the df to compute the p-value of the overall model.
- df (degrees of freedom for the chi-square): refers to the number of values used to calculate a statistic; used with χ2 to compute the p-value.
- p (probability value): gives the probability of obtaining the observed results if the null hypothesis (no relationship between the independent variable(s) and dependent variable) is right.
- β (unstandardized beta): the slope of the predictor with the log-odds of the dependent variable.
- SE (standard error): how much the B is expected to vary.
- OR (odds ratio): gives the factor increase in the likelihood of the dependent variable occurring for every one-unit increase in the predictor; sometimes labelled in statistical output as Exponential (β).
- Dummy-code: performed to add a nominal or ordinal predictor variable into the regression model; turns the one variable into a series of dichotomous “yes/no variables. One for each category; one of the categories is left out of the regression as the reference group to which all other groups are compared.
- Nagelkerke R2: measures the goodness-of-fit of the model. It tends to be more conservative than R2 values utilised in linear regression models. McFadden R2 values of 0.2 or greater indicate an excellent model fit.
- Hosmer and Lemeshow Test: do not need results to be statistically significant, such as 0.05 or below that shows that model is a poor fit. If the value of the result is more than 0.05, it will reflect that model is a good fit.
6.1. Model 1
6.2. Model 2
6.3. Model 3
6.4. Model 4
6.5. Model 5
6.6. Model 6
6.7. Model 7
6.8. Model 8
6.9. Validation of Models
6.10. Training and Testing Approach for Final Model of Putrajaya
7. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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S. No. | Research |
---|---|
01. | Title: Predicting the Use of Public Transportation: A Case Study from Putrajaya, Malaysia Summary: To understand commuters’ choice to utilise public transport, a conceptual model has been created to decide the variables that influence them to utilise public transport as opposed to going in their vehicles. Different factors, such as; quality, environmental effect, attitude, and behavioural intentions were examined and tested through the structural equation model (SEM). More research in the future ought to be led to discover the effect of attributes concerning financial hindrances, for example, traffic congestion charges to urge individuals to utilise public transportation in Putrajaya [24]. |
02 | Title: Evaluating the Parking Demand at P&R Facility at Putrajaya Public Transportation Terminal Summary: This study analysed two types of parking usability; multi-story and surface parking at Putrajaya public transportation terminal. It is important to analyse the demand for P&R service to know the current usage of P&R facility as well as the travel behaviour of the parking users [25]. |
03 | Title: Awareness and level of usage for P&R facilities in Putrajaya, Malaysia Summary: This contextual investigation was to decide the travellers’ attention towards P&R service in Putrajaya, to evaluate the level of utilisation of P&R facilities at Putrajaya, and to recognise the nature of duty for P&R facilities at Putrajaya. Along with the improvement of amenities and bus services, more information about P&R services should be spread [21]. |
04 | Title: Users’ Perceptions on Parking Utilization Pattern at P&R Facility in Putrajaya Sentral Summary: This Research founds the users’ discernments on parking utilisation behaviour at Putrajaya Central P&R service. Surface parking services must be affordable for travellers, monthly parking tickets, parking charges, and smart card payment system and promotion must be introduced [29]. |
05 | Title: Prediction of Traveling Behaviour in Putrajaya, Malaysia Summary: In this study, the viability of P&R service at Putrajaya region was examined. This examination led to a decrease in the utilisation of private vehicles is to replace SOV users’ trips with different modes of transport. Such as a mix of a private vehicle and public transport called P&R service. Increasing parking charges at the workplace would decrease the usage of private vehicle users [19]. |
06 | Title: Effect of Transport Policies to Shifting Private Car Users to P&R in Putrajaya, Malaysia Summary: This research is to inspect the variables which have an impact on SOV users and presenting a few new approaches (dedicated bus lane and high parking price at the workplace) to switch towards P&R service in Putrajaya. The discoveries were examined time, and cost-saving is the relevant variables to impact SOV users to utilise P&R office. The behavioural sciences hypothesis in particular Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) will be utilised as a part of comprehension and distinguish the affecting variables to shifting private transport users to adopt P&R service [30]. |
07 | Title: Predicting the Impact of Demand-and Supply-Side Measures on Bus Ridership in Putrajaya, Malaysia Summary: This study portrays and discusses the techniques, results, and policy consequences of the research. Econometric estimation demonstrates that improvement in public transportation alone is an inadequate modal choice to accomplish the objective of a 70:30 modal split among public and private transportation [22]. |
Socio-Demographic | Environment | Trip | Transport | Quality | Attitude | Uncertainty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Specific Factors with Codes | ||||||
Gender | Harsh weather (HW) | Travel time per trip (TTPT) | Mode of travelling (MT) | Comfort preference (CP) | Personal status (PS) | Safety and security at P&R (SSP&R) |
Monthly Income (MI) | Drop kids (DK) | Frequency of Bus (FB) | Expensive parking at workplace (EPW) | Privacy | The threat of terrorism/violence (TTV) | |
Educational level (EL) | Drop family member (DF) | Improper location of P&R (ILP&R) | Car is convenient (CC) | The threat of robbery/snatching (TRS) | ||
Household size (HS) | Going shopping (GS) | |||||
Transport ownership (TO) | Travel directly (TD) | |||||
Job Nature (JN) | Travel expenses (TE) | |||||
Workplace Distance (WD) | ||||||
Effect of travel time (ETT) | ||||||
Trips per day (TPD) |
Socio-Demographic Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
Gender (Male) | 1.751 | 0.001 |
EL (Post. Sec:) | 0.937 | 0.036 |
JN (Private) | 0.953 | 0.040 |
HS (5–7) | 1.942 | 0.029 |
MI (2001–4000) | 1.789 | 0.013 |
MI (4001–6000) | 2.777 | 0.005 |
MI (>6000) | 2.984 | 0.002 |
TO (M. Bike) | −1.744 | 0.002 |
TO (Bike + Car) | −1.957 | 0.001 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.456 | |
Chi-Square | 25.116 | |
Log-likelihood | 25.116 | |
df | 08 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.001 |
Environment Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
HW (Yes) | −3.131 | 0.001 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.677 | |
Chi-Square | 0.109 | |
Log-likelihood | 195.52 | |
df | 03 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.991 |
Trip Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
DK (Neutral) | 2.994 | 0.005 |
DK (No) | 4.092 | 0.030 |
DF (Neutral) | 3.535 | 0.008 |
ETT (No) | 2.449 | 0.002 |
TPD (1) | 2.351 | 0.056 |
TT 11–20 min | 2.729 | 0.006 |
TT above 30 min | 4.534 | 0.005 |
TD (Yes) | 1.464 | 0.028 |
TE RM301–600 | 2.880 | 0.025 |
WD 10–15 Km | −3.440 | 0.000 |
WD 15–20 Km | −3.439 | 0.028 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.785 | |
Chi-Square | 14.504 | |
Log-likelihood | 142.853 | |
df | 8 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.070 |
Transport Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
MT (Bike) | 0.847 | 0.006 |
FB (15 min) | 1.063 | 0.003 |
ILP&R (Yes) | −2.591 | 0.000 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.305 | |
Chi-Square | 11.48 | |
Log-likelihood | 327.1 | |
df | 7 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.119 |
Quality Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
CP (AC bus with seat availability or easy standing) | 1.416 | 0.00 |
EPW (Safe & secure P&RS with nominal cost) | 1.374 | 0.04 |
Constant | −2.542 | 0.000 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.603 | |
Chi-Square | 8.298 | |
Log-likelihood | 226.5 | |
df | 7 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.307 |
Attitude Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
PS (Yes) | −2.6 | 0.000 |
Privacy (Yes) | −2.1 | 0.000 |
CC (Yes) | −1.5 | 0.005 |
Constant | 1.73 | 0.000 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.59 | |
Chi-Square | 88.851 | |
Log-likelihood | 229.3 | |
df | 02 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.00 |
Safety and Security Specific Factors | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
SSP&R (Yes, I would prefer it at any cost) | 1.465 | 0.020 |
TRS (Yes) | −2.091 | 0.003 |
TTV (Yes) | −1.892 | 0.002 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.409 | |
Chi-Square | 32.73 | |
Log-likelihood | 295.6 | |
df | 6 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.00 |
Final Model’s Variables | β | p-Value |
---|---|---|
EL (Post-Secondary) | 4.04 | 0.018 |
JN (Government Job) | 4.27 | 0.009 |
JN (Private Job) | 7.14 | 0.001 |
MI (2001–4000) | 6.33 | 0.027 |
MI (4001–6000) | 12.6 | 0.001 |
TPD (2) | −7.25 | 0.000 |
TPD (3) | −9.01 | 0.001 |
TTPT (11–20 min) | 5.12 | 0.003 |
TTPT (30 min & Above) | 6.28 | 0.000 |
TD (No) | −5.61 | 0.000 |
PS (Yes) | −8.10 | 0.002 |
Constant | 1.14 | 0.771 |
Nagelkerke R2 | 0.875 | |
Chi-Square | 6.597 | |
Log-likelihood | 91.39 | |
Df | 8 | |
Hosmer & Lemeshow | 0.581 |
Observed | Predicted | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Training Sample | Testing Sample | ||||||
Response Recorded (1 = Yes, 0 = No) | Percentage Correct | Response Recorded (1 = Yes, 0 = No) | Percentage Correct | ||||
No | Yes | No | Yes | ||||
Response recorded (1 = Yes, 0 = No) | No | 53 | 0 | 100.00 | 63 | 4 | 94.03 |
Yes | 0 | 80 | 100.00 | 11 | 86 | 89.00 | |
Overall Percentage | 0.00 | 100.00 | 100.00 | 14.86 | 95.70 | 91.02 |
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Memon, I.A.; Sahito, N.; Kalwar, S.; Hwang, J.; Napiah, M.; Zaly Shah, M. Choice Modelling of a Car Traveler towards Park-and-Ride Services in Putrajaya to Create Green Development. Sustainability 2021, 13, 7869. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13147869
Memon IA, Sahito N, Kalwar S, Hwang J, Napiah M, Zaly Shah M. Choice Modelling of a Car Traveler towards Park-and-Ride Services in Putrajaya to Create Green Development. Sustainability. 2021; 13(14):7869. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13147869
Chicago/Turabian StyleMemon, Irfan Ahmed, Noman Sahito, Saima Kalwar, Jinsoo Hwang, Madzlan Napiah, and Muhammad Zaly Shah. 2021. "Choice Modelling of a Car Traveler towards Park-and-Ride Services in Putrajaya to Create Green Development" Sustainability 13, no. 14: 7869. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13147869
APA StyleMemon, I. A., Sahito, N., Kalwar, S., Hwang, J., Napiah, M., & Zaly Shah, M. (2021). Choice Modelling of a Car Traveler towards Park-and-Ride Services in Putrajaya to Create Green Development. Sustainability, 13(14), 7869. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13147869