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Article

Advanced Air Mobility: Demand Analysis and Market Potential of the Airport Shuttle and Air Taxi Markets

1
Independent Researcher, Boston, MA 02128, USA
2
Quantitative Scientific Solutions, Arlington, VA 22203, USA
3
Transportation Sustainability Research Center, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Academic Editors: Maria Nadia Postorino and Chiara Caterina Ditta
Sustainability 2021, 13(13), 7421; https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137421
Received: 5 June 2021 / Revised: 19 June 2021 / Accepted: 23 June 2021 / Published: 2 July 2021
Advanced air mobility (AAM) is a broad concept enabling consumers access to on-demand air mobility, cargo and package delivery, healthcare applications, and emergency services through an integrated and connected multimodal transportation network. However, a number of challenges could impact AAM’s growth potential, such as autonomous flight, the availability of take-off and landing infrastructure (i.e., vertiports), integration into airspace and other modes of transportation, and competition with shared automated vehicles. This article discusses the results of a demand analysis examining the market potential of two potential AAM passenger markets—airport shuttles and air taxis. The airport shuttle market envisions AAM passenger service to, from, or between airports along fixed routes. The air taxi market envisions a more mature and scaled service that provides on-demand point-to-point passenger services throughout urban areas. Using a multi-method approach consisting of AAM travel demand modeling, Monte Carlo simulations, and constraint analysis, this study estimates that the air taxi and airport shuttle markets could capture a 0.5% mode share. The analysis concludes that AAM could replace non-discretionary trips greater than 45 min; however, demand for discretionary trips would be limited by consumer willingness to pay. This study concludes that AAM passenger services could have a daily demand of 82,000 passengers served by approximately 4000 four- to five-seat aircraft in the U.S., under the most conservative scenario, representing an annual market valuation of 2.5 billion USD. View Full-Text
Keywords: advanced air mobility (AAM); urban air mobility (UAM); on-demand air mobility; market analysis; air taxi; vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) advanced air mobility (AAM); urban air mobility (UAM); on-demand air mobility; market analysis; air taxi; vertical take-off and landing (VTOL)
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MDPI and ACS Style

Goyal, R.; Reiche, C.; Fernando, C.; Cohen, A. Advanced Air Mobility: Demand Analysis and Market Potential of the Airport Shuttle and Air Taxi Markets. Sustainability 2021, 13, 7421. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137421

AMA Style

Goyal R, Reiche C, Fernando C, Cohen A. Advanced Air Mobility: Demand Analysis and Market Potential of the Airport Shuttle and Air Taxi Markets. Sustainability. 2021; 13(13):7421. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137421

Chicago/Turabian Style

Goyal, Rohit, Colleen Reiche, Chris Fernando, and Adam Cohen. 2021. "Advanced Air Mobility: Demand Analysis and Market Potential of the Airport Shuttle and Air Taxi Markets" Sustainability 13, no. 13: 7421. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137421

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