Abstract
Electric vehicle (EV) adoption is growing worldwide with increasing market pull from consumers and market push from manufacturers of vehicles and charging equipment, as well as others in the supply chain. Governments have begun developing policies to support EV uptake and local governments, in particular, are examining what role they should play. In Australia, a large country with low population density, EV uptake has been slower in comparison to other similar economies. This paper discusses the status of EV charging infrastructure deployment in Australia with regards to local governments, by considering the extent to which they are relied upon for the deployment of such technology and what motivates them to act. It also covers the work undertaken by the authors with one local government in developing an EV charging infrastructure business model that will help the local community adopt and benefit from EVs. An applied use of the business canvas methodology adapted to suit local government interests is presented to assess the risks and benefits that different business models offer. The paper offers insights into the strategic and pragmatic responsibilities local governments balance in seeking to expand the EV charging infrastructure in their jurisdiction.
1. Introduction
1.1. Global EV Context
The transport sector is a major source of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. It was responsible for 25% of global carbon emissions in 2018 with steady increases in recent decades [1]. Transport plays an important role in society, facilitating work, education, leisure pursuits, the transportation of goods, and the provision of services. However, carbon dioxide emissions arising from human activities and the accompanying adverse impact on the environment has led to the realisation that all elements of the economy must be rapidly decarbonised.
Transport is now undergoing a global paradigm shift as the global automotive industry moves towards an electric, decarbonised future. Passenger vehicles are at the forefront of this change as governments, automotive manufacturers, energy utilities, and technology providers look to understand what roles they will need to play.
1.2. The Australian Context
Transport is Australia’s third-largest source of GHG emissions (18.9% of total), and these have been increasing more quickly than any other sector over the last three decades [2]. Over half of this is contributed by cars, of which Australia has a particularly high dependency [3]. Australia’s average emissions intensity for passenger vehicles is also higher than that of other similar advanced economies (48% higher than Japan, 41% higher than Europe, and 16% higher than the United States), due to various factors such as consumer preferences and weaker policy drivers for low emission vehicles [4]. Therefore, electrifying the Australian passenger vehicle fleet is critical for reducing the country’s carbon emissions from transport and overall. It could also help Australia capitalise on other associated benefits, including improved local air quality, less reliance on imported fuels, support a greater share of renewables on the grid, and lower fuel costs for consumers. However, the electrification of transport in Australia faces both generic and specific challenges posed by the country’s geography, population, demographics, and structure of its political system.
Australia is a large country with a relatively small population. At 7.7 million km2, it is the sixth-largest country in the world [5,6]. However, with only 23.5 million citizens (compared to 1.4 billion in China or 333 million in the United States), population density is low compared to other large countries. A large majority of Australia’s population also reside in urban areas (86.1%), mostly in cities or towns along the East coast [7].
1.3. Australia and Electric Vehicles
In a 2019 consumer survey, over half a million Australians said that they intended to buy an electric vehicle EV within the next four years [8]. Despite such positive consumer attitudes, fewer than 7000 plug-in EVs were sold in 2019 [9] out of 1.15 million new car sales [10]. This equates to only 0.6% of new car sales in 2019 being electric. This represents a low uptake of EVs when compared with other countries with whom it typically compares in terms of population, economy, or standard of living (as summarised in Table 1).
Table 1.
Australia compared with other select countries on EV deployment.
Australia also lags on several other metrics in terms of the provision of infrastructure for EV charging. Figure 1 shows there are 11,039 people per public charger in Australia compared with 397 people per public charger in Norway, a global leader in the electrification of its passenger vehicle fleet. Canada—which has a similar land mass and population density to Australia—has 3056 people per public charger.
Figure 1.
Number of people per public charger (based on number of public EV charge points).
As shown in Figure 2, Australia has seven EVs per public charge point, the same as Canada, which has a similar landmass to Australia. Although they have a similar ratio of EVs to EV chargers, Canada has substantially more plug-in electric vehicles in its fleet than Australia (82,756 compared to 16,275), more public chargers (12,333 compared to 2307), and a higher percentage of its fleet are electric plug-in (0.23% compared with 0.08%).
Figure 2.
Number of EVs per public charger (based on the number of public EV charge points and the number of plug-in EVs).
In terms of landmass, Australia is the world’s sixth-largest country, Canada is the fourth largest, while the USA and China are the third- and second-largest, respectively. The number of square kilometres per public charge point (Figure 3) in Australia is 3356 km2, compared with Canada at 810 km2 and the USA at 143 km2.
Figure 3.
Number of square kilometres per public charge point (based on the landmass area and number of public charge points).
While Canadian EV drivers must share the same number of public EV chargers as their Australian counterparts, they will have substantially less distance to travel to find one.
These metrics reflect the very real geographic and population challenges that Australia must overcome to decarbonise its transport. In addition, it must address the other well-documented barriers that exist for EV adoption, such as those relating to the techno-economic (e.g., range and price) and non-technical (e.g., consumer-related, regulation, and policy) categories [28,29,30]. Of all the countries featured in the analysis, Canada appears to be most similar to Australia (notwithstanding political context) and so could be a useful point of reference for Australian policymakers to study.
1.4. The Role of Local Government in Australia
Australia is divided into 537 local government areas (LGAs), known as “local councils”. Local councils represent the third tier of government and vary widely in geographical size and population, and therefore resources. They have key responsibilities related to the local road infrastructure, local environmental amenity, and ensuring local communities thrive, including being responsible for the planning, development, and maintenance of local transport infrastructure such as roads and car parking [31]. While some are currently trialling and testing approaches to deploying EV charging infrastructure and electric fleets, most are yet to publish their strategies. With such a critical role in road transport infrastructure, the support of local councils is needed to make EVs a viable choice for consumers.
1.5. The Challenge
While both consumer awareness and choice of EVs is expanding, EV penetration will be dependent upon the necessary charging infrastructure keeping pace. Local governments have a key role to play in this.
This paper applies the morphological box approach for designing EV business models developed by Kley et al. [32], to a local government context, illustrated by a case study of Lake Macquarie City Council. It begins by providing a brief literature review, followed by a description of the methodology and resultant business models. Finally, in the analysis, how this approach can help other local councils to develop their EV strategies and business models is outlined, while practical insights to policymakers, particularly related to the regulatory constraints and opportunities posed to local governments seeking to deploy EV infrastructure, are also provided.
2. Literature Review
2.1. The Australian Case
Despite the challenges discussed in the previous section, widespread EV adoption in Australia is feasible based on commuting patterns and EV charging requirements and capabilities [33]. However, there is a lack of consistent and coherent incentives or policy support for consumers or businesses in Australia at the federal or state level, for either electric vehicles or charging infrastructure. This is despite significant GHG emission reductions for road transport being found to be possible through electrification of this sector [34,35,36]. We identified five types of support mechanisms present that can support the adoption of EVs in Australia (see Table 2). At the state and territory level, the Australian Capital Territory, Queensland, and Victoria have dedicated mechanisms for EVs with stamp duty waivers available in all three states. Victoria has also recently introduced a limited subsidy for new purchases of EVs, although the state has also announced a new road tax specifically aimed at EVs ($0.025 per km for fully electric vehicles and $0.020 for plug-in hybrids). New South Wales (NSW) and Victoria both have reduced motor vehicle tax/registration rates for lower emission vehicles, under which EVs qualify. Two schemes were found to exist at the local government level, both in state capitals: the City of Sydney (NSW) offers discounted parking permits for lower emission vehicles (which EVs qualify for), while the City of Adelaide (South Australia) offers a rebate for EV charge points. This latter scheme is unique in that it is targeted at the charging equipment and scaled towards larger subsidies for more sophisticated technology (i.e., that capable of bi-directional charging or demand management functionality).
Table 2.
Summary of relevant EV strategies and support for the different levels of government in Australia.
2.2. The Role of Government
All levels of government have acknowledged the important role EVs have to play and have published (or they have publicly announced that they plan to publish) EV strategies. The Federal Government has published a single page factsheet relating to what it says is its EV strategy while more recently announcing a discussion paper on its Future Fuels Strategy. Six states/territories out of a total of eight have now published a dedicated EV/e-mobility strategy. For local government, broader transport or mobility strategies are common and some do refer to EVs or low emission vehicles and actions to support them. Table 2 presents a summary of the relevant EV strategies and support mechanisms for different levels of government in Australia.
2.3. Business Models
Business models are essential for councils to consider for the successful deployment of EV charging infrastructure. A business model can be defined as a representation of how organisations create value that they share with their customers [44,45,46]. The EV industry is at an early stage of development and is likely to continue to evolve quickly and unexpectedly over the coming years. Other studies have reported on the types of business models relevant for EV charging [30,46,47,48]. While there are many emerging business model options, stakeholders are unsure of what business models are most effective and profitable [32]. Specific business models and approaches for councils do not readily appear in the literature, and, while there are various examples of local governments around the world leading the deployment of EV charging infrastructure (e.g., City of Amsterdam and Adelaide City Council), the business models are not always transparent or obvious.
Multiple risks exist for local government concerning charging networks due to high initial investment costs, revenue uncertainty, electricity tariffs and peak capacity contracts, and the involvement of multiple stakeholders. An agile approach to refining a business model, while future-proofing any choice of technology or platform, will be needed if they are to have a role in the deployment of EV infrastructure in Australia.
2.4. The Case Study
Lake Macquarie is a two-hour drive north of Sydney. The jurisdictional area of the local council covers 648 km2 and the city has a unique geography that strings together communities around nine town centres, circling the lake by which it gets its name. The area is a popular place for retirees and young families, and those looking for a “tree-change” or “sea-change” away from the hustle and bustle of the city. The community of Lake Macquarie is concentrated on the eastern side of the lake and this area is recognised as having high residential amenity and liveability. Two north–south highways (east and west of the lake) are important state road corridors for supporting the local economy.
Lake Macquarie residents travel primarily by private motor vehicle, covering an average distance of 38.2 km per day. The highest proportions of travel per person per day in Lake Macquarie are social/recreational (20% at 7.6 km) and commuting purposes (19% at 7.3 km), followed by shopping and work-related business (16% at 6.1 km each). The proportion of trips conducted by private motor vehicles is high at approximately 90% [49].
Lake Macquarie City Council initiated the development of an EV Charging Infrastructure Strategy with an outline of the basic principles for infrastructure deployment for its region. To support this initiative, it sought support from this paper’s authors to understand technical specifications and business models within a local council context.
3. Methodology
3.1. Overall Methodology
There were four main stages to the approach for developing an EV charging business model with the Council as part of its EV strategy development, as shown in Figure 4. A literature review initially assessed the EV and charging infrastructure market in the local, national, and international contexts. This also examined strategic policy frameworks, planning guidelines and regulations, electricity network constraints, business models, and case studies. The second step was to examine the potential business model characteristics and design possibilities that exist for a council. Thirdly, priority business models were developed using the business model canvas. Finally, a business case was co-developed with the Council to understand whether the prioritised business models could be financially viable. A staged series of stakeholder engagements also occurred throughout the research to define the challenges and risks for local councils, helping them understand what was feasible in their specific region. This included a regional forum that brought together multiple councils from the surrounding regions, a visioning workshop with a multidisciplinary group of stakeholders working within the council, bilateral interviews with industry, and a business model workshop with a core group of stakeholders from within Lake Macquarie City Council.
Figure 4.
Approach to developing EV charging business models with a local council.
The following section focuses on the business model component of the research methodology, Steps 2 and 3, which is the focus of this paper.
3.2. Business Model Characteristics and Design Possibilities
A methodology based on Kley et al.’s morphology of EV charging business models was developed. To ensure the needs of the local council were met, the morphological box used for systematically describing business models was adapted for EV infrastructure deployment. The design possibilities show what options could theoretically be chosen by a local council in choosing its priority business model. The adapted box is shown in Figure 5.
Figure 5.
Morphological box for the systematic description of local government business models for constructing and supply of EV infrastructure (adapted with permission from [32]). The blue dotted box indicates the business model options for accessibility, ownership, and operation; grid interaction, data, and control options are indicated by the red dotted box; and the green box shows the options that can be categorised as finance and transactions options.
The key differences between the versions developed by Kley et al. are shown in the lighter blue shaded boxes. These were adapted or added based on discussions with the Council to reflect the business model choices they were in a position to make. The three key adaptions made to the Kley et al. morphological boxes were:
- Business model decisions from the morphological boxes on infrastructure and system services were combined into a single box.
- The design possibilities were re-arranged in a different order to structure this around three key questions the Council had regarding their business models.
- Some design possibilities were added or amended to be more relevant for a local council and the business model design decisions they were contemplating.
The characteristics were divided into three categories of a problem tree to simplify and structure the co-design and engagement process with Lake Macquarie City Council. These were segmented as:
- Accessibility, ownership, and operation (blue box).
- Grid interaction, data, and control (red box).
- Finance and transactions (green box).
These categories are determined by the key decisions a council would have to take on location, technology, and economics, respectively. The following section describes these questions and potential responses based on existing business models with specific relevance for local councils.
3.2.1. Accessibility, Ownership, and Operation
The type of location, how it should be accessed, and who should own and operate the EV charging infrastructure were among the first decisions that a council is required to make. These design choices are shown in Figure 6 and they relate to the broader question of what accessibility to the charging point is desired. The implications of these decisions are far-ranging on the business model, especially for ownership. For example, changing the EV charging infrastructure ownership from “council-owned” to “owned by a third party” creates an entirely different business model with implications for the other business model choices that can be made. As a result, ownership in part was used as the main defining characteristic between the business models being differentiated as part of this process.
Figure 6.
Accessibility, ownership, and operation problem tree.
Business models with “semi-public” (e.g., patrons of business premises) or “public” access (e.g., on-street access) were found to be most relevant for the council. “Semi-public” access refers to those charging points placed in locations where access is restricted by purpose or invitation. These would include employer car parks, shopping centre car parks, or hotel parking where only employees, shoppers, or hotel guests would be allowed access. In these cases, the charging facility (whether paid or free to customers) is offered as an added incentive or privilege. This opens up additional possibilities for additional revenue streams and for partnerships with other interested parties who might invest capital for charger deployment.
Where defined as “public”, these chargers offer no restrictions to EV drivers who want to use them. The public accessibility does not limit the financial model, and these chargers could be free to use or be a paid service. This would include chargers in public or council car parks (swimming pools, community centres, etc.), on-street parking, parking at popular tourist destinations, or as independent charging or service stations along key routes. Parties involved in the provision and management of the chargers may include the councils, energy utilities, third-party providers, or independent businesses.
Where charge points are located in private access car parks, for example, those where only utility vehicles (such as council maintenance vans or refuse collection vehicles) have access, it would be classified as “private” access.
3.2.2. Grid Interaction, Data, and Control
The EV business model characteristic for grid interaction, data, and control are shown in Figure 7. These options are relevant for defining the different services that could be offered to the vehicle and the grid by the charging stations. This includes details on the type of connection and how it is controlled, as well as how data and information are used. Several key points to note are:
Figure 7.
Grid interaction, data, and control problem tree.
- The type of connection can be “unidirectional” (delivers power in one direction) or “bidirectional” (transmits electricity in both directions), necessary to access services such as load-shifting or back-feeding electricity into the grid.
- The information and communication could be unidirectional, where control is based on grid or vehicle data, or bidirectional, which allows both grid and vehicle to be integrated into controlling the charging process.
- Information can be processed in different time intervals from day-ahead planning to a real-time connection, allowing an immediate modification of the charging profile.
- Indirect control of charging processes can be via a price signal while direct control allows switching signals to be sent to the battery in the vehicle. In practice, a combination of both could be used.
Uncontrolled charging and the lack of communication interfaces corresponds to the case without services.
3.2.3. Finance and Transaction
Figure 8 describes the finance and transaction business model characteristic options, which are crucial decisions for councils that wish to build a sustainable business case. It is an important characteristic of the business model as this enables the capture of revenue that is an essential part of the business case for a council that wants to pursue EV charging infrastructure deployment.
Figure 8.
Finance and transaction problem tree.
Decisions here allocate responsibility for transaction management, define how much the EV owner charging their vehicle pays, how the transaction occurs, and the transactional technology required. Irrespective of how the model is managed, there is a choice to pass on none, some, or all of the cost to the customer. A paid plan could be on a pay per use model, a fixed-rate scheme, or a subscription model. Multiple modes of payment exist, including credit cards, dedicated access cards, existing public transport passes, mobile phone apps, and QR codes. All payment models typically require a metering system to be installed in the vehicle, the charging station, or both. Besides the council, key roles can be played by:
- Retail operators: This may include shopping centres, hotels, service stations, car manufactures/dealers, etc.
- Energy utilities: In the Australian context, the energy utility can be either energy retailers or distribution network service providers.
- Third parties: These may include independent charging station providers, charging infrastructure manufactures, or other interested parties.
Both councils and energy utilities in Europe and the United States have adopted multiple partnership models to share installation and management responsibilities with retail and third-party operators.
3.3. Defining the Business Model Options
3.3.1. Business Model Type Classification
Six types of EV charging infrastructure business model suitable for councils were identified from the research. These were divided into two broad groups based on the accessibility offered to end-users:
- Public access—where the charging station is available to all to use. These are typically offered to the general public to use by councils, motoring organisations, and energy utilities. The cost to the customer varies from being free, to pay per use, subscription/membership fees, or a combination of them. Subtypes were classified as:
- a.
- Government-owned.
- b.
- Third party-owned.
- c.
- Energy utility-owned.
- Semi-public access—where the use of the charging station is restricted to a set of users. For example, the service is offered to members of a particular EV charging network, owners of certain brands of vehicles, guests visiting certain hotels, or customers visiting certain businesses. From the end customer perspective, these services may be provided for free or different charge models might be offered. Subtypes were classified as:
- a.
- Membership-based.
- b.
- Guest and visitor servicing.
- c.
- Business self-funded.
Table 3 contains a list of examples for different public access business models and [50,51,52,53,54,55], while Table 4 contains those of semi-public access examples.
Table 3.
Public access business models (examples).
Table 4.
Semi-public access business models (examples).
3.3.2. Business Model Options and Prioritisation
Figure 9 shows the business model canvas, which provides a compact overview of all aspects of the business model, including identifying key barriers and risks [44]. It was populated using feedback from Lake Macquarie City Council. While typically the canvas features ten key sections, due to the centrality of the Council’s role in this model, an additional section was added for the council value proposition. In addition, council resources and key partners were separated, recognising the key roles other stakeholders might play in this model.
Figure 9.
Business model canvas for Local Government (adapted from the Business model canvas by Strategyzer.com [44] and licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License.).
As seen in Figure 9, the canvas was constructed from the point of view of the “Customer” and the “Council”.
- For the “Customer”: This is the end customer. In the case of this model, it is the person(s) with the EV who is looking to get it charged.
- For the “Council”: In this case (self-managed model), the Council is the charge point operator.
4. Analysis
Two business model types were ultimately prioritised by Lake Macquarie City Council:
- The Self-Managed EV Charging Business Model.
- The Third-Party EV Charging Business Model.
The following section focuses on the self-managed model for the business model canvas, in which Figure 10 shows a snapshot of how the business model works and Figure 11 displays the business model canvas as it was populated for the case of Lake Macquarie City Council.
Figure 10.
Business model snapshot: Self-managed model (with City Council as the Charge Point Operator).
Figure 11.
Business Model Canvas: Populated for one of the proposed business models (Self-Managed Model).
The council value proposition articulated in this case was in establishing a customer-centric EV charging model that provided it with a first-mover advantage for a new revenue source. Secondary benefits identified were around building social capital, advocating green growth, and pioneering new business models for the latest technology. The use of the business model canvas approach supported Lake Macquarie City Council in identifying and allocating risks between themselves and the different key stakeholders. The relevant risks associated with each business model were defined during the process, and each will need to be allocated among the different potential partners during negotiations on individual contracts.
The business models described in Table 3 and Table 4 [50,51,52,53,54,55] present many different case studies in which EV charging infrastructure is being deployed. This includes council-led examples, as well as other types. While all the case studies offer some kind of “value add” (either to the customer or to the host), those relating to more sophisticated and complex interaction with the grid (whether vehicle-to-building, vehicle-to-community, vehicle-to-home, or vehicle-to-grid) are still primarily in the early trial stages. The nearer-term opportunity is likely around smart charging and using EV charging to smooth peak demand and to utilise excess solar generation capacity. Early council-led deployment of EV charging infrastructure within the region is sought that will achieve the best value for money and the maximum amount of community benefit while avoiding stranded assets or negative impacts on groups or individuals. This is part of a strategic first step in the deployment of infrastructure by Lake Macquarie City Council and its partners at key sites to facilitate a smooth transition into the EV future for the community. Within the council context, the preferred business models for Lake Macquarie City Council will represent the risk profile that it and its partners are willing to assume while maximising the benefits that they want to realise. Councils are not private businesses, and their risk perceptions and risk appetites are different. Partnerships with other parties (as discussed in the business model examples in the previous section) are an effective way of managing the strategic risks identified by the Council. Depending on the final business model, the risks will be shared among the different partners and the consumer. In a contract between parties, some risks would be explicitly allocated in the contract, while others implicitly allocated.
With new technology and business models rapidly developing all the time, the Council should be prepared to adapt and take a flexible approach. Being prepared to offer more than one type of business model—or to switch to a different type—will help councils manage the risk of investing in transport infrastructure in the early stages of the market’s development.
Australia’s energy system has undergone rapid transformation over the last ten years, from one that is predominantly centralised and carbon-intensive to one that is more decentralised and lower carbon [56], as the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) grows amid falling costs and the onset of new technology and business models. One in five homes (more than two million households) are now equipped with rooftop solar installations [57].
The electrification of transport poses major new challenges for the electricity system, with serious implications in terms of increasing demand and shifting when that demand occurs. Awareness of such issues has existed for some time, with Naor et al. (2018) pointing to steps taking by Israel in 2007 to encourage smart charging to manage these risks [58]. It is however too early to predict the ultimate impact of EVs on Australia’s National Electricity Market, due to uncertainty over scale and speed of adoption, as well as what effect technological and market developments such as vehicle-to-grid, time-of-use charging, etc. will have. It will be important that the regulatory framework can change and adapt to this, as such changes could both positively and negatively impact EV market development.
5. Conclusions
Australia’s EV charging infrastructure deployment is far behind other countries it typically compares itself with, even those with similar challenges with low population density and large landmass. This means Australians will lose out on capitalising on the benefits EVs can bring. However, local governments in Australia can play a key role in the deployment of public EV chargers in the early stages, given their responsibility for managing road transport infrastructure and especially where some of the benefits and challenges of EVs are viewed as being more local in nature (e.g., air quality). In particular, the main council value proposition for Lake Macquarie City Council was a customer-centric EV charging model that provided it with a first-mover advantage for a new revenue source. Secondary benefits identified were around building social capital, advocating green growth, and pioneering new business models for the latest technology.
While many choices can be made by councils, it is important for them to determine the role they want to play in owning or facilitating the deployment of the charging infrastructure and the risks that they are willing to bear. A morphological approach applied in a local council context can help local governments make considered choices that take into account the various risks and benefits. Although many of the risks can be assigned to other parties by modifying the council’s business model, risks relating to regulation remain and will require effective national standards and policy on charging infrastructure specifications, integration with the electricity grid, planning, building and construction, public safety, and consumer protection. This is challenging for local governments to influence at a state or national level.
Six types of relevant EV charging infrastructure business model were identified for Lake Macquarie City Council, with two of these prioritised for further exploration of the business case. With each council operating within very different local constraints and resources, it is not possible to recommend the “best” business model for all councils. With no “one size fits all”, councils should seek to co-design and tailor their priority business model based on their (and their other stakeholders’) appetite for the risks, benefits, and innovation. Developing their own policy and strategy for EV charging is a good place to start.
Canada has been revealed as a similar country to which Australia can compare itself and which Australian policymakers could seek to learn from to help inform their approach.
To accelerate the rate at which public EV chargers are rolled out across Australia, there is a need for more consistent guidance aimed at local government audiences. Further development of this methodological approach with other local councils would build the evidence-base and fit-for-purpose templates to guide local government in a meaningful way.
Author Contributions
Writing—original draft preparation, conceptualisation, methodology, analysis, literature review, and data collection, S.D.; conceptualisation and editing, C.M.; conceptualisation, analysis, literature review, and data collection, K.N.; methodology, analysis, literature review, and data collection, J.W.; literature review, data collection, L.M.; and review, D.C. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
Lake Macquarie City Council funded the original research.
Data Availability Statement
Not applicable.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank Catherine Pepper, Lake Macquarie City Council, and all other stakeholders who participated in the co-design process to arrive at the shortlisted business models and canvas.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funders specified the objectives of the research but did not influence the design of the study; or play a role in the collection, analyses or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to publish the results.
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